Severe Thunderstorm Warning 72, NWS Pueblo, CO

770 
WWUS55 KPUB 012040
SVSPUB

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
240 PM MDT Sat Jun 1 2024

COC009-011-099-012100-
/O.CON.KPUB.SV.W.0072.000000T0000Z-240601T2100Z/
Prowers CO-Baca CO-Bent CO-
240 PM MDT Sat Jun 1 2024

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 PM MDT
FOR SOUTHWESTERN PROWERS...NORTHWESTERN BACA AND SOUTHEASTERN BENT
COUNTIES...

At 239 PM MDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 14 miles north of
Pritchett, or 18 miles northwest of Springfield, moving northeast at
25 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and half dollar size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Two Buttes Reservoir.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

If on or near Two Buttes Reservoir, get away from the water and move 
indoors or inside a vehicle. Remember, lightning can strike out to 
15 miles from the parent thunderstorm. If you can hear thunder, you 
are close enough to be struck by lightning. Move to safe shelter 
now!  Do not be caught on the water in a thunderstorm.

&&

LAT...LON 3746 10307 3756 10307 3783 10259 3748 10239
      3745 10288
TIME...MOT...LOC 2039Z 245DEG 21KT 3758 10289 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.25 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

PS

683 
WWUS55 KPUB 012054
SVSPUB

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
254 PM MDT Sat Jun 1 2024

COC009-011-099-012100-
/O.CON.KPUB.SV.W.0072.000000T0000Z-240601T2100Z/
Prowers CO-Baca CO-Bent CO-
254 PM MDT Sat Jun 1 2024

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 PM MDT
FOR SOUTHWESTERN PROWERS...NORTHWESTERN BACA AND SOUTHEASTERN BENT
COUNTIES...

At 254 PM MDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 10 miles west of Two
Buttes Reservoir, or 17 miles northwest of Springfield, moving
northeast at 25 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and half dollar size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Two Buttes Reservoir.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

If on or near Two Buttes Reservoir, get away from the water and move 
indoors or inside a vehicle. Remember, lightning can strike out to 
15 miles from the parent thunderstorm. If you can hear thunder, you 
are close enough to be struck by lightning. Move to safe shelter 
now!  Do not be caught on the water in a thunderstorm.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3746 10307 3756 10307 3774 10265 3758 10252
      3746 10288
TIME...MOT...LOC 2054Z 245DEG 21KT 3762 10279 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.25 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

PS

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1139 AM MDT Sat Jun 1 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Strong to severe storms are possible (40-60% chance) yet
  again for our plains today, with main risks being hail up to
  1.5 inches, winds gusting over 60 mph, and lightning.

- Hot and dry weather develops Sunday and continues into the
  middle of next week.

- Slow upturn in thunderstorms chances and slightly cooler
  conditions then possible by week's end.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
Issued at 346 AM MDT Sat Jun 1 2024

Currently..

Rain and storms have pushed east into Kansas, leaving mostly clear
skies and light winds across the area. Temperatures are in the mid
50s across the plains, with 40s over our mountain valleys. Dewpoints
are in mid to upper 40s for most plains locations, with some low 50s
coming in across our far eastern plains.

Today and Tonight..

Today looks to be the last of a string of days in which we saw
chances for severe thunderstorms across our plains. Temperatures
look to be around 6 to 8 degrees warmer than yesterday for most
locations, and we are once again outlooked the SPC for a slight risk
across the majority of our plains for this afternoon. The main risks
with storms on our plains today will be large hail up to 1.5 inches,
damaging winds gusting over 60 mph, and cloud to ground lightning.
Dewpoints are higher on our eastern plains than they were at this
time yesterday, but we are still seeing lots of model disagreement
about the amount of moisture we could have available by the time
storms get going this afternoon. With drier solutions, storms
initiate later and further east. Models that are moister tend to
develop storms over and near the terrain by around 2 to 3pm this
afternoon, especially over the Pikes Peak region and the southern
mountains, with chances for those storms to become severe sooner as
they push east into more favorable environments. Most solutions have
at least 2000-2400 J/Kg of CAPE across our eastern plains later this
afternoon and into this evening, but the main disagreement lies in
how far west models are bringing that instability. The HRRR and
other drier solutions keep those higher amounts out near the Kansas
border, where the NamNest drags it almost all the way back to the I-
25 corridor. Dry models also show higher DCAPE values, which would
lead to more of a wind threat with storms today if realized. 0 to 6
km bulk shear is just as high as yesterday as well, with +40kt
looking possible across multiple model solutions. 0 to 3 km SRM
Helicity is much lower than yesterday, though there is an
interesting bullseye of 150+ values over our far northeastern plains
after 00Z this evening. If there is any sort of linear structure
left to convection on the plains at that time, with helicity values
that high we could possibly see some non-supercell tornadoes in that
area. Storms look to move out of the forecast area with more haste
tonight than what we've seen off and on throughout this week. Most
model solutions suggest that our eastern plains should be clearing
out by around 9pm or so at the latest.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Issued at 346 AM MDT Sat Jun 1 2024

Broad upper trough moves through the Rockies on Sunday, turning
low and mid level winds across Colorado more swly as a result.
Flow will bring in drier/hotter air into the region, with
somewhat diffuse dryline shifting eastward toward the KS border
Sunday afternoon. Convection Sunday should be limited to mainly
some high based virga over the higher terrain and I-25 corridor,
with perhaps a brief/weak tsra over the far southeastern plains
late afternoon/early evening, as dryline is still near the CO/KS
border at 00z. Max temps will climb into the 80s/90s at many
locations, and it will likely end up being the hottest day so
far this year over most of the area.

Upper jet then lifts north of Colorado early next week, as short
wave energy races eastward along the Canadian border. Pattern
should lead to a continuation of warm and generally dry
conditions Mon-Wed, and any intrusions of low level moisture on
the plains will be shallow and brief. Upper ridge then builds
over the wrn U.S. after Wed, and while models still differ on
ridge position, main message of most solutions appears to be a
slow increase in nwly upper flow across CO, allowing cooler/more
moist air mass to gradually spread westward across the plains
by the end of the week. Thunderstorm chances will thus return to
the forecast as early as Thu, though more widespread activity
may await deeper moisture's arrival on Friday into next weekend.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY/...
Issued at 1135 AM MDT Sat Jun 1 2024

VFR conditions anticipated across much of the forecast area
today over the next 24 hrs, including the three main TAF sites
of KCOS, KPUB and KALS. Abundant llvl moisture across the
eastern plains is expected to spark strong to severe
thunderstorm activity once again this afternoon after 20z and
lasting through 05z near the eastern border.

KCOS and KPUB: VCSH and VCTS mentioned between 20z and 04z.

KALS: Increasing W-SW winds with gusts to around 22 kt between
20z and 03z.

&&

.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

SHORT TERM...EHR
LONG TERM...PETERSEN
AVIATION...MOORE

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1105 AM MDT Sat Jun 1 2024

COZ058>089-093>099-021300-
Western Mosquito Range/East Lake County Above 11000 Feet-
Leadville Vicinity/Lake County Below 11000 Feet-
Eastern Sawatch Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Western Chaffee County Between 9000 and 11000 Feet-
Central Chaffee County Below 9000 Feet-
Western Mosquito Range/East Chaffee County Above 9000 Feet-
Saguache County West of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
Saguache County East of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
La Garita Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Upper Rio Grande Valley/Eastern San Juan Mountains Below
10000 Feet-Eastern San Juan Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Del Norte Vicinity/Northern San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Alamosa  Vicinity/Central San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Southern San Luis Valley-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 8500 And 11000 Feet-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 7500 and 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Northwestern Fremont County Above 8500 Feet-
Western/Central Fremont County Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountain Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountains between 6300 and 10000 Feet-
Wet Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Teller County/Rampart Range Above 7500 Feet/Pikes Peak Between
7500 And 11000 Feet-Pikes Peak Above 11000 Feet-
Canon City Vicinity/Eastern Fremont County-
Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below
7500 Feet-
Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range
Below 7400 Feet-Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet-
Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Feet-
Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Feet-
Crowley County-La Junta Vicinity/Otero County-
Eastern Las Animas County-Western Kiowa County-
Eastern Kiowa County-Las Animas Vicinity/Bent County-
Lamar Vicinity/Prowers County-Springfield Vicinity/Baca County-
1105 AM MDT Sat Jun 1 2024

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...east
central...south central and southeast Colorado.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

Increasing thunderstorm coverage is expected for our plains today.
Some storms could be strong to severe, especially for areas along
and east of I-25 for this afternoon and this evening. Main risks
with storms on our plains today will be large hail up to 1.5 inches
in diameter, damaging winds gusting over 60 mph, and cloud to ground
lightning. Weaker and more isolated storms are expected over the
high country earlier this afternoon as well, where main concerns
will be gusty winds and lightning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

Isolated thunderstorms will be possible near the Palmer Divide and
along the Kansas border Sunday afternoon and evening, with gusty
winds to 45 mph and lightning the main storm risks. After a dry
period early next week, scattered thunderstorms return to the area
Thursday and Friday, as moisture increases again across southern
Colorado.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather conditions that meet reporting criteria for spotters will
be likely over portions of the region.

27/23

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
118 PM MDT Sat Jun 1 2024

COZ088-012000-
Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Ft CO-
118 PM MDT Sat Jun 1 2024

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT CENTRAL LAS ANIMAS COUNTY
THROUGH 200 PM MDT...

At 118 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 7
miles southeast of Aguilar, or 11 miles north of Trinidad, moving
east at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Model and Hoehne.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement
agency. They will relay your report to the National Weather Service
office in Pueblo.

&&

LAT...LON 3723 10463 3737 10466 3753 10423 3724 10415
TIME...MOT...LOC 1918Z 257DEG 30KT 3732 10457

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Moore

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
122 PM MDT Sat Jun 1 2024

COZ084-012000-
Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below 7500 Ft
CO-
122 PM MDT Sat Jun 1 2024

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHEASTERN EL PASO COUNTY
THROUGH 200 PM MDT...

At 122 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Ramah, or 27 miles west of Limon, moving east at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Ramah.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 3909 10405 3905 10444 3913 10448 3913 10405
TIME...MOT...LOC 1922Z 256DEG 26KT 3913 10418

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

PS

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
151 PM MDT Sat Jun 1 2024

COZ094-097-099-012015-
Springfield Vicinity/Baca County CO-
Las Animas Vicinity/Bent County CO-Eastern Las Animas County CO-
151 PM MDT Sat Jun 1 2024

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHWESTERN BACA...EAST CENTRAL
LAS ANIMAS AND SOUTH CENTRAL BENT COUNTIES THROUGH 215 PM MDT...

At 151 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 17
miles southeast of Higbee, or 31 miles southeast of North La Junta,
moving northeast at 15 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of northwestern Baca,
east central Las Animas and south central Bent Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 3750 10324 3759 10334 3782 10302 3762 10283
TIME...MOT...LOC 1951Z 236DEG 14KT 3758 10323

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

PS

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
202 PM MDT Sat Jun 1 2024

COZ094-099-012030-
Springfield Vicinity/Baca County CO-Eastern Las Animas County CO-
202 PM MDT Sat Jun 1 2024

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHWESTERN BACA AND EAST
CENTRAL LAS ANIMAS COUNTIES THROUGH 230 PM MDT...

At 202 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 14
miles northwest of Pritchett, or 24 miles west of Springfield, moving
east at 20 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of northwestern Baca
and east central Las Animas Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 3747 10309 3754 10313 3764 10275 3751 10267
TIME...MOT...LOC 2002Z 249DEG 16KT 3753 10303

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

PS

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
206 PM MDT Sat Jun 1 2024

COZ093-094-012030-
Eastern Las Animas County CO-La Junta Vicinity/Otero County CO-
206 PM MDT Sat Jun 1 2024

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTH CENTRAL OTERO AND NORTH
CENTRAL LAS ANIMAS COUNTIES THROUGH 230 PM MDT...

At 206 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 10
miles south of Timpas, or 26 miles southwest of La Junta, moving east
at 20 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of south central Otero
and north central Las Animas Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 3760 10383 3767 10390 3784 10362 3766 10347
TIME...MOT...LOC 2006Z 249DEG 16KT 3767 10381

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

PS

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
215 PM MDT Sat Jun 1 2024

COZ074-088-012045-
Southern Sangre De Cristo Mountains Between 7500 and 11000 Ft CO-
Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Ft CO-
215 PM MDT Sat Jun 1 2024

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT WEST CENTRAL LAS ANIMAS COUNTY
THROUGH 245 PM MDT...

At 214 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Gulnare, or 15 miles northwest of Trinidad, moving northeast at 25
mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and half inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Aguilar, Gulnare, and Boncarbo.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

Persons in campgrounds should consider seeking sturdy shelter until
this storm passes.

&&

LAT...LON 3718 10476 3728 10486 3755 10455 3732 10433
TIME...MOT...LOC 2014Z 234DEG 23KT 3727 10475

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

PS