Severe Thunderstorm Warning 12, NWS Dodge City, KS

995 
WWUS53 KDDC 232156
SVSDDC

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
456 PM CDT Wed Apr 23 2025

KSC101-171-232230-
/O.CON.KDDC.SV.W.0012.000000T0000Z-250423T2230Z/
Scott KS-Lane KS-
456 PM CDT Wed Apr 23 2025

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 530 PM CDT
FOR EASTERN SCOTT AND WEST CENTRAL LANE COUNTIES...

At 456 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located very near Scott
City, moving northeast at 15 mph.

HAZARD...Two inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect damage 
         to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles.

This severe storm will be near...
  Scott City around 500 PM CDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3836 10084 3848 10100 3870 10081 3853 10054
TIME...MOT...LOC 2156Z 221DEG 11KT 3846 10091 

THUNDERSTORM DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE
HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...2.00 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...<50 MPH

$$

SPRINGER

382 
WWUS53 KDDC 232201
SVSDDC

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
501 PM CDT Wed Apr 23 2025

KSC101-171-232230-
/O.CON.KDDC.SV.W.0012.000000T0000Z-250423T2230Z/
Scott KS-Lane KS-
501 PM CDT Wed Apr 23 2025

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 530 PM CDT
FOR EASTERN SCOTT AND WEST CENTRAL LANE COUNTIES...

At 501 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located very near Scott
City, moving northeast at 15 mph.

HAZARD...Tennis ball size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect damage 
         to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles.

This severe storm will be near...
  Scott City around 505 PM CDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3836 10084 3848 10100 3870 10081 3853 10054
TIME...MOT...LOC 2201Z 221DEG 11KT 3847 10090 

THUNDERSTORM DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE
HAIL THREAT...OBSERVED
MAX HAIL SIZE...2.50 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...<50 MPH

$$

SPRINGER

781 
WWUS53 KDDC 232208
SVSDDC

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
508 PM CDT Wed Apr 23 2025

KSC101-171-232230-
/O.CON.KDDC.SV.W.0012.000000T0000Z-250423T2230Z/
Scott KS-Lane KS-
508 PM CDT Wed Apr 23 2025

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 530 PM CDT
FOR NORTHEASTERN SCOTT AND WEST CENTRAL LANE COUNTIES...

At 508 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located very near Scott
City, moving northeast at 15 mph.

HAZARD...Tennis ball size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect damage 
         to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles.

This severe thunderstorm will remain over mainly rural areas of
northeastern Scott and west central Lane Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

This storm is producing large hail. SEEK SHELTER NOW inside a sturdy
structure and stay away from windows.

&&

LAT...LON 3839 10080 3851 10098 3870 10081 3853 10054
TIME...MOT...LOC 2208Z 221DEG 11KT 3849 10088 

THUNDERSTORM DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE
HAIL THREAT...OBSERVED
MAX HAIL SIZE...2.50 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...<50 MPH

$$

SPRINGER

319 
WWUS53 KDDC 232218
SVSDDC

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
518 PM CDT Wed Apr 23 2025

KSC101-171-232230-
/O.CON.KDDC.SV.W.0012.000000T0000Z-250423T2230Z/
Scott KS-Lane KS-
518 PM CDT Wed Apr 23 2025

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 530 PM CDT
FOR NORTHEASTERN SCOTT AND WEST CENTRAL LANE COUNTIES...

At 517 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Scott City,
moving northeast at 15 mph.

THIS IS A DESTRUCTIVE STORM FOR NORTH-CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST SCOTT 
COUNTY.

HAZARD...Three inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be severely injured. 
         Expect shattered windows, extensive damage to roofs, 
         siding, and vehicles.

Locations impacted include...
Manning.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

This storm is producing large hail. SEEK SHELTER NOW inside a sturdy
structure and stay away from windows.

&&

LAT...LON 3846 10082 3853 10096 3870 10081 3857 10060
TIME...MOT...LOC 2217Z 221DEG 11KT 3851 10085 

THUNDERSTORM DAMAGE THREAT...DESTRUCTIVE
HAIL THREAT...OBSERVED
MAX HAIL SIZE...3.00 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...<50 MPH

$$

SPRINGER

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
404 PM CDT Wed Apr 23 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- There is a 50 to 70% chance for strong to severe thunderstorms
  this evening through early Thursday.

