Severe Thunderstorm Warning 50, NWS Cleveland, OH

453 
WWUS51 KCLE 012127
SVSCLE

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
527 PM EDT Thu May 1 2025

OHC151-012135-
/O.EXP.KCLE.SV.W.0050.000000T0000Z-250501T2130Z/
Stark OH-
527 PM EDT Thu May 1 2025

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR STARK COUNTY WILL EXPIRE AT
530 PM EDT...

The storm which prompted the warning has moved out western portions 
of Stark County. Therefore, the warning will be allowed to expire.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 700 PM EDT for
northeastern Ohio.

Remember, a Severe Thunderstorm Warning still remains in effect for
eastern portions of Stark County until 615 PM EDT. 

LAT...LON 4065 8155 4072 8163 4099 8134 4099 8109
      4073 8109 4072 8124 4065 8124 4066 8144
      4065 8147
TIME...MOT...LOC 2125Z 227DEG 43KT 4092 8119 

$$

13

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
334 PM EDT Thu May 1 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
With low pressure in the area tonight, a cold front will move
through the region Friday, with yet another area of low pressure
moving in from the southwest for the weekend, lingering into
early next week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
Ongoing convective activity along a prefrontal trough across the CWA
this afternoon, moving eastward through northern OH and eventually
northwestern PA. A warm front has lifted through the region this
morning and early afternoon, bringing dewpoints into the 60F range
and temperatures in the upper 70s to around 80F. Destabilization
occurring downstream of the line of storms and do expect
strengthening further east.

On the synoptic scale, this activity is ahead of a cold front still
back in Illinois. Surface low near ORD will track northeastward,
remaining west of our CWA, and this will keep the cold front from
coming through tonight. Expecting most of the convection to subside,
but some low end POPs will still be carried into the tonight period.
Flow aloft remains southwesterly, and the upper trough over the
upper midwest will sink southward and gradually become cutoff
through the remainder of the near term period. Without much eastward
progression also due to a newly developed surface low further west,
the surface system will be slow to exit, and as such, will have
another chance for convection Friday. Despite the slow moving nature
of the cold front into and through the CWA for Friday, it will
eventually make its way through, and the convective risk will become
more focused on the southeastern zones of the CWA where the latest
SPC out look gives a marginal risk for severe thunderstorms. After
this threat, the upper level low cutting off over the mid
Mississippi Valley will generate yet another surface low, and renew
the POPs Friday night from south to north. These will have a lower
thunderstorm threat with them, but the active pattern will persist
into the short term.

Temperatures cooler Friday but still slightly above normal.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
Upper level low settling over the northern Ohio Valley will be the
primary weather driver through the short term period. The low will
bring in a steady stream of moisture from the south into the region
allowing for a cool and rainy weekend. Given the placement of low
and moisture plume, areas along and east of the I-71 corridor have
the highest potential to see upwards of 1 inch of rainfall this
weekend. A few hundred Joules of MUCAPE may enter from the southeast
so maintained the slight chance for thunderstorms on Sunday
afternoon and early evening. High temperatures will likely top out
in the upper 50s to near 60 degrees both Saturday and Sunday
afternoon. Overnight lows will dip into the mid 40s each night.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
The upper low will begin to move eastward through Tuesday night
with showers continuing early next week. Models begin to
diverge by Tuesday night with the progression of the upper low
with the Canadian and the ECMWF pushing the low quickly to the
northeast and the GFS keeping the upper low in the vicinity of
the Mid-Atlantic coast through mid-week. Temperatures will
gradually warm through the long term with highs approaching the
70s on Wednesday.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z Thursday THROUGH Tuesday/...
A line of thunderstorms is moving through northern Ohio and will
push into western Pennsylvania later this afternoon/evening.

Out ahead of these storms, winds are gusting out of the SSW to
30kts. Thunderstorm activity would likely see higher gusts. The
window for the thunderstorm activity to move through with the
primary line is 18-22Z. Some lingering convective activity in
its wake, and also forming out ahead of the line, should be
expected, but would be more isolated.

Ceilings ahead of the line of storms is generally FL050-080.
MVFR expected with the storms and CB included. Brief visibility
IFR with storms in the 15-20 minute window is also expected
with storm onset.

In the wake of a trailing cold front, winds will ease out of the
southwest to 10-15kts tonight into Friday, and ceilings will
come down to predominant MVFR FL010-020, but isolated IFR FL008
is also possible for a few hours.

Outlook...Non-VFR possible in periodic showers and
thunderstorms Friday through Monday, particularly in the
afternoon and evening hours.

&&

.MARINE...
Southerly winds 10-15 knots turn southwesterly by Friday morning as
a weak cold front moves south across the lake. Another cold front
will cross on Friday evening which will turn winds northerly while
decreasing to 10 knots or less. Generally northerly to northeasterly
winds hovering between 10 and 15 knots through Sunday. By early
Monday winds will favor a northeasterly direction as low pressure
lingers to the southwest. For now winds and waves look to remain
below small craft criteria through early next week.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...None.
PA...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...26
NEAR TERM...26
SHORT TERM...13
LONG TERM...13
AVIATION...26
MARINE...13/Saunders

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
350 PM EDT Thu May 1 2025

OHZ010>014-020>023-030>033-038-047-089-PAZ001>003-022000-
Lorain-Cuyahoga-Lake-Geauga-Ashtabula Inland-Medina-Summit-Portage-
Trumbull-Ashland-Wayne-Stark-Mahoning-Holmes-Knox-
Ashtabula Lakeshore-Northern Erie-Southern Erie-Crawford-
350 PM EDT Thu May 1 2025

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 203 IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north central Ohio, northeast
Ohio and northwest Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Severe Thunderstorm Watch.

Thunderstorms are likely this afternoon and evening. A few storms
could be severe and contain damaging wind gusts, particularly along
and east of the I-71 corridor. An embedded tornado or two and
isolated instances of large hail also cannot be ruled out.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Showers and thunderstorms are possible Friday afternoon and evening
ahead of a cold front. There is a low probability that a storm or
two could be strong to severe with damaging wind gusts being the
primary threat, particularly along and east of the I-71 corridor.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed. Please relay any information about
observed severe weather to the NWS.

LEZ061-142>144-162>169-OHZ003-006>009-017>019-027>029-036-037-022000-
Ripley to Buffalo NY extending from 5NM off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-Maumee Bay to Reno Beach OH-
Reno Beach to The Islands OH-The Islands to Vermilion OH-
Detroit River Lt. to Maumee Bay OH to Reno Beach OH beyond 5NM
offshoreline to US-Canadian border-
Reno Beach to The Islands OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
The Islands to Vermilion OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
Vermilion to Avon Point OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
Avon Point to Willowick OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-Willowick to Geneva-on-the-
Lake OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-Canadian border-Geneva-on-the-
Lake to Conneaut OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-Canadian border-
Conneaut OH to Ripley NY beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-Lucas-Wood-Ottawa-Sandusky-Erie-Hancock-Seneca-Huron-
Wyandot-Crawford-Richland-Marion-Morrow-
350 PM EDT Thu May 1 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Lake Erie, north central Ohio
and northwest Ohio.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Thunderstorms are likely this afternoon and evening but the severe
threat has diminished.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Showers and thunderstorms are possible Friday afternoon and evening
ahead of a cold front. There is a low probability that a storm or
two could be strong to severe with damaging wind gusts being the
primary threat, particularly along and east of the I-71 corridor.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

LEZ145>149-022000-
Vermilion to Avon Point OH-Avon Point to Willowick OH-
Willowick to Geneva-on-the Lake OH-Geneva-on-the-Lake to Conneaut OH-
Conneaut OH to Ripley NY-
350 PM EDT Thu May 1 2025

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 203 IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Lake Erie.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Severe Thunderstorm Watch.

Thunderstorms are likely this afternoon and evening. A few storms
could be severe and contain damaging wind gusts, particularly across
the central and eastern basins of the lake. An embedded tornado or
two and isolated instances of large hail also cannot be ruled out.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Showers and thunderstorms are possible Friday afternoon and evening
ahead of a cold front. There is a low probability that a storm or
two could be strong to severe.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
357 PM EDT Thu May 1 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0232 PM     Marine Tstm Wind 3 N Sandusky            41.49N 82.70W
05/01/2025  M58 MPH          LEZ144             OH   Mesonet

            Mesonet station XSDB 2 NNE Sandusky.

0302 PM     Marine Tstm Wind 3 WNW Vermilion         41.43N 82.36W
05/01/2025  M54 MPH          LEZ145             OH   Mesonet

            Mesonet station XVRM Vermilion.

0310 PM     Marine Tstm Wind 3 WNW Vermilion         41.43N 82.36W
05/01/2025  M51 MPH          LEZ145             OH   Mesonet

            Mesonet station VRMO1 2 WNW Vermilion.

&&

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
403 PM EDT Thu May 1 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0342 PM     Tstm Wnd Gst     2 NW Brook Park         41.42N 81.85W
05/01/2025  M49 MPH          Cuyahoga           OH   ASOS

            ASOS station KCLE Cleveland.

&&

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
408 PM EDT Thu May 1 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0336 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     1 SSE Mentor            41.67N 81.32W
05/01/2025                   Lake               OH   Public

            Public report of trees snapped.

&&

ARK

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
419 PM EDT Thu May 1 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0355 PM     Tstm Wnd Gst     Burke Lakefront Airport 41.52N 81.68W
05/01/2025  M52 MPH          Cuyahoga           OH   ASOS

            ASOS station KBKL Cleveland.

&&

Sefcovic

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
452 PM EDT Thu May 1 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0343 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     2 ESE Fairview Park     41.44N 81.82W
05/01/2025                   Cuyahoga           OH   Fire Dept/Rescue

            Large tree down on house.

&&

ARK

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
455 PM EDT Thu May 1 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0220 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     Castalia                41.40N 82.81W
05/01/2025                   Erie               OH   911 Call Center

            Tree and wires down.

&&

JS