River Flood Warning 33, NWS Atlanta, GA

387 
WGUS82 KFFC 092138
FLSFFC

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
438 PM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Georgia...

  Broad River near Broad River above Carlton affecting Oglethorpe, 
  Madison and Elbert Counties.

For the Broad River...including Broad River above Carlton, 
Commerce...Minor flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at weather.gov/atlanta.

The next statement will be issued late tonight at 445 AM EST.

&&

GAC105-195-221-100945-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-240110T1906Z/
/CARG1.1.ER.240109T1901Z.240110T0000Z.240110T1306Z.UU/
438 PM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL EARLY TOMORROW AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Broad River near Broad River above Carlton.

* WHEN...Until early tomorrow afternoon.

* IMPACTS...At 21.0 feet, Minor flooding expands further into the 
  woodlands and fields along the river. A sand dredge operation on 
  the left bank near the gage will be flooded out. Large portions of 
  Roy Wood Road and the Broad River Outpost for Canoes and Kayaks 
  location will be under several feet of water. Flooding expands 
  over the yard behind an assisted living home off of Roy Wood Road.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 3:45 PM EST Tuesday the stage was 17.9 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 3:45 PM EST Tuesday was 17.9 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 20.0
    feet this evening. It will then fall below flood stage
    tomorrow morning.
  - Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    20.7 feet on 10/07/2021.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3419 8308 3407 8295 3401 8285 3396 8286
      3402 8300 3414 8312


$$

714 
WGUS82 KFFC 100858
FLSFFC

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
358 AM EST Wed Jan 10 2024

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Georgia...

  Broad River near Broad River above Carlton affecting Madison, 
  Oglethorpe and Elbert Counties.

For the Broad River...including Broad River above Carlton, 
Commerce...Minor flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at weather.gov/atlanta.

The next statement will be issued this afternoon at 400 PM EST.

&&

GAC105-195-221-102100-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-240110T2242Z/
/CARG1.1.ER.240109T1901Z.240110T0330Z.240110T1642Z.UU/
358 AM EST Wed Jan 10 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Broad River near Broad River above Carlton.

* WHEN...Until late this afternoon.

* IMPACTS...At 21.0 feet, Minor flooding expands further into the 
  woodlands and fields along the river. A sand dredge operation on 
  the left bank near the gage will be flooded out. Large portions of 
  Roy Wood Road and the Broad River Outpost for Canoes and Kayaks 
  location will be under several feet of water. Flooding expands 
  over the yard behind an assisted living home off of Roy Wood Road.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 3:45 AM EST Wednesday the stage was 21.3 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 3:45 AM EST Wednesday was 22.5 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    late this morning and continue falling to 4.6 feet Sunday
    evening.
  - Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    20.7 feet on 10/07/2021.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3419 8308 3407 8295 3401 8285 3396 8286
      3402 8300 3414 8312


$$

995 
WGUS82 KFFC 101619
FLSFFC

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1119 AM EST Wed Jan 10 2024

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Georgia...

  Broad River near Broad River above Carlton affecting Madison, 
  Elbert and Oglethorpe Counties.

For the Broad River...including Broad River above Carlton, 
Commerce...Minor flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at weather.gov/atlanta.

The next statement will be issued this evening at 1130 PM EST.

&&

GAC105-195-221-110430-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-240111T0712Z/
/CARG1.1.ER.240109T1901Z.240110T0330Z.240111T0112Z.UU/
1119 AM EST Wed Jan 10 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL JUST AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Broad River near Broad River above Carlton.

* WHEN...Until just after midnight tonight.

* IMPACTS...At 21.0 feet, Minor flooding expands further into the 
  woodlands and fields along the river. A sand dredge operation on 
  the left bank near the gage will be flooded out. Large portions of 
  Roy Wood Road and the Broad River Outpost for Canoes and Kayaks 
  location will be under several feet of water. Flooding expands 
  over the yard behind an assisted living home off of Roy Wood Road.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 10:45 AM EST Wednesday the stage was 19.7 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 10:45 AM EST Wednesday was 22.5 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    this evening and continue falling to 4.3 feet Monday morning.
  - Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    20.7 feet on 10/07/2021.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3419 8308 3407 8295 3401 8285 3396 8286
      3402 8300 3414 8312


$$

278 
WGUS82 KFFC 110201
FLSFFC

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
901 PM EST Wed Jan 10 2024

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...

  Broad River near Broad River above Carlton affecting Elbert, 
  Madison and Oglethorpe Counties.

For the Broad River...including Broad River above Carlton...Minor 
flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at weather.gov/atlanta.

The next statement will be issued late tonight at 215 AM EST.

&&

GAC105-195-221-110715-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-240111T0712Z/
/CARG1.1.ER.240109T1901Z.240110T0330Z.240111T1531Z.UU/
901 PM EST Wed Jan 10 2024

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL JUST AFTER MIDNIGHT 
TONIGHT...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and forecast to continue.

* WHERE...Broad River near Broad River above Carlton.

* WHEN...Until just after midnight tonight.

* IMPACTS...At 18 feet, Minor flooding will expand further into the 
  woodlands and fields along the river upstream and downstream from 
  the gage on the Georgia Highway 72 bridge. A sand dredge operation 
  on the left bank near the gage will become flooded. A large 
  portion of Roy Wood Road will be flooded with several feet of 
  water and the Broad River Outpost for Canoes and Kayaks location 
  will be under water. Flooding of the yard behind an assisted 
  living home off of Roy Wood Road will continue to expand.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:45 PM EST Wednesday the stage was 17.8 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 8:45 PM EST Wednesday was 22.5 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    late tomorrow morning and continue falling to 6 feet Monday
    evening.
  - Flood stage is 15 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3419 8308 3407 8295 3401 8285 3396 8286
      3402 8300 3414 8312


$$

082 
WGUS82 KFFC 110252
FLSFFC

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
952 PM EST Wed Jan 10 2024

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Georgia...

  Broad River near Broad River above Carlton affecting Elbert, 
  Oglethorpe and Madison Counties.

For the Broad River...including Broad River above Carlton, 
Commerce...Minor flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Additional information is available at weather.gov/atlanta.

The next statement will be issued Thursday morning at 1000 AM EST.

&&

GAC105-195-221-111500-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-240111T2131Z/
/CARG1.1.ER.240109T1901Z.240110T0330Z.240111T1531Z.UU/
952 PM EST Wed Jan 10 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL TOMORROW AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Broad River near Broad River above Carlton.

* WHEN...Until tomorrow afternoon.

* IMPACTS...At 18 feet, Minor flooding will expand further into the 
  woodlands and fields along the river upstream and downstream from 
  the gage on the Georgia Highway 72 bridge. A sand dredge operation 
  on the left bank near the gage will become flooded. A large 
  portion of Roy Wood Road will be flooded with several feet of 
  water and the Broad River Outpost for Canoes and Kayaks location 
  will be under water. Flooding of the yard behind an assisted 
  living home off of Roy Wood Road will continue to expand.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:45 PM EST Wednesday the stage was 17.8 feet and falling.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    late tomorrow morning and continue falling to 6 feet Monday
    evening.
  - Flood stage is 15 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3419 8308 3407 8295 3401 8285 3396 8286
      3402 8300 3414 8312


$$

915 
WGUS82 KFFC 111016
FLSFFC

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
516 AM EST Thu Jan 11 2024

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
Tennessee...Alabama...

  Yellow River at Gees Mill Road affecting Newton and Rockdale 
  Counties.

  West Chickamauga Creek at GA 146 near Lakeview affecting Hamilton 
  and Catoosa Counties.

  Coahulla Creek at Keiths Mill Road near Dalton affecting 
  Whitfield County.

  Chattahoochee River at 14th Street at Columbus affecting Russell, 
  Chattahoochee, Muscogee and Lee Counties.

  Sweetwater Creek near Austell affecting Cobb and Douglas Counties.

  Broad River near Broad River above Carlton affecting Madison, 
  Oglethorpe and Elbert Counties.

For the North GA Chickamauga Creek Basin...including Ringgold, 
Lakeview...Minor flooding is forecast.
For the Conasauga River Basin...including Eton, Crandall, Dalton, 
Dalton, Chatsworth, Tilton, Sloan Bridge below Dalton...Minor 
flooding is forecast.
For the Chattahoochee River Basin...including Helen, Dahlonega, 
Cornelia, Suwanee, Buford, Suwanee, Buford, Chattahoochee River 
upstream McGinnis Ferry Rd, Norcross, Chattahoochee River above 
Roswell, Roswell, Powers Ferry & I285 Atlanta, Smyrna, Chattahoochee 
River below Morgan Falls Dam, Atlanta, Atlanta, Atlanta, Atlanta, 
Fairplay, Fairburn, Whitesburg, Whitesburg, Whitesburg, Franklin, 
Corinth, Hammett Rd below Hogansville, Franklin, West Point, 
Columbus, Union, Omaha...Minor flooding is forecast.
For the Sweetwater Creek...including Powder Springs, Powder Springs, 
Powder Springs, Austell, Austell, Austell, Sweetwater Creek below 
Austell...Minor flooding is forecast.
For the Broad River...including Broad River above Carlton, 
Commerce...Minor flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Additional information is available at weather.gov/atlanta.

The next statement will be issued at 300 PM EST.this afternoon at 
1215 PM EST /1115 AM CST/.

&&

GAC217-247-111715-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-240111T1703Z/
/MYRG1.1.ER.240109T2240Z.240110T1130Z.240111T1103Z.UU/
516 AM EST Thu Jan 11 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL THIS AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring.

* WHERE...Yellow River at Gees Mill Road.

* WHEN...Until this afternoon.

* IMPACTS...At 11.0 feet, Flood Stage is reached. Minor flooding 
  begins in the woodlands...fields and pasture along the river  
  upstream and downstream from the gage on Gees Mill Road in 
  Rockdale County. Portions of Sockwell Road by the river in Newton 
  County will be around two feet under water.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 4:47 AM EST Thursday the stage was 11.4 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 4:47 AM EST Thursday was 14.1 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    this morning and continue falling to 2.6 feet Monday evening.
  - Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    11.4 feet on 12/31/2021.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3366 8399 3371 8395 3359 8387 3356 8393


$$

ALC081-113-GAC053-215-112230-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0059.000000T0000Z-240112T1200Z/
/CBUG1.1.ER.240109T1638Z.240109T1745Z.240112T0600Z.NO/
516 AM EST Thu Jan 11 2024 /416 AM CST Thu Jan 11 2024/

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL TOMORROW MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Chattahoochee River at 14th Street at Columbus.

* WHEN...Until tomorrow morning.

* IMPACTS...At 30.0 feet, Minor flooding continues along the river 
  upstream and downstream from the gage on the 14th Street bridge. 
  Large portions of the River Walk in Columbus will be flooded up to 
  3 feet deep. The water level reaches the top of the boat ramp 
  behind the Columbus Convention and Trade Center. The Phenix City 
  Amphitheater in Alabama will be flooded up to two feet deep. 
  Portions of the River Walk in Phenix City will begin to flood.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 5:00 AM EST Thursday /4:00 AM CST Thursday/ the stage was
    28.7 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 5:00 AM EST Thursday /4:00 AM CST Thursday/ was
    28.9 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 29.6
    feet this morning. It will then fall below flood stage just
    after midnight tonight.
  - Flood stage is 27.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    29.6 feet on 03/05/1934.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3259 8511 3262 8505 3251 8496 3238 8495
      3238 8502 3250 8503


$$

GAC047-TNC065-112230-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0055.000000T0000Z-240112T0900Z/
/WCKG1.1.ER.240110T1315Z.240111T1200Z.240112T0300Z.NO/
516 AM EST Thu Jan 11 2024

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE TONIGHT...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...West Chickamauga Creek at GA 146 near Lakeview.

* WHEN...Until late tonight.

* IMPACTS...At 11.0 feet, Flood Stage is reached. Minor flooding 
  begins of woodlands and fields near the creek upstream and 
  downstream from the gage on the Georgia Highway 146 or Cloud 
  Springs Road bridge. Minor flooding of the creek can also be 
  expected further downstream as it crosses the Tennessee border 
  into the south East Ridge area.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 4:15 AM EST Thursday the stage was 11.0 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 4:15 AM EST Thursday was 11.5 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 11.7
    feet this morning. It will then fall below flood stage late
    this evening.
  - Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    11.7 feet on 04/01/2021.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3492 8526 3500 8523 3499 8516 3486 8524


$$

GAC067-097-112230-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0048.000000T0000Z-240112T0621Z/
/AUSG1.1.ER.240110T0715Z.240111T1200Z.240112T0021Z.NO/
516 AM EST Thu Jan 11 2024

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL JUST AFTER MIDNIGHT 
TONIGHT...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Sweetwater Creek near Austell.

* WHEN...Until just after midnight tonight.

* IMPACTS...At 12.0 feet, Minor flooding continues in the woodlands 
  and fields upstream and downstream from the gage near the 
  Interstate 20 bridge. Portions of a paintball playing field just 
  downstream of the bridge and athletic fields in the Woodrow Wilson 
  Park on Mount Vernon Road are flooded with one to two feet of 
  water. A portion of Wren Circle in Douglas County...the County 
  Iron Works and Sunlight Drive in Cobb County begin to flood.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 5:00 AM EST Thursday the stage was 11.5 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 5:00 AM EST Thursday was 11.8 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 12.0
    feet this morning. It will then fall below flood stage this
    evening.
  - Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    12.0 feet on 02/08/2020.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3379 8464 3385 8463 3380 8459 3374 8459
      3370 8463 3376 8466


$$

GAC313-112230-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0036.000000T0000Z-240112T0932Z/
/CHCG1.1.ER.240109T1913Z.240110T0515Z.240112T0332Z.NO/
516 AM EST Thu Jan 11 2024

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE TONIGHT...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Coahulla Creek at Keiths Mill Road near Dalton.

* WHEN...Until late tonight.

* IMPACTS...At 18.0 feet, Minor flooding expands into the pastures...
  fields and woodlands upstream and downstream from the Keiths Mill 
  Road bridge.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 4:45 AM EST Thursday the stage was 17.4 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 4:45 AM EST Thursday was 17.5 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    late this evening and continue falling to 10.2 feet tomorrow
    morning.
  - Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    17.1 feet on 03/18/2020.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3471 8489 3480 8495 3488 8495 3488 8486
      3480 8488 3474 8486


$$

GAC105-195-221-112145-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-240111T2131Z/
/CARG1.1.ER.240109T1901Z.240110T0330Z.240111T1531Z.UU/
516 AM EST Thu Jan 11 2024

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Broad River near Broad River above Carlton.

* WHEN...Until late this afternoon.

* IMPACTS...At 15.0 feet, Flood stage is reached. Minor flooding of 
  woodlands and fields begin upstream and downstream from the gage 
  on the Georgia Highway 72 bridge. A sand dredge operation on the 
  left bank near the gage will become affected. A portion of Roy 
  Wood Road will be flooded with a few feet of water and the dirt 
  parking lot of the Broad River Outpost for Canoes and Kayaks will 
  begin to flood. A wooden pier and portions of the yard behind an 
  assisted living home off of Roy Wood Road will be flooded.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 4:45 AM EST Thursday the stage was 15.3 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 4:45 AM EST Thursday was 21.0 feet.
  - Forecast...The river will rise to 16.0 feet this morning. It
    will then fall below flood stage late this morning to 7.7
    feet and begin rising again early tomorrow afternoon. It will
    rise to 8.7 feet early Saturday morning. It will then fall
    again and remain below flood stage.
  - Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    15.7 feet on 03/25/2020.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3419 8308 3407 8295 3401 8285 3396 8286
      3402 8300 3414 8312


$$

SEC

082 
WGUS82 KFFC 111617
FLSFFC

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1117 AM EST Thu Jan 11 2024

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Georgia...

  Broad River near Broad River above Carlton affecting Madison, 
  Oglethorpe and Elbert Counties.

GAC105-195-221-111730-
/O.CAN.KFFC.FL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-240111T1617Z/
/CARG1.1.ER.240109T1901Z.240110T0330Z.240111T1036Z.UU/
1117 AM EST Thu Jan 11 2024

...FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED...

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Broad River near Broad River above Carlton.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 10:45 AM EST Thursday the stage was 13.0 feet and falling.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall to 5.7 feet Tuesday
    morning.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3419 8308 3407 8295 3401 8285 3396 8286
      3402 8300 3414 8312


$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1245 PM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

...New 18Z Aviation Discussion...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Wednesday)
Issued at 445 AM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

The main focus today will be on active weather associated with a
deep closed 500 mb low currently moving into the Ozarks. As this low
continues to move east-northeast, it is becoming negatively tilted
as a shortwave rotates around its southern extent, allowing it to
rapidly intensify. An occluded front is extending from the
associated surface low into the Lower Mississippi River Valley. At
the end of this occluded front is a triple point, from which a warm
front extends to the southeast into western Alabama and central
Georgia, and a cold front extends south to near the MS/AL state
line. Meanwhile, A strong surface high is positioned to the
northeast of the forecast area, just off the New England coast, with
a CAD wedge in place along the lee side of the Appalachians and
north Georgia.

