Special Weather Statement, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
247 AM EDT Wed Jul 19 2023

.SYNOPSIS...
A front will remain stalled across the area into Wednesday. This
front will move back to the north as a warm front Thursday night
before a stronger cold front moves through the region on Friday.
High pressure will build in from the west over the weekend
before weakening early next week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
Latest analysis currently shows a frontal boundary slipping
southeastward across northern New Jersey and eastern
Pennsylvania. The front extends west-southwest into the Ohio
Valley, where a weak wave of low pressure is riding eastward
along the front. Aloft, a shortwave is crossing the
Appalachians. A relatively modest but notable low-level jet is
pushing eastward across West Virginia.

These features will result in increasing clouds early this
morning, with showers and embedded thunderstorms breaking out
across the area. With minimal SBCAPE, forcing is mostly aloft,
so expect a relatively minimal severe weather threat this
morning, but locally heavy rain may result in flooding concerns
if heavier cells move across urban centers. Best concentration
of rain this morning appears to be near Philadelphia into
central NJ, with moisture having trouble getting further north
as the front dropping southward stalls out. As the initial
shortwave and low-level jet head east off the coast by this
afternoon, a break may be had, but CAMS then indicate enough
SBCAPE develops to cause more showers and thunderstorms this
afternoon. These likely have a better, if still marginal, severe
weather risk, but will also continue to carry a locally heavy
rain risk, particularly if they move over urban centers. With
the front stalled in north-central areas of the CWA, the main
risk of storms this afternoon will also be from I-78 southward,
with NW NJ and the Poconos quite possibly staying dry today.
With better model agreement, upped pops to likely thru the day,
though again, it won't be a washout... expect the first wave
this morning then more activity this afternoon with dry time in
between. However, with the better chance of rain and greater
cloud cover, highs now look lower than previously, with low-mid
80s more common.

Tonight, with all forcing heading out to sea or weakening after
sunset, expect all showers and storms to end fairly quickly.
Areas of fog may then become a concern overnight especially
where it rains significantly during the day. Lows will be in the
60s to low 70s.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
The area will be in a lull to start the period Thursday morning as
weak high pressure will be over the region. Main threat at this time
will be any left over fog but any of this will burn off through the
morning. Otherwise the day should feature a mix of sun and clouds
with very warm but somewhat less humid conditions compared to many
of our recent days. Expect highs mainly in the 80s to near 90 with
dew points generally in the middle to upper 60s (compared to low to
mid 70s). The weak high over the area early in the day will give way
to the next approaching system by late day as a developing low
pressure system and associated upper level wave move eastward across
the lower Great Lakes. Some scattered showers and storms look to
develop by the afternoon over central and western PA in the vicinity
of this system's warm front and some of these could make it into our
eastern PA and Delmarva zones by late day. However the trend has
been slightly slower with this system so POPs are only in the 20 to
40 percent range here and less than 15 percent near the NJ coast
where it should stay dry through the day.

The more active period looks to be Thursday night beginning after
sundown as the aformentioned low continues moving across
southern Ontario pushing a warm front through the region. This
low will be driven by a fairly potent wave in the upper levels
that will start to take on a more neutral to negative tilt with
an 80 knot jet moving through the base of the upper trough. This
set up is at least somewhat concerning as it indicates forcing
should be quite strong. And moisture won't be an issue as PWATs
in the warm sector surge once again to around 1.75 to 2 inches.
The upshot is that showers and thunderstorms should become
fairly widespread across the area through the late evening into
the overnight and will have the potential to produce very heavy
downpours that could lead to flooding and even flash flooding.
Best chances for this look to be near and N/W of the urban
corridor. Some severe weather may be possible but the limiting
factors here are that deep layer shear may be fairly marginal at
30 to 35 knots with surface instability potentially being
limited to due to the timing at night. That said, the strong
forcing could compensate so this is definitely a system that
will bear watching. Expect lows mainly in the 60s to near 70.

For Friday, the area will be right near the triple point to start
the day with the low centered over the area. Showers/storms should
still be ongoing at this time but should actually become less
widespread by late morning into the afternoon as the strongest
forcing and deepest moisture moves off to the north and east. That
said, the actual surface low and associated cold front may be slow
to move through so there will be the potential for at least some
scattered storms through the day even as some sunny breaks start to
develop. Best chances for storms look to be over NE PA into NW NJ
with the lowest POPs across Delmarva. Expect highs generally in the
mid to upper 80s along with high humidity although dew point should
start to drop off by late day as the winds turn more westerly in the
wake of the cold front.

Any lingering showers/storms diminish Friday evening as the low
pulls away with a somewhat cooler and less humid night in its wake
under clearing skies and west to NW breezes. Lows should be mainly
in the 60s with even some upper 50s over the southern Poconos.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
There will be a respite this weekend from this very muggy and active
weather pattern we've been in as the front from Friday continues to
move off the coast and surface high pressure moves in. This looks to
be bring us a dry weekend for once under partly to mainly sunny
skies with seasonable temperatures and less humid conditions. Expect
highs both days this weekend generally in the 80s except upper 70s
over the Pocono Plateau. Lows look to be mainly in the 60s.

Despite the respite over the weekend, the overall weather pattern
will continue to feature a dominant long wave trough in the east and
this set up will result in a return to muggier weather by early next
week along with chances for showers/storms returning as well. This
will occur as the surface high loses its grip over the area and the
flow starts to turn more southerly. Highs by next Monday and Tuesday
will once again reach well into the 80s to around 90 for much of the
area with lows mainly ranging from the mid 60s to low 70s.

&&

.AVIATION /07Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG,
KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas...

Today...VFR predominately, but intervals of MVFR and instances
of IFR possible with heavier showers and thunderstorms moving
across the terminals this morning and again this afternoon. Best
chance of restriction is from KTTN southward...lesser risk at
KRDG and KABE. Winds will be somewhat variable with a front in
the vicinity.

Tonight...IFR possible mainly late and especially south of KTTN
where fog may develop overnight. Winds variable becoming
northerly at 5 kts or less.

Outlook...

Thursday...Mainly VFR through the daytime with a few isolated to
scattered showers/storms possible that could cause brief
restrictions...best chances for this at RDG and ABE. Winds east to
southeast then becoming more southerly late day at speeds of around
5 to 10 knots. Moderate confidence.

Thursday night...Showers and thunderstorms become more widespread as
a frontal system moves in with restrictions to MVFR or IFR likely.
Winds south to southeast around 5 knots with higher gusts possible
in storms.

Friday...Showers/storms becoming more isolated to scattered with
conditions becoming mainly VFR by late morning through the
afternoon. Winds shifting to westerly around 10 knots as a cold
front moves through.

Saturday and Sunday...VFR. Northwest winds around 10 knots. Moderate
confidence.

&&

.MARINE...
Sub-advisory conditions on the waters through tonight with winds
southwesterly this morning around 5 kts increasing to around 10
kts from the southeast this afternoon, then turning northerly by
late tonight. Waves 2-4 ft. Main boating hazard will be
potential for scattered thunderstorms, possibly this morning and
then again this afternoon into this evening. Patchy marine fog
is possible as well.

Outlook...

Thursday through Sunday...No marine headlines expected. Winds
generally around 10 knots with seas of 2 to 4 feet. Showers/storms
likely over the waters at times Thursday night into Friday with
tranquil weather over the weekend.

Rip Currents...

A light northwest to west wind this morning is forecast to
become southerly around 10 MPH in the afternoon. Breaking waves
should be 2 to 4 feet with a medium period southerly swell.
There should still be an underlying long period swell from the
east and southeast. However, with breaking wave heights on the
decrease, we will carry a MODERATE risk for New Jersey and a LOW
risk for Delaware for rip currents on Wednesday.

For Thursday, south to southeast winds will are forecast to be a
bit lighter with a further diminishing longer period swell.
Therefor, we are expecting a LOW risk of rip currents for all
New Jersey and Delaware Beaches on Thursday.

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...None.
NJ...None.
DE...None.
MD...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...Fitzsimmons
NEAR TERM...RCM
SHORT TERM...Fitzsimmons
LONG TERM...Fitzsimmons
AVIATION...Fitzsimmons/RCM
MARINE...Fitzsimmons/RCM

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
0517 AM EDT Wed Jul 19 2023

DEZ001-200917-
New Castle-
0517 AM EDT Wed Jul 19 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for New Castle County in Delaware.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

DEZ002-200917-
Kent-
0517 AM EDT Wed Jul 19 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Kent County in Delaware.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

DEZ003-200917-
Inland Sussex-
0517 AM EDT Wed Jul 19 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for inland portions of Sussex County
in Delaware.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

DEZ004-200917-
Delaware Beaches-
0517 AM EDT Wed Jul 19 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal portions of
Sussex County in Delaware.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ054-200917-
Carbon-
0517 AM EDT Wed Jul 19 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Carbon County in Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ055-200917-
Monroe-
0517 AM EDT Wed Jul 19 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Monroe County in Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ060-200917-
Berks-
0517 AM EDT Wed Jul 19 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Berks County in Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ061-200917-
Lehigh-
0517 AM EDT Wed Jul 19 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Lehigh County in Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ062-200917-
Northampton-
0517 AM EDT Wed Jul 19 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Northampton County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ070-200917-
Delaware-
0517 AM EDT Wed Jul 19 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Delaware County in Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ071-200917-
Philadelphia-
0517 AM EDT Wed Jul 19 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Philadelphia County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ101-200917-
Western Chester-
0517 AM EDT Wed Jul 19 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for western Chester County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ102-200917-
Eastern Chester-
0517 AM EDT Wed Jul 19 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern Chester County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ103-200917-
Western Montgomery-
0517 AM EDT Wed Jul 19 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for western Montgomery County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ104-200917-
Eastern Montgomery-
0517 AM EDT Wed Jul 19 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern Montgomery County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ105-200917-
Upper Bucks-
0517 AM EDT Wed Jul 19 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for upper Bucks County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ106-200917-
Lower Bucks-
0517 AM EDT Wed Jul 19 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for lower Bucks County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ001-200917-
Sussex-
0517 AM EDT Wed Jul 19 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Sussex County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ007-200917-
Warren-
0517 AM EDT Wed Jul 19 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Warren County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ008-200917-
Morris-
0517 AM EDT Wed Jul 19 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Morris County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ009-200917-
Hunterdon-
0517 AM EDT Wed Jul 19 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Hunterdon County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ010-200917-
Somerset-
0517 AM EDT Wed Jul 19 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Somerset County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ012-200917-
Middlesex-
0517 AM EDT Wed Jul 19 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Middlesex County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ013-200917-
Western Monmouth-
0517 AM EDT Wed Jul 19 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for western Monmouth County in New
Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ014-200917-
Eastern Monmouth-
0517 AM EDT Wed Jul 19 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern Monmouth County in New
Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ015-200917-
Mercer-
0517 AM EDT Wed Jul 19 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Mercer County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ016-200917-
Salem-
0517 AM EDT Wed Jul 19 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Salem County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ017-200917-
Gloucester-
0517 AM EDT Wed Jul 19 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Gloucester County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ018-200917-
Camden-
0517 AM EDT Wed Jul 19 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Camden County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ019-200917-
Northwestern Burlington-
0517 AM EDT Wed Jul 19 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northwestern Burlington County in
New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ020-200917-
Ocean-
0517 AM EDT Wed Jul 19 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for inland portions of Ocean County
in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ021-200917-
Cumberland-
0517 AM EDT Wed Jul 19 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Cumberland County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ022-200917-
Atlantic-
0517 AM EDT Wed Jul 19 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for inland portions of Atlantic
County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ023-200917-
Cape May-
0517 AM EDT Wed Jul 19 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Cape May County excluding the
Atlantic coast in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ024-200917-
Atlantic Coastal Cape May-
0517 AM EDT Wed Jul 19 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal portions of
Cape May County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ025-200917-
Coastal Atlantic-
0517 AM EDT Wed Jul 19 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for coastal portions of Atlantic
County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ026-200917-
Coastal Ocean-
0517 AM EDT Wed Jul 19 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for coastal portions of Ocean County
in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ027-200917-
Southeastern Burlington-
0517 AM EDT Wed Jul 19 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeastern Burlington County in
New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

MDZ012-200917-
Kent MD-
0517 AM EDT Wed Jul 19 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Kent County in Maryland.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

MDZ015-200917-
Queen Annes-
0517 AM EDT Wed Jul 19 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Queen Annes County in Maryland.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

MDZ019-200917-
Talbot-
0517 AM EDT Wed Jul 19 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Talbot County in Maryland.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

MDZ020-200917-
Caroline-
0517 AM EDT Wed Jul 19 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Caroline County in Maryland.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ430-200917-
Delaware Bay waters north of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
0517 AM EDT Wed Jul 19 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for upper Delaware Bay.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ431-200917-
Delaware Bay waters south of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
0517 AM EDT Wed Jul 19 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for lower Delaware Bay.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ450-200917-
Coastal waters from Sandy Hook to Manasquan Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
0517 AM EDT Wed Jul 19 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to Monmouth County out 20 nm.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ451-200917-
Coastal waters from Manasquan Inlet to Little Egg Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
0517 AM EDT Wed Jul 19 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to Ocean County out 20 nm.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ452-200917-
Coastal waters from Little Egg Inlet to Great Egg Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
0517 AM EDT Wed Jul 19 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to Atlantic County out 20 nm.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ453-200917-
Coastal waters from Great Egg Inlet to Cape May NJ out 20 nm-
0517 AM EDT Wed Jul 19 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to Cape May County out 20 nm.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ454-200917-
Coastal waters from Cape May NJ to Cape Henlopen DE out 20 nm-
0517 AM EDT Wed Jul 19 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to the mouth of Delaware Bay out 20 nm.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ455-200917-
Coastal waters from Cape Henlopen to Fenwick Island DE out 20 nm-
0517 AM EDT Wed Jul 19 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to Sussex County out 20 nm.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
856 AM EDT Wed Jul 19 2023

DEZ002>004-191330-
Inland Sussex DE-Kent DE-Delaware Beaches DE-
856 AM EDT Wed Jul 19 2023

...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of eastern Sussex and
southeastern Kent Counties through 930 AM EDT...

At 856 AM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from Big Stone Beach to near Georgetown to
Parsonsburg. Movement was east at 40 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Georgetown, Milford, Millsboro, Lewes, Milton, Selbyville, Dagsboro,
Millville, Bowers, Henlopen Acres, Gumboro, Cape Henlopen State Park,
Big Stone Beach, Long Neck, Ocean View, Frankford, South Bethany and
Dewey Beach.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3847 7546 3870 7539 3907 7543 3907 7502
      3861 7494 3845 7503 3846 7505 3845 7505
      3845 7514
TIME...MOT...LOC 1256Z 279DEG 34KT 3899 7535 3869 7532 3838 7546

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

MPS

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
914 AM EDT Wed Jul 19 2023

NJZ023-024-191345-
Atlantic Coastal Cape May NJ-Cape May NJ-
914 AM EDT Wed Jul 19 2023

...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of southwestern Cape May
County through 945 AM EDT...

At 914 AM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 8 miles north of Cape Henlopen State Park to
Henlopen Acres. Movement was east at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Cape May, North Wildwood, Wildwood Crest, Sea Isle City, Avalon, West
Cape May, Stone Harbor, Henlopen Acres, Cape May Court House, Scotch
Bonnet, Cape Henlopen State Park, Diamond Beach, Green Creek, Rio
Grande, North Cape May, Villas, West Wildwood, Dewey Beach, Erma and
Whitesboro-Burleigh.

This includes Garden State Parkway between mile markers 0 and 12.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3845 7503 3860 7506 3856 7509 3859 7511
      3858 7518 3862 7510 3866 7518 3864 7513
      3869 7515 3869 7508 3879 7509 3880 7518
      3907 7518 3914 7458 3889 7461 3879 7475
      3877 7486 3846 7483
TIME...MOT...LOC 1314Z 265DEG 32KT 3892 7512 3874 7510

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

MPS

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
922 AM EDT Wed Jul 19 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0918 AM     Tstm Wnd Gst     Indian Beach            38.68N 75.06W
07/19/2023  M52 MPH          ANZ455             DE   Mesonet

            Dewey Beach WeatherFlow.

&&

MPS

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
924 AM EDT Wed Jul 19 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0915 AM     Tstm Wnd Gst     5 NW Lewes              38.83N 75.19W
07/19/2023  M54 MPH          ANZ431             DE   Mesonet

            LISKA S Bayshore Dr.

&&

MPS

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
956 AM EDT Wed Jul 19 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0912 AM     Tstm Wnd Gst     1 NE Lewes              38.79N 75.12W
07/19/2023  M45 MPH          ANZ431             DE   Buoy

            LWSD1.

&&

MPS

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
1013 AM EDT Wed Jul 19 2023

DEZ003-004-191445-
Inland Sussex DE-Delaware Beaches DE-
1013 AM EDT Wed Jul 19 2023

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southeastern Sussex
County through 1045 AM EDT...

At 1012 AM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Millville, or 12 miles southeast of Georgetown, moving east at 45
mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Dagsboro, Millville, Henlopen Acres, Long Neck, Ocean View and Dewey
Beach.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3867 7530 3889 7473 3882 7470 3879 7475
      3877 7486 3859 7485 3851 7522
TIME...MOT...LOC 1412Z 249DEG 38KT 3862 7518

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

MPS