Special Weather Statement, NWS Atlanta, GA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
243 PM EDT Fri Aug 30 2024

...Afternoon Area Forecast Discussion...

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Saturday)
Issued at 219 PM EDT Fri Aug 30 2024

Lee trough still situated across portions of northern GA this
afternoon. Scattered afternoon thunderstorms have developed within
the unstable airmass. Thunderstorms will continue into the evening
feeding off any lingering instability/outflow boundaries. The
environment has slightly modified from yesterday with more moisture
in the mid levels and a little less DCAPE. Regardless, the atmos
remains ripe for wet microbursts. The lapse rates are also a little
steeper than yesterday afternoon. Strong thunderstorms have already
developed this afternoon and expect this trend to continue. A few
severe thunderstorms will also be possible through the evening.
Damaging wind gusts would be the primary hazard. BL flow remains
very light, so locally heavy rainfall will be possible.

The lee trough is expected to remain in place through tomorrow as a
weak frontal boundary approaches from the west. Increasing storm
coverage is expected tomorrow afternoon. While the main potential
for strong/severe storms is along the approaching front out west, do
think there is some potential for diurnal strong/isolated severe
storms across portions of north and central GA.

NListemaa

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday morning through next Thursday)
Issued at 219 PM EDT Fri Aug 30 2024

Sunday Morning Through Thursday

At a glance...

 - Rain chances increasing through mid week

 - Temperatures steady and then decreasing through mid week.

Overall a wetter period through mid next week. The upper level
trough will be well settled across the Great Lakes region by the
start of the long term outlook. Models continue to stall the surface
front across the North GA and Southern TN border. As the high over
the Ohio valley moves eastward, moist flow around the western side
of the sfc high will shift eastward and move further northward. This
will likely see the stalled front "slosh" north and south through
the weekend. PoPs will be most concentrated across North GA though
showers and thunderstorms won't be out of the question further into
central and even southern GA. Upper level forcing will be weak with
the front, as the parent trough flattens/moves northeast and the sfc
low moves well into Canada. QPF will remain fairly limited through
the weekend. Showers and thunderstorms remain mostly scattered,
though locally heavy rainfall is not out of the question given
increasing PWATs from 1.5" to 2.0" through Monday. Given recent
thunderstorm activity and the surface heating available, a storms
could become gusty with a few isolated severe not completely out of
the question each afternoon. Monday through mid week will see a more
widespread increase in PoPs as the front diffuses southward and Gulf
moisture surges northward. Total forecast QPF through the full 7 day
period will likely remain between 0.5" to 1.5" for the majority of
the area.

Temperatures will remain in the low to mid 90s through the weekend.
Increasing cloud coverage and easterly flow will help to reinforce
cooler air mid next week. Highs will likely remain in the mid to low
80s, with some northern locations seeing highs only in the upper 70s.

SM

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1254 PM EDT Fri Aug 30 2024

Isolated/scattered afternoon convection expected this afternoon
and tomorrow afternoon. Mostly diurnal in nature. Winds may go VRB
overnight, but should primarily be on the SE side. Models are
progging a shift to the SW side tomorrow afternoon and then VRB
again overnight.

//ATL Confidence...18Z Update...
Med confidence all elements.

NListemaa

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          70  92  71  93 /  20  30  30  30
Atlanta         72  91  73  92 /  20  40  30  30
Blairsville     65  84  66  84 /  20  50  30  70
Cartersville    70  92  70  92 /  20  50  30  50
Columbus        73  95  73  96 /  20  20  10  20
Gainesville     70  90  71  90 /  20  50  30  40
Macon           72  94  71  95 /  20  10  10  20
Rome            70  91  71  91 /  20  50  30  60
Peachtree City  70  91  71  92 /  20  40  20  30
Vidalia         72  93  71  94 /  20  10  10  10

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

SHORT TERM...NListemaa
LONG TERM....SM
AVIATION...NListemaa

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
425 AM EDT Fri Aug 30 2024

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-310830-
Baldwin-Banks-Barrow-Bartow-Bibb-Bleckley-Butts-Carroll-Catoosa-
Chattahoochee-Chattooga-Cherokee-Clarke-Clayton-Cobb-Coweta-
Crawford-Crisp-Dade-Dawson-DeKalb-Dodge-Dooly-Douglas-Emanuel-
Fannin-Fayette-Floyd-Forsyth-Gilmer-Glascock-Gordon-Greene-
Gwinnett-Hall-Hancock-Haralson-Harris-Heard-Henry-Houston-Jackson-
Jasper-Jefferson-Johnson-Jones-Lamar-Laurens-Lumpkin-Macon-
Madison-Marion-Meriwether-Monroe-Montgomery-Morgan-Murray-
Muscogee-Newton-North Fulton-Oconee-Oglethorpe-Paulding-Peach-
Pickens-Pike-Polk-Pulaski-Putnam-Rockdale-Schley-South Fulton-
Spalding-Stewart-Sumter-Talbot-Taliaferro-Taylor-Telfair-Toombs-
Towns-Treutlen-Troup-Twiggs-Union-Upson-Walker-Walton-Warren-
Washington-Webster-Wheeler-White-Whitfield-Wilcox-Wilkes-
Wilkinson-
425 AM EDT Fri Aug 30 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of North and Central Georgia.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight...

