Severe Thunderstorm Warning 9, NWS Dodge City, KS

829 
WWUS53 KDDC 230040
SVSDDC

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
740 PM CDT Tue Apr 22 2025

KSC007-033-230115-
/O.CON.KDDC.SV.W.0009.000000T0000Z-250423T0115Z/
Barber KS-Comanche KS-
740 PM CDT Tue Apr 22 2025

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 815 PM CDT
FOR SOUTHWESTERN BARBER AND SOUTHEASTERN COMANCHE COUNTIES...

At 740 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 7 miles southwest of
Aetna, moving northeast at 25 mph.

HAZARD...Golf ball size hail and 60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Emergency management.

IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect hail 
         damage to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles. Expect wind 
         damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
  Aetna.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3723 9895 3701 9865 3700 9871 3700 9924
TIME...MOT...LOC 0040Z 239DEG 20KT 3700 9905 

THUNDERSTORM DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE
HAIL THREAT...OBSERVED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.75 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

SUGDEN

743 
WWUS53 KDDC 230105
SVSDDC

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
805 PM CDT Tue Apr 22 2025

KSC007-033-230115-
/O.CON.KDDC.SV.W.0009.000000T0000Z-250423T0115Z/
Barber KS-Comanche KS-
805 PM CDT Tue Apr 22 2025

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 815 PM CDT
FOR SOUTHWESTERN BARBER AND SOUTHEASTERN COMANCHE COUNTIES...

At 804 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Aetna, moving
northeast at 10 mph.

HAZARD...Ping pong ball size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect damage 
         to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles.

Locations impacted include...
Aetna and Hardtner.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3723 9895 3701 9865 3700 9871 3700 9916
TIME...MOT...LOC 0104Z 244DEG 9KT 3704 9895 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.50 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...<50 MPH

$$

SUGDEN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
642 PM CDT Tue Apr 22 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Thunderstorm chances (50-60%) return this evening with a
  slight risk for severe storms across south central Kansas.

- Unseasonably warm temperatures expected Wednesday and
  Thursday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 203 PM CDT Tue Apr 22 2025

WV imagery indicates a west-southwest flow aloft prevailing across
the Western High Plains. Near the surface, a stalled frontal boundary
bisects southwest Kansas from southwest to northeast.

Thunderstorm chances (50-60%) pick up late afternoon into early
evening as the SREF continues to point to a weak upper level
shortwave trough exiting the Southern Rockies into the high
plains of eastern Colorado/western Kansas within a relatively
weak west-southwest flow. Near the surface, a stalled boundary
stretches from extreme southwest Kansas northeast into central
Kansas with an attendant dryline extending southward into the
Texas Panhandle. Pooling moisture ahead of the dryline is expected
to push surface dewpoints well up into the 50s(F) to near 60F,
increasing instability with MUCAPE values upward of 1000 to
1500 J/kg. Despite a less than robust flow aloft and modest deep
layer shear, sufficient instability combined and steepening
mid-level lapse rates will help support potential thunderstorm
development as H5 vort maxima eject out into the high plains
by early evening, interacting with the stalled boundary/dryline.
The best chance for rainfall remains across south central Kansas
as suggested by CAMs and where the HREF/NBM both show a 20%
probability of 6-hr QPF exceeding 0.25 of an inch by late evening.
Severe potential is still expected to be relatively limited.

More widespread shower/thunderstorm chances (60-80%) are expected
late Wednesday into early Thursday as another upper level shortwave
trough lifts northeast through the high plains of eastern
Colorado/western Kansas, interacting with a boundary lifting
back north across western Kansas as a warm front. Ample moisture
return behind the front will allow surface dewpoints to climb well
up into the mid/upper 50s(F) to potentially the lower 60s(F),
increasing instability. Combined with steepening mid-level lapse
rates, showers/thunderstorms are expected to develop late in the
day as H5 vort maxima associated with the upper level shortwave
lift northeast across the area, interacting with a dryline/boundary
to our west and northwest. Severe potential remains marginal,
partly due to weaker dynamic support aloft. Still, the latest NBM
shows a fairly widespread 30-40% probability of 12-hr QPF exceeding
0.25 of an inch of rainfall across a good portion of southwest Kansas
by early Thursday morning. The wetter pattern continues into Thursday
as the aforementioned front begins to push back to the southeast,
potentially triggering additional rounds of showers/thunderstorms.

