Alert archive / Tennessee / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2023

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 430

July 2, 20235 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 2, 2023, 12:14 PM CDT for 5 states. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 2, 2023, 12:14 PM CDT (17:14 UTC)
Expired
Jul 2, 2023, 8:00 PM CDT
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
65 kt
All 137 counties

Blount County, AL, Calhoun County, AL, Chambers County, AL, Cherokee County, AL, Clay County, AL, Cleburne County, AL, Colbert County, AL, Coosa County, AL, Cullman County, AL, DeKalb County, AL, Elmore County, AL, Etowah County, AL, Fayette County, AL, Franklin County, AL, Jackson County, AL, Jefferson County, AL, Lamar County, AL, Lauderdale County, AL, Lawrence County, AL, Limestone County, AL, Madison County, AL, Marion County, AL, Marshall County, AL, Morgan County, AL, Pickens County, AL, Randolph County, AL, Shelby County, AL, St. Clair County, AL, Talladega County, AL, Tallapoosa County, AL, Tuscaloosa County, AL, Walker County, AL, Winston County, AL, Bartow County, GA, Carroll County, GA, Catoosa County, GA, Chattooga County, GA, Cherokee County, GA, Cobb County, GA, Coweta County, GA, Dade County, GA, Dawson County, GA, Douglas County, GA, Fannin County, GA, Floyd County, GA, Forsyth County, GA, Fulton County, GA, Gilmer County, GA, Gordon County, GA, Haralson County, GA, Heard County, GA, Lumpkin County, GA, Murray County, GA, Paulding County, GA, Pickens County, GA, Polk County, GA, Towns County, GA, Troup County, GA, Union County, GA, Walker County, GA, White County, GA, Whitfield County, GA, Alcorn County, MS, Benton County, MS, Calhoun County, MS, Chickasaw County, MS, Clay County, MS, Coahoma County, MS, DeSoto County, MS, Grenada County, MS, Itawamba County, MS, Lafayette County, MS, Lee County, MS, Lowndes County, MS, Marshall County, MS, Monroe County, MS, Oktibbeha County, MS, Panola County, MS, Pontotoc County, MS, Prentiss County, MS, Quitman County, MS, Tallahatchie County, MS, Tate County, MS, Tippah County, MS, Tishomingo County, MS, Tunica County, MS, Union County, MS, Webster County, MS, Yalobusha County, MS, Cherokee County, NC, Clay County, NC, Anderson County, TN, Bedford County, TN, Bledsoe County, TN, Blount County, TN, Bradley County, TN, Campbell County, TN, Chester County, TN, Claiborne County, TN, Coffee County, TN, Cumberland County, TN, Fayette County, TN, Franklin County, TN, Giles County, TN, Grainger County, TN, Grundy County, TN, Hamblen County, TN, Hamilton County, TN, Hardeman County, TN, Hardin County, TN, Jefferson County, TN, Knox County, TN, Lawrence County, TN, Lewis County, TN, Lincoln County, TN, Loudon County, TN, Marion County, TN, Marshall County, TN, Maury County, TN, McMinn County, TN, McNairy County, TN, Meigs County, TN, Monroe County, TN, Moore County, TN, Morgan County, TN, Polk County, TN, Rhea County, TN, Roane County, TN, Scott County, TN, Sequatchie County, TN, Sevier County, TN, Shelby County, TN, Union County, TN, Van Buren County, TN, Warren County, TN, Wayne County, TN, White County, TN

The radar

The Northeast Alabama radar (KHTX), 120 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:17 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
60%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
20%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

62 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 2, 12:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHUNLimestone, Madison20 min
Jul 2, 12:48 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHUNMadison27 min
Jul 2, 12:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBMXMarion39 min
Jul 2, 12:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHUNLincoln31 min
Jul 2, 1:03 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHUNJackson, Madison27 min
Jul 2, 1:23 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHUNFranklin, Lincoln, Moore25 min
Jul 2, 1:33 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBMXTuscaloosa42 min
Jul 2, 1:36 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANCarroll, Grenada, Montgomery, Webster54 min
Jul 2, 1:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBMXMarion, Winston24 min
Jul 2, 1:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHUNJackson30 min
Jul 2, 1:49 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBMXCalhoun, St. Clair, Talladega56 min
Jul 2, 2:03 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXMarion57 min
Jul 2, 2:04 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXCannon, Coffee, Grundy, Warren26 min
Jul 2, 2:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGShelby22 min
Jul 2, 2:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHUNCullman33 min
Jul 2, 2:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBMXEtowah, St. Clair47 min
Jul 2, 2:16 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHUNJackson29 min
Jul 2, 2:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFFCDade, Walker35 min
Jul 2, 2:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHUNDeKalb, Jackson, Marshall33 min
Jul 2, 2:39 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningBMXSt. Clair, Talladega3 hr
Jul 2, 2:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXHamilton, Marion50 min
Jul 2, 2:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFFCCatoosa, Dade, Walker35 min
Jul 2, 3:03 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFFCDade, Walker42 min
Jul 2, 3:03 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGItawamba, Lee42 min
Jul 2, 3:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBMXJefferson, St. Clair, Shelby49 min
Jul 2, 3:19 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHUNDeKalb, Jackson, Marshall41 min
Jul 2, 3:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXBradley, Hamilton40 min
Jul 2, 3:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFFCChattooga, Dade, Walker33 min
Jul 2, 3:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFFCCatoosa, Walker, Whitfield31 min
Jul 2, 3:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFFCChattooga, Floyd28 min
Jul 2, 3:34 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHUNLimestone, Madison41 min
Jul 2, 3:34 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFFCCobb, Douglas, Fulton41 min
Jul 2, 3:36 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGLafayette, Panola20 min
Jul 2, 3:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFFCChattooga13 min
Jul 2, 3:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFFCCatoosa, Whitfield10 min
Jul 2, 3:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGLafayette, Marshall40 min
Jul 2, 3:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFFCMurray, Whitfield9 min
Jul 2, 3:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXBradley, Polk51 min
Jul 2, 3:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBMXShelby, Talladega64 min
Jul 2, 3:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFFCCatoosa, Chattooga, Fannin, Murray, Walker, Whitfield46 min
Jul 2, 4:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFFCBartow, Floyd, Gordon43 min
Jul 2, 4:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHUNColbert, Franklin, Lauderdale25 min
Jul 2, 4:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBMXClay, Cleburne, Randolph54 min
Jul 2, 4:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHUNMadison10 min
Jul 2, 4:16 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGBenton, Marshall14 min
Jul 2, 4:17 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFFCCarroll, Haralson43 min
Jul 2, 4:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHUNMadison16 min
Jul 2, 4:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFFCFannin, Gilmer, Gordon, Murray, Whitfield49 min
Jul 2, 4:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBMXClay, Coosa, Talladega31 min
Jul 2, 4:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBMXRandolph59 min
Jul 2, 4:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHUNColbert, Franklin, Lauderdale, Lawrence29 min
Jul 2, 4:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFFCBartow, Fannin, Gilmer, Gordon, Murray, Pickens and 2 more45 min
Jul 2, 4:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXGrainger, Jefferson, Knox, Union28 min
Jul 2, 5:16 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFFCForsyth, Gwinnett, Hall, Jackson44 min
Jul 2, 5:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGDeSoto, Marshall, Panola, Tate, Tunica25 min
Jul 2, 5:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFFCDawson, Fannin, Gilmer, Hall, Lumpkin, Pickens and 3 more36 min
Jul 2, 5:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGLafayette, Marshall, Panola, Tate13 min
Jul 2, 6:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFFCMeriwether, Troup30 min
Jul 2, 6:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBMXElmore44 min
Jul 2, 6:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBMXCoosa, Elmore, Tallapoosa38 min
Jul 2, 7:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFFCHarris, Meriwether, Troup51 min
Jul 2, 7:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBMXTuscaloosa27 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 12:00Z, 5.2 hours before the alert went out and 151 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2023-07-02Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1255 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2023-07-02The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 198 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1255 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-54 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
762 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
43 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
198 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
183 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
6.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

402 
WWUS20 KWNS 021712
SEL0  
SPC WW 021712
ALZ000-ARZ000-GAZ000-MSZ000-NCZ000-TNZ000-030100-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 430
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1215 PM CDT Sun Jul 2 2023

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Northern Alabama
  Eastern Arkansas
  Northwest Georgia
  Northern Mississippi
  Far southwest North Carolina
  Southern to eastern Tennessee

* Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 1215 PM until
  800 PM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
    to 75 mph possible
  Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible

SUMMARY...Several multicell clusters should develop through the
afternoon and gradually spread east. Large hail will be possible,
mainly early, but damaging winds will be the primary threat.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 75
statute miles north and south of a line from 25 miles southwest of
Oxford MS to 20 miles southeast of Knoxville TN. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
25025.

...Grams

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 2, 10:16 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBlount, Cherokee, Colbert, Cullman, DeKalb, Etowah and 17 more89 min
Jul 2, 4:54 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCRabun96 min
Jul 2, 5:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCFranklin, Habersham, Hart, Rabun, Stephens5 hr
Jul 2, 2:08 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBolivar, Humphreys, Issaquena, Leflore, Sharkey, Sunflower and 1 more97 min
Jul 2, 1:06 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlamance, Alexander, Caswell, Davidson, Davie, Forsyth and 12 more114 min
Jul 2, 1:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAlamance, Caswell, Durham, Edgecombe, Franklin, Granville and 10 more4 hr
Jul 2, 3:25 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDurham, Franklin, Halifax, Nash, Vance, Wake and 1 more95 min
Jul 2, 11:56 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Carroll, Cheatham, Clay, Davidson, Dickson and 22 more2 hr
Jul 2, 12:33 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBenton, Cannon, Carroll, Cheatham, Clay, Crockett and 34 more8 hr
Jul 2, 2:42 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Cannon, Carroll, Cheatham, Chester, Clay and 45 more2 hr
Jul 2, 6:34 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Carroll, Cheatham, Crockett, Davidson, Dickson and 18 more86 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Tennessee, 2023Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Alabama, 2023Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Georgia, 2023Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2023

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.