- Unseasonably cool temperatures are expected Friday.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 355 PM CDT Wed Apr 23 2025

**MESOSCALE DISCUSSION**

Our special 20Z RAOB showed about 1500 J/kg CAPE, but the low level
wind shear was weak (32 m2/s2 SRH). This RAOB also showed that our
LCL's are high (~1800 m). This low level shear is expected to increase
a bit in the 6 to 7 pm period, however, low level SRH is still expected
to remain on the weak (50 to maybe 100 SRH) by this evening. Forecast
CAPE is expected to peak around 2000 J/kg in the 5 to 7 pm period.
There is weak surface moisture convergence stretching from Oakley
down along the Highway 83 corridor. This is where storms are expected
to develop first along this zone in the 4 to 6 pm period. Bulk shear
from the RAOB is on the weaker side for supercells at 30 kt, but
could increase to 40 kt over the next few hours. This would be on
the lower end threshold for supercells. The main threats in order
of most likely to least would be hail size in the 1" to 2.5" range,
damaging straight line winds in the 60 to 75 mph, and perhaps an
isolated/brief tornado. Storm mode should evolve to a more messy
mode by mid evening as storm interactions increase and as upper level
ventilation flow is not expected to be all that strong. It is not
exactly clear in how the more robust severe threats will evolve as
these storms head east to the Highway 283 corridor.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 249 PM CDT Wed Apr 23 2025

WV imagery indicates a west-southwest flow aloft prevailing across
the Western High Plains. Near the surface, a stalled frontal
boundary extends from west central Kansas northeast into north
central Kansas.

Thunderstorm chances (50-70%) return early this evening, increasing
overnight as the SREF indicates another compact upper level
shortwave perturbation ejecting east-northeast out of the Southern
Rockies into the Western High Plains. In response, a stalled
boundary attendant to a surface low in eastern Colorado and
stretching northeast across west central Kansas into north central
Kansas is projected to lift slowly north through this evening.
Meanwhile, prevailing southerlies will continue to draw moisture
into south central Kansas and much of southwest Kansas with
mid/upper 50s(F) dewpoints spreading further north/northwest through
southwest Kansas with the lower 60s(F) moving up into south central
Kansas by early evening, increasing instability with MUCAPE values
upward of 1500-2000 J/kg.

Despite a fairly weak field of westerlies aloft, sufficient
instability combined with steepening mid-level lapse rates from
diurnal heating behind an exiting cloud shield in central Kansas
will set the stage for thunderstorm development as H5 vort maxima
associated with the small shortwave trough pushes through the high
plains early this evening, interacting with the aforementioned
boundary. In accordance with most CAMs, the best chance for storm
development is projected to be across extreme southwest Kansas into
west central Kansas generally after 21-22Z with storms then
spreading east-northeast into central Kansas overnight. This is also
supported by the latest HREF painting a corridor of a 70-90%
probability for 6-hr QPF exceeding 0.25 of an inch initially in far
southwest Kansas, then tracking east-northeast across the remainder
of west central and southwest Kansas by late evening.

Dependent on lingering outflow boundaries from potential activity
tonight, thunderstorm chances (50-70%) continue into Thursday as
medium range ensembles indicate little change to the overall pattern
with a west-southwesterly flow aloft prevailing across the Western
High Plains, downstream of an increasingly more negatively-tilted
upper level trough pushing ashore off the Pacific into southern
California. Surface low is projected to still be situated in eastern
Colorado with an attendant frontal boundary extending northeast
through northwest Kansas toward southern Nebraska. Another 24 hours
of prevailing southerlies will enhance moisture advection into south
central and much of southwest Kansas ahead of a sharpening dryline
extending southward of the surface low into the vicinity of the New
Mexico/Texas border, providing ample instability. Once again,
thunderstorm development is expected sometime late Thursday
afternoon into Thursday evening as another series of H5 vort maxima
eject out of the Southern Rockies, interacting with the
aforementioned dryline/adjacent frontal boundary. A less active
period is forecast Friday as weak ridging aloft builds in across the
Western High Plains in conjunction with a cold front pushing
southward through western Kansas into the Texas Panhandle/western
Oklahoma, lowering precip chances.

Above normal temperatures are forecast tonight as prevailing
southerlies further draw warmer air into western Kansas, not to
mention draw increased moisture into the area. With the latest HREF
showing a 50-70% probability of temperatures dropping below 55F in
west central and extreme southwest Kansas to a 60-80% probability of
temperatures slipping below 60F in central Kansas, look for
widespread lows in the 50s(F). Slightly cooler temperatures are
expected Thursday with potential lingering morning convection and
increased cloud cover. Expect afternoon highs generally up into the
lower/mid 70s(F) with the HREF showing a 70-90% probability of
temperatures exceeding 70F. However, highs may struggle to climb out
of the 60s(F) in areas of prolonged cloud cover/lingering rain.
Unseasonably cool temperatures are likely Friday in wake of a cold
front pushing through western Kansas Friday morning.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY/...
Issued at 1155 AM CDT Wed Apr 23 2025

Thunderstorms are expected to develop across portions of
southwest Kansas generally after 21-23Z, potentially affecting
the vicinity of all TAF sites periodically through early
Thursday morning. Otherwise, VFR conditions are expected to
prevail through late evening. Light southeasterly upslope winds
and higher relative humidity will be conducive to low level
stratus development late tonight as suggested by the HRRR,
resulting in potential MVFR cigs in vicinity of all TAF sites
developing generally after 08-10Z. As for winds, South-southeast
winds around 15 to 25kt with gusts up to 30kt are expected to
persist through mid/late evening as a stalled front boundary
extending from west central Kansas northeast up into north
central Kansas begins to lift slowly north this afternoon.
Outside of possible gustier winds from thunderstorm outflow,
winds are expected to subside somewhat tonight with loss of
daytime heating.

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

UPDATE...Sugden
DISCUSSION...JJohnson
AVIATION...JJohnson

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
343 PM CDT Wed Apr 23 2025

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-240500-
Trego-Ellis-Scott-Lane-Ness-Rush-Hamilton-Kearny-Finney-Hodgeman-
Pawnee-Stafford-Stanton-Grant-Haskell-Gray-Ford-Edwards-Kiowa-
Pratt-Morton-Stevens-Seward-Meade-Clark-Comanche-Barber-
343 PM CDT Wed Apr 23 2025 /243 PM MDT Wed Apr 23 2025/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central Kansas,
south central Kansas, southwest Kansas, and west central Kansas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

Strong to severe thunderstorms are expected to develop across
west central Kansas and extreme southwest Kansas early this
evening, then spread east-northeast toward central Kansas
overnight. The strongest storms will be capable of producing up to
2 to 3 inch hail and damaging winds in excess of 60 to 70 mph.
Isolated tornadoes are possible. Due to the expected slow moving
nature of potential storms, heavy rainfall associated with the
strongest storms may lead to localized flash flooding.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

Strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible across portions of
southwest and central Kansas Thursday. The strongest storms will
be capable of producing 1 to 2 inch hail and damaging winds in
excess of 60 mph.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed generally west of a Hays to
Coldwater line, generally after 5 PM CDT.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
1120 AM CDT Wed Apr 23 2025

KSZ030-031-231645-
Trego KS-Ellis KS-
1120 AM CDT Wed Apr 23 2025

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHEASTERN TREGO AND
NORTHWESTERN ELLIS COUNTIES THROUGH 1145 AM CDT...

At 1120 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Ogallah, moving east at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of northeastern Trego
and northwestern Ellis Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3911 9927 3898 9976 3909 9984 3913 9975
      3913 9929
TIME...MOT...LOC 1620Z 248DEG 30KT 3907 9972

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

BENNETT

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
1148 AM CDT Wed Apr 23 2025

KSZ080-231715-
Kiowa KS-
1148 AM CDT Wed Apr 23 2025

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHEASTERN KIOWA COUNTY
THROUGH 1215 PM CDT...

At 1147 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 10
miles south of Greensburg, moving northeast at 15 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of southeastern Kiowa
County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3741 9934 3747 9938 3759 9921 3747 9913
TIME...MOT...LOC 1647Z 243DEG 13KT 3745 9934

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

BENNETT

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
437 PM CDT Wed Apr 23 2025

KSZ030-044-045-232215-
Trego KS-Lane KS-Ness KS-
437 PM CDT Wed Apr 23 2025

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHWESTERN NESS...SOUTHWESTERN
TREGO AND NORTHEASTERN LANE COUNTIES THROUGH 515 PM CDT...

At 436 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Shields, moving northeast at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Minor hail damage to vegetation is possible.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Pendennis around 450 PM CDT.
  Utica around 455 PM CDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM CDT for
west central Kansas.

&&

LAT...LON 3889 10008 3866 9990 3843 10038 3857 10052
      3870 10043 3870 10016 3884 10015
TIME...MOT...LOC 2136Z 233DEG 26KT 3855 10038

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...<30 MPH

SPRINGER

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
438 PM CDT Wed Apr 23 2025

KSZ062-063-076-232215-
Finney KS-Kearny KS-Haskell KS-
438 PM CDT Wed Apr 23 2025

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHEASTERN KEARNY...
SOUTHWESTERN FINNEY AND NORTHWESTERN HASKELL COUNTIES THROUGH 515 PM
CDT...

At 438 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 10
miles southwest of Plymell, moving northeast at 25 mph.

HAZARD...Nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Minor hail damage to vegetation is possible.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Plymell around 455 PM CDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM CDT for
southwestern Kansas.

&&

LAT...LON 3771 10109 3774 10109 3774 10112 3776 10114
      3800 10086 3780 10065 3762 10099
TIME...MOT...LOC 2138Z 231DEG 18KT 3773 10102

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...<30 MPH

SPRINGER