Alert archive / Georgia / River Flood Warnings in 2024

River Flood Warning 36, NWS Atlanta, GA

January 9, 2024Whitfield County, Georgia

NWS Atlanta, GA issued this river flood warning at Jan 9, 2024, 3:07 PM EST for Whitfield County, Georgia. It was in force for 54 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jan 9, 2024, 3:07 PM EST (20:07 UTC)
Expired: Jan 11, 2024, 8:38 PM EST
In force: 54 hr
Issued by: NWS Atlanta, GA
Area: Storm-based polygon
Flood severity: Minor

County Whitfield County, GA

The radar

The Northeast Alabama radar (KHTX), 109 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:08 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Coahulla Creek at Keiths Mill Road near Dalton (CHCG1). The gauge peaked at 17.65 ft at Jan 10, 2024, 12:00 AM EST.

Action stage: 14 ft
Minor stage: 16 ft
Moderate stage: 28 ft
Major stage: 32 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02385170, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

820 
WGUS42 KFFC 092007
FLWFFC

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
307 PM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

...The National Weather Service in Peachtree City GA has issued a 
Flood Warning for the following rivers in Georgia...

  Coahulla Creek at Keiths Mill Road near Dalton affecting 
  Whitfield County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at weather.gov/atlanta.

The next statement will be issued late tonight at 315 AM EST.

&&

GAC313-100815-
/O.NEW.KFFC.FL.W.0036.240109T2007Z-000000T0000Z/
/CHCG1.1.ER.240109T1913Z.240109T1945Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
307 PM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

...FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM THIS AFTERNOON UNTIL FURTHER 
NOTICE...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring.

* WHERE...Coahulla Creek at Keiths Mill Road near Dalton.

* WHEN...From this afternoon until further notice.

* IMPACTS...At 16.0 feet, Minor flooding begins. Pasture and fields 
  upstream...right and left bank from the Keiths Mill Road bridge...
  and downstream on the left bank begin to flood.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 2:45 PM EST Tuesday the stage was 16.1 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 2:45 PM EST Tuesday was 16.1 feet.
  - Forecast...No forecast is available for this location.
  - Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    16.1 feet on 02/19/2021.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3471 8489 3480 8495 3488 8495 3488 8486
      3480 8488 3474 8486


$$

6 follow-up statements

331 
WGUS82 KFFC 100755
FLSFFC

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
255 AM EST Wed Jan 10 2024

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...

  Coahulla Creek at Keiths Mill Road near Dalton affecting 
  Whitfield County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at weather.gov/atlanta.

The next statement will be issued this afternoon at 300 PM EST.

&&

GAC313-102000-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0036.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CHCG1.1.ER.240109T1913Z.240110T0515Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
255 AM EST Wed Jan 10 2024

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring.

* WHERE...Coahulla Creek at Keiths Mill Road near Dalton.

* WHEN...Until further notice.

* IMPACTS...At 18.0 feet, Minor flooding expands into the pastures...
  fields and woodlands upstream and downstream from the Keiths Mill 
  Road bridge.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 2:45 AM EST Wednesday the stage was 17.6 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 2:45 AM EST Wednesday was 17.7 feet.
  - Forecast...No forecast is available for this location.
  - Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    17.9 feet on 01/04/2022.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3471 8489 3480 8495 3488 8495 3488 8486
      3480 8488 3474 8486


$$

455 
WGUS82 KFFC 101658
FLSFFC

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1158 AM EST Wed Jan 10 2024

...Forecast flooding changed to Minor severity and increased in 
duration for the following rivers in Georgia...

  Coahulla Creek at Keiths Mill Road near Dalton affecting 
  Whitfield County.

For the Conasauga River Basin...including Eton, Crandall, Dalton, 
Dalton, Chatsworth, Tilton, Sloan Bridge below Dalton...Minor 
flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Additional information is available at weather.gov/atlanta.

The next statement will be issued late tonight at midnight EST.

&&

GAC313-110500-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0036.000000T0000Z-240112T1034Z/
/CHCG1.1.ER.240109T1913Z.240111T1200Z.240112T0433Z.NO/
1158 AM EST Wed Jan 10 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL EARLY FRIDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Coahulla Creek at Keiths Mill Road near Dalton.

* WHEN...Until early Friday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 18.0 feet, Minor flooding expands into the pastures...
  fields and woodlands upstream and downstream from the Keiths Mill 
  Road bridge.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 11:45 AM EST Wednesday the stage was 17.3 feet and steady.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 11:45 AM EST Wednesday was 17.7 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 17.7
    feet tomorrow morning. It will then fall below flood stage
    late tomorrow evening.
  - Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    17.9 feet on 01/04/2022.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3471 8489 3480 8495 3488 8495 3488 8486
      3480 8488 3474 8486


$$

932 
WGUS82 KFFC 110305
FLSFFC

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1005 PM EST Wed Jan 10 2024

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...

  Coahulla Creek at Keiths Mill Road near Dalton affecting 
  Whitfield County.

For the Conasauga River Basin...including Eton, Crandall, Dalton, 
Dalton, Chatsworth, Tilton, Sloan Bridge below Dalton...Minor 
flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Additional information is available at weather.gov/atlanta.

The next statement will be issued Thursday morning at 1015 AM EST.

&&

GAC313-111515-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0036.000000T0000Z-240112T0932Z/
/CHCG1.1.ER.240109T1913Z.240110T0515Z.240112T0332Z.NO/
1005 PM EST Wed Jan 10 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL EARLY FRIDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Coahulla Creek at Keiths Mill Road near Dalton.

* WHEN...Until early Friday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 18 feet, Minor flooding expands into the pastures...
  fields and woodlands upstream and downstream from the Keiths Mill 
  Road bridge.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 9:45 PM EST Wednesday the stage was 17.4 feet and steady.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to remain steady near 17.4
    feet tonight. It will then fall below flood stage late
    tomorrow evening.
  - Flood stage is 16 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3471 8489 3480 8495 3488 8495 3488 8486
      3480 8488 3474 8486


$$

915 
WGUS82 KFFC 111016
FLSFFC

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
516 AM EST Thu Jan 11 2024

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
Tennessee...Alabama...

  Yellow River at Gees Mill Road affecting Newton and Rockdale 
  Counties.

  West Chickamauga Creek at GA 146 near Lakeview affecting Hamilton 
  and Catoosa Counties.

  Coahulla Creek at Keiths Mill Road near Dalton affecting 
  Whitfield County.

  Chattahoochee River at 14th Street at Columbus affecting Russell, 
  Chattahoochee, Muscogee and Lee Counties.

  Sweetwater Creek near Austell affecting Cobb and Douglas Counties.

  Broad River near Broad River above Carlton affecting Madison, 
  Oglethorpe and Elbert Counties.

For the North GA Chickamauga Creek Basin...including Ringgold, 
Lakeview...Minor flooding is forecast.
For the Conasauga River Basin...including Eton, Crandall, Dalton, 
Dalton, Chatsworth, Tilton, Sloan Bridge below Dalton...Minor 
flooding is forecast.
For the Chattahoochee River Basin...including Helen, Dahlonega, 
Cornelia, Suwanee, Buford, Suwanee, Buford, Chattahoochee River 
upstream McGinnis Ferry Rd, Norcross, Chattahoochee River above 
Roswell, Roswell, Powers Ferry & I285 Atlanta, Smyrna, Chattahoochee 
River below Morgan Falls Dam, Atlanta, Atlanta, Atlanta, Atlanta, 
Fairplay, Fairburn, Whitesburg, Whitesburg, Whitesburg, Franklin, 
Corinth, Hammett Rd below Hogansville, Franklin, West Point, 
Columbus, Union, Omaha...Minor flooding is forecast.
For the Sweetwater Creek...including Powder Springs, Powder Springs, 
Powder Springs, Austell, Austell, Austell, Sweetwater Creek below 
Austell...Minor flooding is forecast.
For the Broad River...including Broad River above Carlton, 
Commerce...Minor flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Additional information is available at weather.gov/atlanta.

The next statement will be issued at 300 PM EST.this afternoon at 
1215 PM EST /1115 AM CST/.

&&

GAC217-247-111715-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-240111T1703Z/
/MYRG1.1.ER.240109T2240Z.240110T1130Z.240111T1103Z.UU/
516 AM EST Thu Jan 11 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL THIS AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring.

* WHERE...Yellow River at Gees Mill Road.

* WHEN...Until this afternoon.

* IMPACTS...At 11.0 feet, Flood Stage is reached. Minor flooding 
  begins in the woodlands...fields and pasture along the river  
  upstream and downstream from the gage on Gees Mill Road in 
  Rockdale County. Portions of Sockwell Road by the river in Newton 
  County will be around two feet under water.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 4:47 AM EST Thursday the stage was 11.4 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 4:47 AM EST Thursday was 14.1 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    this morning and continue falling to 2.6 feet Monday evening.
  - Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    11.4 feet on 12/31/2021.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3366 8399 3371 8395 3359 8387 3356 8393


$$

ALC081-113-GAC053-215-112230-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0059.000000T0000Z-240112T1200Z/
/CBUG1.1.ER.240109T1638Z.240109T1745Z.240112T0600Z.NO/
516 AM EST Thu Jan 11 2024 /416 AM CST Thu Jan 11 2024/

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL TOMORROW MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Chattahoochee River at 14th Street at Columbus.

* WHEN...Until tomorrow morning.

* IMPACTS...At 30.0 feet, Minor flooding continues along the river 
  upstream and downstream from the gage on the 14th Street bridge. 
  Large portions of the River Walk in Columbus will be flooded up to 
  3 feet deep. The water level reaches the top of the boat ramp 
  behind the Columbus Convention and Trade Center. The Phenix City 
  Amphitheater in Alabama will be flooded up to two feet deep. 
  Portions of the River Walk in Phenix City will begin to flood.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 5:00 AM EST Thursday /4:00 AM CST Thursday/ the stage was
    28.7 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 5:00 AM EST Thursday /4:00 AM CST Thursday/ was
    28.9 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 29.6
    feet this morning. It will then fall below flood stage just
    after midnight tonight.
  - Flood stage is 27.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    29.6 feet on 03/05/1934.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3259 8511 3262 8505 3251 8496 3238 8495
      3238 8502 3250 8503


$$

GAC047-TNC065-112230-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0055.000000T0000Z-240112T0900Z/
/WCKG1.1.ER.240110T1315Z.240111T1200Z.240112T0300Z.NO/
516 AM EST Thu Jan 11 2024

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE TONIGHT...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...West Chickamauga Creek at GA 146 near Lakeview.

* WHEN...Until late tonight.

* IMPACTS...At 11.0 feet, Flood Stage is reached. Minor flooding 
  begins of woodlands and fields near the creek upstream and 
  downstream from the gage on the Georgia Highway 146 or Cloud 
  Springs Road bridge. Minor flooding of the creek can also be 
  expected further downstream as it crosses the Tennessee border 
  into the south East Ridge area.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 4:15 AM EST Thursday the stage was 11.0 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 4:15 AM EST Thursday was 11.5 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 11.7
    feet this morning. It will then fall below flood stage late
    this evening.
  - Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    11.7 feet on 04/01/2021.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3492 8526 3500 8523 3499 8516 3486 8524


$$

GAC067-097-112230-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0048.000000T0000Z-240112T0621Z/
/AUSG1.1.ER.240110T0715Z.240111T1200Z.240112T0021Z.NO/
516 AM EST Thu Jan 11 2024

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL JUST AFTER MIDNIGHT 
TONIGHT...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Sweetwater Creek near Austell.

* WHEN...Until just after midnight tonight.

* IMPACTS...At 12.0 feet, Minor flooding continues in the woodlands 
  and fields upstream and downstream from the gage near the 
  Interstate 20 bridge. Portions of a paintball playing field just 
  downstream of the bridge and athletic fields in the Woodrow Wilson 
  Park on Mount Vernon Road are flooded with one to two feet of 
  water. A portion of Wren Circle in Douglas County...the County 
  Iron Works and Sunlight Drive in Cobb County begin to flood.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 5:00 AM EST Thursday the stage was 11.5 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 5:00 AM EST Thursday was 11.8 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 12.0
    feet this morning. It will then fall below flood stage this
    evening.
  - Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    12.0 feet on 02/08/2020.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3379 8464 3385 8463 3380 8459 3374 8459
      3370 8463 3376 8466


$$

GAC313-112230-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0036.000000T0000Z-240112T0932Z/
/CHCG1.1.ER.240109T1913Z.240110T0515Z.240112T0332Z.NO/
516 AM EST Thu Jan 11 2024

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE TONIGHT...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Coahulla Creek at Keiths Mill Road near Dalton.

* WHEN...Until late tonight.

* IMPACTS...At 18.0 feet, Minor flooding expands into the pastures...
  fields and woodlands upstream and downstream from the Keiths Mill 
  Road bridge.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 4:45 AM EST Thursday the stage was 17.4 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 4:45 AM EST Thursday was 17.5 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    late this evening and continue falling to 10.2 feet tomorrow
    morning.
  - Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    17.1 feet on 03/18/2020.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3471 8489 3480 8495 3488 8495 3488 8486
      3480 8488 3474 8486


$$

GAC105-195-221-112145-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-240111T2131Z/
/CARG1.1.ER.240109T1901Z.240110T0330Z.240111T1531Z.UU/
516 AM EST Thu Jan 11 2024

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Broad River near Broad River above Carlton.

* WHEN...Until late this afternoon.

* IMPACTS...At 15.0 feet, Flood stage is reached. Minor flooding of 
  woodlands and fields begin upstream and downstream from the gage 
  on the Georgia Highway 72 bridge. A sand dredge operation on the 
  left bank near the gage will become affected. A portion of Roy 
  Wood Road will be flooded with a few feet of water and the dirt 
  parking lot of the Broad River Outpost for Canoes and Kayaks will 
  begin to flood. A wooden pier and portions of the yard behind an 
  assisted living home off of Roy Wood Road will be flooded.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 4:45 AM EST Thursday the stage was 15.3 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 4:45 AM EST Thursday was 21.0 feet.
  - Forecast...The river will rise to 16.0 feet this morning. It
    will then fall below flood stage late this morning to 7.7
    feet and begin rising again early tomorrow afternoon. It will
    rise to 8.7 feet early Saturday morning. It will then fall
    again and remain below flood stage.
  - Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    15.7 feet on 03/25/2020.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3419 8308 3407 8295 3401 8285 3396 8286
      3402 8300 3414 8312


$$

SEC

497 
WGUS82 KFFC 111620
FLSFFC

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1120 AM EST Thu Jan 11 2024

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...

  Coahulla Creek at Keiths Mill Road near Dalton affecting 
  Whitfield County.

For the Conasauga River Basin...including Eton, Crandall, Dalton, 
Dalton, Chatsworth, Tilton, Sloan Bridge below Dalton...Minor 
flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at weather.gov/atlanta.

The next statement will be issued this evening at 1130 PM EST.

&&

GAC313-120430-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0036.000000T0000Z-240112T0932Z/
/CHCG1.1.ER.240109T1913Z.240110T0515Z.240112T0332Z.NO/
1120 AM EST Thu Jan 11 2024

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE TONIGHT...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Coahulla Creek at Keiths Mill Road near Dalton.

* WHEN...Until late tonight.

* IMPACTS...At 18.0 feet, Minor flooding expands into the pastures...
  fields and woodlands upstream and downstream from the Keiths Mill 
  Road bridge.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 11:00 AM EST Thursday the stage was 17.4 feet and steady.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 11:00 AM EST Thursday was 17.4 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    late this evening and continue falling to 10.2 feet tomorrow
    morning.
  - Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    17.1 feet on 03/18/2020.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3471 8489 3480 8495 3488 8495 3488 8486
      3480 8488 3474 8486


$$

853 
WGUS82 KFFC 120138
FLSFFC

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
838 PM EST Thu Jan 11 2024

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Georgia...

  Coahulla Creek at Keiths Mill Road near Dalton affecting 
  Whitfield County.

GAC313-120245-
/O.CAN.KFFC.FL.W.0036.000000T0000Z-240112T0138Z/
/CHCG1.1.ER.240109T1913Z.240110T0515Z.240112T0113Z.NO/
838 PM EST Thu Jan 11 2024

...FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED...

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Coahulla Creek at Keiths Mill Road near Dalton.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:30 PM EST Thursday the stage was 15.8 feet and falling.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall to 8.9 feet tomorrow
    morning.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3471 8489 3480 8495 3488 8495 3488 8486
      3480 8488 3474 8486


$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Atlanta, GA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Jan 9, 2:57 PM EST, 10 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 9, 2:57 PM EST, 10 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
257 PM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

...Afternoon Area Forecast Discussion...

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Wednesday)
Issued at 249 PM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

Now that all the severe weather has exited the area, things should
overall be calmer through the short term period. A swath of showers
extending from Wilkes Count to Wilcox county is moving southeastward
across the area which will ultimately move completely out of the
CWA in the next couple of hours. Behind this swath of showers is
elevated showers across the area using up leftover moisture and
energy behind the line. Generally this is not reaching the ground
but a couple of areas may see very light precip. Precip estimates
over the past 24hrs has shown widespread ares of 2-3" with many
areas at 3-4" and some areas from 4-5+" especially just south of
I- 85. This has ultimately led to flash flood warnings in these
areas and then many river flood warnings especially in the metro.

Looking at tonight into tomorrow morning, things could get a tad
interesting when it comes to winter weather. With how powerful the
low pressure system is, as it sweeps northward into the northeast
today, leftover energy will result in wrap around precip in the form
of snow showers over much of north GA mainly north of the metro.
Accumulations are expected to be from 0.5-1" in elevations mostly
>1500 ft. Currently have an SPS out for this so check that for any
further details you may want/need.

Looking at winds, we have allowed the High Wind Warning to expire
and have replaced it with a wind advisory until 00z (7pm) tonight.
We have two wind advisories in place. The first one encompasses
north GA and central GA from the Athens area southwest to just
north of Columbus. This advisory will likely be allowed to expire
at 00z (7pm). The second wind advisor is for the remainder of
central GA to southeast central GA, which will expire at 06z
(1am). This will also likely be allowed to expire at that time.
Ultimately when looking at the 925mb winds, they are still in the
40-50kt range which as has been seen through today will continue
to mix down with gusts from 30- 40kts across the area. The first
advisory is where the winds will taper off first as the jet moves
eastward and ultimately out of the second advisory area by 06z
tonight.

For tomorrow, still expecting cloudy skies for much of the day
before clearing begins tomorrow night which will ultimately lead to
some clear skies before the next system (Friday) that is talked
about in the long term period. Temps today have already reached
their max across much of the area and are expected to continue to
drop into the low to mid 30s across the area with upper 20s in the
northeast. Tomorrow, only expecting temps to top out in the 45-55
degree range before dipping down into the low to mid 30s again
tomorrow night.

Hernandez

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday morning through next Monday)
Issued at 249 PM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

Very little change to the long term forecast. Friday continues to
have potential for strong to severe weather. Ensembles for the
beginning of the week have quite a bit of spread on timing and
potential for winter weather, so PoPs remain a bit spread out.
Best chances for seeing a snowflake fly remains across north
Georgia.

See previous discussion below.

Lusk

(Wednesday night through Monday)
Issued at 445 AM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

Key Messages:

 - Another storm system will bring showers and thunderstorms to the
   area late Thursday night and Friday. Some thunderstorms may be
   strong.

Colder and drier air will continue to filter into the area Wednesday
night on the heels of the departing cold front and upper trough.
Most locations will drop to near or just below freezing Wednesday
night, with mid 20s across portions of the NE mountains. Warmer
temperatures are forecast for Thursday, with most locations reaching
into the mid to upper 50s and even some lower 60s across the S.

Another storm system will approach the area Thursday night, bringing
a chance of showers and thunderstorms. This system will lift NE on
Friday as a negatively tilted trough, reaching the Great Lakes by
Friday night. A 996 mb surface low is progged to be near Little Rock
by Friday morning. A large area of isentropic lift is forecast to
precede the low, with increasing MUCAPE and wind shear across most
of the forecast area. There will be another threat of severe weather
with this system during the day Friday, and the threat area looks to
be farther to the N than with today's system. GFS MUCAPE values are
forecast to reach near 1000 J/kg as effective shear increases to
over 40 knots in the Atlanta metro area. This will coincide maximum
daytime heating in the early afternoon, with surface temperatures
reaching over 60 degrees and dew points reaching the lower to mid
50s. The wedge/CAD is forecast to hang into NE GA during this time
period, but present indications are that it will be NE of the
Atlanta metro area. Storm total rainfall amounts with this system are
forecast to range from around a quarter inch S of Columbus to close
to an inch across N GA. Residents should continue to monitor the
latest forecast regarding this storm system.

A bit of snow will linger over the N mountains Friday night, but dry
weather is forecast to return on Saturday. Temperatures will be
rather cold over the weekend, with the potential of even colder
weather early next week. A weak southern stream storm system may
move along the Gulf Coast on Monday, bringing light rain amounts and
the chance for frozen precipitation across N GA. NBM low
temperatures Tuesday morning appeared to be too cold. Even though
this was at the tail end of the forecast period, opted to blend 2
parts operational NBM with 1 part NBM 90th percentile to bump low
temperatures up closer to MEX MOS guidance.

SEC

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1237 PM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

The line of thunderstorms has made it past all the TAF sites and
showers have ended across most of the metro and will be ending
soon for CSG. Showers will continue to affect the MCN and AHN
areas for the next few hours. Expecting MVFR conditions across the
area @author tomorrow afternoon before VFR conditions filter in
tomorrow evening. Expecting W winds with gusts up to 30KT
throughout the evening before lowering overnight into the 09-12KT
range.

//ATL Confidence...18Z Update...

Medium on all elements.

Hernandez

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          33  48  31  57 /  10   0   0   0
Atlanta         33  48  35  57 /  20   0   0   0
Blairsville     27  43  26  52 /  60   0   0   0
Cartersville    31  47  31  56 /  20   0   0   0
Columbus        34  51  34  60 /  10   0   0   0
Gainesville     33  45  32  55 /  20   0   0   0
Macon           35  52  32  60 /  10   0   0   0
Rome            32  48  31  57 /  40   0   0   0
Peachtree City  32  48  31  59 /  10   0   0   0
Vidalia         38  53  36  60 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Wind Advisory until 7 PM EST this evening for GAZ001>009-011>016-
019>023-030>034-041>045-052>055-066-067-078-079-089>091-102-103.

Wind Advisory until 1 AM EST Wednesday for GAZ024-025-027-
035>039-046>051-056>062-068>076-080>086-092>098-104>113.

&&

SHORT TERM...Hernandez
LONG TERM....Lusk
AVIATION...Hernandez

Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 9, 7:14 AM EST, 7 hours 53 minutes before

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
714 AM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-101215-
Baldwin-Banks-Barrow-Bartow-Bibb-Bleckley-Butts-Carroll-Catoosa-
Chattahoochee-Chattooga-Cherokee-Clarke-Clayton-Cobb-Coweta-
Crawford-Crisp-Dade-Dawson-DeKalb-Dodge-Dooly-Douglas-Emanuel-
Fannin-Fayette-Floyd-Forsyth-Gilmer-Glascock-Gordon-Greene-
Gwinnett-Hall-Hancock-Haralson-Harris-Heard-Henry-Houston-Jackson-
Jasper-Jefferson-Johnson-Jones-Lamar-Laurens-Lumpkin-Macon-
Madison-Marion-Meriwether-Monroe-Montgomery-Morgan-Murray-
Muscogee-Newton-North Fulton-Oconee-Oglethorpe-Paulding-Peach-
Pickens-Pike-Polk-Pulaski-Putnam-Rockdale-Schley-South Fulton-
Spalding-Stewart-Sumter-Talbot-Taliaferro-Taylor-Telfair-Toombs-
Towns-Treutlen-Troup-Twiggs-Union-Upson-Walker-Walton-Warren-
Washington-Webster-Wheeler-White-Whitfield-Wilcox-Wilkes-
Wilkinson-
714 AM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of North and Central Georgia.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight...

A Tornado Watch has been issued for portions of central Georgia
until 2 PM.

A High Wind Warning is in effect for portions of Northeast Georgia
until 1 PM today for wind gusts over 50 mph. A Wind Advisory is in
effect for all other portions of the county warning area for wind
gusts to 45 mph. A Flood Watch is in effect through this evening for
areas north of the fall line due to storm total rainfall amounts of
2 to 4 inches. Locally higher amounts are possible, particularly
across the northeast mountains. Scattered thunderstorms are expected
across central Georgia, with severe storms and isolated tornadoes
possible mostly south of a Columbus to Macon line. Isolated
thunderstorms are possible elsewhere.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday...

Another storm system is expected to bring thunderstorms to the
region again Friday. Some storms may become strong to severe.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not requested at this time, but spotters are
encouraged to submit reports of severe weather through the web by
going to weather.gov/atlanta. Please relay any information about
observed severe weather to the NWS.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jan 9, 2:13 PM EST, 54 minutes before

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
213 PM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1230 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     Wrightsville            32.73N 82.72W
01/09/2024                   Johnson            GA   Emergency Mngr

            Roof blown off of a home along Kents Lane
            and into the powerlines nearby.

&&

KS

Local storm report, Jan 9, 2:16 PM EST, 51 minutes before

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
216 PM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1040 AM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     1 ENE Lexington         33.87N 83.10W
01/09/2024                   Oglethorpe         GA   Dept of Highways

            Tree down into powerlines along Elberton
            Road north of Hwy 78.

&&

KS

Local storm report, Jan 9, 2:19 PM EST, 48 minutes before

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
219 PM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0950 AM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     2 W Byron               32.65N 83.80W
01/09/2024                   Peach              GA   Dept of Highways

            Tree downed blocking both lanes along
            Hardison Road near the intersection of hwy
            42.

&&

KS

Local storm report, Jan 9, 2:21 PM EST, 46 minutes before

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
221 PM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1025 AM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     2 WNW Friendship        32.68N 83.90W
01/09/2024                   Crawford           GA   Dept of Highways

            Corrects previous tstm wnd dmg report from 2
            WNW Friendship. Tree downed on Hwy 42 near
            Richardson Mill Road.

&&

KS

Local storm report, Jan 9, 2:23 PM EST, 44 minutes before

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
223 PM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1100 AM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     2 NNW Milledgeville     33.11N 83.24W
01/09/2024                   Baldwin            GA   Emergency Mngr

            Corrects previous tstm wnd dmg report from 2
            NNW Milledgeville. Tree blocking portions of
            Pine Valley Rd (North Milledgeville).

&&

KS

Local storm report, Jan 9, 2:24 PM EST, 43 minutes before

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
224 PM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1105 AM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     1 SSE Hardwick          33.06N 83.22W
01/09/2024                   Baldwin            GA   Emergency Mngr

            Corrects previous tstm wnd dmg report from 1
            SSE Hardwick. Tree blocking portions of
            Coombs Ave SE (South Milledgeville).

&&

KS

The office that day

Everything else NWS Atlanta, GA issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jan 9, 5:49 AM EST	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Clayton, Coweta, DeKalb, Fayette, Fulton, Meriwether	56 min
Jan 9, 7:15 AM EST	River Flood Warning	FFC	Forsyth, Fulton	46 hr
Jan 9, 7:19 AM EST	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Butts, Lamar, Pike, Spalding	56 min
Jan 9, 7:21 AM EST	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Heard, Troup	39 min
Jan 9, 7:29 AM EST	River Flood Warning	FFC	Forsyth	22 hr
Jan 9, 7:41 AM EST	River Flood Warning	FFC	Gwinnett	12 hr
Jan 9, 7:51 AM EST	River Flood Warning	FFC	Chattooga	27 hr
Jan 9, 7:52 AM EST	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Coweta, Meriwether, Troup	23 min
Jan 9, 8:01 AM EST	Areal Flood Warning	FFC	Carroll, Clayton, Coweta, DeKalb, Douglas, Fayette and 9 more	6 hr
Jan 9, 8:07 AM EST	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Clayton	23 min
Jan 9, 8:12 AM EST	Tornado Warning	FFC	Clayton, DeKalb, Fulton	10 min
Jan 9, 8:19 AM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Clayton, DeKalb, Fulton	12 min
Jan 9, 8:25 AM EST	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Clayton, Fayette	35 min
Jan 9, 8:27 AM EST	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Muscogee, Talbot	33 min
Jan 9, 8:37 AM EST	River Flood Warning	FFC	DeKalb, Rockdale	36 hr
Jan 9, 8:39 AM EST	Flash Flood Warning	FFC	Coweta, Meriwether, Pike, Spalding, Upson	6 hr
Jan 9, 8:39 AM EST	River Flood Warning	FFC	Gwinnett	5 hr
Jan 9, 8:43 AM EST	River Flood Warning	FFC	Newton, Rockdale	53 hr
Jan 9, 8:46 AM EST	Flash Flood Warning	FFC	Henry, Newton, Rockdale, Spalding	6 hr
Jan 9, 8:52 AM EST	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Butts, Lamar, Pike, Upson	38 min
Jan 9, 8:54 AM EST	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Chattahoochee, Marion, Stewart	36 min
Jan 9, 9:03 AM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Chattahoochee, Marion, Schley, Stewart, Taylor, Webster	42 min
Jan 9, 9:09 AM EST	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Dooly, Sumter	36 min
Jan 9, 9:13 AM EST	River Flood Warning	FFC	DeKalb	5 hr
Jan 9, 9:24 AM EST	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Butts, Jasper, Monroe	36 min
Jan 9, 9:27 AM EST	Areal Flood Warning	FFC	Chattahoochee, Harris, Marion, Muscogee, Talbot	6 hr
Jan 9, 9:36 AM EST	River Flood Warning	FFC	DeKalb, Fulton	6 hr
Jan 9, 9:38 AM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Crawford, Dooly, Houston, Macon, Peach, Schley and 3 more	52 min
Jan 9, 9:43 AM EST	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Clarke, Morgan, Oconee	32 min
Jan 9, 9:53 AM EST	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Baldwin, Jasper, Jones, Putnam	37 min
Jan 9, 9:59 AM EST	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Bibb, Jones	31 min
Jan 9, 10:03 AM EST	Areal Flood Warning	FFC	Butts, Crawford, Henry, Jasper, Lamar, Meriwether and 7 more	6 hr
Jan 9, 10:08 AM EST	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Houston, Twiggs	37 min
Jan 9, 10:09 AM EST	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Greene, Oglethorpe	36 min
Jan 9, 10:11 AM EST	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Madison	34 min
Jan 9, 10:14 AM EST	River Flood Warning	FFC	Gwinnett, Walton	11 hr
Jan 9, 10:16 AM EST	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Crisp, Wilcox	29 min
Jan 9, 10:17 AM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Baldwin, Bibb, Houston, Twiggs, Washington, Wilkinson	43 min
Jan 9, 10:25 AM EST	River Flood Warning	FFC	Cobb	3 hr
Jan 9, 10:29 AM EST	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Baldwin, Hancock, Taliaferro	31 min
Jan 9, 10:30 AM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Bleckley, Crisp, Dooly, Houston, Laurens, Peach and 4 more	45 min
Jan 9, 10:32 AM EST	River Flood Warning	FFC	Gwinnett	4 hr
Jan 9, 10:39 AM EST	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Baldwin	36 min
Jan 9, 10:40 AM EST	River Flood Warning	FFC	Gwinnett	6 hr
Jan 9, 10:44 AM EST	River Flood Warning	FFC	Cobb	4 hr
Jan 9, 10:44 AM EST	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Taliaferro, Warren, Wilkes	31 min
Jan 9, 10:48 AM EST	Areal Flood Warning	FFC	Banks, Barrow, Clarke, Dawson, Forsyth, Greene and 11 more	3 hr
Jan 9, 10:56 AM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Crisp, Wilcox	49 min
Jan 9, 10:57 AM EST	River Flood Warning	FFC	Dade	10 hr
Jan 9, 11:00 AM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Baldwin, Glascock, Hancock, Johnson, Laurens, Twiggs and 2 more	45 min
Jan 9, 11:02 AM EST	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Hancock	28 min
Jan 9, 11:03 AM EST	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Hancock, Taliaferro, Warren	27 min
Jan 9, 11:19 AM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Bleckley, Dodge, Houston, Laurens, Pulaski, Twiggs	41 min
Jan 9, 11:25 AM EST	River Flood Warning	FFC	Cherokee, Cobb	7 hr
Jan 9, 11:29 AM EST	River Flood Warning	FFC	Rockdale	3 hr
Jan 9, 11:34 AM EST	River Flood Warning	FFC	Dawson, Forsyth	17 hr
Jan 9, 11:37 AM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Dodge, Telfair, Wilcox	38 min
Jan 9, 11:39 AM EST	Areal Flood Warning	FFC	Baldwin, Bibb, Bleckley, Crawford, Dooly, Hancock and 10 more	3 hr
Jan 9, 11:39 AM EST	River Flood Warning	FFC	Banks	9 hr
Jan 9, 11:43 AM EST	River Flood Warning	FFC	Gwinnett	23 hr
Jan 9, 11:43 AM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Baldwin, Johnson, Laurens, Twiggs, Washington, Wilkinson	47 min
Jan 9, 11:48 AM EST	River Flood Warning	FFC	Chattahoochee, Muscogee	18 hr
Jan 9, 11:48 AM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Glascock, Hancock, Taliaferro, Warren, Wilkes	42 min
Jan 9, 11:53 AM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Bleckley, Dodge, Laurens	37 min
Jan 9, 12:07 PM EST	River Flood Warning	FFC	Lamar, Spalding	4 hr
Jan 9, 12:07 PM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Dodge, Montgomery, Telfair, Wheeler	38 min
Jan 9, 12:10 PM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Emanuel, Johnson, Laurens, Montgomery, Toombs, Treutlen and 1 more	50 min
Jan 9, 12:13 PM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Emanuel, Glascock, Jefferson, Johnson, Laurens, Washington	47 min
Jan 9, 12:31 PM EST	River Flood Warning	FFC	Fulton	6 hr
Jan 9, 12:38 PM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Emanuel, Johnson, Laurens, Montgomery, Telfair, Toombs and 2 more	52 min
Jan 9, 12:53 PM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Emanuel	22 min
Jan 9, 1:09 PM EST	River Flood Warning	FFC	Barrow, Jackson	45 hr
Jan 9, 1:13 PM EST	River Flood Warning	FFC	Cobb	14 hr
Jan 9, 1:37 PM EST	River Flood Warning	FFC	Cobb, Fulton	34 hr
Jan 9, 1:43 PM EST	River Flood Warning	FFC	Fayette, Spalding	59 hr
Jan 9, 1:54 PM EST	River Flood Warning	FFC	Cobb, Fulton	21 days
Jan 9, 1:58 PM EST	River Flood Warning	FFC	Spalding	119 min
Jan 9, 2:26 PM EST	River Flood Warning	FFC	Cobb, Fulton	29 hr
Jan 9, 2:28 PM EST	River Flood Warning	FFC	Bibb, Houston, Jones, Monroe, Twiggs	5 days
Jan 9, 2:30 PM EST	River Flood Warning	FFC	Baldwin, Washington, Wilkinson	54 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Georgia, 2024 Every river flood warning in 2024

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.