Severe Thunderstorm Warning 69, NWS Pueblo, CO

240 
WWUS55 KPUB 010227
SVSPUB

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
827 PM MDT Fri May 31 2024

COC041-010236-
/O.CAN.KPUB.SV.W.0069.000000T0000Z-240601T0245Z/
El Paso CO-
827 PM MDT Fri May 31 2024

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN EL PASO COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out of 
the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM MDT for
southeastern Colorado.

&&

LAT...LON 3850 10447 3851 10428 3833 10409 3822 10438
TIME...MOT...LOC 0226Z 336DEG 18KT 3840 10442 

$$

COC101-010245-
/O.CON.KPUB.SV.W.0069.000000T0000Z-240601T0245Z/
Pueblo CO-
827 PM MDT Fri May 31 2024

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 845 PM MDT
FOR NORTHEASTERN PUEBLO COUNTY...

At 826 PM MDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 7 miles northwest of
Pueblo Depot, or 8 miles northeast of Pueblo Airport, moving
southeast at 20 mph.

HAZARD...Ping pong ball size hail and 60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect hail 
         damage to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles. Expect wind 
         damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Pueblo Depot and Avondale.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3850 10447 3851 10428 3833 10409 3822 10438
TIME...MOT...LOC 0226Z 336DEG 18KT 3840 10442 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.50 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

PS

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
524 PM MDT Fri May 31 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Strong to severe storms possible across the southeast Plains
  tonight and again on Saturday.

- Hot and essentially dry conditions on tap through much of the
  extended forecast.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Issued at 223 PM MDT Fri May 31 2024

Current water vapor imagery and upper air analysis indicates
increasing westerly flow aloft across the Rockies, as a minor short
wave translates through the stronger westerly flow across the
Northern Tier. Regional radars indicating isolated showers and
storms across spreading across the higher terrain, with a stronger
storm developing across the southern Sangre's attm. Surface analysis
still indicates an old convective boundary just north of the Palmer
Dvd, with SPC meso analysis indicating ML Cape of 500-1000 J/jg
across southeast Colorado attm, however, there remains some cin in
place as well.

For the rest of tonight...latest cams indicating two main areas of
storm development with convergence along the Palmer Dvd and Raton
Mesa. Storms across the Palmer look to move southeast across eastern
El Paso county into the the southeast plains while storms across the
Raton Mesa drift northeast across eastern Las Animas and southern
Pueblo counties into the southeast Plains. Storms moving east will
encounter increasing shear and could become severe, producing hail
up to 1.5 inches in diameter and strong and damaging outflow winds,
along with locally heavy rainfall, with possible merging cells
across the far southeast plains through the late evening. Convective
outflows could send moisture back towards the front range through
the overnight hours, with some patchy stratus possible across the
plains early Saturday morning.

For Saturday...moderate westerly flow prevails across the Rockies
as the next embedded wave translates across the Intermountain West.
With low level moisture in place and warmer temperatures, should see
another round of strong to severe storms, producing large hail and
damaging winds across southeast Colorado Saturday afternoon. The
latest SPC Day 2 Outlook continues to indicate slight risk across
most of southeast Colorado, with a hatched hail area (possible 2+
inch hail) east of the I-25 Corridor. Further west, isolated high
based -shra/-trsa remains possible. Highs tomorrow look to slightly
warmer than today, in the upper 70s to upper 80s across the plains,
and mainly in the 60s and 70s across the higher terrain.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Issued at 223 PM MDT Fri May 31 2024

Saturday night...Strong to severe thunderstorms expected to linger
across the far eastern plains through around 03z, and model guidance
continues showing around 2500-3000 j/kg CAPE and 0-6km shear of 45-
55 kts. After around 9 PM pockets of instability persist for the
eastern plains until perhaps 3 AM, with mild overnight temps in the
upper 30s to upper 40s for the high valleys, and 50s across the
plains.

Sunday and Monday...Dry and much warmer west to southwest flow aloft
settles in across the region as a broad upper trough moves across
the western US. A quick-moving shortwave crossing MT on Monday will
mean an increase in westerly flow for CO that will keep temps
elevated. Other than some isolated convection over the plains, it
will be basically dry with high temps both days climbing into the
80s for the high valleys, and mid 80s to mid 90s for the plains.
Critical fire weather conditions start to redevelop across portions
of the area due to the increasing heat and dropping humidity levels,
and will need to be further monitored.

Tuesday and Wednesday...Ridge of high pressure builds into the Desert
SW through midweek, maintaining hot and dry conditions but allowing
winds to decrease a bit. There will still be an isolated shot for
some convection each afternoon and evening for the higher terrain,
but for the most part plan on dry conditions to persist. High temps
will again warm to around 80F for the high valleys both days, and
into the mid 80s to mid 90s for the plains.

Thursday...Long-range models are indicating a low pressure center
moving onshore across the CA Baja on Thu, while some llvl moisture
starts to sneak back up into southern CO. Plenty of time for this
solution to evolve, but the extended procedure is indicating a few
degrees of cooling across the plains along with a more widespread
shot for isolated to low-end scattered precipitation. Moore

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SUNDAY/...
Issued at 520 PM MDT Fri May 31 2024

KALS...VFR conditions through the next 24 hours. Southwest winds
are expected on Saturday afternoon near 15 kts.

KCOS and KPUB...a few showers/thunderstorms will remain
possible at both sites this evening. Briefly reduced CIGS, VIS
and gusty outflow winds may accompany any precip that moves
across the terminals. VFR conditions will prevail overnight into
Saturday morning. Another round of showers and thunderstorms
will once again be possible Saturday afternoon. Mozley

&&

.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

SHORT TERM...MW
LONG TERM...MOORE
AVIATION...MOZLEY

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1138 AM MDT Fri May 31 2024

COZ058>089-093>099-011745-
Western Mosquito Range/East Lake County Above 11000 Feet-
Leadville Vicinity/Lake County Below 11000 Feet-
Eastern Sawatch Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Western Chaffee County Between 9000 and 11000 Feet-
Central Chaffee County Below 9000 Feet-
Western Mosquito Range/East Chaffee County Above 9000 Feet-
Saguache County West of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
Saguache County East of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
La Garita Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Upper Rio Grande Valley/Eastern San Juan Mountains Below
10000 Feet-Eastern San Juan Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Del Norte Vicinity/Northern San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Alamosa  Vicinity/Central San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Southern San Luis Valley-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 8500 And 11000 Feet-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 7500 and 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Northwestern Fremont County Above 8500 Feet-
Western/Central Fremont County Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountain Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountains between 6300 and 10000 Feet-
Wet Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Teller County/Rampart Range Above 7500 Feet/Pikes Peak Between
7500 And 11000 Feet-Pikes Peak Above 11000 Feet-
Canon City Vicinity/Eastern Fremont County-
Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below
7500 Feet-
Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range
Below 7400 Feet-Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet-
Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Feet-
Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Feet-
Crowley County-La Junta Vicinity/Otero County-
Eastern Las Animas County-Western Kiowa County-
Eastern Kiowa County-Las Animas Vicinity/Bent County-
Lamar Vicinity/Prowers County-Springfield Vicinity/Baca County-
1138 AM MDT Fri May 31 2024

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...east
central...south central and southeast Colorado.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

Isolated to scattered storms developing over the higher terrain
through the late morning, are expected to increase in coverage
and intensity, as the push east across the I-25 Corridor this
afternoon and through the far southeast Plains late this afternoon
and evening.

A few storms could become severe, especially east of the I-25
Corridor. The main threats from storms across the plains will be
large hail of 1 to 2 inches in diameter and strong and damaging
wind gusts of 60 to 70 mph, although there will also be a low
threat of tornadoes. Further west, storms will be higher based,
with the main storm threats being gusty outflow winds and lightning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

Strong to severe storms will be possible again Saturday from I-25
eastward, with the greatest coverage of storms over the far
southeast plains. Damaging winds and large hail will be the main
risk from any storms, along with cloud to ground lightning. Over
the mountains and interior valleys, weaker storms are expected,
with gusty winds and lightning the main storm threats. Drier and
hotter conditions then develop from Sunday into the middle of next
week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather conditions that meet reporting criteria for spotters will
be likely over portions of the region.

23/10

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
620 PM MDT Fri May 31 2024

COZ081-085-010045-
Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range Below
7400 Ft CO-
Teller County/Rampart Range above 7500fT/Pike's Peak Between 7500 And
11000 Ft CO-
620 PM MDT Fri May 31 2024

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT WEST CENTRAL EL PASO COUNTY
THROUGH 645 PM MDT...

At 620 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
southwestern Colorado Springs, moving east at 20 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and half inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Southern Colorado Springs, Fountain, Stratmoor, Fort Carson,
Security, Security-Widefield, Peterson Space Force Base, and Cimarron
Hills.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 3875 10492 3884 10491 3889 10455 3868 10456
TIME...MOT...LOC 0020Z 269DEG 17KT 3881 10486

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

PS

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
623 PM MDT Fri May 31 2024

COZ099-010100-
Springfield Vicinity/Baca County CO-
623 PM MDT Fri May 31 2024

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT EAST CENTRAL BACA COUNTY THROUGH
700 PM MDT...

At 622 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 8
miles southwest of Stonington, or 19 miles southeast of Springfield,
moving east at 20 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Stonington.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM MDT for
southeastern Colorado.

&&

LAT...LON 3717 10241 3730 10243 3739 10204 3713 10204
TIME...MOT...LOC 0022Z 259DEG 17KT 3725 10232

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

PS

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
653 PM MDT Fri May 31 2024

COZ081-085-010130-
Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range Below
7400 Ft CO-
Teller County/Rampart Range above 7500fT/Pike's Peak Between 7500 And
11000 Ft CO-
653 PM MDT Fri May 31 2024

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT WEST CENTRAL EL PASO COUNTY
THROUGH 730 PM MDT...

At 653 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Stratmoor, or near Colorado Springs, moving east at 15 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Southern Colorado Springs, Fountain, Stratmoor, Fort Carson,
Security, Security-Widefield, Peterson Space Force Base, and Cimarron
Hills.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM MDT for
east central Colorado.

&&

LAT...LON 3873 10486 3882 10487 3887 10464 3872 10464
TIME...MOT...LOC 0053Z 279DEG 11KT 3878 10477

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

PS

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
710 PM MDT Fri May 31 2024

COZ085-010145-
Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range Below
7400 Ft CO-
710 PM MDT Fri May 31 2024

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTH CENTRAL EL PASO COUNTY
THROUGH 745 PM MDT...

At 710 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Security-Widefield, or 10 miles southeast of Colorado Springs, moving
southeast at 15 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Southeastern Colorado Springs, Fountain, Security,
Security-Widefield, and Fort Carson.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM MDT for
east central Colorado.

&&

LAT...LON 3872 10477 3881 10470 3870 10444 3853 10457
TIME...MOT...LOC 0110Z 293DEG 15KT 3872 10469

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

PS

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
738 PM MDT Fri May 31 2024

COZ084-085-010215-
Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range Below
7400 Ft CO-
Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below 7500 Ft
CO-
738 PM MDT Fri May 31 2024

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT NORTHEASTERN EL PASO COUNTY
THROUGH 815 PM MDT...

At 738 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a cluster of strong
thunderstorms near Peyton, or 20 miles northeast of Colorado Springs,
moving east at 10 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Northern Colorado Springs, Calhan, Ramah, Black Forest, Peyton,
Falcon, and Cimarron Hills.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM MDT for
east central Colorado.

&&

LAT...LON 3897 10405 3892 10406 3888 10481 3900 10481
      3907 10456 3913 10456 3913 10405
TIME...MOT...LOC 0138Z 262DEG 10KT 3896 10448

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

PS

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
741 PM MDT Fri May 31 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0710 PM     Hail             2 E Security            38.74N 104.69W
05/31/2024  M1.00 Inch       El Paso            CO   Public

            Report from mPING: Quarter (1.00 in.).

&&

kam