Severe Thunderstorm Warning 265, NWS Atlanta, GA

776 
WWUS52 KFFC 182317
SVSFFC

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
717 PM EDT Sun Aug 18 2024

GAC021-153-289-182345-
/O.CON.KFFC.SV.W.0265.000000T0000Z-240818T2345Z/
Bibb GA-Twiggs GA-Houston GA-
717 PM EDT Sun Aug 18 2024

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 745 PM EDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN BIBB...TWIGGS AND NORTHEASTERN HOUSTON COUNTIES...

At 717 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located just north of 
Middle Georgia Regional Airport, or 8 miles south of Macon, moving 
southeast at 30 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Macon, Jeffersonville, Warner Robins, Centerville, Robins AFB,
Marion, Tarversville, Robins Air Force Base, Bullard, Rutland, Huber,
District Path, Elberta, Middle Georgia Regional Airport, Bonaire, and
Ripley.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3265 8371 3269 8370 3272 8370 3279 8365
      3281 8356 3265 8329 3252 8335 3251 8338
      3251 8363
TIME...MOT...LOC 2317Z 325DEG 24KT 3271 8362 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

848 
WWUS52 KFFC 182329
SVSFFC

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
729 PM EDT Sun Aug 18 2024

GAC021-182339-
/O.CAN.KFFC.SV.W.0265.000000T0000Z-240818T2345Z/
Bibb GA-
729 PM EDT Sun Aug 18 2024

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN BIBB COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out of 
the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM EDT for
central Georgia.

&&

LAT...LON 3262 8369 3266 8360 3270 8360 3274 8354
      3275 8347 3265 8329 3252 8335 3251 8338
      3251 8363
TIME...MOT...LOC 2329Z 310DEG 30KT 3265 8352 

$$

GAC153-289-182345-
/O.CON.KFFC.SV.W.0265.000000T0000Z-240818T2345Z/
Twiggs GA-Houston GA-
729 PM EDT Sun Aug 18 2024

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 745 PM EDT
FOR CENTRAL TWIGGS AND NORTHEASTERN HOUSTON COUNTIES...

At 729 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located just northwest of 
Bullard, or 10 miles west of Jeffersonville, moving southeast at 35 
mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Jeffersonville, Warner Robins, Centerville, Robins AFB, Marion,
Tarversville, District Path, Robins Air Force Base, Bullard, Bonaire,
and Huber.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3262 8369 3266 8360 3270 8360 3274 8354
      3275 8347 3265 8329 3252 8335 3251 8338
      3251 8363
TIME...MOT...LOC 2329Z 310DEG 30KT 3265 8352 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
313 PM EDT Sun Aug 18 2024

...Afternoon Area Forecast Discussion...

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Monday)
Issued at 236 PM EDT Sun Aug 18 2024

Storms are already beginning to fire in north Georgia but are
generally staying below severe limits. The low clouds this morning
hanging on until 11am generally limited the amount of time that area
was allowed any deferential heating. The slight risk from SPC has
been expanded northward slightly but still well south of I-20. The
main risk still exists within this slight risk along the residual
boundary from the outflow last night. This is where parameters are
overall better for a strong to damaging wind threat. The lapse rates
are marginal at best so will likely not see a severe hail threat out
of these storms today. Winds will generally gust to around 20mph
today out of the west as temps rise into the low to mid 90s over
much of the area.

The front currently approaching north GA is expected to move
southward overnight into tomorrow morning which will result in an
overall pleasant day tomorrow with highs in the mid 80s to low 90s
and dewpoints in the 60s. The dry air behind the front will also
lead to a rain free day tomorrow so enjoy it if you can!

Hernandez

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday morning through next Saturday)
Issued at 236 PM EDT Sun Aug 18 2024

No significant forecast concerns or weather impacts expected in
the long term period.

