Flash Flood Warning 1, NWS Pueblo, CO

909 
WGUS75 KPUB 012225
FFSPUB

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
425 PM MDT Sat Jun 1 2024

COC009-020015-
/O.CON.KPUB.FF.W.0001.000000T0000Z-240602T0015Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Baca CO-
425 PM MDT Sat Jun 1 2024

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 615 PM MDT THIS 
EVENING FOR NORTHWESTERN BACA COUNTY...

At 425 PM MDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing heavy 
rain across the warned area. Between 2 and 4 inches of rain have 
fallen. The expected rainfall rate is 0.5 to 1 inch in 30 minutes. 
Additional rainfall amounts of 0.5 to 1 inch are possible in the 
warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to begin shortly.

HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.

SOURCE...Radar.

IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban areas,
         highways, streets and underpasses as well as other poor
         drainage and low-lying areas.

Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  mainly rural areas of Northwestern Baca County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

&&

LAT...LON 3758 10290 3758 10288 3748 10288 3748 10307
      3758 10307 3758 10295 3758 10294

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED
EXPECTED RAINFALL RATE...0.5-1 INCH IN 30 MINUTES

$$

PS

419 
WGUS75 KPUB 012323
FFSPUB

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
523 PM MDT Sat Jun 1 2024

COC009-020015-
/O.CON.KPUB.FF.W.0001.000000T0000Z-240602T0015Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Baca CO-
523 PM MDT Sat Jun 1 2024

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 615 PM MDT THIS 
EVENING FOR NORTHWESTERN BACA COUNTY...

At 523 PM MDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing heavy 
rain across the warned area. Between 2 and 4.5 inches of rain have 
fallen. The expected rainfall rate is 0.25 to 0.5 inches in 30 
minutes. Additional rainfall amounts up to 0.5 inches are possible 
in the warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to begin 
shortly.

HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.

SOURCE...Radar.

IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban areas,
         highways, streets and underpasses as well as other poor
         drainage and low-lying areas.

Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  mainly rural areas of Northwestern Baca County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

&&

LAT...LON 3758 10290 3758 10288 3748 10288 3748 10307
      3758 10307 3758 10295 3758 10294

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED
EXPECTED RAINFALL RATE...0.25-0.5 INCHES IN 30 MINUTES

$$

PS

941 
WGUS75 KPUB 020009
FFSPUB

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
609 PM MDT Sat Jun 1 2024

COC009-020019-
/O.EXP.KPUB.FF.W.0001.000000T0000Z-240602T0015Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Baca CO-
609 PM MDT Sat Jun 1 2024

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 615 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR 
NORTHWESTERN BACA COUNTY...

Flood waters have receded. The heavy rain has ended. Flooding is no 
longer expected to pose a threat. Please continue to heed remaining 
road closures.

&&

LAT...LON 3758 10290 3758 10288 3748 10288 3748 10307
      3758 10307 3758 10295 3758 10294

$$

PS

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
302 PM MDT Sat Jun 1 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Strong to severe thunderstorms to linger across the eastern
  plains this evening until around 9 PM.

- Warmer and drier weather conditions remain on tap into the
  middle of work week with a slow increase in precipitation
  chances into next weekend.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
Issued at 301 PM MDT Sat Jun 1 2024

Currently...Broad upper trough was gradually moving across the
western US. Isolated convection has fired over the Pikes Peak region
as well as the Raton Mesa this afternoon, producing radar-indicated
hail up to around 3/4 inch in diameter as well as occasional
lightning. Temps have warmed into the 70s for the high valleys, and
mid 70s to mid 80s across the plains. Convection is slowly drifting
to the east, and moving into more moisture rich air.

Tonight...All roads point to a somewhat busy evening, with 0-6KM
bulk shear at 40-45 kts and CAPE at 1500-2500 j/kg for much of the
plains. SPC has kept much of the plains in a Slight box for severe
weather, and a Severe Thunderstorm Watch has been issued for much of
the eastern plains until 9 PM tonight. Now, having said that, hi-res
models do indicate that the back edge of the moisture quickly pushes
east late this afternoon into the evening, and western portions of
the watch such as Crowley, Otero and Las Animas counties will likely
be dropped early. Main threats will be wind gusts around 60 mph,
large hail up to 2 inches in diameter, periods of moderate to heavy
rain and frequent cloud to ground lightning. Clearing skies are then
anticipated overnight. Overnight lows will cool into the upper 30s
to mid 40s for the high valleys, and 50s across the plains.

