Small Craft Advisory 57, NWS Buffalo, NY

069 
WHUS71 KBUF 100153
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
953 PM EDT Tue Jul 9 2024

LOZ030-101000-
/O.EXB.KBUF.SC.Y.0057.240710T1500Z-240711T0300Z/
Lower Niagara River-
953 PM EDT Tue Jul 9 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 11 PM EDT
WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...East winds 15 to 20 knots expected.

* WHERE...The Lower Niagara River.

* WHEN...From 11 AM to 11 PM EDT Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ042-043-101000-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0057.240710T1200Z-240711T0600Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin
Beach-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
953 PM EDT Tue Jul 9 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM WEDNESDAY TO
2 AM EDT THURSDAY...

* WHAT...East winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 4 to 7 feet 
  expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara 
  River to Sodus Bay.

* WHEN...From 8 AM Wednesday to 2 AM EDT Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

757 
WHUS71 KBUF 100843
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
443 AM EDT Wed Jul 10 2024

LOZ042-043-101645-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0057.240710T1200Z-240711T0600Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin
Beach-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
443 AM EDT Wed Jul 10 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM THIS MORNING
TO 2 AM EDT THURSDAY...

* WHAT...East winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 5 to 8 feet 
  expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara 
  River to Sodus Bay.

* WHEN...From 8 AM this morning to 2 AM EDT Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ030-101645-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0057.240710T1500Z-240711T0300Z/
Lower Niagara River-
443 AM EDT Wed Jul 10 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING
TO 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots expected.

* WHERE...The Lower Niagara River.

* WHEN...From 11 AM this morning to 11 PM EDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

603 
WHUS71 KBUF 101843
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
243 PM EDT Wed Jul 10 2024

LOZ042-043-110245-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0057.000000T0000Z-240711T0600Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin
Beach-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
243 PM EDT Wed Jul 10 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT
THURSDAY...

* WHAT...East winds 15 to 20 knots and waves 5 to 8 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara 
  River to Sodus Bay.

* WHEN...Until 2 AM EDT Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ030-110245-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0057.000000T0000Z-240711T0300Z/
Lower Niagara River-
243 PM EDT Wed Jul 10 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...Northeast winds 15 to 25 knots.

* WHERE...The Lower Niagara River.

* WHEN...Until 11 PM EDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

367 
WHUS71 KBUF 102140
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
540 PM EDT Wed Jul 10 2024

LEZ040-041-110545-
/O.EXB.KBUF.SC.Y.0057.240711T0000Z-240711T1800Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
540 PM EDT Wed Jul 10 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 3 to 5 feet 
  expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to 
  Buffalo.

* WHEN...Until 2 PM EDT Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ042-043-110545-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0057.000000T0000Z-240711T0600Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin
Beach-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
540 PM EDT Wed Jul 10 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT
THURSDAY...

* WHAT...East winds to 30 knots and waves 3 to 6 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara 
  River to Sodus Bay.

* WHEN...Until 2 AM EDT Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ030-110300-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0057.000000T0000Z-240711T0300Z/
Lower Niagara River-
540 PM EDT Wed Jul 10 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...Northeast winds 15 to 25 knots.

* WHERE...The Lower Niagara River.

* WHEN...Until 11 PM EDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

450 
WHUS71 KBUF 102337
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
737 PM EDT Wed Jul 10 2024

LOZ030-110045-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0057.000000T0000Z-240711T0300Z/
Lower Niagara River-
737 PM EDT Wed Jul 10 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

Winds have dropped below small craft advsiory levels.

$$

LOZ042-043-110600-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0057.000000T0000Z-240711T0600Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin
Beach-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
737 PM EDT Wed Jul 10 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT
THURSDAY...

* WHAT...East winds 15 to 20 knots and waves 3 to 6 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara 
  River to Sodus Bay.

* WHEN...Until 2 AM EDT Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-110830-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0057.240711T0000Z-240711T1800Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
737 PM EDT Wed Jul 10 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT
THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 3 to 5 feet 
  expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to 
  Buffalo.

* WHEN...Until 2 PM EDT Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

595 
WHUS71 KBUF 110127
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
927 PM EDT Wed Jul 10 2024

LOZ042-043-110230-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0057.000000T0000Z-240711T0600Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin
Beach-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
927 PM EDT Wed Jul 10 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

Winds and waves have diminished.

$$

LEZ040-041-110930-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0057.000000T0000Z-240711T1800Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
927 PM EDT Wed Jul 10 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT
THURSDAY...

* WHAT...West winds 15 to 20 knots and waves 3 to 5 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to 
  Buffalo.

* WHEN...Until 2 PM EDT Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

723 
WHUS71 KBUF 110816
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
416 AM EDT Thu Jul 11 2024

LEZ040-041-111630-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0057.000000T0000Z-240711T1800Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
416 AM EDT Thu Jul 11 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...West winds 15 to 20 knots and waves 3 to 6 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to 
  Buffalo.

* WHEN...Until 2 PM EDT this afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

937 
WHUS71 KBUF 111122
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
722 AM EDT Thu Jul 11 2024

LEZ040-041-111800-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0057.000000T0000Z-240711T1800Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
722 AM EDT Thu Jul 11 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...West winds 15 to 20 knots and waves 3 to 6 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to 
  Buffalo.

* WHEN...Until 2 PM EDT this afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

731 
WHUS71 KBUF 111825
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
225 PM EDT Thu Jul 11 2024

LEZ040-041-111930-
/O.EXP.KBUF.SC.Y.0057.000000T0000Z-240711T1800Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
225 PM EDT Thu Jul 11 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

Winds and waves have dropped below small craft advisory criteria. 

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
711 PM EDT Tue Jul 9 2024

.SYNOPSIS...
Our stretch of fair dry weather will come crashing to an end later
tonight and Wednesday...as the remnants of Beryl will make its way
out of the Mid West. A soaking one to two inches of rain can be
expected in many areas by Thursday morning...with higher amounts
possible east of Lake Ontario and even moreso across the Adirondacks.
Along with tropical downpours on Wednesday...there will be the risk for
strong to severe thunderstorms...mainly across the western Southern
Tier and for portions of the Finger Lakes.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
...Significant Rains AND increased severe weather threat continues
from the Remnants of Beryl on Wednesday...

Early this evening, radar shows spotty showers and a few
thunderstorms across Western NY. These are mainly instability
driven, and will taper off later this evening.

Conditions will significantly deteriorate during the course of
tonight though...as the remnants of Beryl over the Lower Ohio valley
will push northeast. A tropically enhanced warm front extending to the
east across Pennsylvania will approach our region in the process. A
modest 25 to 30kt low level jet impinging upon this boundary will
combine with forcing under the nose of an 80kt UL jet to lift a
deepening tropical airmass to generate increasingly widespread rain as
we progress through the overnight/wee hours Wednesday morning. PWAT
values will surge to 2.25" by daybreak...so some heavy rain will be
possible...particularly within any embedded thunderstorms. The focus of
the rain late tonight will be over the western counties with sites west
of the Finger Lakes most likely to experience the heavier downpours.

Wednesday will most certainly be the most unsettled day of the week...
as the center of whats left of Beryl will track across the far west end
of Lake Erie to southernmost Ontario. Meanwhile...the aforementioned
eastward extending warm front will gradually advance across our
forecast area. The deep tropical moisture will focus near and north of
the advancing warm front where widespread moderate to heavy rain is
expected. Daytime rainfall amounts are forecast to range from a quarter
to a half inch across the western Southern Tier to an inch most
elsewhere. Embedded thunderstorm activity could locally double that
amount. The good news is that the threat for excessive rains has
diminished across the sloped terrain of the Southern Tier...but on the
flip side...the risk remains in place for the more populated areas from
Buffalo...Batavia and Rochester to the Eastern Lake Ontario region. Six
hour FFG guidance for this particular area is in the vcnty of 2.25"...
so the risk for widespread hydro concerns will be limited. The
forecast rainfall will increase flow in most area tributaries,
but given recent dry weather and seasonably low current levels
the rises on main stem rivers are likely to remain within bank.
However, localized heavy rains in this moist environment will
still have the potential to produce flash flooding or general
flooding. Updated WPC forecast clips Lewis county with a
moderate risk for excessive rainfall, leaving most of the
forecast area in a slight risk.

As for the potential for severe weather...the Storm Prediction
Center has outlined much of western New York within a slight
risk area. This aligns with the progression of the tropically
enhanced warm front where a notably enhanced amount of shear
will be present. Bulk shear values of 40-50 kts and veering low
level profiles will support supercells and a non-zero threat of
tornadoes...along with clusters that will include tropical rain
loaded downdrafts (ie localized straight line wind damage risk).
18Z HRRR shows convection developing early Wednesday afternoon
and moving from west to east across the area through around 8
p.m. This timeframe represents the greatest risk for severe
weather. There will be a frontal boundary near or just south of
the south shores of Lake Ontario, with areas in the northeast
flow on the cool side of the front at a much lower risk for
severe weather. However, non-convective northeast winds will be
quite breezy as the low passes by, with gusts to 35 mph and much
cooler weather. The boundary is likely to be near the I-90
corridor between Buffalo and Rochester but could meander some
during the day.

Wednesday night will remain very unsettled...particularly over
the Eastern Lake Ontario region. The center of the tropical
remnants will drift across the far western counties...while the
axis of deepest tropical moisture and associated will be slowly
exiting via the Thousand Islands and St Lawrence valley. This
could produce an additional inch to an inch and a half rain for
the Eastern Lake Ontario region...bringing 24 hour amounts to
nearly three inches. The highest amounts are expected to be over
Lewis county.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
By Thursday morning Beryl's elongated remnant surface low will be
centered across the Lower Great Lakes and Upper Saint Lawrence
Valley...with this continuing to fill as it tracks into Southern
Quebec through the course of the day. While its attendant axis of
deep tropical moisture (and widespread moderate to heavy rains) will
be well to our east by this time...the continued close proximity of
the remnant low will keep clouds and at least some scattered lighter
showers going across the eastern Lake Ontario region through the
day...with upslope flow and wraparound moisture also producing a few
more of these across far western New York. In between...largely dry
weather should prevail across the Finger Lakes. This disparity in
cloud and pcpn coverage will also be reflected in the temperatures
we'll experience...with highs ranging in the 70s across far western
New York and the North Country...and in the upper 70s to lower 80s
in between. It will also remain on the muggy side...with surface
dewpoints remaining in the mid to upper 60s.

Thursday night surface high pressure and drier air will ridge
northeastward into our region from the Ohio Valley. This will help
to bring an end to any lingering scattered showers...with fair dry
weather otherwise prevailing. Lows will dip into the upper 50s to
mid 60s as surface dewpoints drop back a little more...making for at
least somewhat more comfortable conditions compared to the preceding
few nights.

Friday and Friday night the aforementioned surface ridge will remain
draped across our region...while a weakening mid-level trough passes
by just to our north and west. In the process this latter feature
will brush our region...and this coupled with diurnal heating/
destabilization and developing lake/orographically-forced
circulations could be enough to pop some widely scattered convection
across the Southern Tier and interior Finger Lakes during Friday...
with this activity then weakening with the loss of heating and
sliding eastward Friday night. Have covered this potential with some
slight chance PoPs for now...with dry weather otherwise anticipated.
As for temps...highs on Friday will bounce back to the lower to mid
80s for the most part...with lows in the lower to mid 60s then
following for Friday night. It will also be at least somewhat
humid...as surface dewpoints will generally be in the lower to mid
60s.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Guidance is starting to trend drier for Saturday as a shortwave
ridge moves into the area. A few showers can't be ruled out for
eastern areas as a shortwave trough exits to the east.

The next trough tracks into the area on Sunday, bringing the next
potential for showers. Some timing issues still among the guidance
with shower onset time from early Sunday morning through Sunday
night. Thunderstorms will also be possible as instability increases
through the second half of the weekend.

Shower potential will continue into the new work week as a few
shortwave troughs track across the area within a quasi-zonal flow
over the region. Guidance is also slower with a cold front tracking
southeast across the Great Lakes and into the forecast area for the
first half of the work week. Again though, there is plenty of
uncertainty among guidance for timing and shower coverage. Per usual
certainty will start to increase closer to the period and as higher
resolution models start to cover any specific day.

Daytime temperatures will be some 5 to 10 degrees above normal for
the period. Depending on the actual cold frontal passage,
temperatures later in the period, on Monday and/or Tuesday may end
up being cooler.

&&

.AVIATION /23Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
VFR flight conditions through this evening, with spotty showers
and thunderstorms potentially causing only briefly lower vsby.

Tonight and Wednesday the remnants of Beryl will approach from the
southwest. This will bring continued thickening and lowering cloud
cover...and eventually periods of moderate to possibly heavy rain
late tonight and Wednesday...along with some scattered thunder
storms. This will result in flight conditions lowering to MVFR/IFR.
Wednesday afternoon and evening...enough instability could develop
to bring a risk of some strong to severe thunderstorms...with this
risk greatest south of a rough KBUF-KROC-KFZY axis. The main threat
with any such storms would be strong wind gusts.

Outlook...

Wednesday night...MVFR/IFR with widespread rain diminishing.
Thursday...Improvement to MVFR/VFR with leftover scattered
showers.
Friday...Mainly VFR with a low chance of showers and thunderstorms
across the Southern Tier/Finger Lakes.
Saturday...Mainly VFR with a low chance of showers and
thunderstorms well inland from the lakes.
Sunday...Mainly VFR with a chance of showers and thunderstorms.

&&

.MARINE...
Wednesday will be quite unsettled, as the remnants of Beryl
will move through with times of heavy rain and possibly some
gusty thunderstorms. The active weather will be accompanied by
northeasterlies up to 25 knots which are likely to require
small craft headlines for much of Lake Ontario.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...RSH
NEAR TERM...Apffel/RSH
SHORT TERM...JJR
LONG TERM...JM/SW
AVIATION...Apffel/JJR
MARINE...Apffel/RSH/TMA

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
423 AM EDT Tue Jul 9 2024

NYZ001-002-010-011-100830-
Niagara-Orleans-Northern Erie-Genesee-
423 AM EDT Tue Jul 9 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

The remnants of Tropical System Beryl will pass across our region
Wednesday through Wednesday night. While this will bring a soaking
rainfall of one to two inches to most locations, there could be
localized corridors of heavier rainfall that may result in flooding.
There remains uncertainty in the location of these areas of heavier
rainfall.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ003>005-100830-
Monroe-Wayne-Northern Cayuga-
423 AM EDT Tue Jul 9 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western and north
central New York.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Apparent temperatures will approach the mid 90s on Tuesday.

The remnants of Tropical System Beryl will pass across our region
Wednesday through Wednesday night. While this will bring a soaking
rainfall of one to two inches to most locations, there could be
localized corridors of heavier rainfall that may result in flooding.
There remains uncertainty in the location of these areas of heavier
rainfall.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ012>014-019-085-100830-
Wyoming-Livingston-Ontario-Chautauqua-Southern Erie-
423 AM EDT Tue Jul 9 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

The remnants of Tropical System Beryl will pass across our region
Wednesday through Wednesday night. While this will bring a soaking
rainfall of one to two inches to most locations, there could be
localized corridors of heavier rainfall that may result in flooding.
There remains uncertainty in the location of these areas of heavier
rainfall.

There is also a Marginal Risk for strong to severe thunderstorms
Wednesday afternoon and evening, with strong to damaging wind gusts
the primary severe weather threat.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ020-021-100830-
Cattaraugus-Allegany-
423 AM EDT Tue Jul 9 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

The remnants of Tropical System Beryl will pass across our region
Wednesday through Wednesday night. While this will bring a soaking
rainfall of one to two inches to most locations, there could be
localized corridors of heavier rainfall that may result in flooding.
There remains uncertainty in the location of these areas of heavier
rainfall.

There is also a Slight Risk for strong to severe thunderstorms
Wednesday afternoon and evening, with strong to damaging wind gusts
the primary severe weather threat.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ006>008-100830-
Oswego-Jefferson-Lewis-
423 AM EDT Tue Jul 9 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central New York.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

The remnants of Tropical System Beryl will pass across our region
Wednesday through Wednesday night. This will bring a soaking
rainfall of one to two inches to most locations, there could be
localized corridors of heavier rainfall that may result in flooding
or flash flooding. There remains uncertainty in the location of
these areas of heavier rainfall.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

LEZ020-040-041-LOZ030-042>045-062>065-SLZ022-024-100830-
Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
Lower Niagara River-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence
River-
Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach-
Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River-
Saint Lawrence River from Cape Vincent to Ogdensburg-
Saint Lawrence River from Ogdensburg to Saint Regis-
423 AM EDT Tue Jul 9 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the New York waters of Lake
Erie, Lake Ontario, and the Saint Lawrence River.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf