Alert archive / Mississippi / Tornado Watches in 2024

Tornado Watch 10

January 12, 20245 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jan 12, 2024, 3:57 AM CST for 5 states. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jan 12, 2024, 3:57 AM CST (09:57 UTC)
Expired: Jan 12, 2024, 11:00 AM CST
In force: 7 hr
Issued by: the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected: 1.5 in
Strongest gust expected: 70 kt

All 131 counties

Arkansas County, AR, Ashley County, AR, Bradley County, AR, Calhoun County, AR, Chicot County, AR, Clark County, AR, Cleveland County, AR, Columbia County, AR, Crittenden County, AR, Cross County, AR, Dallas County, AR, Desha County, AR, Drew County, AR, Faulkner County, AR, Grant County, AR, Hot Spring County, AR, Jefferson County, AR, Lafayette County, AR, Lee County, AR, Lincoln County, AR, Lonoke County, AR, Monroe County, AR, Nevada County, AR, Ouachita County, AR, Phillips County, AR, Prairie County, AR, Pulaski County, AR, Saline County, AR, St. Francis County, AR, Union County, AR, White County, AR, Woodruff County, AR, Bienville Parish, LA, Bossier Parish, LA, Caddo Parish, LA, Caldwell Parish, LA, Claiborne Parish, LA, De Soto Parish, LA, East Carroll Parish, LA, Franklin Parish, LA, Jackson Parish, LA, Lincoln Parish, LA, Madison Parish, LA, Morehouse Parish, LA, Natchitoches Parish, LA, Ouachita Parish, LA, Red River Parish, LA, Richland Parish, LA, Tensas Parish, LA, Union Parish, LA, Webster Parish, LA, West Carroll Parish, LA, Winn Parish, LA, Alcorn County, MS, Attala County, MS, Benton County, MS, Bolivar County, MS, Calhoun County, MS, Carroll County, MS, Chickasaw County, MS, Choctaw County, MS, Claiborne County, MS, Clarke County, MS, Clay County, MS, Coahoma County, MS, Copiah County, MS, Covington County, MS, DeSoto County, MS, Forrest County, MS, Franklin County, MS, Grenada County, MS, Hinds County, MS, Holmes County, MS, Humphreys County, MS, Issaquena County, MS, Itawamba County, MS, Jasper County, MS, Jefferson County, MS, Jefferson Davis County, MS, Jones County, MS, Kemper County, MS, Lafayette County, MS, Lamar County, MS, Lauderdale County, MS, Lawrence County, MS, Leake County, MS, Lee County, MS, Leflore County, MS, Lincoln County, MS, Lowndes County, MS, Madison County, MS, Marion County, MS, Marshall County, MS, Monroe County, MS, Montgomery County, MS, Neshoba County, MS, Newton County, MS, Noxubee County, MS, Oktibbeha County, MS, Panola County, MS, Pontotoc County, MS, Prentiss County, MS, Quitman County, MS, Rankin County, MS, Scott County, MS, Sharkey County, MS, Simpson County, MS, Smith County, MS, Sunflower County, MS, Tallahatchie County, MS, Tate County, MS, Tippah County, MS, Tishomingo County, MS, Tunica County, MS, Union County, MS, Warren County, MS, Washington County, MS, Webster County, MS, Winston County, MS, Yalobusha County, MS, Yazoo County, MS, Fayette County, TN, Hardeman County, TN, McNairy County, TN, Shelby County, TN, Gregg County, TX, Harrison County, TX, Marion County, TX, Panola County, TX, Rusk County, TX, Shelby County, TX

The radar

The Little Rock radar (KLZK), 111 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:57 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes: 50%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes: 20%
Ten or more severe wind reports: 60%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more: 60%
Ten or more severe hail reports: 20%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more: 10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports: 80%

Warnings issued inside it

35 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jan 12, 4:11 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Lonoke, Prairie, Pulaski, White	34 min
Jan 12, 4:21 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SHV	Columbia	18 min
Jan 12, 4:22 AM CST	Tornado Warning	LZK	Lonoke	23 min
Jan 12, 5:31 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Chicot	59 min
Jan 12, 5:32 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threat	LZK	Arkansas, Cleveland, Desha, Jefferson, Lincoln, Lonoke and 2 more	43 min
Jan 12, 5:32 AM CST	Tornado Warning	LZK	Prairie	13 min
Jan 12, 5:35 AM CST	Tornado Warning	LZK	Arkansas, Jefferson, Lonoke, Monroe, Prairie	40 min
Jan 12, 5:42 AM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Ashley, Chicot	48 min
Jan 12, 6:03 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Ashley	42 min
Jan 12, 6:04 AM CST	Tornado Warning	LZK	Arkansas, Monroe	13 min
Jan 12, 6:06 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threat	LZK	Arkansas, Desha, Drew, Jefferson, Lincoln, Monroe	21 min
Jan 12, 6:11 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MEG	Lee, Phillips, St. Francis	49 min
Jan 12, 6:18 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MEG	Phillips	42 min
Jan 12, 6:18 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	East Carroll, Franklin, Madison, Richland, West Carroll	42 min
Jan 12, 6:27 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Chicot	63 min
Jan 12, 6:40 AM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Bolivar, Leflore, Sunflower	35 min
Jan 12, 6:45 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threat	MEG	Crittenden, Cross, Lee, Mississippi, St. Francis	45 min
Jan 12, 6:50 AM CST	Tornado Warning	MEG	Crittenden, Mississippi	23 min
Jan 12, 6:50 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Grenada, Leflore	40 min
Jan 12, 6:56 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MEG	Crittenden, Lee, St. Francis	49 min
Jan 12, 6:56 AM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	East Carroll	50 min
Jan 12, 7:02 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threat	MEG	Panola, Quitman, Tallahatchie, Yalobusha	43 min
Jan 12, 7:16 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	East Carroll, Franklin, Madison, Richland, West Carroll	59 min
Jan 12, 7:25 AM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Carroll, Holmes	50 min
Jan 12, 7:37 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Carroll, Grenada, Leflore, Montgomery	68 min
Jan 12, 7:51 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Attala, Carroll, Holmes, Madison, Yazoo	54 min
Jan 12, 8:07 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Choctaw, Montgomery, Webster	53 min
Jan 12, 8:23 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Madison	52 min
Jan 12, 8:26 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Attala, Leake, Madison, Rankin, Scott, Simpson and 1 more	64 min
Jan 12, 8:31 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Copiah, Lawrence, Lincoln, Simpson	44 min
Jan 12, 8:47 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Choctaw, Clay, Oktibbeha, Winston	46 min
Jan 12, 8:59 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Kemper, Neshoba, Newton, Noxubee, Scott, Winston	61 min
Jan 12, 9:23 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threat	JAN	Clay, Lowndes	52 min
Jan 12, 9:28 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Clarke, Jasper, Lauderdale, Newton	62 min
Jan 12, 9:30 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Kemper, Noxubee	60 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Little Rock, AR (KLZK), launched 00:00Z, 10.0 hours before the alert went out and 218 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 20 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -68 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 725 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 83 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 428 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 528 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jan 11, 8:28 PM CST	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Calhoun, Clark, Cleburne, Cleveland, Columbia, Conway and 38 more	2 hr
Jan 11, 9:56 PM CST	Tornado Watch	SPC	Bradley, Calhoun, Clark, Cleburne, Cleveland, Columbia and 34 more	6 hr
Jan 11, 11:44 PM CST	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Calhoun, Clark, Columbia, Conway, Dallas, Faulkner and 19 more	2 hr
Jan 12, 1:13 AM CST	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Clay, Craighead, Crittenden, Cross, Greene, Lee and 3 more	2 hr
Jan 12, 2:41 AM CST	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Bradley, Calhoun, Clark, Cleveland, Columbia, Dallas and 21 more	94 min
Jan 12, 3:33 AM CST	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Ashley, Chicot, Desha, Lee, Phillips	87 min
Jan 12, 6:14 AM CST	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Arkansas, Ashley, Chicot, Crittenden, Cross, Desha and 5 more	91 min
Jan 12, 7:55 AM CST	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	East Carroll, Franklin, Madison, Tensas	95 min
Jan 12, 10:11 AM CST	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Clarke, Covington, Forrest, George, Greene, Jasper and 7 more	4 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Mississippi, 2024 Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2024 Tornado Watches in Louisiana, 2024 Every tornado watch in 2024

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.