Tomorrow...Upper trough moves into the Great Basin and Four Corners
regions, and increasing w-sw flow aloft will mean a very hot and
increasingly dry day for the forecast area on Sunday. Though SPC has
the far eastern plains within a Marginal box for severe weather,
currently it looks like convection will be isolated at best across
the Palmer Divide and near the eastern border. High temps will climb
into the upper 70s to lower 80s for the high valleys, and mid 80s to
mid 90s for the plains. Moore

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Issued at 301 PM MDT Sat Jun 1 2024

Modest west to northwest flow aloft across the region Sunday night
moderates into the middle of next week, as upper level ridging
continues to build over the Central Rockies. This allow for warmer
and drier conditions to prevail across south central and southeast
Colorado. Highs through mid week look to warm to above seasonal levels
in the mid 80s to upper 90s across the plains, with temps mainly in
60s and 70s across higher terrain. Overnight lows also look to be
at or above seasonal levels, leading to some increased flows in area
streams, with enhanced melting of the high mountain snowpack.

By Thursday, an omega block pattern looks to set up across the region,
with passing waves across the Central Conus and southerly flow in place
across the Dessert Southwest will lead to slowly increasing moisture
and slowly increasing chances of daily showers and thunderstorms area
wide, as temperatures remain at to above seasonal levels.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY/...
Issued at 1135 AM MDT Sat Jun 1 2024

VFR conditions anticipated across much of the forecast area
today over the next 24 hrs, including the three main TAF sites
of KCOS, KPUB and KALS. Abundant llvl moisture across the
eastern plains is expected to spark strong to severe
thunderstorm activity once again this afternoon after 20z and
lasting through 05z near the eastern border.

KCOS and KPUB: VCSH and VCTS mentioned between 20z and 04z.

KALS: Increasing W-SW winds with gusts to around 22 kt between
20z and 03z.

&&

.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

SHORT TERM...MOORE
LONG TERM...MW
AVIATION...MOORE

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1105 AM MDT Sat Jun 1 2024

COZ058>089-093>099-021300-
Western Mosquito Range/East Lake County Above 11000 Feet-
Leadville Vicinity/Lake County Below 11000 Feet-
Eastern Sawatch Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Western Chaffee County Between 9000 and 11000 Feet-
Central Chaffee County Below 9000 Feet-
Western Mosquito Range/East Chaffee County Above 9000 Feet-
Saguache County West of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
Saguache County East of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
La Garita Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Upper Rio Grande Valley/Eastern San Juan Mountains Below
10000 Feet-Eastern San Juan Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Del Norte Vicinity/Northern San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Alamosa  Vicinity/Central San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Southern San Luis Valley-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 8500 And 11000 Feet-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 7500 and 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Northwestern Fremont County Above 8500 Feet-
Western/Central Fremont County Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountain Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountains between 6300 and 10000 Feet-
Wet Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Teller County/Rampart Range Above 7500 Feet/Pikes Peak Between
7500 And 11000 Feet-Pikes Peak Above 11000 Feet-
Canon City Vicinity/Eastern Fremont County-
Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below
7500 Feet-
Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range
Below 7400 Feet-Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet-
Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Feet-
Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Feet-
Crowley County-La Junta Vicinity/Otero County-
Eastern Las Animas County-Western Kiowa County-
Eastern Kiowa County-Las Animas Vicinity/Bent County-
Lamar Vicinity/Prowers County-Springfield Vicinity/Baca County-
1105 AM MDT Sat Jun 1 2024

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...east
central...south central and southeast Colorado.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

Increasing thunderstorm coverage is expected for our plains today.
Some storms could be strong to severe, especially for areas along
and east of I-25 for this afternoon and this evening. Main risks
with storms on our plains today will be large hail up to 1.5 inches
in diameter, damaging winds gusting over 60 mph, and cloud to ground
lightning. Weaker and more isolated storms are expected over the
high country earlier this afternoon as well, where main concerns
will be gusty winds and lightning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

Isolated thunderstorms will be possible near the Palmer Divide and
along the Kansas border Sunday afternoon and evening, with gusty
winds to 45 mph and lightning the main storm risks. After a dry
period early next week, scattered thunderstorms return to the area
Thursday and Friday, as moisture increases again across southern
Colorado.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather conditions that meet reporting criteria for spotters will
be likely over portions of the region.

