Tornado Warning 8, NWS Northern Indiana

294 
WWUS53 KIWX 072036
SVSIWX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
436 PM EDT Tue May 7 2024

INC091-072045-
/O.CAN.KIWX.TO.W.0008.000000T0000Z-240507T2115Z/
La Porte IN-
436 PM EDT Tue May 7 2024

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR NORTH CENTRAL LA PORTE COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

The tornadic thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out 
of the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 900 PM EDT for northwestern
Indiana...and southwestern Michigan.

&&

LAT...LON 4187 8623 4176 8652 4176 8682 4184 8669
      4190 8662 4193 8659 4204 8638
TIME...MOT...LOC 2035Z 239DEG 40KT 4178 8670 

$$

MIC021-072115-
/O.CON.KIWX.TO.W.0008.000000T0000Z-240507T2115Z/
Berrien MI-
436 PM EDT Tue May 7 2024

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 515 PM EDT FOR SOUTHERN
BERRIEN COUNTY...

At 435 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located over New Buffalo, or 9 miles northeast of Trail Creek,
moving northeast at 45 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado and ping pong ball size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

This dangerous storm will be near...
  Three Oaks and Shorewood-Tower Hills-Harbert around 440 PM EDT.
  Berrien Springs around 500 PM EDT.

Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include Union
Pier, Grand Beach, Glendora, New Troy, Harbert, Sawyer, Turner
Shores, Dayton, Michiana, and Lakeside In Berrien County.

This includes Interstate 94 in Michigan between mile markers 0 and
16.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

If on or near Lake Michigan, get away from the water and move to 
safe shelter immediately. If you can hear thunder, you are close 
enough to be struck by lightning. Severe thunderstorms can produce 
large capsizing waves, even on small bodies of water. Move into dock 
and seek safe shelter now! Do not be caught on the water in a 
thunderstorm.

&&

LAT...LON 4187 8623 4176 8652 4176 8682 4184 8669
      4190 8662 4193 8659 4204 8638
TIME...MOT...LOC 2035Z 239DEG 40KT 4178 8670 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.50 IN

$$

MJ

863 
WWUS53 KIWX 072043
SVSIWX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
443 PM EDT Tue May 7 2024

MIC021-072115-
/O.CON.KIWX.TO.W.0008.000000T0000Z-240507T2115Z/
Berrien MI-
443 PM EDT Tue May 7 2024

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 515 PM EDT FOR
SOUTHEASTERN BERRIEN COUNTY...

At 443 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located over Three Oaks, or 11 miles west of Buchanan, moving 
northeast at 45 mph. At 437 PM EDT, quarter size hail was reported 
in New Buffalo, MI. 

HAZARD...Tornado and half dollar size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

This dangerous storm will be near...
  Berrien Springs around 455 PM EDT.

Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include Union
Pier, Galien, Glendora, New Troy, Baroda, Harbert, Sawyer, Turner
Shores, and Lakeside In Berrien County.

This includes Interstate 94 in Michigan between mile markers 5 and
16.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

If on or near Lake Michigan, get away from the water and move to 
safe shelter immediately. If you can hear thunder, you are close 
enough to be struck by lightning. Severe thunderstorms can produce 
large capsizing waves, even on small bodies of water. Move into dock 
and seek safe shelter now! Do not be caught on the water in a 
thunderstorm.

&&

LAT...LON 4187 8623 4178 8655 4182 8672 4184 8669
      4190 8662 4193 8659 4204 8638
TIME...MOT...LOC 2043Z 239DEG 40KT 4183 8660 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.25 IN

$$

MJ

558 
WWUS53 KIWX 072114
SVSIWX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
514 PM EDT Tue May 7 2024

MIC021-072123-
/O.EXP.KIWX.TO.W.0008.000000T0000Z-240507T2115Z/
Berrien MI-
514 PM EDT Tue May 7 2024

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN BERRIEN COUNTY WILL EXPIRE AT
515 PM EDT...

The storm which prompted the warning has moved out of the area.
Therefore, the warning will be allowed to expire.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 900 PM EDT for southwestern
Michigan.

&&

LAT...LON 4187 8623 4178 8655 4182 8672 4184 8669
      4190 8662 4193 8659 4204 8638
TIME...MOT...LOC 2113Z 239DEG 40KT 4199 8623 

$$

MJ

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
129 PM EDT Tue May 7 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Severe storms are likely mid afternoon into mid evening. The
  primary threat with any severe storms that occur include damaging
  winds, large hail, and a few tornadoes. Confidence is high.

- Isolated strong to severe storms are possible again Wednesday evening,
  mainly south of US 24. Localized heavy rain and flooding is the primary
  threat but a few storms could contain hail. Confidence is low.

- Cooler with chances for showers later this week into the weekend.
  Highs Friday into Sunday will be in the 60s. Otherwise temperatures
  will warm back into the mid 60s to mid 70s next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 125 PM EDT Tue May 7 2024

Post convective outflow bubble from this morning sharpening
effective warm frontal zone from nrn IL esewd through cntrl IN
and into wrn OH. This will mix further north into evening over
nrn IN and will yield a certain tornado risk given enlarging low
level shear across this boundary. Otherwise growing instability
wedge across the warm sector back west is primed to initiate
convection along/ahead of cold front pushing through wrn IL attm
with additional isolated storms out in front through the warm
sector also possible late this afternoon. Given degree of
expected instability in combo with enhancing deep layer shear
supercells are likely with primary sig hail risk and attendant
enhanced tor risk with discrete storms interacting with the warm
front.

Storms clear quickly far east by mid evening and then quiet
overnight within post cold frontal bubble. This is short lived
however as nrn plains upper flow wobbles east into the midwest Wed
and induces new sfc frontal wave across the mid MS valley. While
track of this is expected to hold south fairly robust warm advection
aloft expected to spread as far north as the US 24 corridor with
localized heavy rain far south Wed evening and perhaps some marginal
hail risk with stronger storms. Thereafter elongating upper trough
hangs back through the srn lakes with a risk for showers at times
through Saturday along with quite cool temps.

Upper pattern breaks back warmer yet continued unsettled longer term
by mid next week.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 128 PM EDT Tue May 7 2024

Behind this morning's band of showers and thunderstorms, enough
convergence and forcing within a still moisture atmospheric column
has been modeled to produce additional showers and thunderstorms
this afternoon. Models actually do create additional instability
this afternoon behind the morning convection allowing for the chance
for strong to severe thunderstorms. It appears the timing of
thunderstorms will be 20z to 00z this evening with all threats on
the table with any thunderstorm. It is interesting that cold
advection waits until this evening, after the passage of the storms
and likely holds off widespread MVFR CIGs until at least that point.
Although patchy MVFR and perhaps IFR conditions will be possible
within the stronger thunderstorms with heavy rain reducing VISBY.
There is some indication that we clear out after this evening's
storms, but the dry air should be enough to keep fog at bay
overnight.

&&

.IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IN...None.
OH...None.
MI...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

DISCUSSION...T
AVIATION...Roller

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
240 PM EDT Tue May 7 2024

INZ005-006-008-012>015-017-103-104-116-203-204-216-MIZ078-079-177-
277-080900-
Elkhart-Lagrange-Noble-Starke-Pulaski-Marshall-Fulton IN-Whitley-
Northern La Porte-Eastern St. Joseph IN-Northern Kosciusko-
Southern La Porte-Western St. Joseph IN-Southern Kosciusko-Cass MI-
St. Joseph MI-Northern Berrien-Southern Berrien-
240 PM EDT Tue May 7 2024 /140 PM CDT Tue May 7 2024/

...TORNADO WATCH 195 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT /8 PM CDT/ THIS
EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northern Indiana and
southwest Michigan.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Tornado Watch.

Severe storms are likely late this afternoon through early evening.
The primary threats are large hail and tornadoes with isolated
damaging winds possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will be needed this afternoon.

INZ007-009-018-MIZ080-081-OHZ001-002-004-005-015-016-080900-
Steuben-De Kalb-Allen IN-Branch-Hillsdale-Williams-Fulton OH-
Defiance-Henry-Paulding-Putnam-
240 PM EDT Tue May 7 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northern Indiana, southwest
Michigan and northwest Ohio.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Severe storms are likely this evening. The primary threats are large
hail and tornadoes with isolated damaging winds possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will likely be needed this evening.

INZ026-027-033-034-OHZ024-025-080900-
Wells-Adams-Blackford-Jay-Van Wert-Allen OH-
240 PM EDT Tue May 7 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northern Indiana and
northwest Ohio.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Severe storms are likely late this evening. The primary threats are
large hail and tornadoes with isolated damaging winds possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Areas of heavy rain and localized flooding are possible Wednesday
night.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will likely be needed this evening.

INZ020-022>025-032-080900-
White-Cass IN-Miami-Wabash-Huntington-Grant-
240 PM EDT Tue May 7 2024

...TORNADO WATCH 195 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northern Indiana.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Tornado Watch.

Severe storms are likely late this afternoon through early evening.
The primary threats are large hail and tornadoes with isolated
damaging winds possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Areas of heavy rain and localized flooding are possible Wednesday
night.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will be needed this afternoon.

LMZ043-046-080900-
New Buffalo MI to St Joseph MI-Michigan City IN to New Buffalo MI-
240 PM EDT Tue May 7 2024

...TORNADO WATCH 195 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the nearshore waters of
southeastern Lake Michigan.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Tornado Watch.

Severe storms are likely this afternoon. The primary threats are
large hail with isolated damaging winds possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
426 PM EDT Tue May 7 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0423 PM     Hail             Michigan City           41.72N 86.88W
05/07/2024  M2.50 Inch       La Porte           IN   Trained Spotter

&&

NDM

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
427 PM EDT Tue May 7 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0422 PM     Hail             1 NW Michigan City      41.72N 86.89W
05/07/2024  M1.75 Inch       La Porte           IN   Trained Spotter

&&

NDM