Alert archive / Arkansas / Tornado Watches in 2023
Tornado Watch 59
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Mar 2, 2023, 11:51 PM CST for 4 states. It was in force for 8 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 2, 2023, 11:51 PM CST (05:51 UTC)
- Expired
- Mar 3, 2023, 8:00 AM CST
- In force
- 8 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 65 kt
All 79 counties
Arkansas County, AR, Ashley County, AR, Bradley County, AR, Calhoun County, AR, Chicot County, AR, Cleveland County, AR, Columbia County, AR, Craighead County, AR, Crittenden County, AR, Cross County, AR, Dallas County, AR, Desha County, AR, Drew County, AR, Grant County, AR, Hot Spring County, AR, Jackson County, AR, Jefferson County, AR, Lee County, AR, Lincoln County, AR, Lonoke County, AR, Mississippi County, AR, Monroe County, AR, Ouachita County, AR, Phillips County, AR, Poinsett County, AR, Prairie County, AR, Pulaski County, AR, Saline County, AR, St. Francis County, AR, Union County, AR, White County, AR, Woodruff County, AR, Bienville Parish, LA, Bossier Parish, LA, Caddo Parish, LA, Caldwell Parish, LA, Catahoula Parish, LA, Claiborne Parish, LA, Concordia Parish, LA, De Soto Parish, LA, East Carroll Parish, LA, Franklin Parish, LA, Grant Parish, LA, Jackson Parish, LA, LaSalle Parish, LA, Lincoln Parish, LA, Madison Parish, LA, Morehouse Parish, LA, Natchitoches Parish, LA, Ouachita Parish, LA, Red River Parish, LA, Richland Parish, LA, Sabine Parish, LA, Tensas Parish, LA, Union Parish, LA, Webster Parish, LA, West Carroll Parish, LA, Winn Parish, LA, Bolivar County, MS, Carroll County, MS, Coahoma County, MS, DeSoto County, MS, Grenada County, MS, Holmes County, MS, Humphreys County, MS, Issaquena County, MS, Leflore County, MS, Panola County, MS, Quitman County, MS, Sharkey County, MS, Sunflower County, MS, Tallahatchie County, MS, Tate County, MS, Tunica County, MS, Washington County, MS, Yazoo County, MS, Lauderdale County, TN, Shelby County, TN, Tipton County, TN
The radar
The Little Rock radar (KLZK), 129 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 05:54 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 60%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 40%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 70%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 50%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 20%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 10%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 90%
Warnings issued inside it
23 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 12:01 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Calhoun, Ouachita | 44 min |
| Mar 3, 12:10 AM CST | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | Cleburne, Independence, Jackson, White | 8 hr |
| Mar 3, 12:12 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Columbia, Union | 63 min |
| Mar 3, 12:17 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Bienville, Bossier, Caddo, De Soto, Natchitoches, Red River and 2 more | 58 min |
| Mar 3, 12:23 AM CST | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | Lonoke, Pulaski, Saline | 7 hr |
| Mar 3, 12:25 AM CST | Tornado Warning | SHV | Bienville, Bossier, Webster | 35 min |
| Mar 3, 12:44 AM CST | Tornado Warning | LZK | Dallas, Grant, Jefferson | 31 min |
| Mar 3, 12:45 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Bradley, Calhoun, Cleveland, Dallas, Grant, Jefferson and 1 more | 60 min |
| Mar 3, 12:54 AM CST | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | Independence, Jackson, Lawrence, Sharp | 6 hr |
| Mar 3, 12:54 AM CST | Tornado Warning | SHV | Bienville, Claiborne, Lincoln, Union | 36 min |
| Mar 3, 1:00 AM CST | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | White, Woodruff | 7 hr |
| Mar 3, 1:04 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Union | 56 min |
| Mar 3, 1:11 AM CST | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | Jackson | 6 hr |
| Mar 3, 1:27 AM CST | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | Cleveland, Dallas, Grant | 6 hr |
| Mar 3, 1:39 AM CST | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | Lonoke, Monroe, Prairie, White, Woodruff | 6 hr |
| Mar 3, 1:43 AM CST | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | Grant, Jefferson, Lonoke, Pulaski, Saline | 6 hr |
| Mar 3, 1:49 AM CST | Tornado Warning | LZK | Arkansas, Jefferson, Lonoke, Prairie | 26 min |
| Mar 3, 1:50 AM CST | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | Calhoun, Cleveland | 6 hr |
| Mar 3, 1:51 AM CST | Tornado Warning | LZK | Lonoke, Monroe, Prairie | 24 min |
| Mar 3, 2:22 AM CST | Tornado Warning | LZK | Arkansas, Monroe, Prairie | 23 min |
| Mar 3, 2:42 AM CST | Tornado Warning | LZK | Monroe | 15 min |
| Mar 3, 5:42 AM CST | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | Cleburne, White | 2 hr |
| Mar 3, 6:08 AM CST | Flash Flood Warning | MEG | Crittenden, Cross, Lee, Mississippi, St. Francis | 3 hr |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Little Rock, AR (KLZK), launched 00:00Z, 5.9 hours before the alert went out and 130 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 62 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -213 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 557 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 79 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 352 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 360 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.5
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 6:14 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Baxter, Boone, Cleburne, Conway, Crawford, Faulkner and 17 more | 2 hr |
| Mar 2, 6:54 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Calhoun, Clark, Cleveland, Columbia, Dallas, Garland and 16 more | 96 min |
| Mar 2, 9:53 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Arkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Calhoun, Chicot, Clark and 24 more | 97 min |
| Mar 2, 11:06 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Arkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Calhoun, Chicot, Clark and 37 more | 54 min |
| Mar 3, 12:26 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Arkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Calhoun, Chicot, Cleveland and 7 more | 2 hr |
| Mar 2, 9:17 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Acadia, Allen, Avoyelles, Beauregard, Calcasieu, Cameron and 6 more | 118 min |
| Mar 3, 4:01 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Alcorn, Benton, Calhoun, Chickasaw, Clay, Itawamba and 10 more | 2 hr |
| Mar 3, 6:24 AM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Alcorn, Benton, Calhoun, Chickasaw, Itawamba, Lafayette and 9 more | 7 hr |
| Mar 3, 7:06 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Attala, Carroll, Choctaw, Clay, Hinds, Holmes and 14 more | 84 min |
| Mar 3, 10:15 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bedford, Bledsoe, Cannon, Cheatham, Clay, Coffee and 37 more | 3 hr |
| Mar 3, 10:34 AM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Anderson, Bledsoe, Blount, Bradley, Campbell, Cannon and 32 more | 5 hr |
| Mar 3, 1:12 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Blount, Cocke, Grainger, Greene, Hamblen, Hawkins and 3 more | 93 min |
| Mar 3, 1:41 PM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Carter, Claiborne, Cocke, Grainger, Greene, Hamblen and 8 more | 5 hr |
| Mar 3, 3:41 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Carter, Cocke, Greene, Sullivan, Unicoi, Washington | 94 min |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2023Tornado Watches in Louisiana, 2023Tornado Watches in Mississippi, 2023Every tornado watch in 2023
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.