As the low pressure system continues to lift to the northeast, the
warm front continues to advance northward through the forecast area.
Strong warm air advection driven by a powerful 80+ kt low-level jet
is overspreading the forecast area, which will bringing copious
moisture into the area, particularly in central Georgia, where
dewpoints will surge into the upper 50s to low 60s in central
Georgia by mid-morning. Widespread isentropic showers are also
ongoing in north Georgia to the north of the warm front.
Temperatures in the highest elevations in far northeast Georgia (and
within the wedge) may remain cool enough for a light rain/freezing
rain mix to be observed at elevations above 2500 ft over the next
couple of hours. However, with strong warm air advection and latent
heating processes already ongoing, additional ice accumulations will
be minimal and the chance for freezing rain should come to an end
entirely by sunrise.

The cold front will advance closer to the forecast area early this
morning, at which point things could get quite interesting with a
line of heavy showers and potentially strong thunderstorms moving
from west to east across the forecast area this morning and
afternoon. With the warm sector continuing to expand northward,
there should be enough instability in central Georgia and portions
of north Georgia to support surface based storms this morning into
the afternoon. Severe weather, heavy rain, and strong gradient winds
will all be possible in association with this system, which will be
discussed below:

1 - Severe Weather: A strong line of thunderstorms ahead of the cold
front will enter west Georgia this morning, advancing eastward
through the forecast area this morning and afternoon. The severe
weather potential will similarly spread from west to east with the
line of storms. As warm air advection continues to spread into
Georgia, the boundary of the wedge should retreat northward over the
next few hours. Warm fronts do not always fare well against the
wedge, but in this case, with such a strong low-level jet at 850 mb
overspreading the region, there is a greater likelihood than normal
in mixing out the wedge. This is important because it will dictate
how far north the warm sector is able to ultimately advance, and the
severe weather potential will be impacted by how much instability
will be present in the warm sector ahead of the advancing cold
front. As the jet sets up and warm front advances further north,
portions of east Georgia will have more time for the airmass to
destabilize. This is well-reflected in the SPC outlook, which
indicates the highest risk for severe weather today will be located
roughly  along and south of a line from Columbus to Macon to
Warrenton where destabilization and the ability to maintain
surface- based storms appears to be most likely. All that said, it
will not take much instability to see severe weather threats in
this low CAPE/high shear environment. The kinematics of this
system will be be quite robust with ample low-level and deep layer
shear, EBWD from 30-40+kt, and 0-1 km SRH from 200-400 m2/s2).
Severe thunderstorms that develop will be capable of producing
strong, damaging wind gusts, especially given the likelihood of
mixing down strong winds aloft. Given the very strong shear and
SRH values, a few QLCS tornadoes will also be possible within the
line, especially where storms are able to interact with the wedge
front and obtain rotating meso-vortices.

2 - Heavy Rain/Flooding: Precipitable water values are continuing to
increase this morning, and are expected to range from 1.5-1.7 inches
roughly along and south of I-20. These values, for context, are near
daily records for this time of the year. As such, the main line of
storms will have plenty of moisture to work with and be capable of
producing bursts of heavy rain as it moves through the forecast
area. A Flood Watch remains in effect in the areas north of the Fall
Line. Additional rainfall amounts of 2-3 inches are forecast with
the remaining isentropic showers and with the line of storms.
Furthermore, orographic enhancement on windward slopes could lead to
locally higher amounts in the mountains of far northeast Georgia,
where up to 4 additional inches will be possible. With efficient
rainfall rates, localized flash flooding will be possible,
especially in urban and low-lying areas. Moreover, numerous creeks
and streams across the area are forecast to reach minor flood stage,
with some potentially approaching moderate stage.

3 - High Winds: A very tight pressure gradient is present due to the
aforementioned surface high to the northeast and approaching low
pressure system. This will keep surface winds strong and boundary
layer well mixed. Sustained winds of 20-30 mph with gusts up to 40
mph will be likely through much of the day. The strong low level jet
at 850 mb early this morning will promote additional mixing of wind
gusts down to the surface, especially in higher elevations, where
wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible this morning. Considering
heavy rainfall and thus wet soils in association with this system,
strong winds could bring down trees, which would lead to localized
power outages. As a result, a High Wind Warning is in effect for
Murray, Gilmer, Fannin, Union, Towns, White, Lumpkin, and Dawson
counties. Elsewhere in the forecast area, a Wind Advisory remains in
effect. Winds will begin to drop below advisory criteria by 7 PM
this evening in north and west Georgia, and by 1 AM on Wednesday in
central and east Georgia.

On the backside of the system tonight into early Tuesday morning,
there will be enough moisture in combination with near freezing
temperatures to see some scattered light snow showers across far
north Georgia and the western facing mountain slopes. Light snowfall
accumulations of about one-half inch will be possible, but no
impacts are expected. These snow showers are expected to diminish by
sunrise on Wednesday. Lingering mid-level moisture on the back side
of the system will keep skies mostly cloudy across the majority of
north Georgia and portions of central Georgia on Wednesday morning
and early afternoon. However, weather conditions will remain benign
during the daytime on Wednesday with no precipitation expected at
this time. Afternoon high temperatures will run about 3-5 degrees
below climatological normals, in the mid to upper 40s in north
Georgia and in the low to mid 50s in central Georgia.

King

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday night through Monday)
Issued at 445 AM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

Key Messages:

 - Another storm system will bring showers and thunderstorms to the
   area late Thursday night and Friday. Some thunderstorms may be
   strong.

Colder and drier air will continue to filter into the area Wednesday
night on the heels of the departing cold front and upper trough.
Most locations will drop to near or just below freezing Wednesday
night, with mid 20s across portions of the NE mountains. Warmer
temperatures are forecast for Thursday, with most locations reaching
into the mid to upper 50s and even some lower 60s across the S.

Another storm system will approach the area Thursday night, bringing
a chance of showers and thunderstorms. This system will lift NE on
Friday as a negatively tilted trough, reaching the Great Lakes by
Friday night. A 996 mb surface low is progged to be near Little Rock
by Friday morning. A large area of isentropic lift is forecast to
precede the low, with increasing MUCAPE and wind shear across most
of the forecast area. There will be another threat of severe weather
with this system during the day Friday, and the threat area looks to
be farther to the N than with today's system. GFS MUCAPE values are
forecast to reach near 1000 J/kg as effective shear increases to
over 40 knots in the Atlanta metro area. This will coincide maximum
daytime heating in the early afternoon, with surface temperatures
reaching over 60 degrees and dew points reaching the lower to mid
50s. The wedge/CAD is forecast to hang into NE GA during this time
period, but present indications are that it will be NE of the
Atlanta metro area. Storm total rainfall amounts with this system are
forecast to range from around a quarter inch S of Columbus to close
to an inch across N GA. Residents should continue to monitor the
latest forecast regarding this storm system.

A bit of snow will linger over the N mountains Friday night, but dry
weather is forecast to return on Saturday. Temperatures will be
rather cold over the weekend, with the potential of even colder
weather early next week. A weak southern stream storm system may
move along the Gulf Coast on Monday, bringing light rain amounts and
the chance for frozen precipitation across N GA. NBM low
temperatures Tuesday morning appeared to be too cold. Even though
this was at the tail end of the forecast period, opted to blend 2
parts operational NBM with 1 part NBM 90th percentile to bump low
temperatures up closer to MEX MOS guidance. /SEC

SEC

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1237 PM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

The line of thunderstorms has made it past all the TAF sites and
showers have ended across most of the metro and will be ending
soon for CSG. Showers will continue to affect the MCN and AHN
areas for the next few hours. Expecting MVFR conditions across the
area thorugh tomorrow afternoon before VFR conditions filter in
tomorrow evening. Expecting W winds with gusts up to 30KT
throughout the evening before lowering overnight into the 09-12KT
range.

//ATL Confidence...18Z Update...

Medium on all elements.

Hernandez

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          33  48  31  57 /  10   0   0   0
Atlanta         33  47  34  57 /  10   0   0   0
Blairsville     28  41  26  52 /  40   0   0   0
Cartersville    32  47  29  57 /  10   0   0   0
Columbus        35  51  33  60 /   0   0   0   0
Gainesville     32  44  32  54 /  20   0   0   0
Macon           35  52  31  60 /  10   0   0   0
Rome            33  48  31  57 /  20   0   0   0
Peachtree City  32  49  31  58 /  10   0   0   0
Vidalia         37  53  36  60 /  20   0   0   0

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flood Watch until 7 PM EST this evening for GAZ001>009-011>016-
019>025-027-030>038-041>050-052>060-066>071-078-079.

Wind Advisory until 7 PM EST this evening for GAZ001>004-011>013-
019>023-030>034-041>045-052>055-066-067-078-079-089>091-102-103.

High Wind Warning until 1 PM EST this afternoon for GAZ005>009-
014>016.

Wind Advisory until 1 AM EST Wednesday for GAZ024-025-027-
035>039-046>051-056>062-068>076-080>086-092>098-104>113.

&&

SHORT TERM...King
LONG TERM....SEC
AVIATION...Hernandez

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
714 AM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-101215-
Baldwin-Banks-Barrow-Bartow-Bibb-Bleckley-Butts-Carroll-Catoosa-
Chattahoochee-Chattooga-Cherokee-Clarke-Clayton-Cobb-Coweta-
Crawford-Crisp-Dade-Dawson-DeKalb-Dodge-Dooly-Douglas-Emanuel-
Fannin-Fayette-Floyd-Forsyth-Gilmer-Glascock-Gordon-Greene-
Gwinnett-Hall-Hancock-Haralson-Harris-Heard-Henry-Houston-Jackson-
Jasper-Jefferson-Johnson-Jones-Lamar-Laurens-Lumpkin-Macon-
Madison-Marion-Meriwether-Monroe-Montgomery-Morgan-Murray-
Muscogee-Newton-North Fulton-Oconee-Oglethorpe-Paulding-Peach-
Pickens-Pike-Polk-Pulaski-Putnam-Rockdale-Schley-South Fulton-
Spalding-Stewart-Sumter-Talbot-Taliaferro-Taylor-Telfair-Toombs-
Towns-Treutlen-Troup-Twiggs-Union-Upson-Walker-Walton-Warren-
Washington-Webster-Wheeler-White-Whitfield-Wilcox-Wilkes-
Wilkinson-
714 AM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of North and Central Georgia.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight...

A Tornado Watch has been issued for portions of central Georgia
until 2 PM.

A High Wind Warning is in effect for portions of Northeast Georgia
until 1 PM today for wind gusts over 50 mph. A Wind Advisory is in
effect for all other portions of the county warning area for wind
gusts to 45 mph. A Flood Watch is in effect through this evening for
areas north of the fall line due to storm total rainfall amounts of
2 to 4 inches. Locally higher amounts are possible, particularly
across the northeast mountains. Scattered thunderstorms are expected
across central Georgia, with severe storms and isolated tornadoes
possible mostly south of a Columbus to Macon line. Isolated
thunderstorms are possible elsewhere.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday...

Another storm system is expected to bring thunderstorms to the
region again Friday. Some storms may become strong to severe.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not requested at this time, but spotters are
encouraged to submit reports of severe weather through the web by
going to weather.gov/atlanta. Please relay any information about
observed severe weather to the NWS.

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
213 PM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1230 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     Wrightsville            32.73N 82.72W
01/09/2024                   Johnson            GA   Emergency Mngr

            Roof blown off of a home along Kents Lane
            and into the powerlines nearby.

&&

KS

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
216 PM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1040 AM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     1 ENE Lexington         33.87N 83.10W
01/09/2024                   Oglethorpe         GA   Dept of Highways

            Tree down into powerlines along Elberton
            Road north of Hwy 78.

&&

KS

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
219 PM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0950 AM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     2 W Byron               32.65N 83.80W
01/09/2024                   Peach              GA   Dept of Highways

            Tree downed blocking both lanes along
            Hardison Road near the intersection of hwy
            42.

&&

KS

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
221 PM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1025 AM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     2 WNW Friendship        32.68N 83.90W
01/09/2024                   Crawford           GA   Dept of Highways

            Corrects previous tstm wnd dmg report from 2
            WNW Friendship. Tree downed on Hwy 42 near
            Richardson Mill Road.

&&

KS

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
223 PM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1100 AM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     2 NNW Milledgeville     33.11N 83.24W
01/09/2024                   Baldwin            GA   Emergency Mngr

            Corrects previous tstm wnd dmg report from 2
            NNW Milledgeville. Tree blocking portions of
            Pine Valley Rd (North Milledgeville).

&&

KS

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
224 PM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1105 AM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     1 SSE Hardwick          33.06N 83.22W
01/09/2024                   Baldwin            GA   Emergency Mngr

            Corrects previous tstm wnd dmg report from 1
            SSE Hardwick. Tree blocking portions of
            Coombs Ave SE (South Milledgeville).

&&

KS