River Flood Warning 7, NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

764 
WGUS84 KEWX 231850
FLSEWX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
150 PM CDT Tue Jul 23 2024

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in Texas...

  Llano River at Llano affecting Llano County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued Wednesday morning at 800 AM CDT.

&&

TXC299-241300-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0007.240724T0820Z-240725T1110Z/
/LLAT2.2.ER.240724T0820Z.240724T1400Z.240724T2310Z.NO/
150 PM CDT Tue Jul 23 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT TO THURSDAY 
MORNING...

* WHAT...Moderate flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Llano River at Llano.

* WHEN...From late tonight to Thursday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 16.0 feet, Moderate lowland flooding threatens docks 
  and boats in the flood plain downstream in Kingsland. Secondary 
  roads and bridges will be flooded and dangerous to motorists. Flow 
  exceeds the USGS 1:2 year flood level.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 1:00 PM CDT Tuesday the stage was 2.9 feet.
  - Bankfull stage is 10.0 feet.
  - Forecast...The river will rise to 3.1 feet late this
    afternoon. It will then fall to 3.0 feet late this afternoon.
    It will rise above flood stage late tonight to 14.8 feet late
    tomorrow morning. It will then fall below flood stage
    tomorrow evening.
  - Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
  - Flood History...No available flood history.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

           Fld   Observed           Forecasts (2 pm CDT)     
Location   Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Wed   Thu   Fri          

Llano River
Llano      10.0  2.9   Tue 1 pm CDT 12.6  5.5   3.9          


&&

LAT...LON 3067 9896 3075 9896 3079 9852 3058 9824
      3049 9829 3066 9855


$$

978 
WGUS84 KEWX 240053
FLSEWX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
753 PM CDT Tue Jul 23 2024

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Llano River at Llano affecting Llano County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the 
dangers of flooding.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued Wednesday afternoon at 200 PM CDT.

&&

TXC299-241900-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0007.240724T0417Z-240725T0900Z/
/LLAT2.2.ER.240724T0417Z.240724T0700Z.240724T2100Z.NO/
753 PM CDT Tue Jul 23 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING TO EARLY THURSDAY 
MORNING...

* WHAT...Moderate flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Llano River at Llano.

* WHEN...From this evening to early Thursday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 20.0 feet, Flow will be damaging to docks and boats 
  downstream in Kingsland. The lowest secondary roads and bridges 
  will be severely flooded and dangerous. Near the USGS 1:5 year 
  flood level.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 7:00 PM CDT Tuesday the stage was 3.0 feet.
  - Bankfull stage is 10.0 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
    late this evening to a crest of 18.4 feet just after midnight
    tonight. It will then fall below flood stage tomorrow
    afternoon.
  - Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
  - Flood History...No available flood history.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

           Fld   Observed           Forecasts (8 pm CDT)     
Location   Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Wed   Thu   Fri          

Llano River
Llano      10.0  3.0   Tue 7 pm CDT 8.7   5.1   3.7          


&&

LAT...LON 3067 9896 3075 9896 3079 9852 3058 9824
      3049 9829 3066 9855


$$

BF

298 
WGUS84 KEWX 241303
FLSEWX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
803 AM CDT Wed Jul 24 2024

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Llano River at Llano affecting Llano County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued late tonight at 215 AM CDT.

&&

TXC299-250715-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-240725T0810Z/
/LLAT2.2.ER.240724T0420Z.240724T0545Z.240724T2010Z.NO/
803 AM CDT Wed Jul 24 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE TONIGHT...

* WHAT...Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is 
  forecast.

* WHERE...Llano River at Llano.

* WHEN...Until late tonight.

* IMPACTS...At 16.0 feet, Moderate lowland flooding threatens docks 
  and boats in the flood plain downstream in Kingsland. Secondary 
  roads and bridges will be flooded and dangerous to motorists. Flow 
  exceeds the USGS 1:2 year flood level.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 7:00 AM CDT Wednesday the stage was 14.3 feet.
  - Bankfull stage is 10.0 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 7:00 AM CDT Wednesday was 17.6 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    late this afternoon and continue falling to 3.5 feet Monday
    morning.
  - Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    12.6 feet on 06/01/2016.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

           Fld   Observed           Forecasts (8 am CDT)     
Location   Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Thu   Fri   Sat          

Llano River
Llano      10.0  14.3  Wed 7 am CDT 5.8   4.3   3.8          


&&

LAT...LON 3067 9896 3075 9896 3079 9852 3058 9824
      3049 9829 3066 9855


$$

29

723 
WGUS84 KEWX 250135
FLSEWX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
835 PM CDT Wed Jul 24 2024

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Texas...

  Llano River at Llano affecting Llano County.

TXC299-250245-
/O.CAN.KEWX.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-240725T0135Z/
/LLAT2.2.ER.240724T0420Z.240724T0545Z.240724T2232Z.NO/
835 PM CDT Wed Jul 24 2024

...FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED...

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Llano River at Llano.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:00 PM CDT Wednesday the stage was 9.2 feet.
  - Bankfull stage is 10.0 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall to 3.5 feet Monday
    evening.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

           Fld   Observed           Forecasts (9 pm CDT)     
Location   Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Thu   Fri   Sat          

Llano River
Llano      10.0  9.2   Wed 8 pm CDT 5.7   4.6   4.0          


&&

LAT...LON 3067 9896 3075 9896 3079 9852 3058 9824
      3049 9829 3066 9855


$$

BF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
545 AM CDT Tue Jul 23 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Wednesday)
Issued at 148 AM CDT Tue Jul 23 2024

Key Messages
* The threat for locally heavy rainfall with scattered storms
  continues today.
* Isolated pockets of a quick 1-4 inches of rainfall could lead to
  flooding, especially over locations that received moderate
  rainfall yesterday.
* Be alert for flooding through the afternoon and never drive
  through a flood roadway.

Early this morning rain and isolated thunderstorms were ongoing with
activity across almost all of South Central Texas with the exception
of the coastal plains. Six hour rain totals ending at midnight show
many locations in the Hill Country with amounts from 1-3 inches,
with local amounts just north of 4.5 inches. Activity should weaken
slightly but continue during the overnight hours, although new
convection is forecast to initiate again sometime in the morning
hours after sunrise. The most favored location for the morning
activity will be again be the southern Edwards Plateau and the Hill
Country with some possibility of storms also moving into the coastal
plains. Isolated to scattered areas of flooding will be possible
today with PWATS remaining around 2 inches across the area. Will
need to especially watch out for training storms over locations that
received the most considerable rainfall yesterday and overnight
tonight as soils may be saturated leading to higher potential for
runoff and flash flooding. Morning activity is expected to move
southeast across the area through the afternoon and early evening.

The mid-level trough axis bringing upper level support for showers
and thunderstorms begins to shift east Tuesday night into Wednesday.
Hi-res and global guidance trend a bit drier for the western and
northwestern portions of the area with the best chances overnight
and into Wednesday now mainly east of I-35. Locally heavy rainfall
with storms and isolated to scattered flooding potential continues
to exist this day.

High temperatures continue to trend on the cool side with afternoon
temperatures from the low 80s to the low 90s today. Temperatures may
increase a few degrees Wednesday with lesser cloud cover expected in
the west and possibly some breaks in the clouds to the east.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday night through Monday)
Issued at 148 AM CDT Tue Jul 23 2024

A mid level shear axis, perhaps a closed low, lingers near or over
our area through the long term. A moist airmass with PWs of 1.5 to
2.2 inches persists over our area. Residual surface boundaries and
mesoscale features, in addition to heating and the shear axis/low
provide forcing of this moist airmass to maintain chances of showers
and thunderstorms each day. The highest chances will be mainly along
and east of I-35 where the deeper moisture is found, however could
shift to the west with time. Locally heavy rains can be expected.
With soils becoming more saturated from previous days rains, flash
flooding may become more of a threat, in addition to urban and small
stream type flooding. Forecast soundings indicate a potential for
gusty winds with the strongest storms. Later forecasts will fine
tune the POPs and QPF. Extensive cloudiness and areas of rain will
keep daytime temperatures well below normal for late July, though
they may trend closer to normal next week.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 545 AM CDT Tue Jul 23 2024

Showers and isolated thunderstorms are persistent over the southern
Edwards Plateau and Hill Country this morning with this activity
expected to continue over these areas for at least the next few
hours. DRT may see some TSRA this morning with only VCSH expected at
I-35 sites through 18Z. MVFR ceilings at sites are also expected to
continue through the morning before lifting to VFR early afternoon.
Scattered storm activity is expected to eventually shift southeast
during the afternoon hours which may impact I-35 sites through 00Z.
Low ceilings redevelop tonight into Wednesday morning, mainly for
the eastern half of the area.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Austin Camp Mabry              88  72  90  72 /  50  20  40  20
Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport  87  72  88  71 /  50  20  40  20
New Braunfels Muni Airport     88  73  88  73 /  60  30  50  30
Burnet Muni Airport            86  71  89  70 /  60  10  30  10
Del Rio Intl Airport           90  76  95  76 /  60  40  30  10
Georgetown Muni Airport        85  71  87  71 /  60  20  30  10
Hondo Muni Airport             86  72  89  71 /  60  30  40  20
San Marcos Muni Airport        87  71  87  71 /  60  30  40  30
La Grange - Fayette Regional   86  72  84  72 /  80  30  70  40
San Antonio Intl Airport       88  74  89  74 /  60  30  40  20
Stinson Muni Airport           89  74  90  74 /  60  30  50  30

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

Short-Term...27
Long-Term...04
Aviation...27

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
247 AM CDT Tue Jul 23 2024

TXZ171>173-183>194-202>209-217>225-228-240800-
Llano-Burnet-Williamson-Val Verde-Edwards-Real-Kerr-Bandera-
Gillespie-Kendall-Blanco-Hays-Travis-Bastrop-Lee-Kinney-Uvalde-
Medina-Bexar-Comal-Guadalupe-Caldwell-Fayette-Maverick-Zavala-
Frio-Atascosa-Wilson-Karnes-Gonzales-De Witt-Lavaca-Dimmit-
247 AM CDT Tue Jul 23 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for South-Central Texas..

.DAY ONE...Today And Tonight.

Scattered thunderstorms will continue through this evening across
much of South Central Texas. Locally heavy rainfall will be
possible with this activity which may lead to scattered flooding
across the area, especially over locations which received moderate
rainfall yesterday.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Multiple rounds of scattered showers and thunderstorms are
expected through the weekend. Any activity will be capable of
producing heavy rainfall which may lead to scattered flash
flooding.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
552 AM CDT Tue Jul 23 2024

TXZ184-202-231145-
Kinney TX-Edwards TX-
552 AM CDT Tue Jul 23 2024

...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of northern Kinney and
southwestern Edwards Counties through 645 AM CDT...

At 552 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 15 miles southwest of Rocksprings to 16 miles
north of Alamo Village to 12 miles south of Carta Valley. Movement
was south at 15 mph.

HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Alamo Village and Kickapoo Cavern State Park.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 2988 10038 2959 10011 2940 10038 2940 10068
      2967 10070
TIME...MOT...LOC 1052Z 344DEG 13KT 2983 10036 2966 10045 2963 10067

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

CP