Flash Flood Warning 49, NWS Springfield, MO

905 
WGUS73 KSGF 090908
FFSSGF

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
408 AM CDT Sun Jun 9 2024

MOC011-039-057-085-167-185-217-091445-
/O.CON.KSGF.FF.W.0049.000000T0000Z-240609T1445Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Barton MO-Cedar MO-Dade MO-Hickory MO-Polk MO-St. Clair MO-Vernon
MO-
408 AM CDT Sun Jun 9 2024

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 945 AM CDT THIS 
MORNING FOR WESTERN HICKORY, BARTON, CEDAR, NORTHERN DADE, POLK, ST. 
CLAIR AND VERNON COUNTIES...

At 408 AM CDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing heavy 
rain across the warned area. Between 0.5 and 3 inches of rain have 
fallen. The expected rainfall rate is 1 to 3 inches in 1 hour. Flash 
flooding is ongoing or expected to begin shortly.

HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.

SOURCE...Radar.

IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban areas,
         highways, streets and underpasses as well as other poor
         drainage and low-lying areas.

Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Bolivar, Nevada, Lamar, El Dorado Springs, Stockton, Appleton 
  City, Humansville, Osceola, Lockwood, Golden City, Liberal, Lowry 
  City, Sheldon, Mulberry, Fair Play, Weaubleau, Wheatland, 
  Mindenmines, Walker, Schell City, Pittsburg, Polk, Nashville, 
  Montevallo, Bronaugh, Jerico Springs, Lamar Heights, Halfway, 
  Collins, Flemington, Roscoe, Moundville, Richards, Milo, 
  Deerfield, Irwin, Burgess, Vista, Metz and Umber View Heights.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Many flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

In hilly terrain there are hundreds of low water crossings which are 
potentially dangerous in heavy rain. Do not attempt to cross flooded 
roads. Find an alternate route.

&&

LAT...LON 3805 9423 3803 9424 3803 9423 3805 9420
      3804 9420 3806 9413 3803 9406 3821 9405
      3821 9351 3820 9350 3807 9350 3782 9319
      3755 9318 3758 9393 3739 9393 3737 9395
      3735 9408 3736 9462 3806 9461

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED
EXPECTED RAINFALL RATE...1-3 INCHES IN 1 HOUR

$$

Titus

951 
WGUS73 KSGF 091344 RRA
FFSSGF

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
844 AM CDT Sun Jun 9 2024

MOC015-029-085-141-091354-
/O.CAN.KSGF.FF.W.0049.000000T0000Z-240609T1445Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Benton MO-Camden MO-Hickory MO-Morgan MO-
844 AM CDT Sun Jun 9 2024

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR BENTON, WESTERN CAMDEN, EASTERN HICKORY 
AND SOUTHWESTERN MORGAN COUNTIES HAS BEEN REPLACED WITH A FLOOD 
WARNING...

&&

LAT...LON 3820 9350 3821 9352 3835 9352 3834 9290
      3790 9290 3790 9318 3782 9319 3807 9350

$$

JD

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1218 AM CDT Sun Jun 9 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Strong to severe storms will remain possible this evening and
  tonight. Good chance for heavy rain and flooding to occur
  tonight with many locations expected to receive 1 to 3 inches
  of rain. Pockets of repeated heavy rain may lead to some
  amounts of 5 to 7 inches of rain and flash flooding.

- A cooler than average start to next week with highs Monday and
  Tuesday in the middle 70s.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/...
Issued at 204 PM CDT Sat Jun 8 2024

Synoptic overview and current conditions: Water vapor imagery
and upper level analysis show a fairly zonal pattern across the
CONUS with the main jet energy along the northern tier states.
Some low level jet energy was from the southwest to northeast
across southern Missouri. Precipitable water values from the 12z
SGF sounding were 1.85" which eclipses the daily max
climatologically. MCS remnant clouds cleared out this morning
and we've been seeing some cumulus develop as the air becomes
unstable across the area this afternoon. Temperatures in the low
to mid 80s and dew points in the upper 60s to mid 70s were
yielding surface based CAPE values in the 1000-3500 j/kg range.

Rest of the afternoon and tonight: A surface boundary was
shifting into the area from the southwest and is expected to
become fairly stationary over the area tonight. PW values are
expected to remain very high over the area in the 1.8 to 2.2"
range. A few scattered storms may develop during the afternoon
and may be strong to severe with hail to the size of ping pongs
and wind gusts up to 60 mph. More numerous storms are then
expected this evening into the overnight with the same severe
weather risk along with widespread heavy rain. The best chances
for the heaviest rain will be along and north of the frontal
boundary roughly in a wide corridor from Nevada to Springfield
to Eminence. Repeated thunderstorms with heavy rain within this
corridor are expected tonight with widespread 1 to 3 inches of
rain. Some localized areas of 5 to 7 inches of rain can not be
ruled out which will likely lead to flash flooding. A flood
watch is in effect for the entire area through Sunday afternoon.

Sunday: Thunderstorms with heavy rain will be ongoing Sunday
morning along with likely flash flooding where the storms
trained across the same locations. The overall trend will be to
shift south into southern Missouri and eventually out of the
area with less coverage during the afternoon hours and mainly
over the south. The cloud cover and rain will keep temperatures
cooler on Sunday with highs generally in the 70s.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Issued at 204 PM CDT Sat Jun 8 2024

Early next week: We'll be on the western edge of the upper level
trough with northerly flow that will bring a strong area of
surface high pressure into the area. This will force the higher
dew points and temperatures to the south and should keep the
rain chances out of the area, while bringing a cooler and drier
air mass to the region for the beginning of next week. Highs
will generally be in the 70s on Monday and Monday night with
lows in the 50s.

Tuesday: The high pressure system will begin to shift to the
east and we will start to see some return moisture beginning to
creep back into the western CWA. An upper shortwave will dive
southeast and potentially clip our southwest CWA, so we have
some low pops (15-25%).

Wed - Fri: Moisture will continue to increase over the area
along with afternoon/evening instability so low pops will be in
the forecast on a daily basis. The main upper level support will
be well to the north of the area during this period, so
widespread severe storms are not expected at this time.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z MONDAY/...
Issued at 1218 PM CDT Sun Jun 9 2024

Scattered storms will continue to develop and move across the
area overnight. Additional storms also moving east across
central Kansas and will move into and across the area later
tonight into Sunday morning. Gusty winds and heavy rainfall will
occur with the storms with MVFR to IFR conditions occurring with
the storms. The storms will move out of the area Sunday morning.
A few showers and storms may remain possible across far southern
Missouri into Sunday afternoon.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...Flood Watch through Sunday afternoon for KSZ073-097-101.
MO...Flood Watch through Sunday afternoon for MOZ055>058-066>071-
     077>083-088>098-101>106.

&&

SHORT TERM...Lindenberg
LONG TERM...Lindenberg
AVIATION...Wise

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
146 AM CDT Sun Jun 9 2024

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-100700-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
146 AM CDT Sun Jun 9 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Slight hail risk.
  Slight thunderstorm wind damage risk.
  Significant lightning risk.
  Significant excessive rainfall risk

DISCUSSION...

Showers and storms continue to develop from central Kansas into
south central Missouri early this morning. This activity will
continue to move east across portions of southeastern Kansas and
the Missouri Ozarks with heavy rainfall and the potential for
flash flooding continuing with this activity this morning.
Isolated showers and storms will remain possible across portions
of far southern Missouri into this afternoon. A Flood Watch
remains in affect until 1 PM for the entire area today.

Additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches with localized
additional amounts up to 5 inches are expected across portions of
the Missouri Ozarks and southeastern Kansas the rest of this
morning. There will also be the potential for a few strong to
severe storms this morning with damaging winds up to 60 mph and
hail up the the size of quarters the risk with the strongest
storms.

Residual flooding will also likely continue into tonight where
the heavy rainfall occurs from Saturday evening through this
morning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed early this morning.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/dsspacket

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

Wise

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Springfield MO
958 PM CDT Sat Jun 8 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0956 PM     Hail             Drury                   36.93N 92.32W
06/08/2024  E1.00 Inch       Douglas            MO   Public

&&

FEH

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1020 PM CDT Sat Jun 8 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1019 PM     Flash Flood      2 NNE Fordland          37.19N 92.93W
06/08/2024                   Webster            MO   Amateur Radio

            Panther Creek bridge is closed as water from
            Panther Creek was flowing over the bridge.

&&

FEW

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1023 PM CDT Sat Jun 8 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1014 PM     Flash Flood      1 NNW Houston           37.33N 91.96W
06/08/2024                   Texas              MO   Public

            Mineral Drive at Brushy Creek was flooded
            and impassable.

&&

FEW

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1028 PM CDT Sat Jun 8 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1026 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     2 E Brushyknob          36.97N 92.45W
06/08/2024                   Douglas            MO   Amateur Radio

            Several large tree limbs and a tree were
            reported down on Highway C.

&&

FEW

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1043 PM CDT Sat Jun 8 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1001 PM     Flash Flood      5 NE Ebenezer           37.39N 93.25W
06/08/2024                   Greene             MO   Dept of Highways

            Highway CC at the North Dry Sac River was
            flooded and impassable due to heavy rain
            fall.

&&

FEW

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1114 PM CDT Sat Jun 8 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1105 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     4 NE Pottersville       36.75N 91.98W
06/08/2024                   Howell             MO   Emergency Mngr

            A large tree was reported down on Highway
            CC.

&&

FEW