Mostly dry and slightly cooler weather pattern anticipated as
high amplitude upper ridge over the western CONUS and similar high
amplitude trough over the east, centered about 300 miles east of
the state, remains nearly stationary through Thursday with strong
NNW flow in the region. Shortwave traveling south in NNWly flow
over the Midwest on Thursday should help push longwave trough back
to the west and increase moisture into the area.

After this, still seeing ensemble consensus for upper low to slip
south into the northeast Gulf and travel WSW. Big system in the
NWUS also expected to kick upper ridge east into the Midwest so
warming temps and a bit more diurnal convection expected
continuing into the weekend. Can't rule out extreme heat here by
early next week if this pattern evolves as predicted with large
upper ridge moving into the OH and TN valleys. Low predictability
that far out even with good model consensus, so will do our best
to keep that thing away.

SNELSON

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 131 PM EDT Sun Aug 18 2024

IFR and LIFR stuck around long enough to limit the TS chances this
afternoon for the metro sites. Can't rule out an isolated TS but
that is a very low chance. The cu field should dissipate into the
evening as winds turn NW overnight and only high cirrus remains.
Could see some low end gusts this afternoon and evening up to
15-20kts.

//ATL Confidence...18Z Update...

Medium on TS chances.
High on all other elements.

Hernandez

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          68  90  67  88 /  10   0   0   0
Atlanta         69  89  67  88 /  10   0   0   0
Blairsville     61  80  57  80 /  10  10   0   0
Cartersville    66  88  63  86 /  10   0   0   0
Columbus        71  93  69  92 /  50   0   0   0
Gainesville     67  88  66  87 /  10   0   0   0
Macon           69  91  69  90 /  40   0   0   0
Rome            68  87  64  85 /  10   0   0   0
Peachtree City  67  88  66  88 /  20   0   0   0
Vidalia         72  92  71  90 /  50   0   0   0

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

SHORT TERM...Hernandez
LONG TERM....SNELSON
AVIATION...Hernandez

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
532 PM EDT Sun Aug 18 2024

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-192145-
Baldwin-Banks-Barrow-Bartow-Bibb-Bleckley-Butts-Carroll-Catoosa-
Chattahoochee-Chattooga-Cherokee-Clarke-Clayton-Cobb-Coweta-
Crawford-Crisp-Dade-Dawson-DeKalb-Dodge-Dooly-Douglas-Emanuel-
Fannin-Fayette-Floyd-Forsyth-Gilmer-Glascock-Gordon-Greene-
Gwinnett-Hall-Hancock-Haralson-Harris-Heard-Henry-Houston-Jackson-
Jasper-Jefferson-Johnson-Jones-Lamar-Laurens-Lumpkin-Macon-
Madison-Marion-Meriwether-Monroe-Montgomery-Morgan-Murray-
Muscogee-Newton-North Fulton-Oconee-Oglethorpe-Paulding-Peach-
Pickens-Pike-Polk-Pulaski-Putnam-Rockdale-Schley-South Fulton-
Spalding-Stewart-Sumter-Talbot-Taliaferro-Taylor-Telfair-Toombs-
Towns-Treutlen-Troup-Twiggs-Union-Upson-Walker-Walton-Warren-
Washington-Webster-Wheeler-White-Whitfield-Wilcox-Wilkes-
Wilkinson-
532 PM EDT Sun Aug 18 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of North and Central Georgia.

.DAY ONE...Tonight...

A severe thunderstorm watch is in effect along and south of I-20.
They are expected to form a line of storms across central Georgia
this evening and will be capable of producing damaging wind gusts
and isolated large hail in addition to frequent lightning and
locally heavy rainfall.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday...

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. Isolated
thunderstorms are possible each afternoon from Thursday through
Saturday across south central Georgia.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not requested but spotters are encouraged
to submit reports of severe weather through the web by going to
weather.gov/atlanta.  Please relay any information about observed severe
weather to the NWS while following all local, state, and CDC
guidelines.

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
642 PM EDT Sun Aug 18 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0534 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     1 NE Stanfordville      33.23N 83.49W
08/18/2024                   Putnam             GA   Emergency Mngr

            A tree was reported down along Rabbit Skip
            Rd SW.

&&

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
645 PM EDT Sun Aug 18 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0539 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     1 S Resseaus Crossroads 33.19N 83.43W
08/18/2024                   Putnam             GA   Emergency Mngr

            A tree was reported down on Highway 129
            between Highway 212 and the Jones County
            line.

&&

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
647 PM EDT Sun Aug 18 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0544 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     3 W Plant Harlee Branch 33.19N 83.36W
08/18/2024                   Putnam             GA   Emergency Mngr

            A tree was reported down on Bluegill Road at
            Southshore Rd.

&&

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
649 PM EDT Sun Aug 18 2024

GAZ080-091>093-182315-
Macon GA-Schley GA-Taylor GA-Marion GA-
649 PM EDT Sun Aug 18 2024

...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of northwestern Macon,
southeastern Marion, Schley and southwestern Taylor Counties through
715 PM EDT...

At 649 PM EDT, a line of strong thunderstorms was along a line
extending from near Butler to Tazewell, and moving southeast at 30
mph.

HAZARD...40 to 50 mph wind, pea sized hail and frequent cloud to
         ground lightning.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Buena Vista, Butler, Ellaville, Ideal, Putnam, Murrays Crossroads,
Fountainville, Rupert, Charing, Garden Valley, Hicks, Tazewell,
Doyle, Bartlett, and Walls Crossing.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM EDT for
west central Georgia.

&&

LAT...LON 3234 8458 3256 8422 3246 8401 3227 8416
      3216 8443
TIME...MOT...LOC 2249Z 323DEG 26KT 3254 8419 3237 8446

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
652 PM EDT Sun Aug 18 2024

GAZ081-093>095-182315-
Macon GA-Peach GA-Houston GA-Crawford GA-
652 PM EDT Sun Aug 18 2024

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northeastern Macon,
Peach, northwestern Houston and southeastern Crawford Counties
through 715 PM EDT...

At 652 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was over Lee Pope, or near Fort
Valley, moving southeast at 25 mph.

HAZARD...Up to 40 mph wind, pea sized hail and frequent cloud to
         ground lightning.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Perry, Fort Valley, Warner Robins, Byron, Saint Louis, Powerville,
Moss Oak, Meadowdale, Lee Pope, Miami Valley, and Lakewood.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM EDT for
central and west central Georgia.

&&

LAT...LON 3261 8405 3271 8396 3260 8365 3245 8369
      3239 8384
TIME...MOT...LOC 2252Z 305DEG 20KT 3261 8396

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
655 PM EDT Sun Aug 18 2024

GAZ074-076-084-085-097-182330-
Wilkinson GA-Jefferson GA-Washington GA-Johnson GA-Laurens GA-
655 PM EDT Sun Aug 18 2024

...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of southeastern
Wilkinson, northeastern Laurens, southeastern Washington, Johnson and
south central Jefferson Counties through 730 PM EDT...

At 654 PM EDT, a line of strong thunderstorms was along a line
extending from near Davisboro to near Harrison to near Chappells
Mill, and moving southeast at 40 mph.

HAZARD...40 to 50 mph wind, pea sized hail and frequent cloud to
         ground lightning.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Dublin, Wrightsville, East Dublin, Wadley, Davisboro, Harrison,
Bartow, Riddleville, Kite, Spann, Donovan, Tuckers Crossroad,
Pringle, Lovett, Moxley, New Home, Chappells Mill, Meeks, and
Brewton.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM EDT for
central and east central Georgia.

&&

LAT...LON 3282 8239 3281 8242 3278 8240 3276 8244
      3272 8245 3269 8250 3266 8249 3265 8247
      3249 8286 3276 8317 3289 8282 3304 8271
      3295 8239
TIME...MOT...LOC 2254Z 302DEG 35KT 3300 8266 3283 8269 3271 8303

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH