Severe Thunderstorm Warning 13, NWS Dodge City, KS

509 
WWUS53 KDDC 232219
SVSDDC

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
519 PM CDT Wed Apr 23 2025

KSC081-232229-
/O.CAN.KDDC.SV.W.0013.000000T0000Z-250423T2245Z/
Haskell KS-
519 PM CDT Wed Apr 23 2025

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTH CENTRAL HASKELL COUNTY
IS CANCELLED...

The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out of 
the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM CDT for
southwestern Kansas.

&&

LAT...LON 3774 10089 3787 10106 3808 10091 3792 10066
      3785 10067 3774 10087
TIME...MOT...LOC 2219Z 222DEG 12KT 3782 10095 

$$

KSC055-232245-
/O.CON.KDDC.SV.W.0013.000000T0000Z-250423T2245Z/
Finney KS-
519 PM CDT Wed Apr 23 2025

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 545 PM CDT
FOR SOUTHWESTERN FINNEY COUNTY...

At 519 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Plymell, moving
northeast at 15 mph.

HAZARD...Quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Damage to vehicles is expected.

This severe storm will be near...
  Plymell around 525 PM CDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3774 10089 3787 10106 3808 10091 3792 10066
      3785 10067 3774 10087
TIME...MOT...LOC 2219Z 222DEG 12KT 3782 10095 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...<50 MPH

$$

SPRINGER

730 
WWUS53 KDDC 232234
SVSDDC

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
534 PM CDT Wed Apr 23 2025

KSC055-232245-
/O.CON.KDDC.SV.W.0013.000000T0000Z-250423T2245Z/
Finney KS-
534 PM CDT Wed Apr 23 2025

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 545 PM CDT
FOR SOUTHWESTERN FINNEY COUNTY...

At 534 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Plymell, moving
northeast at 15 mph.

HAZARD...Two inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect damage 
         to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles.

Locations impacted include...
  Garden City.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3779 10088 3790 10104 3808 10091 3795 10071
TIME...MOT...LOC 2234Z 222DEG 12KT 3786 10091 

THUNDERSTORM DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE
HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...2.00 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...<50 MPH

$$

SPRINGER

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
404 PM CDT Wed Apr 23 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- There is a 50 to 70% chance for strong to severe thunderstorms
  this evening through early Thursday.

- Unseasonably cool temperatures are expected Friday.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 355 PM CDT Wed Apr 23 2025

**MESOSCALE DISCUSSION**

Our special 20Z RAOB showed about 1500 J/kg CAPE, but the low level
wind shear was weak (32 m2/s2 SRH). This RAOB also showed that our
LCL's are high (~1800 m). This low level shear is expected to increase
a bit in the 6 to 7 pm period, however, low level SRH is still expected
to remain on the weak (50 to maybe 100 SRH) by this evening. Forecast
CAPE is expected to peak around 2000 J/kg in the 5 to 7 pm period.
There is weak surface moisture convergence stretching from Oakley
down along the Highway 83 corridor. This is where storms are expected
to develop first along this zone in the 4 to 6 pm period. Bulk shear
from the RAOB is on the weaker side for supercells at 30 kt, but
could increase to 40 kt over the next few hours. This would be on
the lower end threshold for supercells. The main threats in order
of most likely to least would be hail size in the 1" to 2.5" range,
damaging straight line winds in the 60 to 75 mph, and perhaps an
isolated/brief tornado. Storm mode should evolve to a more messy
mode by mid evening as storm interactions increase and as upper level
ventilation flow is not expected to be all that strong. It is not
exactly clear in how the more robust severe threats will evolve as
these storms head east to the Highway 283 corridor.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 249 PM CDT Wed Apr 23 2025

WV imagery indicates a west-southwest flow aloft prevailing across
the Western High Plains. Near the surface, a stalled frontal
boundary extends from west central Kansas northeast into north
central Kansas.

Thunderstorm chances (50-70%) return early this evening, increasing
overnight as the SREF indicates another compact upper level
shortwave perturbation ejecting east-northeast out of the Southern
Rockies into the Western High Plains. In response, a stalled
boundary attendant to a surface low in eastern Colorado and
stretching northeast across west central Kansas into north central
Kansas is projected to lift slowly north through this evening.
Meanwhile, prevailing southerlies will continue to draw moisture
into south central Kansas and much of southwest Kansas with
mid/upper 50s(F) dewpoints spreading further north/northwest through
southwest Kansas with the lower 60s(F) moving up into south central
Kansas by early evening, increasing instability with MUCAPE values
upward of 1500-2000 J/kg.

Despite a fairly weak field of westerlies aloft, sufficient
instability combined with steepening mid-level lapse rates from
diurnal heating behind an exiting cloud shield in central Kansas
will set the stage for thunderstorm development as H5 vort maxima
associated with the small shortwave trough pushes through the high
plains early this evening, interacting with the aforementioned
boundary. In accordance with most CAMs, the best chance for storm
development is projected to be across extreme southwest Kansas into
west central Kansas generally after 21-22Z with storms then
spreading east-northeast into central Kansas overnight. This is also
supported by the latest HREF painting a corridor of a 70-90%
probability for 6-hr QPF exceeding 0.25 of an inch initially in far
southwest Kansas, then tracking east-northeast across the remainder
of west central and southwest Kansas by late evening.

Dependent on lingering outflow boundaries from potential activity
tonight, thunderstorm chances (50-70%) continue into Thursday as
medium range ensembles indicate little change to the overall pattern
with a west-southwesterly flow aloft prevailing across the Western
High Plains, downstream of an increasingly more negatively-tilted
upper level trough pushing ashore off the Pacific into southern
California. Surface low is projected to still be situated in eastern
Colorado with an attendant frontal boundary extending northeast
through northwest Kansas toward southern Nebraska. Another 24 hours
of prevailing southerlies will enhance moisture advection into south
central and much of southwest Kansas ahead of a sharpening dryline
extending southward of the surface low into the vicinity of the New
Mexico/Texas border, providing ample instability. Once again,
thunderstorm development is expected sometime late Thursday
afternoon into Thursday evening as another series of H5 vort maxima
eject out of the Southern Rockies, interacting with the
aforementioned dryline/adjacent frontal boundary. A less active
period is forecast Friday as weak ridging aloft builds in across the
Western High Plains in conjunction with a cold front pushing
southward through western Kansas into the Texas Panhandle/western
Oklahoma, lowering precip chances.

Above normal temperatures are forecast tonight as prevailing
southerlies further draw warmer air into western Kansas, not to
mention draw increased moisture into the area. With the latest HREF
showing a 50-70% probability of temperatures dropping below 55F in
west central and extreme southwest Kansas to a 60-80% probability of
temperatures slipping below 60F in central Kansas, look for
widespread lows in the 50s(F). Slightly cooler temperatures are
expected Thursday with potential lingering morning convection and
increased cloud cover. Expect afternoon highs generally up into the
lower/mid 70s(F) with the HREF showing a 70-90% probability of
temperatures exceeding 70F. However, highs may struggle to climb out
of the 60s(F) in areas of prolonged cloud cover/lingering rain.
Unseasonably cool temperatures are likely Friday in wake of a cold
front pushing through western Kansas Friday morning.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY/...
Issued at 1155 AM CDT Wed Apr 23 2025

Thunderstorms are expected to develop across portions of
southwest Kansas generally after 21-23Z, potentially affecting
the vicinity of all TAF sites periodically through early
Thursday morning. Otherwise, VFR conditions are expected to
prevail through late evening. Light southeasterly upslope winds
and higher relative humidity will be conducive to low level
stratus development late tonight as suggested by the HRRR,
resulting in potential MVFR cigs in vicinity of all TAF sites
developing generally after 08-10Z. As for winds, South-southeast
winds around 15 to 25kt with gusts up to 30kt are expected to
persist through mid/late evening as a stalled front boundary
extending from west central Kansas northeast up into north
central Kansas begins to lift slowly north this afternoon.
Outside of possible gustier winds from thunderstorm outflow,
winds are expected to subside somewhat tonight with loss of
daytime heating.

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

UPDATE...Sugden
DISCUSSION...JJohnson
AVIATION...JJohnson

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
343 PM CDT Wed Apr 23 2025

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-240500-
Trego-Ellis-Scott-Lane-Ness-Rush-Hamilton-Kearny-Finney-Hodgeman-
Pawnee-Stafford-Stanton-Grant-Haskell-Gray-Ford-Edwards-Kiowa-
Pratt-Morton-Stevens-Seward-Meade-Clark-Comanche-Barber-
343 PM CDT Wed Apr 23 2025 /243 PM MDT Wed Apr 23 2025/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central Kansas,
south central Kansas, southwest Kansas, and west central Kansas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

Strong to severe thunderstorms are expected to develop across
west central Kansas and extreme southwest Kansas early this
evening, then spread east-northeast toward central Kansas
overnight. The strongest storms will be capable of producing up to
2 to 3 inch hail and damaging winds in excess of 60 to 70 mph.
Isolated tornadoes are possible. Due to the expected slow moving
nature of potential storms, heavy rainfall associated with the
strongest storms may lead to localized flash flooding.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

Strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible across portions of
southwest and central Kansas Thursday. The strongest storms will
be capable of producing 1 to 2 inch hail and damaging winds in
excess of 60 mph.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed generally west of a Hays to
Coldwater line, generally after 5 PM CDT.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
437 PM CDT Wed Apr 23 2025

KSZ030-044-045-232215-
Trego KS-Lane KS-Ness KS-
437 PM CDT Wed Apr 23 2025

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHWESTERN NESS...SOUTHWESTERN
TREGO AND NORTHEASTERN LANE COUNTIES THROUGH 515 PM CDT...

At 436 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Shields, moving northeast at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Minor hail damage to vegetation is possible.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Pendennis around 450 PM CDT.
  Utica around 455 PM CDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM CDT for
west central Kansas.

&&

LAT...LON 3889 10008 3866 9990 3843 10038 3857 10052
      3870 10043 3870 10016 3884 10015
TIME...MOT...LOC 2136Z 233DEG 26KT 3855 10038

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...<30 MPH

SPRINGER

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
438 PM CDT Wed Apr 23 2025

KSZ062-063-076-232215-
Finney KS-Kearny KS-Haskell KS-
438 PM CDT Wed Apr 23 2025

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHEASTERN KEARNY...
SOUTHWESTERN FINNEY AND NORTHWESTERN HASKELL COUNTIES THROUGH 515 PM
CDT...

At 438 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 10
miles southwest of Plymell, moving northeast at 25 mph.

HAZARD...Nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Minor hail damage to vegetation is possible.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Plymell around 455 PM CDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM CDT for
southwestern Kansas.

&&

LAT...LON 3771 10109 3774 10109 3774 10112 3776 10114
      3800 10086 3780 10065 3762 10099
TIME...MOT...LOC 2138Z 231DEG 18KT 3773 10102

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...<30 MPH

SPRINGER

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
454 PM CDT Wed Apr 23 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0452 PM     Hail             Scott City              38.48N 100.91W
04/23/2025  M1.00 Inch       Scott              KS   Emergency Mngr

            Picture of quarter-sized hail sent to us via
            Slack from county emergency manager.

&&

Bennett

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
457 PM CDT Wed Apr 23 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0456 PM     Hail             2 S Scott City          38.45N 100.91W
04/23/2025  M1.25 Inch       Scott              KS   NWS Employee

            Off-duty NWS employee reported half-dollar
            sized hail 2 miles south of Scott City.

&&

Bennett

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
502 PM CDT Wed Apr 23 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0500 PM     Hail             Scott City              38.48N 100.91W
04/23/2025  M2.00 Inch       Scott              KS   NWS Employee

            Just over 2 inches.

&&

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
503 PM CDT Wed Apr 23 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0452 PM     Hail             2 SW Shields            38.59N 100.47W
04/23/2025  E1.25 Inch       Lane               KS   Public

&&