Severe Thunderstorm Warning 111, NWS Atlanta, GA

705 
WWUS52 KFFC 091906
SVSFFC

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
306 PM EDT Thu May 9 2024

GAC259-261-307-091915-
/O.EXP.KFFC.SV.W.0111.000000T0000Z-240509T1915Z/
Stewart GA-Webster GA-Sumter GA-
306 PM EDT Thu May 9 2024

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHERN STEWART...WEBSTER AND
SOUTHERN SUMTER COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 315 PM EDT...

The storms which prompted the warning have weakened below severe
limits, and no longer pose an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore, the warning will be allowed to expire.  However, gusty
winds are still possible with these thunderstorms.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 500 PM EDT for central and
west central Georgia.

&&

LAT...LON 3197 8444 3193 8444 3192 8491 3195 8496
      3198 8496 3197 8504 3199 8507 3202 8505
      3204 8486 3213 8462 3198 8394 3195 8393
      3194 8393 3191 8394 3192 8434 3187 8434
TIME...MOT...LOC 1905Z 281DEG 18KT 3200 8445 3191 8471 3196 8493 

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
215 PM EDT Thu May 9 2024

...New 18Z Aviation Discussion...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Friday)
Issued at 335 AM EDT Thu May 9 2024

Active weather anticipated again today as a second MCS moves through
the CWA.

Early morning convection (MCS #1) is moving off to the east.

MCS #2 is currently winding up across western TN. This system will
advance eastward through the overnight hours and move through the
CWA today. Models have been fairly consistent on the timing of this
system over the last couple of days. The MCS should approach the far
NW corner of the CWA around 10-12Z and then continue southward. The
far northern portion of the outlook area should be well worked over
as the MCS approaches, but a few strong storms with isolated severe
storms will continue to be possible.

As the MCS moves south of the north GA mtns, the potential for
severe weather will increase fairly rapidly as this area is not
worked over and there will be plenty of moisture and instability to
work with. In addition, plenty of deep layer shear will be present
and lapse rates remain impressively steep. Damaging wind gusts,
large hail and a few tornadoes will all be possible. The MCS should
travel southward across the entire CWA through the early afternoon
hours.

The models are progging a late period MCS (MCS #3) approaching from
the west late tonight/every early Friday. The HRRR seems to be the
most reasonable hi-res model regarding this convective complex.
There will likely be some timing changes and some slight track
adjustments, but do think the bulk of strong/severe storms with this
system could remain south of the CWA. The entire CWA should be well
worked over from the MCS (#2) from earlier in the day. Not sure if
the atmos across the southern quarter of the CWA will have enough
time to recover for strong/severe thunderstorms. However, due to the
uncertainty regarding these types of systems, will leave in some
higher pops in that area. Can't rule out the potential for strong
and/or isolated storms in that area, but the potential should be low
during the early morning hours.

The early morning MCS (#1) has produced some locally heavy rainfall
across northern portions of the CWA. Radar estimates/observations
show some 3"-4" amounts across far NW GA...with a axis of 1"-2"
extending further eastward. The second MCS is expected to be a fast
mover, but will be capable of producing additional locally heavy
rainfall. Will hold off issuing a FFA at this time, but do expect
locally higher amounts of rainfall.

NListemaa

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday night through Wednesday)
Issued at 335 AM EDT Thu May 9 2024

Previous Discussion Below

A brief period of dry and slightly cooler weather is expected
this weekend as we return to northwest flow aloft. Rain chances
look to return to the region next week as another low pressure
system developing in the Southern Plains moves eastward.

07

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 207 PM EDT Thu May 9 2024

Earlier thunderstorm activity has played havoc with wind directions,
but winds should return to more solidly SW in the Atlanta metro area
and AHN within the next hour or two. Thunderstorm activity has
mostly cleared the Atlanta metro area and AHN. Farther to the S,
thunderstorms are still ongoing at CSG and near and S of MCN.
Thunderstorm activity is expected to continue slowly sinking S for
the remainder of the afternoon. Cigs will continue to improve across
the N terminals through the afternoon, with improving conditions
across the S by evening. However, another area of showers and
thunderstorms is forecast to sweep rapidly across the area late
tonight and Fri morning. Best chances of thunderstorms (as well as
the strongest storms) are expected to be across S GA, but have a
brief period of gusty winds and cig/vsby reductions associated with
this activity at all terminals.

//ATL Confidence...18Z Update...
Medium regarding exact timing and intensity of thunderstorms late
tonight and Fri morning, high for other elements.

SEC

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          65  83  52  77 /  10  30   0   0
Atlanta         66  82  54  76 /  40  30   0   0
Blairsville     58  74  46  69 /  10  20   0  10
Cartersville    62  80  49  76 /  30  20   0   0
Columbus        67  85  57  80 /  70  60   0   0
Gainesville     65  80  53  75 /  10  30   0   0
Macon           67  83  56  79 /  40  60   0   0
Rome            63  80  51  76 /  30  20   0   0
Peachtree City  65  83  52  78 /  50  40   0   0
Vidalia         69  83  59  80 /  40  90   0   0

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...None.

SHORT TERM...SEC
LONG TERM....07
AVIATION...SEC

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1013 AM EDT Thu May 9 2024

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-101415-
Baldwin-Banks-Barrow-Bartow-Bibb-Bleckley-Butts-Carroll-Catoosa-
Chattahoochee-Chattooga-Cherokee-Clarke-Clayton-Cobb-Coweta-
Crawford-Crisp-Dade-Dawson-DeKalb-Dodge-Dooly-Douglas-Emanuel-
Fannin-Fayette-Floyd-Forsyth-Gilmer-Glascock-Gordon-Greene-
Gwinnett-Hall-Hancock-Haralson-Harris-Heard-Henry-Houston-Jackson-
Jasper-Jefferson-Johnson-Jones-Lamar-Laurens-Lumpkin-Macon-
Madison-Marion-Meriwether-Monroe-Montgomery-Morgan-Murray-
Muscogee-Newton-North Fulton-Oconee-Oglethorpe-Paulding-Peach-
Pickens-Pike-Polk-Pulaski-Putnam-Rockdale-Schley-South Fulton-
Spalding-Stewart-Sumter-Talbot-Taliaferro-Taylor-Telfair-Toombs-
Towns-Treutlen-Troup-Twiggs-Union-Upson-Walker-Walton-Warren-
Washington-Webster-Wheeler-White-Whitfield-Wilcox-Wilkes-
Wilkinson-
1013 AM EDT Thu May 9 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of North and Central Georgia.

.DAY ONE...Late this morning through tonight...

A line of thunderstorms is currently pushing south across central
Georgia. Another round of thunderstorms will move southeast out of
northern and central Alabama late this morning and this afternoon.
Additional thunderstorms will continue to develop in the unstable
airmass south of these 2 areas of convection. Storms are expected to
produce damaging wind gusts, large hail, frequent lightning strikes,
and locally heavy rainfall. Isolated tornadoes will also be
possible. A Tornado Watch remains in effect for portions of north and
central Georgia until 1 PM. Another Tornado Watch is in effect for
portions of south central Georgia until 5 PM.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday...

Another round of thunderstorms is expected to move into the area
late tonight through Friday morning. After a dry weekend, another
round of thunderstorms is possible early next week as a frontal
system moves into the area Monday and Tuesday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not requested but spotters are encouraged to
submit reports of severe weather through the web by going to
weather.gov/atlanta. Please relay any information about observed
severe weather to the NWS.

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
159 PM EDT Thu May 9 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0730 AM     Flood            4 N Villanow            34.73N 85.13W
05/09/2024                   Whitfield          GA   Public

            Report from mPING: River/Creek overflowing;
            Cropland/Yard/Basement Flooding.

&&

TV

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
200 PM EDT Thu May 9 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1255 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     1 W Dawnville           34.81N 84.90W
05/09/2024                   Whitfield          GA   Public

            Report from mPING: 3-inch tree limbs broken;
            Power poles broken.

&&

TV

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
201 PM EDT Thu May 9 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0754 AM     Flash Flood      2 NE Clermont           34.50N 83.75W
05/09/2024                   Hall               GA   Public

            Report from mPING: Street/road flooding;
            Street/road closed; Vehicles stranded.

&&

TV

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
202 PM EDT Thu May 9 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0708 AM     Hail             3 SW Sonoraville        34.42N 84.86W
05/09/2024  E0.75 Inch       Gordon             GA   Public

            Report from mPING: Dime (0.75 in.).

&&

TV

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
209 PM EDT Thu May 9 2024

GAZ089>091-102-103-091845-
Chattahoochee GA-Stewart GA-Marion GA-Webster GA-Muscogee GA-
209 PM EDT Thu May 9 2024

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of west central Marion,
southeastern Muscogee, Chattahoochee, northern Stewart and
northwestern Webster Counties through 245 PM EDT...

At 208 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was over Seale, or 13 miles east
of Hurtsboro, moving east at 45 mph.

HAZARD...40 to 50 mph wind, up to penny sized hail and frequent
         cloud to ground lightning.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Cusseta, Fort Moore, Christopher, Sand Hill, Battle Park, Brooklyn,
Renfroe, Manta, Zellobee, Omaha, Eelbeck/West Fort Moore, Custer Road
Terrace, Benning Hills, Benning Park, Jamestown/South Fort Moore,
Carter Acres, and Louvale.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 500 PM EDT for west central
Georgia.

&&

LAT...LON 3214 8505 3218 8501 3220 8496 3221 8498
      3222 8498 3222 8493 3224 8491 3225 8492
      3226 8489 3230 8494 3233 8501 3235 8500
      3238 8497 3239 8499 3239 8497 3241 8498
      3242 8496 3244 8497 3246 8460 3213 8463
TIME...MOT...LOC 1808Z 262DEG 40KT 3227 8519

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
214 PM EDT Thu May 9 2024

GAZ102-103-091845-
Stewart GA-Webster GA-
214 PM EDT Thu May 9 2024

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of Stewart and southern
Webster Counties through 245 PM EDT...

At 213 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was over Providence Canyon State
Park, or 7 miles west of Lumpkin, moving east at 45 mph.

HAZARD...40 to 50 mph wind, up to penny sized hail and frequent
         cloud to ground lightning.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Lumpkin, Preston, Richland, Weston, Troutman, Charles, Kimbrough,
Sanford, Westville, Centerpoint, Leveretts, and Providence Canyon
State Park.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 500 PM EDT for west central
Georgia.

&&

LAT...LON 3192 8467 3193 8468 3192 8469 3192 8480
      3193 8480 3192 8481 3192 8491 3195 8496
      3198 8496 3198 8501 3197 8504 3199 8504
      3199 8507 3209 8504 3214 8506 3213 8460
      3197 8444 3193 8444 3192 8457
TIME...MOT...LOC 1813Z 262DEG 40KT 3206 8493

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH