Tornado Warning 4, NWS Nashville, TN

609 
WWUS54 KOHX 081237
SVSOHX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Nashville TN
737 AM CDT Wed May 8 2024

TNC027-087-081247-
/O.CAN.KOHX.TO.W.0004.000000T0000Z-240508T1300Z/
Jackson TN-Clay TN-
737 AM CDT Wed May 8 2024

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN JACKSON AND SOUTHEASTERN CLAY
COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

The tornadic thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out 
of the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

&&

LAT...LON 3649 8519 3626 8520 3635 8550 3642 8549
      3646 8548 3647 8543
TIME...MOT...LOC 1237Z 280DEG 39KT 3639 8540 

$$

TNC133-081300-
/O.CON.KOHX.TO.W.0004.000000T0000Z-240508T1300Z/
Overton TN-
737 AM CDT Wed May 8 2024

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 AM CDT FOR CENTRAL
OVERTON COUNTY...

At 737 AM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located near Livingston, moving east at 45 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

This dangerous storm will be near...
  Livingston around 740 AM CDT.

Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include
Standing Stone State Park.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3649 8519 3626 8520 3635 8550 3642 8549
      3646 8548 3647 8543
TIME...MOT...LOC 1237Z 280DEG 39KT 3639 8540 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN

$$

Shamburger

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
630 AM CDT Wed May 8 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Thursday)
Issued at 125 AM CDT Wed May 8 2024

All eyes are on today's forecast as all modes of severe weather
including flash flooding are anticipated across Middle
Tennessee. I'll be honest, things are very complex and not clear
cut, so it's imperative for everyone to be weather aware all day
today into tonight. This is not a "one and done" type of event.
Multiple thunderstorms at multiple parts of the day will have the
opportunity to be severe. If you are going to be out and about
today and tonight, it's imperative for you to check the weather
before heading out and have multiple ways to get notified when
warnings are issued.

Here's what we're confident on:
1) The potential for flash flooding has been increasing with each
model run and even though we didn't get much in the way of
rainfall on Tuesday, this system has the unfortunate opportunity
to place a boundary over Middle Tennessee where ample moisture
will allow thunderstorms to train over the same locations over and
over and over. This boundary will likely set up near or north of
I-40, but there's even a possibility that it sets up in Southern
Kentucky (and Middle Tennessee skirts away from the highest
precipitation totals). But wherever that boundary sets up, heavy
rainfall and flash flooding will result.

2) There will be some impressive straight line winds along with
some potential QLCS tornadoes when the main/final line of storms
pushes through late tonight. There's definitely much more
uncertainty on how things unfold before this main line. Timing
things during the daylight hours is extremely difficult, but the
main line should move through after dark.

3) Lapse rates are also high so think any storm that develops
today through tonight will have the potential to produce large
hail.

4) Don't be fooled by any morning or early afternoon convection
being "the event" or limiting things. The main line coming through
tonight will pack quite the punch that won't care if you did or
didn't have storms earlier in the day.

Here's what we're not confident on:
1) Speaking of the boundary, exactly where this will set up will
be the million dollar question. Short range models are having a
difficult time initializing correctly over our area during this
overnight period, so confidence on how everything will exactly
play out today is not very high. Regardless, all the parameters
you always hear meteorologists spout off during big severe weather
events are all there with ample moisture, instability, and shear.

2) If discrete supercells can develop this afternoon and evening,
this would spell big trouble for the tornado threat and increase
the severe weather potential significantly. Think this concern is
mostly for the northern half of Middle Tennessee but once again,
it all depends on where exactly the above mentioned boundary sets
up.

It's Spring in Middle Tennessee. We want you to be prepared and
not scared. Today and tonight is when we need you to pay attention
to the weather as things will be rapidly evolving throughout the
day.

By Thursday morning, storms rapidly move south of Tennessee giving
way to drier conditions and partly cloudy skies.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday Night through next Wednesday)
Issued at 125 AM CDT Wed May 8 2024

Friday and this weekend look fairly nice weather wise as Highs in
the 70s and Lows in the 40s and 50s will be the main weather
story. There will be some northwest flow aloft and some model solutions
do have some weak upper level impulses swinging through the area.
Kept things dry for now, but would not be surprised to see some
increases in cloud cover and possible showers.

Another upper level trough will impact the area on Monday and
Tuesday as return flow brings the southerly flow and moisture
back. Showers and thunderstorms will return to the forecast, but
nothing looks impactful at this time.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 626 AM CDT Wed May 8 2024

Messy aviation forecast today with TSRA in the area through much
of the current TAF period. Current line of TSRA will likely begin
to stall around the I-40 corridor, so some vis impacts as that
line progresses. Rest of the day will have scattered TSRA, with
periods of low cigs/vis. Final line of TSRA will move through
around to after 03Z from NW to SE, with conditions beginning to
improve near to after the current TAF period. Winds will remain
predominately from the south.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      84  69  84  58 /  90  90  30  10
Clarksville    82  68  82  55 /  90  90  10  10
Crossville     79  63  78  53 /  90  80  60  20
Columbia       85  66  85  55 /  80  90  40  10
Cookeville     80  65  80  54 /  90  90  50  10
Jamestown      80  63  78  53 /  90  90  50  20
Lawrenceburg   84  66  84  56 /  70  90  40  20
Murfreesboro   85  66  84  55 /  90  80  40  10
Waverly        82  65  83  55 /  90  90  20  10

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flood Watch through Thursday morning for Bedford-Cannon-Cheatham-
Clay-Coffee-Cumberland-Davidson-De Kalb-Dickson-Fentress-Grundy-
Hickman-Houston-Humphreys-Jackson-Lewis-Macon-Marshall-Maury-
Montgomery-Overton-Perry-Pickett-Putnam-Robertson-Rutherford-
Smith-Stewart-Sumner-Trousdale-Van Buren-Warren-White-Williamson-
Wilson.

&&

SHORT TERM...Hurley
LONG TERM....Hurley
AVIATION.....Adcock

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Nashville TN
352 AM CDT Wed May 8 2024

TNZ005-080915-
Stewart TN-
352 AM CDT Wed May 8 2024

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHERN STEWART COUNTY THROUGH
415 AM CDT...

At 352 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 7
miles north of Paris Landing State Park, moving east at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Minor hail damage to vegetation is possible.

Locations impacted include...
Big Rock and Land Between The Lakes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3666 8785 3663 8785 3664 8764 3659 8763
      3646 8805 3649 8806 3652 8804 3656 8803
      3666 8807 3668 8807
TIME...MOT...LOC 0852Z 250DEG 27KT 3654 8808

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...<30 MPH

Whitehead

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Nashville TN
500 AM CDT Wed May 8 2024

TNZ006-007-081030-
Robertson TN-Montgomery TN-
500 AM CDT Wed May 8 2024

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHEASTERN MONTGOMERY AND
NORTHWESTERN ROBERTSON COUNTIES THROUGH 530 AM CDT...

At 459 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Clarksville, moving east at 40 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Clarksville, Adams, and Cedar Hill.

This includes Interstate 24 between mile markers 1 and 10.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3654 8700 3652 8741 3664 8743 3664 8701
TIME...MOT...LOC 0959Z 259DEG 36KT 3660 8736

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Whitehead

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Nashville TN
503 AM CDT Wed May 8 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0425 AM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     5 ESE Bumpus Mills      36.59N 87.76W
05/08/2024                   Stewart            TN   Broadcast Media

            Report of trees down in the Big Rock area.

&&

CMA

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Nashville TN
527 AM CDT Wed May 8 2024

TNZ006-007-081100-
Robertson TN-Montgomery TN-
527 AM CDT Wed May 8 2024

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT NORTHERN MONTGOMERY AND WESTERN
ROBERTSON COUNTIES THROUGH 600 AM CDT...

At 527 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a cluster of strong
thunderstorms along a line extending from 8 miles east of Guthrie to
6 miles south of Clarksville. Movement was east at 50 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Clarksville, Springfield, Coopertown, Orlinda, Adams, and Cedar Hill.

This includes Interstate 24 between mile markers 5 and 22.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3663 8665 3641 8700 3642 8706 3645 8712
      3644 8715 3642 8715 3645 8761 3664 8721
      3665 8665
TIME...MOT...LOC 1027Z 260DEG 46KT 3666 8702 3647 8738

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Whitehead

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Nashville TN
657 AM CDT Wed May 8 2024

TNZ009-010-030-031-081230-
Clay TN-Jackson TN-Macon TN-Smith TN-
657 AM CDT Wed May 8 2024

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT NORTH CENTRAL SMITH...NORTHERN
JACKSON...CLAY AND EASTERN MACON COUNTIES THROUGH 730 AM CDT...

At 656 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 6 miles northwest of Red Boiling Springs to 6
miles south of Lafayette. Movement was east at 40 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Lafayette, Celina, Gainesboro, Red Boiling Springs, Whitleyville,
Moss, and Bugtussle.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3661 8551 3662 8541 3635 8552 3640 8598
      3642 8597 3643 8598 3644 8607 3663 8598
TIME...MOT...LOC 1156Z 276DEG 36KT 3661 8592 3643 8600

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Whitehead

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Nashville TN
717 AM CDT Wed May 8 2024

TNZ007-008-027-028-081245-
Robertson TN-Davidson TN-Wilson TN-Sumner TN-
717 AM CDT Wed May 8 2024

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHEASTERN DAVIDSON...
SOUTHWESTERN SUMNER...NORTHWESTERN WILSON AND SOUTHEASTERN ROBERTSON
COUNTIES THROUGH 745 AM CDT...

At 717 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Goodlettsville, moving east at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Gallatin, Lebanon, Madison, Hendersonville, Mount Juliet,
Goodlettsville, White House, Millersville, Greenbrier, Lakewood,
Ridgetop, Old Hickory, Joelton, Green Hill, Bledsoe Creek State Park,
and Whites Creek.

This includes the following highways...
 Interstate 40 near mile marker 234.
 Interstate 65 between mile markers 91 and 105.
 Interstate 24 between mile markers 35 and 42.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3626 8688 3644 8686 3645 8633 3618 8635
TIME...MOT...LOC 1217Z 273DEG 31KT 3635 8678

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Shamburger