Tornado Warning 5, NWS Nashville, TN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1258 PM CDT Wed May 8 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Rest of today through Friday)
Issued at 1152 AM CDT Wed May 8 2024

Earlier warm front now stationary and centered w-e just north of I-
40. This far northern area has served as the flood threat with
numerous advisories and warnings issued thus far. Flood reports have
been received mainly across the Robertson and Sumner county areas.
Energy along the boundary is working eastward with the bulk of the
activity now across the Plateau. To the south, airmass is hanging on
to a weak cap despite warming temps. Upstream however, 2 separate
slugs of energy will be pushing southeastward. This translates to 2
rounds of severe. The 1st will occur from 3pm to 6pm, with the 2nd
round in the 8 pm to midnight timeframe. All forms of severe weather
will be possible. Instabilities will be greatest across our south so
I would think the largest(non tornadic) hail would occur there. As
for rainfall amounts, the flood watch shall continue. Latest Hrrr
shows isolated storm totals of up to 6 inches across an area
stretching from far north central middle TN eastward across the
northern Plateau. Now models do hang onto the light to
moderate shower activity through 12Z to 18Z before ending.

Look for clearing skies Thursday night with cooler temps. Upper
troughing will feature a Friday shortwave with a few showers.
Saturday looks similar with an additional shortwave. The near term
temps will continue to run rather warm tonight and Thursday with 80s
for highs once again. Noticeably cooler by Friday morning with lows
back down into the 50s. We may seven see some 40s by Saturday
morning.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday Night through next Wednesday)
Issued at 1152 AM CDT Wed May 8 2024

In the extended forecast, ridging will return for Monday. The next
system of interest will be for Tuesday and Wednesday of next week.
Instability looks weak for now so mostly just looking at showers and
non severe tstms for now.

Extended temps will start out on the cool side but will warm back to
near 80 for highs by mid week. Overnight lows will work back into
the lower 60s as well.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1253 PM CDT Wed May 8 2024

Airmass is somewhat capped for now. However, a couple slugs of
energy will enable showers and thunderstorms to develop later this
afternoon as round 1, and then this evening as round 2. The
Currently high instability levels will only increase with time.
Thus, the full plethora of severe possibilities exists. For the
tafs will include temporary gusts to 40 kts with the stronger
storms. Look for showers to persist, generally after 06Z-09Z when
the storminess exits. IFR cigs and vsbys will of course accompany
the stronger storms.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      68  86  58  72 /  90  30  10  10
Clarksville    66  83  54  70 /  80  10  10  10
Crossville     63  79  53  66 /  90  50  20  30
Columbia       66  85  56  72 / 100  30  10  10
Cookeville     65  80  54  67 /  90  50  20  20
Jamestown      63  79  53  66 /  90  50  20  30
Lawrenceburg   66  84  57  72 / 100  40  10  10
Murfreesboro   66  85  55  72 / 100  40  10  10
Waverly        66  83  54  71 /  90  10  10  10

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flood Watch through Thursday morning for Bedford-Cannon-Cheatham-
Clay-Coffee-Cumberland-Davidson-De Kalb-Dickson-Fentress-Grundy-
Hickman-Houston-Humphreys-Jackson-Lewis-Macon-Marshall-Maury-
Montgomery-Overton-Perry-Pickett-Putnam-Robertson-Rutherford-
Smith-Stewart-Sumner-Trousdale-Van Buren-Warren-White-Williamson-
Wilson.

&&

SHORT TERM...21
LONG TERM....21
AVIATION.....21

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1247 PM CDT Wed May 8 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1239 PM     Flash Flood      3 W Springfield         36.50N 86.93W
05/08/2024                   Robertson          TN   Emergency Mngr

            New Chapel Road flooded and impassable.

&&

Shamburger

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Nashville TN
112 PM CDT Wed May 8 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0706 AM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     3 SSE Red Boiling Sprin 36.50N 85.83W
05/08/2024                   Macon              TN   Public

            Downed trees. Delayed report.

&&

RRH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Nashville TN
119 PM CDT Wed May 8 2024

TNZ005-006-023-025-081845-
Stewart TN-Dickson TN-Montgomery TN-Houston TN-
119 PM CDT Wed May 8 2024

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHWESTERN DICKSON...WESTERN
MONTGOMERY...SOUTHEASTERN STEWART AND NORTHEASTERN HOUSTON COUNTIES
THROUGH 145 PM CDT...

At 119 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Erin, moving northeast at 25 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Erin, Vanleer, Cumberland City, Slayden, Palmyra, Cunningham, and
Woodlawn.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 900 PM CDT for Middle
Tennessee.

&&

LAT...LON 3623 8765 3637 8774 3659 8746 3628 8727
TIME...MOT...LOC 1819Z 235DEG 22KT 3633 8766

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Shamburger

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Nashville TN
144 PM CDT Wed May 8 2024

TNZ006-081915-
Montgomery TN-
144 PM CDT Wed May 8 2024

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT CENTRAL MONTGOMERY COUNTY
THROUGH 215 PM CDT...

At 143 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 10
miles east of Erin, moving northeast at 20 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Clarksville, Palmyra, and Cunningham.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 900 PM CDT for Middle
Tennessee.

&&

LAT...LON 3643 8715 3634 8753 3634 8757 3642 8760
      3643 8760 3662 8735
TIME...MOT...LOC 1843Z 243DEG 16KT 3637 8753

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Baggett

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Nashville TN
150 PM CDT Wed May 8 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1130 AM     Flood            6 W Gallatin            36.39N 86.56W
05/08/2024                   Sumner             TN   Emergency Mngr

            Flooding in vicinity of upper station camp
            creek road and liberty lane.

&&

RRH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Nashville TN
201 PM CDT Wed May 8 2024

TNZ007-026-027-081930-
Robertson TN-Davidson TN-Cheatham TN-
201 PM CDT Wed May 8 2024

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHERN DAVIDSON...EASTERN
CHEATHAM AND SOUTH CENTRAL ROBERTSON COUNTIES THROUGH 230 PM CDT...

At 201 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Ashland City, moving northeast at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Springfield, Ashland City, Madison, Goodlettsville, Greenbrier,
Coopertown, Pegram, Ridgetop, Joelton, Pleasant View, Bells Bend,
Whites Creek, and Beaman Park.

This includes the following highways...
 Interstate 40 near mile marker 207.
 Interstate 65 between mile markers 85 and 96.
 Interstate 24 between mile markers 27 and 47.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 900 PM CDT for Middle
Tennessee.

&&

LAT...LON 3611 8707 3625 8716 3650 8684 3621 8663
TIME...MOT...LOC 1901Z 233DEG 25KT 3621 8704

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Shamburger