Slightly above normal temperatures are forecast tonight as a stalled
frontal boundary across southwest Kansas begins to lift back north,
allowing warmer air to lift back up into central and southwest
Kansas, not to mention gradually climbing surface dewpoints from
moisture return. The latest HREF paints a 40-50% probability of
temperatures dropping below 50F in west central and extreme southwest
Kansas with a 10-20% probability of temperatures falling below 55F
toward central Kansas, so look for widespread lows generally in the
50s(F) with a few mid/upper 40s(F) out west. Warmer air will lift
back into western/south central Kansas behind a frontal boundary
pushing back north across western Kansas Wednesday, nudging H85
temperatures into the upper teens(C) in central Kansas to a little
above 20C in far southwest Kansas. Expect afternoon highs up into
the 70s(F) east to potentially the lower 80s(F) closer to the
Colorado border.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY/...
Issued at 639 PM CDT Tue Apr 22 2025

Light north northeast winds this Tuesday evening will veer to
the southeast early tonight as our surface boundary, located
over south central Kansas at 22z moves back north and west. These
southeasterly winds will draw more humid air back into
southwest Kansas as a developing low level jet develops. This
low level jet combined with increasing moisture and mid level
instability may give rise to a few thunderstorms after midnight
up near the Hays area. Towards daybreak the chance for storms
will extend south and west into the Dodge City, Garden City and
even the Liberal area as BUFR soundings suggest low VFR
ceilings developing early Wednesday morning.

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

DISCUSSION...JJohnson
AVIATION...Burgert

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
250 AM CDT Tue Apr 22 2025

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-230745-
Trego-Ellis-Scott-
Lane-Ness-Rush-Hamilton-Kearny-Finney-Hodgeman-Pawnee-Stafford-
Stanton-Grant-Haskell-Gray-Ford-Edwards-Kiowa-Pratt-Morton-Stevens-
Seward-Meade-Clark-Comanche-Barber-250 AM CDT Tue Apr 22 2025 /150
AM MDT Tue Apr 22 2025/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central Kansas,
south central Kansas, southwest Kansas, and west central Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Locally severe storms possible south of a Stafford to Greensburg and
Ashland line after 5 pm.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

Thunderstorms Producing locally severe weather Wednesday evening and
excessive rainfall into the overnight

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed. Severe storm and flooding
reports are appreciated.

33

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
636 PM CDT Tue Apr 22 2025

KSZ090-230000-
Barber KS-
636 PM CDT Tue Apr 22 2025

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT CENTRAL BARBER COUNTY THROUGH
700 PM CDT...

At 635 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 10
miles south of Lake City, moving northeast at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Minor hail damage to vegetation is possible.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Medicine Lodge around 650 PM CDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 100 AM CDT for
south central Kansas.

&&

LAT...LON 3709 9880 3725 9891 3746 9864 3720 9839
TIME...MOT...LOC 2335Z 246DEG 27KT 3720 9878

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...<30 MPH

SUGDEN

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
647 PM CDT Tue Apr 22 2025

KSZ089-090-230030-
Barber KS-Comanche KS-
647 PM CDT Tue Apr 22 2025

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHWESTERN BARBER AND
SOUTHEASTERN COMANCHE COUNTIES THROUGH 730 PM CDT...

At 646 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 7
miles southwest of Aetna, moving northeast at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Minor hail damage to vegetation is possible.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Aetna around 655 PM CDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 100 AM CDT for
south central Kansas.

&&

LAT...LON 3726 9908 3701 9867 3700 9873 3700 9932
TIME...MOT...LOC 2346Z 242DEG 24KT 3704 9910

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...<30 MPH

SUGDEN

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
658 PM CDT Tue Apr 22 2025

KSZ081-090-230030-
Pratt KS-Barber KS-
658 PM CDT Tue Apr 22 2025

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHEASTERN BARBER AND
SOUTHEASTERN PRATT COUNTIES THROUGH 730 PM CDT...

At 657 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Medicine Lodge, moving northeast at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Minor hail damage to vegetation is possible.

This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of northeastern Barber
and southeastern Pratt Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 100 AM CDT for
south central Kansas.

&&

LAT...LON 3728 9869 3739 9877 3758 9848 3757 9846
      3739 9846 3738 9835 3735 9835
TIME...MOT...LOC 2357Z 245DEG 26KT 3735 9864

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...<30 MPH

SUGDEN

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
659 PM CDT Tue Apr 22 2025

KSZ089-090-230045-
Barber KS-Comanche KS-
659 PM CDT Tue Apr 22 2025

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHWESTERN BARBER AND
SOUTHEASTERN COMANCHE COUNTIES THROUGH 745 PM CDT...

At 659 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Aetna, moving northeast at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Minor hail damage to vegetation is possible.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Aetna around 705 PM CDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 100 AM CDT for
south central Kansas.

&&

LAT...LON 3712 9917 3732 9885 3703 9858 3700 9878
      3700 9911
TIME...MOT...LOC 2359Z 245DEG 26KT 3707 9904

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...<30 MPH

SUGDEN

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
718 PM CDT Tue Apr 22 2025

KSZ090-230045-
Barber KS-
718 PM CDT Tue Apr 22 2025

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT EASTERN BARBER COUNTY THROUGH
745 PM CDT...

At 718 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Medicine Lodge, moving northeast at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Minor hail damage to vegetation is possible.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Medicine Lodge around 725 PM CDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 100 AM CDT for
south central Kansas.

&&

LAT...LON 3709 9868 3726 9881 3739 9847 3739 9846
      3738 9835 3719 9835
TIME...MOT...LOC 0018Z 235DEG 28KT 3721 9867

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...<30 MPH

SUGDEN