Flash Flood Warning 52, NWS Springfield, MO

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
338 AM CDT Sun Jun 9 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Showers and storms will continue to move across the area this
  morning, with a few lingering storms into this afternoon
  across southern Missouri. Heavy rainfall and flooding will
  continue to occur with this activity across portions of the
  area today. A few strong to severe storms will also remain
  possible early this morning.

- A cooler than average early this week with highs today through
  Tuesday in the middle 70s.

-Warmer Temperatures return later in the week into next weekend.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
Issued at 335 AM CDT Sun Jun 9 2024

Showers and storms continue to develop from central Kansas
through the Missouri Ozarks this morning ahead of an upper
trough. Heavy rainfall will continue to occur with the storms
and where training of storms occur a flooding risk will continue
to occur this morning. The heaviest rainfall amounts from
Saturday evening have occurred in bands with 3 to locally 6
inches of rainfall already falling across portions of the area.
Flooding is ongoing in these locations where the heavy rainfall
has occurred. Outside these heavier bands rainfall amounts drop
off sharply. The last main round of rain is currently pushing
east across central Kansas early this morning as this activity
will continue to move east into the area this morning.
Additional heavy rainfall will occur with this activity as
precipitable water values are around two inches. Where this
additional rainfall occurs in areas that already received heavy
rainfall, the flood threat will increase. This next round of
rain is setting up to occur from Fort Scott Kansas to
Springfield to West Plains Missouri this morning. The majority
of the rain will end later this morning. A cold front will push
south through the area this morning into the afternoon. A few
scattered showers and storms will remain possible into this
afternoon across far southern Missouri as the front moves south.

The overall severe risk is decreasing across the area early
this morning as the instability is weakening though a few strong
to severe storms will still be possible through this morning
with damaging wind gusts up to 60mph and hail up to the quarters
this morning, but this will continue to be more isolated in
nature.

Highs will only warm into the lower to middle 70s this
afternoon as cooler temperatures move into the area and clouds
remain in place much of the day.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Issued at 335 AM CDT Sun Jun 9 2024

An upper level trough will move south through the region early
this week. Below normal temperatures are expected through
Tuesday as highs in the 70s occur both days.

An upper level ridge will build east across the plains towards
the region during the second half of the week into next weekend.
A warmer air mass will also advect into the region with highs in
the middle 80s to around 90 returning to the area during this
time. The rainfall chances are overall on the lower side this
week. An upper level disturbance will move east across the
plains but at this time the ensemble model members show the
better rainfall chances remaining west and south of the area.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z MONDAY/...
Issued at 1218 PM CDT Sun Jun 9 2024

Scattered storms will continue to develop and move across the
area overnight. Additional storms also moving east across
central Kansas and will move into and across the area later
tonight into Sunday morning. Gusty winds and heavy rainfall will
occur with the storms with MVFR to IFR conditions occurring with
the storms. The storms will move out of the area Sunday morning.
A few showers and storms may remain possible across far southern
Missouri into Sunday afternoon.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...Flood Watch until 1 PM CDT this afternoon for KSZ073-097-101.
MO...Flood Watch until 1 PM CDT this afternoon for MOZ055>058-
     066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106.

&&

SHORT TERM...Wise
LONG TERM...Wise
AVIATION...Wise

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
146 AM CDT Sun Jun 9 2024

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-100700-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
146 AM CDT Sun Jun 9 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Slight hail risk.
  Slight thunderstorm wind damage risk.
  Significant lightning risk.
  Significant excessive rainfall risk

DISCUSSION...

Showers and storms continue to develop from central Kansas into
south central Missouri early this morning. This activity will
continue to move east across portions of southeastern Kansas and
the Missouri Ozarks with heavy rainfall and the potential for
flash flooding continuing with this activity this morning.
Isolated showers and storms will remain possible across portions
of far southern Missouri into this afternoon. A Flood Watch
remains in affect until 1 PM for the entire area today.

Additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches with localized
additional amounts up to 5 inches are expected across portions of
the Missouri Ozarks and southeastern Kansas the rest of this
morning. There will also be the potential for a few strong to
severe storms this morning with damaging winds up to 60 mph and
hail up the the size of quarters the risk with the strongest
storms.

Residual flooding will also likely continue into tonight where
the heavy rainfall occurs from Saturday evening through this
morning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed early this morning.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/dsspacket

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

Wise

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1043 PM CDT Sat Jun 8 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1001 PM     Flash Flood      5 NE Ebenezer           37.39N 93.25W
06/08/2024                   Greene             MO   Dept of Highways

            Highway CC at the North Dry Sac River was
            flooded and impassable due to heavy rain
            fall.

&&

FEW

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1114 PM CDT Sat Jun 8 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1105 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     4 NE Pottersville       36.75N 91.98W
06/08/2024                   Howell             MO   Emergency Mngr

            A large tree was reported down on Highway
            CC.

&&

FEW

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Springfield MO
228 AM CDT Sun Jun 9 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0154 AM     Hail             2 WSW Iconium           38.10N 93.58W
06/09/2024  E1.00 Inch       St. Clair          MO   Public

            mPing of quarter-sized hail near Iconium.
            Location matched up with radar signatures.
            Time estimated via radar.

&&

BIP

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Springfield MO
311 AM CDT Sun Jun 9 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0302 AM     Flash Flood      4 SSE Fordland          37.10N 92.92W
06/09/2024                   Webster            MO   Dept of Highways

            State Highway Z is closed due to flooding of
            Finley Creek.

&&

BIP

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Springfield MO
312 AM CDT Sun Jun 9 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0244 AM     Flash Flood      4 WNW Ava               36.97N 92.73W
06/09/2024                   Douglas            MO   Dept of Highways

            State Highway Y west of Ava is closed due to
            flooding of Cowskin Creek.

&&

BIP

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Springfield MO
313 AM CDT Sun Jun 9 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0246 AM     Flash Flood      2 E Ava                 36.96N 92.62W
06/09/2024                   Douglas            MO   Dept of Highways

            State Highway FF east of Ava is closed due
            to flooding of Hunter Creek.

&&

BIP