Alert archive / Georgia / River Flood Warnings in 2024

River Flood Warning 32, NWS Atlanta, GA

January 9, 2024Baldwin County, Washington County, Wilkinson County, Georgia

NWS Atlanta, GA issued this river flood warning at Jan 9, 2024, 2:30 PM EST for Baldwin County, Washington County, Wilkinson County, Georgia. It took effect at Jan 9, 2024, 4:52 PM EST. It was in force for 52 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jan 9, 2024, 2:30 PM EST (19:30 UTC)
In effect from
Jan 9, 2024, 4:52 PM EST
Expired
Jan 11, 2024, 8:27 PM EST
In force
52 hr
Issued by
NWS Atlanta, GA
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Moderate

Counties Baldwin County, GA, Washington County, GA, Wilkinson County, GA

The radar

The Robins AFB radar (KJGX), 47 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:28 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Oconee River at Milledgeville (MLGG1).

Action stage
20 ft
Minor stage
22 ft
Moderate stage
32 ft
Major stage
38 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02223000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

107 
WGUS42 KFFC 091930
FLWFFC

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
230 PM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

...The National Weather Service in Peachtree City GA has issued a 
Flood Warning for the following rivers in Georgia...

  Oconee River at Milledgeville affecting Wilkinson, Baldwin and 
  Washington Counties.

For the Oconee River Basin...including Penfield, Milledgeville, 
Oconee, Oconee, McIntyre, Irwinton, Oconee, Dublin, Mount Vernon...
Moderate flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at weather.gov/atlanta.

The next statement will be issued late tonight at 230 AM EST.

&&

GAC009-303-319-100730-
/O.NEW.KFFC.FL.W.0032.240110T0446Z-240112T2133Z/
/MLGG1.2.ER.240110T0446Z.240111T0000Z.240112T1532Z.NO/
230 PM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

...FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING TO FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Moderate flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Oconee River at Milledgeville.

* WHEN...From this evening to Friday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...At 34.0 feet, Moderate flooding continues to expand 
  further into the woodlands and pastures along the river. Fishing 
  Creek continues to back up and spread further into woodland areas 
  and cover some roads. Some structures near the creek will begin to 
  flood. Tanyard Branch Stream continues to flood. Sinclair Dam will 
  likely have six gates open to reach this height.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 2:15 PM EST Tuesday the stage was 15.2 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
    late this evening to a crest of 34.1 feet tomorrow evening.
    It will then fall below flood stage late Friday morning.
  - Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    34.2 feet on 02/25/1979.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3313 8325 3314 8317 3308 8317 3302 8313
      3297 8316 3304 8324


$$
8 follow-up statements
546 
WGUS82 KFFC 092140
FLSFFC

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
440 PM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...

  Oconee River at Milledgeville affecting Baldwin, Wilkinson and 
  Washington Counties.

For the Oconee River Basin...including Penfield, Milledgeville, 
Oconee, Oconee, McIntyre, Irwinton, Oconee, Dublin, Mount Vernon...
Moderate flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at weather.gov/atlanta.

The next statement will be issued late tonight at 445 AM EST.

&&

GAC009-303-319-100945-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0032.240109T2152Z-240112T2132Z/
/MLGG1.2.ER.240109T2152Z.240111T0000Z.240112T1532Z.NO/
440 PM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Moderate flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Oconee River at Milledgeville.

* WHEN...Until Friday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...At 34.0 feet, Moderate flooding continues to expand 
  further into the woodlands and pastures along the river. Fishing 
  Creek continues to back up and spread further into woodland areas 
  and cover some roads. Some structures near the creek will begin to 
  flood. Tanyard Branch Stream continues to flood. Sinclair Dam will 
  likely have six gates open to reach this height.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 4:15 PM EST Tuesday the stage was 21.1 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
    late this afternoon to a crest of 34.1 feet tomorrow evening.
    It will then fall below flood stage late Friday morning.
  - Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    34.2 feet on 02/25/1979.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3313 8325 3314 8317 3308 8317 3302 8313
      3297 8316 3304 8324


$$
801 
WGUS82 KFFC 100901
FLSFFC

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
401 AM EST Wed Jan 10 2024

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...

  Oconee River near Penfield affecting Oconee, Oglethorpe and 
  Greene Counties.

  Oconee River at Milledgeville affecting Baldwin, Washington and 
  Wilkinson Counties.

For the Oconee River Basin...including Penfield, Milledgeville, 
Oconee, Oconee, McIntyre, Irwinton, Oconee, Dublin, Mount Vernon...
Moderate flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at weather.gov/atlanta.

The next statement will be issued this afternoon at 415 PM EST.

&&

GAC133-219-221-102115-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0046.000000T0000Z-240112T2315Z/
/PNFG1.2.ER.240109T2258Z.240111T1200Z.240112T1715Z.NO/
401 AM EST Wed Jan 10 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is 
  forecast.

* WHERE...Oconee River near Penfield.

* WHEN...Until Friday evening.

* IMPACTS...At 18.0 feet, Moderate flooding begins. Ward Road floods 
  and cuts off access to L.C. Curtis and Son Sand and Gravel 
  Company. Irrigation systems also begin to flood and need to be 
  moved to higher ground.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 3:00 AM EST Wednesday the stage was 16.9 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 3:00 AM EST Wednesday was 16.9 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 18.8
    feet tomorrow morning. It will then fall below flood stage
    early Friday afternoon.
  - Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    18.8 feet on 05/21/1980.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3364 8325 3364 8333 3383 8333 3384 8326


$$

GAC009-303-319-102115-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0032.000000T0000Z-240112T0504Z/
/MLGG1.1.ER.240109T2147Z.240111T0000Z.240111T2304Z.NO/
401 AM EST Wed Jan 10 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL EARLY FRIDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Oconee River at Milledgeville.

* WHEN...Until early Friday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 27.0 feet, Minor flooding continues in the woodlands 
  and pasture upstream and downstream from the gage located around 
  one half mile upstream from the Georgia Highway 22 and 24 bridge. 
  The parking lot and the Oconee River Greenway Park just downstream 
  from the bridge will be completely flooded with water several feet 
  deep. Sinclair Dam will have three to four gates open to reach 
  this height.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 3:45 AM EST Wednesday the stage was 25.7 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 3:45 AM EST Wednesday was 25.8 feet.
  - Forecast...The river will rise to 26.2 feet this morning. It
    will then fall to 25.9 feet and begin rising again this
    afternoon. It will rise to 26.3 feet this evening. It will
    then fall below flood stage tomorrow evening.
  - Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    26.4 feet on 04/06/1974.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3313 8325 3314 8317 3308 8317 3302 8313
      3297 8316 3304 8324


$$
386 
WGUS82 KFFC 101534
FLSFFC

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1034 AM EST Wed Jan 10 2024

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Georgia...

  Oconee River near Penfield affecting Greene, Oconee and 
  Oglethorpe Counties.

  Oconee River at Milledgeville affecting Wilkinson, Baldwin and 
  Washington Counties.

For the Oconee River Basin...including Penfield, Milledgeville, 
Oconee, Oconee, McIntyre, Irwinton, Oconee, Dublin, Mount Vernon...
Moderate flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Additional information is available at weather.gov/atlanta.

The next statement will be issued this evening at 1045 PM EST.

&&

GAC133-219-221-110345-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0046.000000T0000Z-240113T0318Z/
/PNFG1.2.ER.240109T2258Z.240111T1800Z.240112T2118Z.NO/
1034 AM EST Wed Jan 10 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE FRIDAY EVENING...

* WHAT...Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is 
  forecast.

* WHERE...Oconee River near Penfield.

* WHEN...Until late Friday evening.

* IMPACTS...At 22.0 feet, Moderate flooding expands. Several farm 
  access roads begin to flood.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 10:00 AM EST Wednesday the stage was 18.7 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 10:00 AM EST Wednesday was 18.7 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 20.3
    feet early tomorrow afternoon. It will then fall below flood
    stage Friday afternoon.
  - Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    20.2 feet on 12/16/1972.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3364 8325 3364 8333 3383 8333 3384 8326


$$

GAC009-303-319-110345-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0032.000000T0000Z-240112T0834Z/
/MLGG1.1.ER.240109T2147Z.240110T0745Z.240112T0234Z.NO/
1034 AM EST Wed Jan 10 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL EARLY FRIDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Oconee River at Milledgeville.

* WHEN...Until early Friday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 24.0 feet, Minor flooding continues upstream and 
  downstream from the gage located around one half mile upstream 
  from the Georgia Highway 22 and 24 bridge. The parking lot and 
  portions of the Oconee River Greenway Park just downstream from 
  the bridge will be flooded. Low lying areas of woodlands and 
  pasture near the river will be flooded one to two feet deep. 
  Sinclair Dam will likely have two gates open to reach this height.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 10:15 AM EST Wednesday the stage was 25.4 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 10:15 AM EST Wednesday was 25.8 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    late tomorrow evening and continue falling to 11.8 feet
    Monday morning.
  - Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    25.3 feet on 10/07/2021.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3313 8325 3314 8317 3308 8317 3302 8313
      3297 8316 3304 8324


$$
069 
WGUS82 KFFC 110233
FLSFFC

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
933 PM EST Wed Jan 10 2024

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Georgia...

  Oconee River near Penfield affecting Oglethorpe, Greene and 
  Oconee Counties.

  Oconee River near Oconee affecting Johnson, Wilkinson and 
  Washington Counties.

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...

  Oconee River at Milledgeville affecting Wilkinson, Washington and 
  Baldwin Counties.

  Oconee River at Avant Mine near Oconee affecting Wilkinson and 
  Washington Counties.

For the Oconee River Basin...including Penfield, Milledgeville, 
Oconee, Oconee, McIntyre, Irwinton, Oconee, Dublin, Mount Vernon...
Moderate flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Additional information is available at weather.gov/atlanta.

The next statement will be issued Thursday morning at 945 AM EST.

&&

GAC133-219-221-111445-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0046.000000T0000Z-240113T1836Z/
/PNFG1.2.ER.240109T2258Z.240112T0600Z.240113T1236Z.NO/
933 PM EST Wed Jan 10 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL EARLY SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is 
  forecast.

* WHERE...Oconee River near Penfield.

* WHEN...Until early Saturday afternoon.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 9:00 PM EST Wednesday the stage was 18.6 feet and nearly
    steady.
  - Forecast...The river will rise to 20 feet early Friday
    morning. It will then fall below flood stage Saturday morning
    to 10.7 feet and begin rising again early Sunday afternoon.
    It will rise to 10.8 feet Sunday evening. It will then fall
    again and remain below flood stage.
  - Flood stage is 13 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3364 8325 3364 8333 3383 8333 3384 8326


$$

GAC009-303-319-111445-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0032.000000T0000Z-240112T0600Z/
/MLGG1.1.ER.240109T2147Z.240110T0745Z.240112T0000Z.NO/
933 PM EST Wed Jan 10 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL EARLY FRIDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Oconee River at Milledgeville.

* WHEN...Until early Friday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 24 feet, Minor flooding continues upstream and 
  downstream from the gage located around one half mile upstream 
  from the Georgia Highway 22 and 24 bridge. The parking lot and 
  portions of the Oconee River Greenway Park just downstream from 
  the bridge will be flooded. Low lying areas of woodlands and 
  pasture near the river will be flooded one to two feet deep. 
  Sinclair Dam will likely have two gates open to reach this height.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 9:15 PM EST Wednesday the stage was 24.8 feet and nearly
    steady.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    tomorrow evening and continue falling to 12.7 feet Monday
    evening.
  - Flood stage is 22 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3313 8325 3314 8317 3308 8317 3302 8313
      3297 8316 3304 8324


$$

GAC167-303-319-111445-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0056.240111T1407Z-000000T0000Z/
/OCNG1.2.ER.240111T1407Z.240113T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
933 PM EST Wed Jan 10 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING UNTIL FURTHER 
NOTICE...

* WHAT...Moderate flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Oconee River near Oconee.

* WHEN...From Thursday morning until further notice.

* IMPACTS...At 21 feet, Moderate flooding begins. The dirt parking 
  lot by the Old Balls Ferry Road boat ramp is under one to three 
  feet of water. The end of Old Balls Ferry Road begins to flood. 
  Flooding continues and spreads further into the woodlands near the 
  river.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 9:15 PM EST Wednesday the stage was 14.8 feet and rising.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
    late tomorrow morning and continue rising to a crest of 21.7
    feet Saturday morning.
  - Flood stage is 17 feet.


&&

LAT...LON 3284 8303 3288 8298 3279 8292 3267 8289
      3265 8298 3278 8300


$$

GAC303-319-111445-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0058.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/OCOG1.1.ER.240110T1656Z.240111T0145Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
933 PM EST Wed Jan 10 2024

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring. This approaches the flood of 
  record.

* WHERE...Oconee River at Avant Mine near Oconee.

* WHEN...Until further notice.

* IMPACTS...At 19 feet, Minor flooding continues to expand into the 
  woodlands and wetlands along the river upstream and downstream 
  from a gage located by a dirt boat ramp on the west side of Avant 
  Mine off Adams Road in Washington County. The water level will 
  begin to surround the elevated USGS gage house.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:45 PM EST Wednesday the stage was 19 feet and slowly
    rising.
  - Forecast...No forecast is available for this location.
  - Flood stage is 18 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3297 8316 3302 8313 3296 8304 3288 8298
      3284 8303 3292 8311


$$
943 
WGUS82 KFFC 110955
FLSFFC

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
455 AM EST Thu Jan 11 2024

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...

  Oconee River near Penfield affecting Greene, Oconee and 
  Oglethorpe Counties.

  Oconee River at Milledgeville affecting Wilkinson, Washington and 
  Baldwin Counties.

  Oconee River near Oconee affecting Johnson, Wilkinson and 
  Washington Counties.

For the Oconee River Basin...including Penfield, Milledgeville, 
Oconee, Oconee, McIntyre, Irwinton, Oconee, Dublin, Mount Vernon...
Moderate flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Additional information is available at weather.gov/atlanta.

The next statement will be issued at 300 PM EST.this afternoon at 
500 PM EST.

&&

GAC133-219-221-112200-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0046.000000T0000Z-240113T1836Z/
/PNFG1.2.ER.240109T2258Z.240112T0600Z.240113T1236Z.NO/
455 AM EST Thu Jan 11 2024

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL EARLY SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is 
  forecast.

* WHERE...Oconee River near Penfield.

* WHEN...Until early Saturday afternoon.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 4:00 AM EST Thursday the stage was 18.5 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 4:00 AM EST Thursday was 18.8 feet.
  - Forecast...The river will rise to 20.0 feet just after
    midnight tonight. It will then fall below flood stage
    Saturday morning to 10.7 feet and begin rising again early
    Sunday afternoon. It will rise to 10.8 feet Sunday evening.
    It will then fall again and remain below flood stage.
  - Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    20.1 feet on 06/28/1994.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3364 8325 3364 8333 3383 8333 3384 8326


$$

GAC009-303-319-112200-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0032.000000T0000Z-240112T0600Z/
/MLGG1.1.ER.240109T2147Z.240110T0745Z.240112T0000Z.NO/
455 AM EST Thu Jan 11 2024

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL JUST AFTER MIDNIGHT 
TONIGHT...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Oconee River at Milledgeville.

* WHEN...Until just after midnight tonight.

* IMPACTS...At 24.0 feet, Minor flooding continues upstream and 
  downstream from the gage located around one half mile upstream 
  from the Georgia Highway 22 and 24 bridge. The parking lot and 
  portions of the Oconee River Greenway Park just downstream from 
  the bridge will be flooded. Low lying areas of woodlands and 
  pasture near the river will be flooded one to two feet deep. 
  Sinclair Dam will likely have two gates open to reach this height.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 4:30 AM EST Thursday the stage was 24.7 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 4:30 AM EST Thursday was 25.7 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    this evening and continue falling to 12.7 feet Monday
    evening.
  - Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    25.1 feet on 04/16/1979.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3313 8325 3314 8317 3308 8317 3302 8313
      3297 8316 3304 8324


$$

GAC167-303-319-112200-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0056.240111T1407Z-000000T0000Z/
/OCNG1.2.ER.240111T1407Z.240113T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
455 AM EST Thu Jan 11 2024

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THIS MORNING UNTIL FURTHER 
NOTICE...

* WHAT...Moderate flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Oconee River near Oconee.

* WHEN...From this morning until further notice.

* IMPACTS...At 21.0 feet, Moderate flooding begins. The dirt parking 
  lot by the Old Balls Ferry Road boat ramp is under one to three 
  feet of water. The end of Old Balls Ferry Road begins to flood. 
  Flooding continues and spreads further into the woodlands near the 
  river.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 4:30 AM EST Thursday the stage was 15.9 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
    late this morning and continue rising to a crest of 21.7 feet
    Saturday morning.
  - Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    22.2 feet on 10/10/2021.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3284 8303 3288 8298 3279 8292 3267 8289
      3265 8298 3278 8300


$$

SEC
605 
WGUS82 KFFC 111429
FLSFFC

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
929 AM EST Thu Jan 11 2024

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Georgia...

  Oconee River near Penfield affecting Oconee, Oglethorpe and 
  Greene Counties.

  Oconee River at Milledgeville affecting Baldwin, Wilkinson and 
  Washington Counties.

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...

  Oconee River at Avant Mine near Oconee affecting Wilkinson and 
  Washington Counties.

  Oconee River near Oconee affecting Johnson, Wilkinson and 
  Washington Counties.

For the Oconee River Basin...including Penfield, Milledgeville, 
Oconee, Oconee, McIntyre, Irwinton, Oconee, Dublin, Mount Vernon...
Moderate flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at weather.gov/atlanta.

The next statement will be issued this evening at 930 PM EST.

&&

GAC133-219-221-120230-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0046.000000T0000Z-240113T2209Z/
/PNFG1.2.ER.240109T2258Z.240112T0600Z.240113T1609Z.NO/
929 AM EST Thu Jan 11 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is 
  forecast.

* WHERE...Oconee River near Penfield.

