Alert archive / Arkansas / Tornado Watches in 2024

Tornado Watch 45

March 14, 202442 counties in Arkansas; 7 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Mar 14, 2024, 4:50 PM CDT for 42 counties in Arkansas; 7 counties in Texas. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Mar 14, 2024, 4:50 PM CDT (21:50 UTC)
Expired: Mar 15, 2024, 12:00 AM CDT
In force: 7 hr
Issued by: the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected: 2.5 in
Strongest gust expected: 55 kt

All 49 counties

Calhoun County, AR, Clark County, AR, Cleburne County, AR, Columbia County, AR, Conway County, AR, Dallas County, AR, Faulkner County, AR, Garland County, AR, Grant County, AR, Hempstead County, AR, Hot Spring County, AR, Howard County, AR, Independence County, AR, Izard County, AR, Jackson County, AR, Lafayette County, AR, Lawrence County, AR, Little River County, AR, Logan County, AR, Lonoke County, AR, Miller County, AR, Monroe County, AR, Montgomery County, AR, Nevada County, AR, Ouachita County, AR, Perry County, AR, Pike County, AR, Polk County, AR, Pope County, AR, Prairie County, AR, Pulaski County, AR, Randolph County, AR, Saline County, AR, Scott County, AR, Sevier County, AR, Sharp County, AR, Stone County, AR, Union County, AR, Van Buren County, AR, White County, AR, Woodruff County, AR, Yell County, AR, Bowie County, TX, Camp County, TX, Cass County, TX, Franklin County, TX, Morris County, TX, Red River County, TX, Titus County, TX

The radar

The Little Rock radar (KLZK), 46 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:52 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes: 50%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes: 20%
Ten or more severe wind reports: 60%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more: 20%
Ten or more severe hail reports: 70%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more: 60%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports: 95%

Warnings issued inside it

38 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Mar 14, 4:54 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Polk, Scott	36 min
Mar 14, 5:27 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Montgomery, Polk, Scott, Yell	48 min
Mar 14, 5:33 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Baxter, Fulton, Izard, Sharp	57 min
Mar 14, 5:52 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Polk	53 min
Mar 14, 6:13 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threat	LZK	Perry, Scott, Yell	62 min
Mar 14, 6:18 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Garland, Montgomery	57 min
Mar 14, 6:23 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Fulton, Lawrence, Randolph, Sharp	52 min
Mar 14, 6:26 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Johnson, Newton, Pope	20 min
Mar 14, 6:31 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Pope, Searcy, Stone, Van Buren	48 min
Mar 14, 6:43 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threat	LZK	Montgomery, Polk, Scott	62 min
Mar 14, 6:52 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	LZK	Garland, Montgomery	26 min
Mar 14, 6:54 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Johnson, Logan, Newton, Pope	37 min
Mar 14, 7:12 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Garland, Perry, Saline	48 min
Mar 14, 7:12 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Perry, Saline, Yell	19 min
Mar 14, 7:37 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	LZK	Montgomery	26 min
Mar 14, 7:40 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Clark, Dallas, Grant, Hot Spring	65 min
Mar 14, 7:43 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	LZK	Perry, Yell	3 hr
Mar 14, 7:46 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Conway, Perry, Yell	44 min
Mar 14, 7:55 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threat	LZK	Faulkner, Garland, Perry, Pulaski, Saline	65 min
Mar 14, 7:58 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	LZK	Garland, Saline	32 min
Mar 14, 8:27 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	LZK	Saline	33 min
Mar 14, 8:29 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Garland, Montgomery, Perry, Yell	46 min
Mar 14, 8:31 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Conway, Faulkner, Perry	11 min
Mar 14, 8:53 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	LZK	Pulaski, Saline	52 min
Mar 14, 8:58 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Faulkner, Lonoke, Pulaski, White	47 min
Mar 14, 9:10 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	LZK	Johnson, Logan	2 hr
Mar 14, 9:22 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Garland, Perry, Saline, Yell	31 min
Mar 14, 9:33 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Faulkner, Lonoke, Pulaski, White	42 min
Mar 14, 9:49 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	LZK	Montgomery, Yell	21 min
Mar 14, 10:01 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SHV	Little River	44 min
Mar 14, 10:09 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Garland, Montgomery, Perry, Scott, Yell	26 min
Mar 14, 10:15 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	LZK	Faulkner, Garland, Montgomery, Perry, Polk, Pulaski and 2 more	4 hr
Mar 14, 10:19 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Lonoke, Pulaski, White	41 min
Mar 14, 10:36 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	LZK	Perry, Polk, Scott, Yell	4 hr
Mar 14, 10:46 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SHV	Sevier	44 min
Mar 14, 10:56 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	LZK	Lonoke, Prairie, Pulaski, White, Woodruff	3 hr
Mar 14, 11:30 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Monroe, Prairie, Woodruff	45 min
Mar 14, 11:51 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	LZK	Garland, Hot Spring, Lonoke, Montgomery, Pulaski, Saline	3 hr

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 9.8 hours before the alert went out and 235 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 1236 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -147 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 799 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 65 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 544 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 547 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 25.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Mar 14, 10:00 AM CDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Baxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Crawford, Franklin and 13 more	90 min
Mar 14, 12:58 PM CDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Baxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Crawford, Franklin and 5 more	92 min
Mar 14, 1:33 PM CDT	Tornado Watch	SPC	Baxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Crawford, Franklin and 8 more	7 hr
Mar 14, 3:50 PM CDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Baxter, Boone, Carroll, Clark, Cleburne, Conway and 29 more	85 min
Mar 14, 5:08 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	Crawford, Franklin, Sebastian	7 hr
Mar 14, 5:27 PM CDT	Tornado Watch	SPC	Clay, Craighead, Greene, Mississippi, Poinsett	7 hr
Mar 14, 5:31 PM CDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Baxter, Clark, Clay, Cleburne, Conway, Craighead and 39 more	119 min
Mar 14, 6:28 PM CDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Little River, Polk, Sevier	2 hr
Mar 14, 10:46 AM CDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Clay, Cooke, Denton, Grayson, Jack, Montague and 2 more	119 min
Mar 14, 11:09 AM CDT	Tornado Watch	SPC	Clay, Cooke, Grayson, Jack, Montague, Wise and 1 more	7 hr
Mar 14, 1:50 PM CDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Cooke, Grayson, Montague	85 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2024 Tornado Watches in Texas, 2024 Every tornado watch in 2024

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.