27/23

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
215 PM MDT Sat Jun 1 2024

COZ074-088-012045-
Southern Sangre De Cristo Mountains Between 7500 and 11000 Ft CO-
Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Ft CO-
215 PM MDT Sat Jun 1 2024

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT WEST CENTRAL LAS ANIMAS COUNTY
THROUGH 245 PM MDT...

At 214 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Gulnare, or 15 miles northwest of Trinidad, moving northeast at 25
mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and half inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Aguilar, Gulnare, and Boncarbo.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

Persons in campgrounds should consider seeking sturdy shelter until
this storm passes.

&&

LAT...LON 3718 10476 3728 10486 3755 10455 3732 10433
TIME...MOT...LOC 2014Z 234DEG 23KT 3727 10475

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

PS

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
246 PM MDT Sat Jun 1 2024

COZ094-012115-
Eastern Las Animas County CO-
246 PM MDT Sat Jun 1 2024

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHEASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY
THROUGH 315 PM MDT...

At 246 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 16
miles southwest of Kim, or 29 miles northeast of Des Moines, moving
east at 15 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of southeastern Las
Animas County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 900 PM MDT for
southeastern Colorado.

&&

LAT...LON 3707 10368 3717 10372 3732 10340 3710 10331
TIME...MOT...LOC 2046Z 253DEG 12KT 3715 10362

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

PS

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
251 PM MDT Sat Jun 1 2024

COZ098-012115-
Lamar Vicinity/Prowers County CO-
251 PM MDT Sat Jun 1 2024

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHEASTERN PROWERS COUNTY
THROUGH 315 PM MDT...

At 250 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 8
miles northeast of Two Buttes Reservoir, or 22 miles north of
Springfield, moving east at 15 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of southeastern
Prowers County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 900 PM MDT for
southeastern Colorado.

&&

LAT...LON 3765 10249 3774 10255 3792 10205 3765 10204
TIME...MOT...LOC 2050Z 253DEG 11KT 3771 10247

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

PS

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
258 PM MDT Sat Jun 1 2024

COZ088-012130-
Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Ft CO-
258 PM MDT Sat Jun 1 2024

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTH CENTRAL LAS ANIMAS COUNTY
THROUGH 330 PM MDT...

At 258 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Trinidad, moving northeast at 25 mph.

HAZARD...Half inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Minor hail damage to vegetation is possible.

Locations impacted include...
Trinidad and Hoehne.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 900 PM MDT for
southeastern Colorado.

&&

LAT...LON 3713 10451 3722 10464 3747 10441 3730 10419
TIME...MOT...LOC 2058Z 233DEG 22KT 3722 10454

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...<30 MPH

PS

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
304 PM MDT Sat Jun 1 2024

COZ094-099-012130-
Springfield Vicinity/Baca County CO-Eastern Las Animas County CO-
304 PM MDT Sat Jun 1 2024

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT WEST CENTRAL BACA AND EAST
CENTRAL LAS ANIMAS COUNTIES THROUGH 330 PM MDT...

At 304 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 14
miles northwest of Pritchett, or 25 miles west of Springfield, moving
northeast at 15 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of west central Baca
and east central Las Animas Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 900 PM MDT for
southeastern Colorado.

&&

LAT...LON 3738 10321 3745 10327 3758 10306 3741 10306
TIME...MOT...LOC 2104Z 237DEG 13KT 3749 10307

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

PS

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
308 PM MDT Sat Jun 1 2024

COZ086-012145-
Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet CO-
308 PM MDT Sat Jun 1 2024

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT CENTRAL PUEBLO COUNTY THROUGH
345 PM MDT...

At 308 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 14
miles south of Blende, or 17 miles southeast of Pueblo, moving
northeast at 15 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and half inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of central Pueblo
County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 3797 10453 3802 10457 3817 10439 3804 10426
TIME...MOT...LOC 2108Z 237DEG 13KT 3803 10449

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

PS