* WHEN...Until Saturday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...At 22.0 feet, Moderate flooding expands. Several farm 
  access roads begin to flood.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 9:00 AM EST Thursday the stage was 18.9 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 9:00 AM EST Thursday was 18.9 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 20.8
    feet just after midnight tonight. It will then fall below
    flood stage late Saturday morning.
  - Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    20.9 feet on 04/15/1979.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3364 8325 3364 8333 3383 8333 3384 8326


$$

GAC009-303-319-120230-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0032.000000T0000Z-240114T0712Z/
/MLGG1.1.ER.240109T2147Z.240110T0745Z.240114T0112Z.NO/
929 AM EST Thu Jan 11 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL EARLY SUNDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Oconee River at Milledgeville.

* WHEN...Until early Sunday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 24.0 feet, Minor flooding continues upstream and 
  downstream from the gage located around one half mile upstream 
  from the Georgia Highway 22 and 24 bridge. The parking lot and 
  portions of the Oconee River Greenway Park just downstream from 
  the bridge will be flooded. Low lying areas of woodlands and 
  pasture near the river will be flooded one to two feet deep. 
  Sinclair Dam will likely have two gates open to reach this height.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 9:15 AM EST Thursday the stage was 24.7 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 9:15 AM EST Thursday was 25.5 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    Saturday evening and continue falling to 16.5 feet Tuesday
    morning.
  - Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    25.1 feet on 04/16/1979.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3313 8325 3314 8317 3308 8317 3302 8313
      3297 8316 3304 8324


$$

GAC303-319-120230-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0058.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/OCOG1.1.ER.240110T1656Z.240111T1300Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
929 AM EST Thu Jan 11 2024

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring. This approaches the flood of 
  record.

* WHERE...Oconee River at Avant Mine near Oconee.

* WHEN...Until further notice.

* IMPACTS...At 19.0 feet, Minor flooding continues to expand into 
  the woodlands and wetlands along the river upstream and downstream 
  from a gage located by a dirt boat ramp on the west side of Avant 
  Mine off Adams Road in Washington County. The water level will 
  begin to surround the elevated USGS gage house.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:45 AM EST Thursday the stage was 19.2 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 8:45 AM EST Thursday was 19.3 feet.
  - Forecast...No forecast is available for this location.
  - Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    19.2 feet on 03/09/1997.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3297 8316 3302 8313 3296 8304 3288 8298
      3284 8303 3292 8311


$$

GAC167-303-319-120230-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0056.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/OCNG1.2.ER.240111T1601Z.240114T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
929 AM EST Thu Jan 11 2024

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...

* WHAT...Moderate flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Oconee River near Oconee.

* WHEN...Until further notice.

* IMPACTS...At 21.0 feet, Moderate flooding begins. The dirt parking 
  lot by the Old Balls Ferry Road boat ramp is under one to three 
  feet of water. The end of Old Balls Ferry Road begins to flood. 
  Flooding continues and spreads further into the woodlands near the 
  river.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 9:15 AM EST Thursday the stage was 16.6 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
    late this morning and continue rising to a crest of 21.8 feet
    Saturday evening.
  - Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    22.2 feet on 10/10/2021.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3284 8303 3288 8298 3279 8292 3267 8289
      3265 8298 3278 8300


$$
318 
WGUS82 KFFC 111901
FLSFFC

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
201 PM EST Thu Jan 11 2024

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Georgia...

  Ocmulgee River near Macon affecting Houston, Twiggs, Monroe, 
  Jones and Bibb Counties.

  Oconee River near Penfield affecting Oconee, Oglethorpe and 
  Greene Counties.

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...

  Oconee River at Milledgeville affecting Baldwin, Wilkinson and 
  Washington Counties.

  Oconee River at Avant Mine near Oconee affecting Wilkinson and 
  Washington Counties.

  Oconee River near Oconee affecting Johnson, Wilkinson and 
  Washington Counties.

For the Ocmulgee River Basin...including Jackson, Juliette, Griffin, 
Juliette, Macon, Dames Ferry, Macon, Clinchfield, Hawkinsville, 
Hawkinsville, Byron, Abbeville, McRae, Scotland, Lumber City...
Moderate flooding is forecast.
For the Oconee River Basin...including Penfield, Milledgeville, 
Oconee, Oconee, McIntyre, Irwinton, Oconee, Dublin, Mount Vernon...
Moderate flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at weather.gov/atlanta.

The next statement will be issued late tonight at 215 AM EST.

&&

GAC133-219-221-120715-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0046.000000T0000Z-240113T2304Z/
/PNFG1.2.ER.240109T2258Z.240112T0600Z.240113T1704Z.NO/
201 PM EST Thu Jan 11 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING...

* WHAT...Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is 
  forecast.

* WHERE...Oconee River near Penfield.

* WHEN...Until Saturday evening.

* IMPACTS...At 22.0 feet, Moderate flooding expands. Several farm 
  access roads begin to flood.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 1:00 PM EST Thursday the stage was 19.3 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 1:00 PM EST Thursday was 19.3 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 20.4
    feet just after midnight tonight. It will then fall below
    flood stage early Saturday afternoon.
  - Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    20.2 feet on 12/16/1972.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3364 8325 3364 8333 3383 8333 3384 8326


$$

GAC009-303-319-120715-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0032.000000T0000Z-240113T0300Z/
/MLGG1.1.ER.240109T2147Z.240110T0745Z.240112T2100Z.NO/
201 PM EST Thu Jan 11 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE TOMORROW EVENING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Oconee River at Milledgeville.

* WHEN...Until late tomorrow evening.

* IMPACTS...At 24.0 feet, Minor flooding continues upstream and 
  downstream from the gage located around one half mile upstream 
  from the Georgia Highway 22 and 24 bridge. The parking lot and 
  portions of the Oconee River Greenway Park just downstream from 
  the bridge will be flooded. Low lying areas of woodlands and 
  pasture near the river will be flooded one to two feet deep. 
  Sinclair Dam will likely have two gates open to reach this height.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 1:30 PM EST Thursday the stage was 24.4 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 1:30 PM EST Thursday was 25.1 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    tomorrow afternoon and continue falling to 14.1 feet early
    Tuesday afternoon.
  - Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    25.1 feet on 04/16/1979.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3313 8325 3314 8317 3308 8317 3302 8313
      3297 8316 3304 8324


$$

GAC021-153-169-207-289-120715-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-240114T1536Z/
/MACG1.1.ER.240109T2237Z.240111T1800Z.240114T0936Z.NO/
201 PM EST Thu Jan 11 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE SUNDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Ocmulgee River near Macon.

* WHEN...Until late Sunday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 25.0 feet, Minor flooding expands further into the 
  woodlands and over the Macon GreenWay Ocmulgee Heritage Trail 
  north of the Martin Luther King Boulevard bridge. The flood waters 
  will be up to 5 feet deep on portions of the trail. Large portions 
  of agricultural lands just east and south of Macon will be under 1 
  to 7 feet of water.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 1:30 PM EST Thursday the stage was 24.1 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 1:30 PM EST Thursday was 24.1 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    early Sunday morning and continue falling to 14.4 feet early
    Tuesday afternoon.
  - Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    24.1 feet on 02/26/1961.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3290 8372 3293 8367 3282 8356 3266 8353
      3263 8359 3274 8363


$$

GAC303-319-120715-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0058.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/OCOG1.1.ER.240110T1656Z.240111T1630Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
201 PM EST Thu Jan 11 2024

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring. This approaches the flood of 
  record.

* WHERE...Oconee River at Avant Mine near Oconee.

* WHEN...Until further notice.

* IMPACTS...At 19.0 feet, Minor flooding continues to expand into 
  the woodlands and wetlands along the river upstream and downstream 
  from a gage located by a dirt boat ramp on the west side of Avant 
  Mine off Adams Road in Washington County. The water level will 
  begin to surround the elevated USGS gage house.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 1:45 PM EST Thursday the stage was 19.3 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 1:45 PM EST Thursday was 19.3 feet.
  - Forecast...No forecast is available for this location.
  - Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    19.3 feet on 03/06/2020.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3297 8316 3302 8313 3296 8304 3288 8298
      3284 8303 3292 8311


$$

GAC167-303-319-120715-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0056.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/OCNG1.2.ER.240111T1745Z.240113T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
201 PM EST Thu Jan 11 2024

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is 
  forecast.

* WHERE...Oconee River near Oconee.

* WHEN...Until further notice.

* IMPACTS...At 21.0 feet, Moderate flooding begins. The dirt parking 
  lot by the Old Balls Ferry Road boat ramp is under one to three 
  feet of water. The end of Old Balls Ferry Road begins to flood. 
  Flooding continues and spreads further into the woodlands near the 
  river.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 1:45 PM EST Thursday the stage was 17.2 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 1:45 PM EST Thursday was 17.2 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 21.0
    feet early Saturday afternoon.
  - Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    20.6 feet on 09/20/2020.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3284 8303 3288 8298 3279 8292 3267 8289
      3265 8298 3278 8300


$$
077 
WGUS82 KFFC 120127
FLSFFC

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
827 PM EST Thu Jan 11 2024

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Georgia...

  Oconee River at Milledgeville affecting Baldwin, Wilkinson and 
  Washington Counties.

GAC009-303-319-120230-
/O.CAN.KFFC.FL.W.0032.000000T0000Z-240112T0127Z/
/MLGG1.1.ER.240109T2147Z.240110T0745Z.240111T2233Z.NO/
827 PM EST Thu Jan 11 2024

...FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED...

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Oconee River at Milledgeville.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:00 PM EST Thursday the stage was 21.4 feet and falling.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall to 13.8 feet Tuesday
    evening.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3313 8325 3314 8317 3308 8317 3302 8313
      3297 8316 3304 8324


$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Atlanta, GA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Jan 9, 12:45 PM EST, 1 hour 45 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 9, 12:45 PM EST, 1 hour 45 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1245 PM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

...New 18Z Aviation Discussion...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Wednesday)
Issued at 445 AM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

The main focus today will be on active weather associated with a
deep closed 500 mb low currently moving into the Ozarks. As this low
continues to move east-northeast, it is becoming negatively tilted
as a shortwave rotates around its southern extent, allowing it to
rapidly intensify. An occluded front is extending from the
associated surface low into the Lower Mississippi River Valley. At
the end of this occluded front is a triple point, from which a warm
front extends to the southeast into western Alabama and central
Georgia, and a cold front extends south to near the MS/AL state
line. Meanwhile, A strong surface high is positioned to the
northeast of the forecast area, just off the New England coast, with
a CAD wedge in place along the lee side of the Appalachians and
north Georgia.

As the low pressure system continues to lift to the northeast, the
warm front continues to advance northward through the forecast area.
Strong warm air advection driven by a powerful 80+ kt low-level jet
is overspreading the forecast area, which will bringing copious
moisture into the area, particularly in central Georgia, where
dewpoints will surge into the upper 50s to low 60s in central
Georgia by mid-morning. Widespread isentropic showers are also
ongoing in north Georgia to the north of the warm front.
Temperatures in the highest elevations in far northeast Georgia (and
within the wedge) may remain cool enough for a light rain/freezing
rain mix to be observed at elevations above 2500 ft over the next
couple of hours. However, with strong warm air advection and latent
heating processes already ongoing, additional ice accumulations will
be minimal and the chance for freezing rain should come to an end
entirely by sunrise.

The cold front will advance closer to the forecast area early this
morning, at which point things could get quite interesting with a
line of heavy showers and potentially strong thunderstorms moving
from west to east across the forecast area this morning and
afternoon. With the warm sector continuing to expand northward,
there should be enough instability in central Georgia and portions
of north Georgia to support surface based storms this morning into
the afternoon. Severe weather, heavy rain, and strong gradient winds
will all be possible in association with this system, which will be
discussed below:

1 - Severe Weather: A strong line of thunderstorms ahead of the cold
front will enter west Georgia this morning, advancing eastward
through the forecast area this morning and afternoon. The severe
weather potential will similarly spread from west to east with the
line of storms. As warm air advection continues to spread into
Georgia, the boundary of the wedge should retreat northward over the
next few hours. Warm fronts do not always fare well against the
wedge, but in this case, with such a strong low-level jet at 850 mb
overspreading the region, there is a greater likelihood than normal
in mixing out the wedge. This is important because it will dictate
how far north the warm sector is able to ultimately advance, and the
severe weather potential will be impacted by how much instability
will be present in the warm sector ahead of the advancing cold
front. As the jet sets up and warm front advances further north,
portions of east Georgia will have more time for the airmass to
destabilize. This is well-reflected in the SPC outlook, which
indicates the highest risk for severe weather today will be located
roughly  along and south of a line from Columbus to Macon to
Warrenton where destabilization and the ability to maintain
surface- based storms appears to be most likely. All that said, it
will not take much instability to see severe weather threats in
this low CAPE/high shear environment. The kinematics of this
system will be be quite robust with ample low-level and deep layer
shear, EBWD from 30-40+kt, and 0-1 km SRH from 200-400 m2/s2).
Severe thunderstorms that develop will be capable of producing
strong, damaging wind gusts, especially given the likelihood of
mixing down strong winds aloft. Given the very strong shear and
SRH values, a few QLCS tornadoes will also be possible within the
line, especially where storms are able to interact with the wedge
front and obtain rotating meso-vortices.

2 - Heavy Rain/Flooding: Precipitable water values are continuing to
increase this morning, and are expected to range from 1.5-1.7 inches
roughly along and south of I-20. These values, for context, are near
daily records for this time of the year. As such, the main line of
storms will have plenty of moisture to work with and be capable of
producing bursts of heavy rain as it moves through the forecast
area. A Flood Watch remains in effect in the areas north of the Fall
Line. Additional rainfall amounts of 2-3 inches are forecast with
the remaining isentropic showers and with the line of storms.
Furthermore, orographic enhancement on windward slopes could lead to
locally higher amounts in the mountains of far northeast Georgia,
where up to 4 additional inches will be possible. With efficient
rainfall rates, localized flash flooding will be possible,
especially in urban and low-lying areas. Moreover, numerous creeks
and streams across the area are forecast to reach minor flood stage,
with some potentially approaching moderate stage.

3 - High Winds: A very tight pressure gradient is present due to the
aforementioned surface high to the northeast and approaching low
pressure system. This will keep surface winds strong and boundary
layer well mixed. Sustained winds of 20-30 mph with gusts up to 40
mph will be likely through much of the day. The strong low level jet
at 850 mb early this morning will promote additional mixing of wind
gusts down to the surface, especially in higher elevations, where
wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible this morning. Considering
heavy rainfall and thus wet soils in association with this system,
strong winds could bring down trees, which would lead to localized
power outages. As a result, a High Wind Warning is in effect for
Murray, Gilmer, Fannin, Union, Towns, White, Lumpkin, and Dawson
counties. Elsewhere in the forecast area, a Wind Advisory remains in
effect. Winds will begin to drop below advisory criteria by 7 PM
this evening in north and west Georgia, and by 1 AM on Wednesday in
central and east Georgia.

On the backside of the system tonight into early Tuesday morning,
there will be enough moisture in combination with near freezing
temperatures to see some scattered light snow showers across far
north Georgia and the western facing mountain slopes. Light snowfall
accumulations of about one-half inch will be possible, but no
impacts are expected. These snow showers are expected to diminish by
sunrise on Wednesday. Lingering mid-level moisture on the back side
of the system will keep skies mostly cloudy across the majority of
north Georgia and portions of central Georgia on Wednesday morning
and early afternoon. However, weather conditions will remain benign
during the daytime on Wednesday with no precipitation expected at
this time. Afternoon high temperatures will run about 3-5 degrees
below climatological normals, in the mid to upper 40s in north
Georgia and in the low to mid 50s in central Georgia.

King

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday night through Monday)
Issued at 445 AM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

Key Messages:

 - Another storm system will bring showers and thunderstorms to the
   area late Thursday night and Friday. Some thunderstorms may be
   strong.

Colder and drier air will continue to filter into the area Wednesday
night on the heels of the departing cold front and upper trough.
Most locations will drop to near or just below freezing Wednesday
night, with mid 20s across portions of the NE mountains. Warmer
temperatures are forecast for Thursday, with most locations reaching
into the mid to upper 50s and even some lower 60s across the S.

Another storm system will approach the area Thursday night, bringing
a chance of showers and thunderstorms. This system will lift NE on
Friday as a negatively tilted trough, reaching the Great Lakes by
Friday night. A 996 mb surface low is progged to be near Little Rock
by Friday morning. A large area of isentropic lift is forecast to
precede the low, with increasing MUCAPE and wind shear across most
of the forecast area. There will be another threat of severe weather
with this system during the day Friday, and the threat area looks to
be farther to the N than with today's system. GFS MUCAPE values are
forecast to reach near 1000 J/kg as effective shear increases to
over 40 knots in the Atlanta metro area. This will coincide maximum
daytime heating in the early afternoon, with surface temperatures
reaching over 60 degrees and dew points reaching the lower to mid
50s. The wedge/CAD is forecast to hang into NE GA during this time
period, but present indications are that it will be NE of the
Atlanta metro area. Storm total rainfall amounts with this system are
forecast to range from around a quarter inch S of Columbus to close
to an inch across N GA. Residents should continue to monitor the
latest forecast regarding this storm system.

A bit of snow will linger over the N mountains Friday night, but dry
weather is forecast to return on Saturday. Temperatures will be
rather cold over the weekend, with the potential of even colder
weather early next week. A weak southern stream storm system may
move along the Gulf Coast on Monday, bringing light rain amounts and
the chance for frozen precipitation across N GA. NBM low
temperatures Tuesday morning appeared to be too cold. Even though
this was at the tail end of the forecast period, opted to blend 2
parts operational NBM with 1 part NBM 90th percentile to bump low
temperatures up closer to MEX MOS guidance. /SEC

SEC

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1237 PM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

The line of thunderstorms has made it past all the TAF sites and
showers have ended across most of the metro and will be ending
soon for CSG. Showers will continue to affect the MCN and AHN
areas for the next few hours. Expecting MVFR conditions across the
area thorugh tomorrow afternoon before VFR conditions filter in
tomorrow evening. Expecting W winds with gusts up to 30KT
throughout the evening before lowering overnight into the 09-12KT
range.

//ATL Confidence...18Z Update...

Medium on all elements.

Hernandez

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          33  48  31  57 /  10   0   0   0
Atlanta         33  47  34  57 /  10   0   0   0
Blairsville     28  41  26  52 /  40   0   0   0
Cartersville    32  47  29  57 /  10   0   0   0
Columbus        35  51  33  60 /   0   0   0   0
Gainesville     32  44  32  54 /  20   0   0   0
Macon           35  52  31  60 /  10   0   0   0
Rome            33  48  31  57 /  20   0   0   0
Peachtree City  32  49  31  58 /  10   0   0   0
Vidalia         37  53  36  60 /  20   0   0   0

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flood Watch until 7 PM EST this evening for GAZ001>009-011>016-
019>025-027-030>038-041>050-052>060-066>071-078-079.

Wind Advisory until 7 PM EST this evening for GAZ001>004-011>013-
019>023-030>034-041>045-052>055-066-067-078-079-089>091-102-103.

High Wind Warning until 1 PM EST this afternoon for GAZ005>009-
014>016.

Wind Advisory until 1 AM EST Wednesday for GAZ024-025-027-
035>039-046>051-056>062-068>076-080>086-092>098-104>113.

&&

SHORT TERM...King
LONG TERM....SEC
AVIATION...Hernandez
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 9, 7:14 AM EST, 7 hours 16 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
714 AM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-101215-
Baldwin-Banks-Barrow-Bartow-Bibb-Bleckley-Butts-Carroll-Catoosa-
Chattahoochee-Chattooga-Cherokee-Clarke-Clayton-Cobb-Coweta-
Crawford-Crisp-Dade-Dawson-DeKalb-Dodge-Dooly-Douglas-Emanuel-
Fannin-Fayette-Floyd-Forsyth-Gilmer-Glascock-Gordon-Greene-
Gwinnett-Hall-Hancock-Haralson-Harris-Heard-Henry-Houston-Jackson-
Jasper-Jefferson-Johnson-Jones-Lamar-Laurens-Lumpkin-Macon-
Madison-Marion-Meriwether-Monroe-Montgomery-Morgan-Murray-
Muscogee-Newton-North Fulton-Oconee-Oglethorpe-Paulding-Peach-
Pickens-Pike-Polk-Pulaski-Putnam-Rockdale-Schley-South Fulton-
Spalding-Stewart-Sumter-Talbot-Taliaferro-Taylor-Telfair-Toombs-
Towns-Treutlen-Troup-Twiggs-Union-Upson-Walker-Walton-Warren-
Washington-Webster-Wheeler-White-Whitfield-Wilcox-Wilkes-
Wilkinson-
714 AM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of North and Central Georgia.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight...

A Tornado Watch has been issued for portions of central Georgia
until 2 PM.

A High Wind Warning is in effect for portions of Northeast Georgia
until 1 PM today for wind gusts over 50 mph. A Wind Advisory is in
effect for all other portions of the county warning area for wind
gusts to 45 mph. A Flood Watch is in effect through this evening for
areas north of the fall line due to storm total rainfall amounts of
2 to 4 inches. Locally higher amounts are possible, particularly
across the northeast mountains. Scattered thunderstorms are expected
across central Georgia, with severe storms and isolated tornadoes
possible mostly south of a Columbus to Macon line. Isolated
thunderstorms are possible elsewhere.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday...

Another storm system is expected to bring thunderstorms to the
region again Friday. Some storms may become strong to severe.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not requested at this time, but spotters are
encouraged to submit reports of severe weather through the web by
going to weather.gov/atlanta. Please relay any information about
observed severe weather to the NWS.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jan 9, 2:13 PM EST, 17 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
213 PM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1230 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     Wrightsville            32.73N 82.72W
01/09/2024                   Johnson            GA   Emergency Mngr

            Roof blown off of a home along Kents Lane
            and into the powerlines nearby.

&&

KS
Local storm report, Jan 9, 2:16 PM EST, 14 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
216 PM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1040 AM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     1 ENE Lexington         33.87N 83.10W
01/09/2024                   Oglethorpe         GA   Dept of Highways

            Tree down into powerlines along Elberton
            Road north of Hwy 78.

&&

KS
Local storm report, Jan 9, 2:19 PM EST, 11 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
219 PM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0950 AM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     2 W Byron               32.65N 83.80W
01/09/2024                   Peach              GA   Dept of Highways

            Tree downed blocking both lanes along
            Hardison Road near the intersection of hwy
            42.

&&

KS
Local storm report, Jan 9, 2:21 PM EST, 9 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
221 PM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1025 AM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     2 WNW Friendship        32.68N 83.90W
01/09/2024                   Crawford           GA   Dept of Highways

            Corrects previous tstm wnd dmg report from 2
            WNW Friendship. Tree downed on Hwy 42 near
            Richardson Mill Road.

&&

KS
Local storm report, Jan 9, 2:23 PM EST, 7 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
223 PM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1100 AM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     2 NNW Milledgeville     33.11N 83.24W
01/09/2024                   Baldwin            GA   Emergency Mngr

            Corrects previous tstm wnd dmg report from 2
            NNW Milledgeville. Tree blocking portions of
            Pine Valley Rd (North Milledgeville).

&&

KS
Local storm report, Jan 9, 2:24 PM EST, 6 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
224 PM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1105 AM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     1 SSE Hardwick          33.06N 83.22W
01/09/2024                   Baldwin            GA   Emergency Mngr

            Corrects previous tstm wnd dmg report from 1
            SSE Hardwick. Tree blocking portions of
            Coombs Ave SE (South Milledgeville).

&&

KS

The office that day

Everything else NWS Atlanta, GA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 9, 5:49 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementFFCClayton, Coweta, DeKalb, Fayette, Fulton, Meriwether56 min
Jan 9, 7:15 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCForsyth, Fulton46 hr
Jan 9, 7:19 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementFFCButts, Lamar, Pike, Spalding56 min
Jan 9, 7:21 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementFFCHeard, Troup39 min
Jan 9, 7:29 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCForsyth22 hr
Jan 9, 7:41 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCGwinnett12 hr
Jan 9, 7:51 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCChattooga27 hr
Jan 9, 7:52 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementFFCCoweta, Meriwether, Troup23 min
Jan 9, 8:01 AM ESTAreal Flood WarningFFCCarroll, Clayton, Coweta, DeKalb, Douglas, Fayette and 9 more6 hr
Jan 9, 8:07 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementFFCClayton23 min
Jan 9, 8:12 AM ESTTornado WarningFFCClayton, DeKalb, Fulton10 min
Jan 9, 8:19 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFFCClayton, DeKalb, Fulton12 min
Jan 9, 8:25 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementFFCClayton, Fayette35 min
Jan 9, 8:27 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementFFCMuscogee, Talbot33 min
Jan 9, 8:37 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCDeKalb, Rockdale36 hr
Jan 9, 8:39 AM ESTFlash Flood WarningFFCCoweta, Meriwether, Pike, Spalding, Upson6 hr
Jan 9, 8:39 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCGwinnett5 hr
Jan 9, 8:43 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCNewton, Rockdale53 hr
Jan 9, 8:46 AM ESTFlash Flood WarningFFCHenry, Newton, Rockdale, Spalding6 hr
Jan 9, 8:52 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementFFCButts, Lamar, Pike, Upson38 min
Jan 9, 8:54 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementFFCChattahoochee, Marion, Stewart36 min
Jan 9, 9:03 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFFCChattahoochee, Marion, Schley, Stewart, Taylor, Webster42 min
Jan 9, 9:09 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementFFCDooly, Sumter36 min
Jan 9, 9:13 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCDeKalb5 hr
Jan 9, 9:24 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementFFCButts, Jasper, Monroe36 min
Jan 9, 9:27 AM ESTAreal Flood WarningFFCChattahoochee, Harris, Marion, Muscogee, Talbot6 hr
Jan 9, 9:36 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCDeKalb, Fulton6 hr
Jan 9, 9:38 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFFCCrawford, Dooly, Houston, Macon, Peach, Schley and 3 more52 min
Jan 9, 9:43 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementFFCClarke, Morgan, Oconee32 min
Jan 9, 9:53 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementFFCBaldwin, Jasper, Jones, Putnam37 min
Jan 9, 9:59 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementFFCBibb, Jones31 min
Jan 9, 10:03 AM ESTAreal Flood WarningFFCButts, Crawford, Henry, Jasper, Lamar, Meriwether and 7 more6 hr
Jan 9, 10:08 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementFFCHouston, Twiggs37 min
Jan 9, 10:09 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementFFCGreene, Oglethorpe36 min
Jan 9, 10:11 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementFFCMadison34 min
Jan 9, 10:14 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCGwinnett, Walton11 hr
Jan 9, 10:16 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementFFCCrisp, Wilcox29 min
Jan 9, 10:17 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFFCBaldwin, Bibb, Houston, Twiggs, Washington, Wilkinson43 min
Jan 9, 10:25 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCCobb3 hr
Jan 9, 10:29 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementFFCBaldwin, Hancock, Taliaferro31 min
Jan 9, 10:30 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFFCBleckley, Crisp, Dooly, Houston, Laurens, Peach and 4 more45 min
Jan 9, 10:32 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCGwinnett4 hr
Jan 9, 10:39 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementFFCBaldwin36 min
Jan 9, 10:40 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCGwinnett6 hr
Jan 9, 10:44 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCCobb4 hr
Jan 9, 10:44 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementFFCTaliaferro, Warren, Wilkes31 min
Jan 9, 10:48 AM ESTAreal Flood WarningFFCBanks, Barrow, Clarke, Dawson, Forsyth, Greene and 11 more3 hr
Jan 9, 10:56 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFFCCrisp, Wilcox49 min
Jan 9, 10:57 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCDade10 hr
Jan 9, 11:00 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFFCBaldwin, Glascock, Hancock, Johnson, Laurens, Twiggs and 2 more45 min
Jan 9, 11:02 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementFFCHancock28 min
Jan 9, 11:03 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementFFCHancock, Taliaferro, Warren27 min
Jan 9, 11:19 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFFCBleckley, Dodge, Houston, Laurens, Pulaski, Twiggs41 min
Jan 9, 11:25 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCCherokee, Cobb7 hr
Jan 9, 11:29 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCRockdale3 hr
Jan 9, 11:34 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCDawson, Forsyth17 hr
Jan 9, 11:37 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFFCDodge, Telfair, Wilcox38 min
Jan 9, 11:39 AM ESTAreal Flood WarningFFCBaldwin, Bibb, Bleckley, Crawford, Dooly, Hancock and 10 more3 hr
Jan 9, 11:39 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCBanks9 hr
Jan 9, 11:43 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCGwinnett23 hr
Jan 9, 11:43 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFFCBaldwin, Johnson, Laurens, Twiggs, Washington, Wilkinson47 min
Jan 9, 11:48 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCChattahoochee, Muscogee18 hr
Jan 9, 11:48 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFFCGlascock, Hancock, Taliaferro, Warren, Wilkes42 min
Jan 9, 11:53 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFFCBleckley, Dodge, Laurens37 min
Jan 9, 12:07 PM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCLamar, Spalding4 hr
Jan 9, 12:07 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFFCDodge, Montgomery, Telfair, Wheeler38 min
Jan 9, 12:10 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFFCEmanuel, Johnson, Laurens, Montgomery, Toombs, Treutlen and 1 more50 min
Jan 9, 12:13 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFFCEmanuel, Glascock, Jefferson, Johnson, Laurens, Washington47 min
Jan 9, 12:31 PM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCFulton6 hr
Jan 9, 12:38 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFFCEmanuel, Johnson, Laurens, Montgomery, Telfair, Toombs and 2 more52 min
Jan 9, 12:53 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFFCEmanuel22 min
Jan 9, 1:09 PM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCBarrow, Jackson45 hr
Jan 9, 1:13 PM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCCobb14 hr
Jan 9, 1:37 PM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCCobb, Fulton34 hr
Jan 9, 1:43 PM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCFayette, Spalding59 hr
Jan 9, 1:54 PM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCCobb, Fulton21 days
Jan 9, 1:58 PM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCSpalding119 min
Jan 9, 2:26 PM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCCobb, Fulton29 hr
Jan 9, 2:28 PM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCBibb, Houston, Jones, Monroe, Twiggs5 days
Jan 9, 2:42 PM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCElbert, Madison, Oglethorpe45 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Georgia, 2024Every river flood warning in 2024

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.