Scattered thunderstorms are expected this afternoon into evening.
Some storms could become strong to severe with the main threats
being strong to damaging wind gusts and heavy rainfall.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday...

Scattered thunderstorms are expected every evening through
Thursday with the main threats being gusty winds, heavy rainfall
and frequent lightning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
334 PM EDT Fri Aug 30 2024

GAZ051-062-302000-
Taliaferro GA-Warren GA-
334 PM EDT Fri Aug 30 2024

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northwestern Warren
and southeastern Taliaferro Counties through 400 PM EDT...

At 334 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was over Norwood, or near
Warrenton, moving west at 5 mph.

HAZARD...Up to 40 mph wind, frequent cloud to ground lightning and
         heavy rain.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
         street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Locations impacted include...
Warrenton, Norwood, Sharon, Camak, Cadley, and Barnett.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

&&

LAT...LON 3357 8267 3340 8260 3333 8279 3356 8286
TIME...MOT...LOC 1934Z 110DEG 6KT 3347 8270

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
336 PM EDT Fri Aug 30 2024

GAZ057-058-302000-
Butts GA-Henry GA-
336 PM EDT Fri Aug 30 2024

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southeastern Henry
and southwestern Butts Counties through 400 PM EDT...

At 336 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was over McKibben, or near
Jackson, moving west at 10 mph.

HAZARD...Up to 40 mph wind, frequent cloud to ground lightning and
         heavy rain.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
         street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Locations impacted include...
Jackson, Locust Grove, Jenkinsburg, and McKibben.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

&&

LAT...LON 3327 8411 3329 8409 3330 8410 3338 8410
      3336 8394 3329 8395 3320 8393 3320 8411
TIME...MOT...LOC 1936Z 110DEG 7KT 3328 8401

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
342 PM EDT Fri Aug 30 2024

GAZ095-302015-
Houston GA-
342 PM EDT Fri Aug 30 2024

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southwestern Houston
County through 415 PM EDT...

At 342 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was over Elko, or 8 miles south
of Perry, moving southwest at 15 mph.

HAZARD...Up to 40 mph wind, pea sized hail and frequent cloud to
         ground lightning.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Perry, Hayneville, Moss Oak, Grovania, Elko, Grove Park, Henderson,
and Clinchfield.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning.

&&

LAT...LON 3229 8373 3229 8376 3235 8385 3236 8385
      3236 8386 3238 8385 3238 8384 3239 8384
      3246 8371 3238 8358 3233 8363 3230 8372
TIME...MOT...LOC 1942Z 046DEG 11KT 3235 8371

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
345 PM EDT Fri Aug 30 2024

GAZ021-302015-
Cherokee GA-
345 PM EDT Fri Aug 30 2024

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of central Cherokee
County through 415 PM EDT...

At 345 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was near Canton, moving west at
5 mph.

HAZARD...Up to 40 mph wind, pea sized hail and frequent cloud to
         ground lightning.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Canton, Waleska, and Buffington.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning.

&&

LAT...LON 3435 8442 3423 8437 3418 8453 3435 8458
TIME...MOT...LOC 1945Z 077DEG 6KT 3428 8445

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
401 PM EDT Fri Aug 30 2024

GAZ061-062-302030-
Hancock GA-Warren GA-
401 PM EDT Fri Aug 30 2024

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southwestern Warren
and northeastern Hancock Counties through 430 PM EDT...

At 401 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was near Mayfield, or near
Warrenton, moving southwest at 10 mph.

HAZARD...40 to 50 mph wind, up to penny sized hail and frequent
         cloud to ground lightning.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Warrenton, Mayfield, Jewell, and Beall Springs.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning.

&&

LAT...LON 3326 8272 3325 8274 3338 8289 3347 8276
      3339 8263
TIME...MOT...LOC 2001Z 040DEG 7KT 3337 8274

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
412 PM EDT Fri Aug 30 2024

GAZ019-020-302045-
Bartow GA-Floyd GA-
412 PM EDT Fri Aug 30 2024

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southeastern Floyd
and southwestern Bartow Counties through 445 PM EDT...

At 412 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was over Euharlee, or 10 miles
west of Cartersville, moving northwest at 5 mph.

HAZARD...Up to 40 mph wind, pea sized hail and frequent cloud to
         ground lightning.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Euharlee, Kingston, and Taylorsville.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning.

&&

LAT...LON 3427 8499 3417 8486 3408 8498 3408 8499
      3414 8512
TIME...MOT...LOC 2012Z 137DEG 6KT 3415 8498

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH