Severe Thunderstorm Warning 133, NWS Atlanta, GA

919 
WWUS52 KFFC 270933
SVSFFC

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
533 AM EDT Mon May 27 2024

GAC313-270942-
/O.CAN.KFFC.SV.W.0133.000000T0000Z-240527T0945Z/
Whitfield GA-
533 AM EDT Mon May 27 2024

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN WHITFIELD COUNTY
IS CANCELLED...

The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out of 
the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 900 AM EDT for northwestern
Georgia.

&&

LAT...LON 3466 8444 3455 8453 3455 8459 3459 8491
      3467 8491 3466 8489 3468 8489 3468 8490
      3480 8471 3484 8450
TIME...MOT...LOC 0932Z 270DEG 37KT 3467 8457 

$$

GAC123-129-213-270945-
/O.CON.KFFC.SV.W.0133.000000T0000Z-240527T0945Z/
Gilmer GA-Murray GA-Gordon GA-
533 AM EDT Mon May 27 2024

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 545 AM EDT
FOR WESTERN GILMER...SOUTHERN MURRAY AND NORTHEASTERN GORDON
COUNTIES...

At 532 AM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Tails Creek, or
near Ellijay, moving east at 45 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Chatsworth, Ellijay, East Ellijay, Carters, Talona, Tails Creek,
Ramhurst, Mountaintown, Oakman, Fort Mountain State Park,
Nickelsville, North Georgia Speedway, and Roundtop.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 900 AM EDT for northwestern
Georgia.

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3466 8444 3455 8453 3455 8459 3459 8491
      3467 8491 3466 8489 3468 8489 3468 8490
      3480 8471 3484 8450
TIME...MOT...LOC 0932Z 270DEG 37KT 3467 8457 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

882 
WWUS52 KFFC 270943
SVSFFC

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
543 AM EDT Mon May 27 2024

GAC123-129-213-270953-
/O.EXP.KFFC.SV.W.0133.000000T0000Z-240527T0945Z/
Gilmer GA-Murray GA-Gordon GA-
543 AM EDT Mon May 27 2024

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR WESTERN GILMER...SOUTHERN
MURRAY AND NORTHEASTERN GORDON COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 545 AM EDT...

The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer poses an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore, the warning will be allowed to expire.  However, small
hail and gusty winds are still possible with this thunderstorm.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 900 AM EDT for northwestern
Georgia.

&&

LAT...LON 3466 8444 3455 8453 3455 8459 3459 8491
      3467 8491 3466 8489 3468 8489 3468 8490
      3480 8471 3484 8450
TIME...MOT...LOC 0943Z 272DEG 37KT 3467 8444 

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
340 AM EDT Mon May 27 2024

...Morning Area Forecast Discussion...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Tuesday)
Issued at 328 AM EDT Mon May 27 2024

Strong line of storms continues to progress towards the CWA. Eastern
portion of the line in north TN has become very outflow dominate,
with outflow boundary rushing ahead of the storms per KOHX. This is
good news for much of north GA, as this will undercut most of the
severe potential from these storms, though strong gusty winds will
remain possible. However, we have seen some development along the
western portions of the line in western/central TN with some QLCS
structures noted and new development in northern AL with some
transient supercell structures. This may push into portions of far
NW GA tonight, and as such, a tornado watch is in effect in the far
NW counties. These areas remain in an Enhanced Risk (Level 3
of 5) through 8am.

The expectation is that even if storms enter the area with severe
potential, they should begin to wind down pretty quickly.
Substantial EML is in place across much of GA around 700 mb, and
while a combination of WAA and moisture pooling is keeping
temperatures elevated, we have still cooled enough to create
substantial capping. This will have impacts on updraft momentum and
should lead to weakening of storms despite an otherwise favorable
environment. However, still can't rule out seeing something produce
a damaging wind gust as it moves further south into the metro as
this all pushes through.

Substantial uncertainty remains regarding convective evolution for
this afternoon. Morning MCS that pushes into GA is expected to
weaken, but effects of it will remain into the afternoon across the
area. Cloud cover will likely limit surface heating which may limit
instability parameters. We see this play out in the 00Z HRRR for
instance, where northern GA and much of central GA only reach the
lower 80s for highs, rather than previously forecast upper 80s and
lower 90s. But, if cloud cover clears fast, or MCS does not progress
as far south, instability will be substantial during the afternoon
with MLCAPE values of 1500+ J/kg. There is also some diabatic
heating of the upper levels that will have occurred with line,
though this may be offset somewhat by advection of some better lapse
rates as the upper level shortwave moves by the area. Given we
remain on the edge of strong subtropical ridge with wave passing by,
strong westerly flow aloft will be in place allowing for 0-6 km
shear values of 30-40 kts during the early afternoon. Thinking that
given the progression of the MCS, the best chances of a severe storm
in the afternoon will be in central GA just ahead of the remnant
outflow. Still could see some stronger and possible a severe storm
form on the backside of the boundary in north GA and the metro if
enough daytime heating can occur. Storms will also have the cold
front pushing in to aid in initiation in north GA, though lack of
convergence along the front may limit the effectiveness of this.
Primary threats will be large hail and damaging winds, though can't
rule out a tornado threat along the outflow boundary if a storm can
ingest vorticity along it just right. A Slight Risk (level 2 of 5)
is in effect through the afternoon and evening hours.

"Cold" front moves through the area into the evening and surges
through overnight. This will be less a break from the heat (it's
almost June, welcome to Georgia) and more a break from the higher
humidity values as drier air pushes in. Forecast highs are in the
80s and lower 90s for areas outside the mountains.

Lusk

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday night through Sunday)
Issued at 328 AM EDT Mon May 27 2024

The extended forecast starts off dry as high pressure slowly
builds in from the northern plains and western great lake states.
With this ridge and drier airmass will come slightly cooler temps
for the middle to the end of the week. Temps Wed through Fri will
see highs mainly in the lower to middle 80s. Moisture begins to
creep back in for the weekend and could see precip chances move
back in for Sat/Sun.

01

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 243 AM EDT Mon May 27 2024

VFR to start TAF period. Line of TSRA currently in TN and AL will
push into the metro TAF sites later this morning, but expected to
be weakening. Best thunder chances represented by TEMPO between
11Z and 15Z. Strong winds may precede thunderstorms at metro TAF
sites, with gusts up to 25 kts. Cigs will drop as line pushes
through, MVFR expected, though periods of IFR will be possible.
Some clearing will happen through afternoon allowing for chance of
more afternoon storms, though high uncertainty around these
forming. Winds today will be SW, 7-12 kts with gusts up to 20 kts. Front
will eventually approach and pass airport, turning winds NW later
this evening.

//ATL Confidence...06Z Update...

Medium afternoon convection potential, high all others.

Lusk

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          85  64  88  62 /  50  20   0   0
Atlanta         86  66  88  65 /  50  20   0   0
Blairsville     79  58  79  54 /  80  10   0   0
Cartersville    86  62  86  59 /  60  10   0   0
Columbus        88  68  91  66 /  40  30   0   0
Gainesville     83  65  85  62 /  60  20   0   0
Macon           88  67  90  65 /  40  30   0   0
Rome            86  63  87  60 /  60  10   0   0
Peachtree City  86  64  88  63 /  50  20   0   0
Vidalia         91  71  91  67 /  40  40  10   0

&&

SHORT TERM...Lusk
LONG TERM....01
AVIATION...Lusk

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
241 AM EDT Mon May 27 2024

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-280645-
Baldwin-Banks-Barrow-Bartow-Bibb-Bleckley-Butts-Carroll-Catoosa-
Chattahoochee-Chattooga-Cherokee-Clarke-Clayton-Cobb-Coweta-
Crawford-Crisp-Dade-Dawson-DeKalb-Dodge-Dooly-Douglas-Emanuel-
Fannin-Fayette-Floyd-Forsyth-Gilmer-Glascock-Gordon-Greene-
Gwinnett-Hall-Hancock-Haralson-Harris-Heard-Henry-Houston-Jackson-
Jasper-Jefferson-Johnson-Jones-Lamar-Laurens-Lumpkin-Macon-
Madison-Marion-Meriwether-Monroe-Montgomery-Morgan-Murray-
Muscogee-Newton-North Fulton-Oconee-Oglethorpe-Paulding-Peach-
Pickens-Pike-Polk-Pulaski-Putnam-Rockdale-Schley-South Fulton-
Spalding-Stewart-Sumter-Talbot-Taliaferro-Taylor-Telfair-Toombs-
Towns-Treutlen-Troup-Twiggs-Union-Upson-Walker-Walton-Warren-
Washington-Webster-Wheeler-White-Whitfield-Wilcox-Wilkes-
Wilkinson-
241 AM EDT Mon May 27 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of North and Central Georgia.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight...

...TORNADO WATCH 330 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT THIS MORNING FOR
EXTREME NORTHWEST GEORGIA...

A line of showers and thunderstorms, some being strong to severe,
will approach far Northwest Georgia this morning. Damaging winds,
large hail, and a few tornadoes will be the primary threats.
Locally heavy rainfall and frequent lightning will also accompany
the line of storms. This line is expected to move SE across the
state today exiting the area late tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday...

There may still be some isolated storms across east central GA
Tuesday morning but they will move east of the area just after
daybreak. A drier forecast is expected through the end of the
week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not requested but spotters are encouraged
to submit reports of severe weather through the web by going to
weather.gov/atlanta. Please relay any information about observed
severe weather to the NWS.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
505 AM EDT Mon May 27 2024

GAZ002-004-005-011>013-019>021-270930-
Chattooga GA-Whitfield GA-Walker GA-Cherokee GA-Gordon GA-Bartow GA-
Pickens GA-Murray GA-Floyd GA-
505 AM EDT Mon May 27 2024

...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of northwestern
Cherokee, southwestern Murray, Floyd, south central Whitfield,
southeastern Walker, Gordon, west central Pickens, Chattooga and
northern Bartow Counties through 530 AM EDT...

At 505 AM EDT, a line of strong thunderstorms was along a line
extending from Resaca to near Desoto State Park, and moving southeast
at 45 mph.

HAZARD...Up to 45 mph wind, pea sized hail and frequent cloud to
         ground lightning.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Rome, Calhoun, Summerville, Adairsville, Trion, Resaca, Plainville,
Shannon, Fairmount, Lyerly, Menlo, Ranger, Pinson, Subligna, Redbud,
Folsom, Lake Marvin, Coosa, Cloudland, and Oakman.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 900 AM EDT for northwestern
Georgia.

&&

LAT...LON 3465 8505 3462 8471 3436 8457 3417 8544
      3456 8552
TIME...MOT...LOC 0905Z 317DEG 40KT 3460 8495 3449 8559

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH