Alert archive / New Jersey / Special Weather Statements in 2023

Special Weather Statement, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

July 16, 2023Monmouth County, New Jersey

NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued this special weather statement at Jul 16, 2023, 5:45 AM EDT for Monmouth County, New Jersey. It was in force for 30 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 16, 2023, 5:45 AM EDT (09:45 UTC)
Expired
Jul 16, 2023, 6:15 AM EDT
In force
30 min
Issued by
NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly
Hail
0.00 in
Wind
40

County Monmouth County, NJ

The radar

The Philadelphia radar (KDIX), 45 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:49 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Brookhaven, NY (KOKX), launched 00:00Z, 9.8 hours before the alert went out and 122 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Brookhaven, NY at 00:00Z on 2023-07-16Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1061 joules per kilogram.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Brookhaven, NY at 00:00Z on 2023-07-16The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 63 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1061 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-2 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
624 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
22 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
63 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
29 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.2
Supercell composite
2.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

053 
WWUS81 KPHI 160945
SPSPHI

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
545 AM EDT Sun Jul 16 2023
 
NJZ013-014-020-026-161015-
Eastern Monmouth NJ-Coastal Ocean NJ-Ocean NJ-Western Monmouth NJ-
545 AM EDT Sun Jul 16 2023

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northeastern Ocean
and eastern Monmouth Counties through 615 AM EDT...

At 545 AM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Point Pleasant Beach, or 8 miles northeast of Toms River, moving
northeast at 50 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around 
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Toms River, Long Branch, Asbury Park, Sandy Hook, Lakewood,
Middletown, Howell, Tinton Falls, Holmdel, Red Bank, Manasquan,
Highlands, Point Pleasant Beach, Seaside Heights, Farmingdale,
Mantoloking, Allenwood, Elberon, Navesink and Brick Township.

This includes the following highways...
 Interstate 195 in New Jersey between mile markers 29 and 34.
 Garden State Parkway between mile markers 87 and 114.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building. 

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 4014 7397 3970 7405 3966 7414 4030 7423
      4044 7410 4042 7405 4041 7398 4048 7402
      4048 7401 4043 7397
TIME...MOT...LOC 0945Z 218DEG 41KT 4008 7408 

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

$$

SFJ

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jul 16, 5:42 AM EDT, 3 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 16, 5:42 AM EDT, 3 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
542 AM EDT Sun Jul 16 2023

.SYNOPSIS...
A large low pressure system over Canada will send a few waves
of low pressure across our region into early next week. Among
those, a weak cold front is expected to cross our region Sunday
into Sunday evening, with widespread precipitation expected
ahead of the front. Broad, weak high pressure will build in mid
week, before a trough approaches our region at the end of next
week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/...
After a brief lull around midnight, in between a seemingly
never- ending stream of shortwaves passing by our region, a more
potent wave is quickly approaching with showers and embedded
thunderstorms with heavy downpours expanding across much of our
region early this morning. This is accompanied by stronger and
larger scale forcing, as well as a slug of deep sub- tropical
moisture. HREF probability- matched mean 6-hour QPF have many
areas near and west of I-95 seeing 1 to 1.5 inches of rain
through 8 AM, with locally near 3 inches possible where any
storms persist. Areas near and north of I-78 and particularly
I-80 may be most at risk, not just due to where the heavy rain
is projected, but because these areas have recently seen heavy
rainfall, with saturated soils making the region primed for
flooding.

Continuing during the day on Sunday, model guidance suggests the
most persistent thunderstorm activity will shift eastward across
Delaware and New Jersey, with similar HREF PMM amounts as was
mentioned above. That projected shift to the east may be
occurring quicker than earlier expected, so that at least some
portions of our area, especially across eastern PA, may have a
lull for awhile this morning. However additional scattered
showers and thunderstorms will likely develop even back to the
west across eastern PA as a cold front approaches. Those may be
more scattered in nature with perhaps less potential for
training compared to what have been seeing this morning, but
given eastern PA into northwest NJ has been particularly hard
hit the last few days with very saturated soil conditions, it
will not take much more rain to cause flooding issues. We will
continue the Flood Watch everywhere through midnight. Activity
will likely diminish with the loss of daytime heating and a cold
front pushing through early this evening, with possible just
isolated showers and thunderstorms after 6 PM dissipating
completely after 9 PM or so.

Aside from the flooding threat, isolated severe thunderstorms
will be possible through this afternoon, especially if we see
any partial sunshine and breaks from this mornings more
persistent downpours. CAPE and DCAPE look more minimal compared
to the last couple of days, but there will be enough shear so
that if any storms are able to become more discrete, some
stronger updrafts may develop. The main threat will be locally
gusty winds. However, SPC has a 5% tornado area and a slight
risk near northeast NJ, mainly just out of our area. Thinking
the threat is very low in most of our region with not too much
in the way of low-level veering winds...however, given that we
have already issued a tornado warning for a cell with strong
rotation that tracked across Hunterdon County NJ, we will need
to keep an eye on things. That storm probably took advantage of
an outflow boundary that resulted in very localized higher low-
level shear.

Today will be a very humid, muggy day otherwise, with dewpoints
into the mid-70s, even upper-70s in some spots, along with highs
well into the 80s. Even this morning low temperatures have
struggled to drop below 80 in some spots. Tonight into Monday we
will see a 'break' in the humidity, with dewpoints dropping back
into the 60s, but the increased mixing and still warm airmass
with westerly flow will actually support temperatures rising
into the low 90s Monday afternoon. It will be a dry day with a
fair amount of sunshine. Some areas of fog may develop tonight
though, and that may last into early morning Monday.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
The next in the series of short wave troughs associated with the
larger mid and upper level low over the Hudson Bay region will
approach our region on Tuesday. Consequently, have a significant
chance for showers and storms across the region especially
during the day on Tuesday as mid an upper level forcing may be
coincident with peak day time heating. PWATs will again get
near 2 inches as steady south/southwesterly flow sets up, with
dewpoints expected to get into the 70s yet again.

At the surface, another weak cold front is expected to approach
and cross through the region on Tuesday night. It is uncertain
how much of an impact this will have on the evolution of showers
and storms across the region as it will be getting weaker as it
approaches the region and may not arrive until late Tuesday
night.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Updated the long term portion of the forecast early tonight as
to focus on the storm threat after midnight. The main concern
through this period is the timing of any short wave troughs
associated with the larger Hudson Bay low which could dig south
far enough to bring precipitation chances to our region. At this
point, the favored period is Thursday into Friday. Not only
is guidance continuing to depict a mid level short wave trough,
but a stronger cold front is possible on Friday. Otherwise, a
series of weak high pressures will largely be in place for the
middle part of the week. However, the subsidence associated with
these high pressures likely won't be quite strong enough to
completely suppress diurnal shower activity. Therefore, PoPs
remain in the 20 to 40 percent range for much of the area
throughout the long term.

Temperature wise, We should be near or slightly above normal
through much of the week, but there is increasing confidence
that the cold front depicted on Friday will bring a
significantly cooler air mass than we have seen lately. If this
trend continues, then temperatures slightly below normal are
possible by the end of the week.

&&

.AVIATION /10Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG,
KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas...

Today...Numerous showers and thunderstorms expanding across our
region, with periods of heavy rain and IFR to even briefly LIFR
VSBY possible particularly around the I-95 corridor this
morning. That will tend to shift east across NJ this afternoon,
but scattered thunderstorms will still be possible back to the
west until activity diminishes and shifts offshore this evening.
Ceilings are generally around 010-020, with localized. Some
periods of improvement to VFR will be possible after 15Z or so,
at least outside of shower and thunderstorm activity, but
widespread and sustained improvement to VFR should not be
expected until this evening. Low confidence in the details of
timing thunderstorms and IFR/LIFR conditions.

Tonight...Showers and thunderstorms dissipating or shifting
offshore around 22-02Z, with VFR conditions likely at least
initially. However, areas of fog may develop, especially outside
of the urban corridor, but would not rule out some there as well
particularly toward 12Z. Very light westerly winds. Low
confidence in fog formation.

Monday...VFR. W to SW winds 4 to 8 kt. High confidence.

Outlook...

Tuesday...VFR in the morning, with sub-VFR conditions possible
in the afternoon with showers and thunderstorms developing.
Southerly winds around 10 kt. Moderate confidence.

Wednesday...Mainly VFR. A few evening showers and thunderstorms
possible. Winds 5 to 10 kts. Moderate confidence.

Thursday...Mainly VFR. Restrictions possible with scattered
afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms. Southwest winds
around 5 to 10 kts. Moderate confidence.

&&

.MARINE...
While winds and waves will remain below Small Craft Advisory
levels through Monday, scattered tstms will have localized
higher seas and winds this morning through the early evening
hours. We have already issued a special marine warning for
Delaware Bay overnight, and more of those may be needed.
Southerly winds may briefly be above 15 kt this morning
particularly north of Barnegat light. Winds will ease and turn
westerly behind a cold front tonight. Seas mostly 3 to 4 ft for
the ocean and around 2 to 3 ft for Delaware Bay.

On Monday, light NW winds early will become S around 10 kt or so
in the afternoon. Seas remaining around 3 to 4 ft.

Outlook...

Tuesday through Thursday...Winds and seas should stay below SCA
criteria.

Rip Currents...

A southerly wind 10 to 15 MPH is anticipated for Sunday with
breaking waves around 2 to 3 feet and a medium period east to
southeast swell. The expected conditions will likely result in a
MODERATE risk of dangerous rip currents along the coasts of
Delaware and New Jersey at that time.

A northwest to west wind 5 to 10 MPH on Monday morning is
forecast to become southerly in the afternoon. Breaking waves
should be 2 to 3 feet with a medium period east to southeast
swell. However, the guidance also indicates the arrival of an
underlying long period swell from the east and southeast which
could enhance the rip current risk. As a result, we will again
carry a MODERATE risk for Monday.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
A Flood Watch is in effect for all of our PA and NJ counties,
with New Castle County, DE included as well. A widespread 1 to 2
inches of rain is expected for most of the region, with some
locations in northern NJ and eastern PA expected to see 2 to 2.5
inches of rain. Locally higher amounts between 3 to 5 inches
are possible. Taking into account antecedent conditions, it will
not take much for flash flooding to occur, especially in
northern NJ and eastern PA. There remains potential for main-
steam river flooding to occur due to excessive runoff,
particularly later today and tonight. Some rivers, primarily in
northern NJ, are already running high.

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...Flood Watch through this evening for PAZ054-055-060>062-070-
     071-101>106.
NJ...Flood Watch through this evening for NJZ001-007>010-012>027.
DE...Flood Watch through this evening for DEZ001.
MD...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...Johnson
NEAR TERM...Dodd
SHORT TERM...Johnson
LONG TERM...AKL/Johnson
AVIATION...Dodd/Johnson
MARINE...Dodd/Johnson
HYDROLOGY...Staff
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 16, 4:34 AM EDT, 1 hour 11 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
0434 AM EDT Sun Jul 16 2023

DEZ001-170834-
New Castle-
0434 AM EDT Sun Jul 16 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for New Castle County in Delaware.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Several instances of flooding are possible, especially in urban and
poor-drainage areas and near vulnerable small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

DEZ002-170834-
Kent-
0434 AM EDT Sun Jul 16 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Kent County in Delaware.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Several instances of flooding are possible, especially in urban and
poor-drainage areas and near vulnerable small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

DEZ003-170834-
Inland Sussex-
0434 AM EDT Sun Jul 16 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for inland portions of Sussex County
in Delaware.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Several instances of flooding are possible, especially in urban and
poor-drainage areas and near vulnerable small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

DEZ004-170834-
Delaware Beaches-
0434 AM EDT Sun Jul 16 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal portions of
Sussex County in Delaware.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Several instances of flooding are possible, especially in urban and
poor-drainage areas and near vulnerable small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ054-170834-
Carbon-
0434 AM EDT Sun Jul 16 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Carbon County in Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Several instances of flooding are possible, especially in urban and
poor-drainage areas and near vulnerable small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ055-170834-
Monroe-
0434 AM EDT Sun Jul 16 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Monroe County in Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Several instances of flooding are expected, with potential
for unusually significant or widespread occurrences.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ060-170834-
Berks-
0434 AM EDT Sun Jul 16 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Berks County in Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Several instances of flooding are possible, especially in urban and
poor-drainage areas and near vulnerable small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ061-170834-
Lehigh-
0434 AM EDT Sun Jul 16 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Lehigh County in Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Several instances of flooding are possible, especially in urban and
poor-drainage areas and near vulnerable small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ062-170834-
Northampton-
0434 AM EDT Sun Jul 16 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Northampton County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Several instances of flooding are expected, with potential
for unusually significant or widespread occurrences.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ070-170834-
Delaware-
0434 AM EDT Sun Jul 16 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Delaware County in Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Several instances of flooding are possible, especially in urban and
poor-drainage areas and near vulnerable small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ071-170834-
Philadelphia-
0434 AM EDT Sun Jul 16 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Philadelphia County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Several instances of flooding are possible, especially in urban and
poor-drainage areas and near vulnerable small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ101-170834-
Western Chester-
0434 AM EDT Sun Jul 16 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for western Chester County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Several instances of flooding are possible, especially in urban and
poor-drainage areas and near vulnerable small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ102-170834-
Eastern Chester-
0434 AM EDT Sun Jul 16 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern Chester County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Several instances of flooding are possible, especially in urban and
poor-drainage areas and near vulnerable small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ103-170834-
Western Montgomery-
0434 AM EDT Sun Jul 16 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for western Montgomery County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Several instances of flooding are possible, especially in urban and
poor-drainage areas and near vulnerable small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ104-170834-
Eastern Montgomery-
0434 AM EDT Sun Jul 16 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern Montgomery County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Several instances of flooding are possible, especially in urban and
poor-drainage areas and near vulnerable small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ105-170834-
Upper Bucks-
0434 AM EDT Sun Jul 16 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for upper Bucks County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Several instances of flooding are expected, with potential
for unusually significant or widespread occurrences.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ106-170834-
Lower Bucks-
0434 AM EDT Sun Jul 16 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for lower Bucks County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Several instances of flooding are expected, with potential
for unusually significant or widespread occurrences.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ001-170834-
Sussex-
0434 AM EDT Sun Jul 16 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Sussex County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Several instances of flooding are expected, with potential
for unusually significant or widespread occurrences.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ007-170834-
Warren-
0434 AM EDT Sun Jul 16 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Warren County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Several instances of flooding are expected, with potential
for unusually significant or widespread occurrences.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ008-170834-
Morris-
0434 AM EDT Sun Jul 16 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Morris County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Several instances of flooding are expected, with potential
for unusually significant or widespread occurrences.
Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ009-170834-
Hunterdon-
0434 AM EDT Sun Jul 16 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Hunterdon County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Several instances of flooding are expected, with potential
for unusually significant or widespread occurrences.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ010-170834-
Somerset-
0434 AM EDT Sun Jul 16 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Somerset County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Several instances of flooding are expected, with potential
for unusually significant or widespread occurrences.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ012-170834-
Middlesex-
0434 AM EDT Sun Jul 16 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Middlesex County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Several instances of flooding are expected, with potential
for unusually significant or widespread occurrences.
Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ013-170834-
Western Monmouth-
0434 AM EDT Sun Jul 16 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for western Monmouth County in New
Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Several instances of flooding are expected, with potential
for unusually significant or widespread occurrences.
Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ014-170834-
Eastern Monmouth-
0434 AM EDT Sun Jul 16 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern Monmouth County in New
Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Several instances of flooding are possible, especially in urban and
poor-drainage areas and near vulnerable small creeks and streams.
Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ015-170834-
Mercer-
0434 AM EDT Sun Jul 16 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Mercer County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Several instances of flooding are expected, with potential
for unusually significant or widespread occurrences.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ016-170834-
Salem-
0434 AM EDT Sun Jul 16 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Salem County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Several instances of flooding are possible, especially in urban and
poor-drainage areas and near vulnerable small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ017-170834-
Gloucester-
0434 AM EDT Sun Jul 16 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Gloucester County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Several instances of flooding are possible, especially in urban and
poor-drainage areas and near vulnerable small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ018-170834-
Camden-
0434 AM EDT Sun Jul 16 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Camden County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Several instances of flooding are possible, especially in urban and
poor-drainage areas and near vulnerable small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ019-170834-
Northwestern Burlington-
0434 AM EDT Sun Jul 16 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northwestern Burlington County in
New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Several instances of flooding are possible, especially in urban and
poor-drainage areas and near vulnerable small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ020-170834-
Ocean-
0434 AM EDT Sun Jul 16 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for inland portions of Ocean County
in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Several instances of flooding are possible, especially in urban and
poor-drainage areas and near vulnerable small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ021-170834-
Cumberland-
0434 AM EDT Sun Jul 16 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Cumberland County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Several instances of flooding are possible, especially in urban and
poor-drainage areas and near vulnerable small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ022-170834-
Atlantic-
0434 AM EDT Sun Jul 16 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for inland portions of Atlantic
County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Several instances of flooding are possible, especially in urban and
poor-drainage areas and near vulnerable small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ023-170834-
Cape May-
0434 AM EDT Sun Jul 16 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Cape May County excluding the
Atlantic coast in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Several instances of flooding are possible, especially in urban and
poor-drainage areas and near vulnerable small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ024-170834-
Atlantic Coastal Cape May-
0434 AM EDT Sun Jul 16 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal portions of
Cape May County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Several instances of flooding are possible, especially in urban and
poor-drainage areas and near vulnerable small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ025-170834-
Coastal Atlantic-
0434 AM EDT Sun Jul 16 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for coastal portions of Atlantic
County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Several instances of flooding are possible, especially in urban and
poor-drainage areas and near vulnerable small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ026-170834-
Coastal Ocean-
0434 AM EDT Sun Jul 16 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for coastal portions of Ocean County
in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Several instances of flooding are possible, especially in urban and
poor-drainage areas and near vulnerable small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ027-170834-
Southeastern Burlington-
0434 AM EDT Sun Jul 16 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeastern Burlington County in
New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Several instances of flooding are possible, especially in urban and
poor-drainage areas and near vulnerable small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

MDZ012-170834-
Kent MD-
0434 AM EDT Sun Jul 16 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Kent County in Maryland.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Several instances of flooding are possible, especially in urban and
poor-drainage areas and near vulnerable small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

MDZ015-170834-
Queen Annes-
0434 AM EDT Sun Jul 16 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Queen Annes County in Maryland.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Several instances of flooding are possible, especially in urban and
poor-drainage areas and near vulnerable small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

MDZ019-170834-
Talbot-
0434 AM EDT Sun Jul 16 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Talbot County in Maryland.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Several instances of flooding are possible, especially in urban and
poor-drainage areas and near vulnerable small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

MDZ020-170834-
Caroline-
0434 AM EDT Sun Jul 16 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Caroline County in Maryland.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Several instances of flooding are possible, especially in urban and
poor-drainage areas and near vulnerable small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ430-170834-
Delaware Bay waters north of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
0434 AM EDT Sun Jul 16 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for upper Delaware Bay.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ431-170834-
Delaware Bay waters south of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
0434 AM EDT Sun Jul 16 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for lower Delaware Bay.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ450-170834-
Coastal waters from Sandy Hook to Manasquan Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
0434 AM EDT Sun Jul 16 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to Monmouth County out 20 nm.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ451-170834-
Coastal waters from Manasquan Inlet to Little Egg Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
0434 AM EDT Sun Jul 16 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to Ocean County out 20 nm.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ452-170834-
Coastal waters from Little Egg Inlet to Great Egg Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
0434 AM EDT Sun Jul 16 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to Atlantic County out 20 nm.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ453-170834-
Coastal waters from Great Egg Inlet to Cape May NJ out 20 nm-
0434 AM EDT Sun Jul 16 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to Cape May County out 20 nm.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ454-170834-
Coastal waters from Cape May NJ to Cape Henlopen DE out 20 nm-
0434 AM EDT Sun Jul 16 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to the mouth of Delaware Bay out 20 nm.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ455-170834-
Coastal waters from Cape Henlopen to Fenwick Island DE out 20 nm-
0434 AM EDT Sun Jul 16 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to Sussex County out 20 nm.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 16, 2:47 AM EDT, 2 hours 58 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
247 AM EDT Sun Jul 16 2023

DEZ001-NJZ016-017-PAZ070-101-102-160715-
New Castle DE-Salem NJ-Gloucester NJ-Delaware PA-Western Chester PA-
Eastern Chester PA-
247 AM EDT Sun Jul 16 2023

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of New Castle, Salem,
northwestern Gloucester, central Chester and southern Delaware
Counties through 315 AM EDT...

At 247 AM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Glasgow, or near Elkton, moving north at 55 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Wilmington, Newark, Middletown, West Chester, Chester, Glassboro,
Pennsville, Coatesville, Westtown, Pitman, Carneys Point,
Downingtown, Swarthmore, Elsmere, Paulsboro, Kennett Square, New
Castle, Penns Grove, Salem and Woodstown.

This includes the following highways...
 New Jersey Turnpike between exits 1 and 2.
 Pennsylvania Turnpike between mile markers 301 and 313.
 Interstate 95 in Pennsylvania between mile markers 0 and 9.
 Interstate 95 in Delaware between mile markers 1 and 23.
 Interstate 295 in New Jersey between mile markers 0 and 19.
 Interstate 476 in Pennsylvania between mile markers 0 and 2.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 4016 7585 4017 7582 3973 7505 3932 7570
      3941 7577 3972 7579 3972 7594
TIME...MOT...LOC 0647Z 199DEG 49KT 3959 7576

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

SFJ
Special weather statement, Jul 16, 3:09 AM EDT, 2 hours 36 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
309 AM EDT Sun Jul 16 2023

DEZ002-003-MDZ020-160745-
Inland Sussex DE-Kent DE-Caroline MD-
309 AM EDT Sun Jul 16 2023

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northwestern Sussex,
southeastern Kent and southeastern Caroline Counties through 345 AM
EDT...

At 309 AM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Harrington, or 17 miles south of Dover, moving northeast at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Dover, Milford, Harrington, Camden, Federalsburg, Bridgeville,
Bowers, Woodside, Viola, Smithville, Rising Sun-Lebanon, Agner, Dover
Base Housing, Andrewsville, Rising Sun, Big Stone Beach, Felton,
Greenwood, Frederica and Houston.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3873 7585 3925 7544 3909 7516 3864 7569
TIME...MOT...LOC 0709Z 216DEG 28KT 3891 7556

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

SFJ
Special weather statement, Jul 16, 4:14 AM EDT, 1 hour 31 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
414 AM EDT Sun Jul 16 2023

NJZ009-010-PAZ105-106-160845-
Hunterdon NJ-Somerset NJ-Lower Bucks PA-Upper Bucks PA-
414 AM EDT Sun Jul 16 2023

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of Hunterdon, west
central Somerset and central Bucks Counties through 445 AM EDT...

At 414 AM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Lumberville, or 19 miles northwest of Trenton, moving northeast at 40
mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Manville, Doylestown, Byram, Bedminster, Flemington, Tinicum, High
Bridge, Clinton, New Hope, Dublin, Glen Gardner, Hampton, Frenchtown,
Lebanon, Milford, Stockton, Flagtown, Lumberville, Ottsville and
Sergeantsville.

This includes Interstate 78 in New Jersey between mile markers 10 and
23.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 4026 7508 4039 7525 4070 7501 4069 7500
      4074 7493 4053 7459
TIME...MOT...LOC 0814Z 219DEG 34KT 4039 7506

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

SFJ
Special weather statement, Jul 16, 4:50 AM EDT, 55 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
450 AM EDT Sun Jul 16 2023

NJZ018>020-022-026-027-160915-
Northwestern Burlington NJ-Camden NJ-Coastal Ocean NJ-Ocean NJ-
Atlantic NJ-Southeastern Burlington NJ-
450 AM EDT Sun Jul 16 2023

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northeastern
Atlantic, central Ocean, southeastern Camden and Burlington Counties
through 515 AM EDT...

At 450 AM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Penn State Forest, or 22 miles southwest of Toms River, moving
northeast at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Evesham, Medford, Barnegat, Hammonton, Lumberton, Mount Holly,
Berlin, Tabernacle, Shamong, Egg Harbor City, Tuckerton, Presidential
Lakes Estates, Chesilhurst, Pemberton, Surf City, Port Republic,
Wrightstown, Atsion, Leisuretowne and Jacksonville.

This includes the following highways...
 New Jersey Turnpike near exit 5.
 Interstate 295 in New Jersey between mile markers 49 and 52.
 Garden State Parkway between mile markers 47 and 75.
 Atlantic City Expressway near mile marker 35, and between mile
markers 37 and 39.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3978 7398 3950 7439 3969 7493 3970 7494
      3971 7499 3972 7500 4010 7480
TIME...MOT...LOC 0850Z 207DEG 26KT 3976 7449

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

SFJ
Special weather statement, Jul 16, 5:16 AM EDT, 29 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
516 AM EDT Sun Jul 16 2023

NJZ010-012>015-019-020-026-027-160945-
Northwestern Burlington NJ-Eastern Monmouth NJ-Coastal Ocean NJ-
Ocean NJ-Western Monmouth NJ-Somerset NJ-Middlesex NJ-Mercer NJ-
Southeastern Burlington NJ-
516 AM EDT Sun Jul 16 2023

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of Ocean, eastern
Mercer, northeastern Burlington, south central Somerset, southern
Monmouth and southwestern Middlesex Counties through 545 AM EDT...

At 516 AM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Cedar Glen Lakes, or 14 miles west of Toms River, moving northeast at
25 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Toms River, Lakewood, Jackson, Manalapan, Barnegat, Princeton,
Beachwood, Hightstown, Bordentown, Cranbury, Presidential Lakes
Estates, Seaside Heights, Lakehurst, Allentown, Pemberton, Roosevelt,
Wrightstown, Rocky Hill, Six Flags Theme Park and Jacksonville.

This includes the following highways...
 New Jersey Turnpike between exits 7 and 8A.
 Interstate 195 in New Jersey between mile markers 0 and 26.
 Interstate 295 in New Jersey between mile markers 51 and 67.
 Garden State Parkway between mile markers 65 and 91.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3995 7397 3969 7423 4001 7481 4014 7476
      4015 7472 4018 7474 4045 7462
TIME...MOT...LOC 0916Z 218DEG 22KT 3997 7446

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

SFJ
Special weather statement, Jul 16, 5:45 AM EDT, 0 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
545 AM EDT Sun Jul 16 2023

NJZ013-014-020-026-161015-
Eastern Monmouth NJ-Coastal Ocean NJ-Ocean NJ-Western Monmouth NJ-
545 AM EDT Sun Jul 16 2023

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northeastern Ocean
and eastern Monmouth Counties through 615 AM EDT...

At 545 AM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Point Pleasant Beach, or 8 miles northeast of Toms River, moving
northeast at 50 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Toms River, Long Branch, Asbury Park, Sandy Hook, Lakewood,
Middletown, Howell, Tinton Falls, Holmdel, Red Bank, Manasquan,
Highlands, Point Pleasant Beach, Seaside Heights, Farmingdale,
Mantoloking, Allenwood, Elberon, Navesink and Brick Township.

This includes the following highways...
 Interstate 195 in New Jersey between mile markers 29 and 34.
 Garden State Parkway between mile markers 87 and 114.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 4014 7397 3970 7405 3966 7414 4030 7423
      4044 7410 4042 7405 4041 7398 4048 7402
      4048 7401 4043 7397
TIME...MOT...LOC 0945Z 218DEG 41KT 4008 7408

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

SFJ

The office that day

Everything else NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 16, 2:22 AM EDTSpecial Marine WarningPHI53 min
Jul 16, 2:47 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementPHIGloucester, Salem28 min
Jul 16, 3:08 AM EDTSpecial Marine WarningPHI42 min
Jul 16, 3:40 AM EDTFlash Flood WarningPHISussex, Warren7 hr
Jul 16, 4:05 AM EDTFlash Flood WarningPHIHunterdon, Warren6 hr
Jul 16, 4:14 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementPHIHunterdon31 min
Jul 16, 4:38 AM EDTTornado WarningPHIHunterdon, Somerset37 min
Jul 16, 4:50 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementPHIBurlington, Ocean25 min
Jul 16, 5:07 AM EDTTornado WarningPHIHunterdon, Morris, Somerset38 min
Jul 16, 5:13 AM EDTFlash Flood WarningPHISussex, Warren4 hr
Jul 16, 5:16 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementPHIOcean29 min
Jul 16, 5:26 AM EDTFlash Flood WarningPHIHunterdon, Morris, Sussex, Warren4 hr
Jul 16, 5:31 AM EDTTornado WarningPHIMorris, Somerset, Sussex29 min
Jul 16, 5:44 AM EDTSpecial Marine WarningPHI61 min
Jul 16, 5:58 AM EDTTornado WarningPHIMorris32 min
Jul 16, 7:52 AM EDTSpecial Marine WarningPHI53 min
Jul 16, 8:40 AM EDTSpecial Marine WarningPHI47 min
Jul 16, 10:54 AM EDTAreal Flood WarningPHIWarren5 hr
Jul 16, 11:08 AM EDTFlash Flood WarningPHIGloucester, Salem3 hr
Jul 16, 11:36 AM EDTFlash Flood WarningPHIMiddlesex, Somerset3 hr
Jul 16, 12:22 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryPHIMercer3 hr
Jul 16, 12:26 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryPHIBurlington, Camden3 hr
Jul 16, 1:47 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryPHIGloucester, Salem80 min
Jul 16, 1:50 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningPHI85 min
Jul 16, 2:20 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryPHIMiddlesex, Somerset72 min
Jul 16, 2:42 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementPHICape May48 min
Jul 16, 3:09 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningPHI51 min
Jul 16, 6:17 PM EDTAreal Flood WarningPHIWarren10 hr
Jul 16, 6:19 PM EDTAreal Flood WarningPHIWarren10 hr
Jul 15, 8:37 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryPHICarbon19 min
Jul 15, 8:44 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHICarbon, Monroe30 min
Jul 15, 8:56 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningPHICarbon95 min
Jul 16, 12:50 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementPHIBerks25 min
Jul 16, 1:41 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementPHICarbon, Lehigh34 min
Jul 16, 2:12 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementPHICarbon, Lehigh, Monroe33 min
Jul 16, 2:43 AM EDTFlash Flood WarningPHICarbon, Lehigh, Monroe, Northampton4 hr
Jul 16, 9:12 AM EDTFlash Flood WarningPHIChester2 hr
Jul 16, 9:40 AM EDTFlash Flood WarningPHIBucks, Chester, Delaware, Montgomery, Philadelphia3 hr
Jul 16, 9:53 AM EDTTornado WarningPHIMontgomery, Philadelphia37 min
Jul 16, 6:44 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryPHIBucks90 min
Jul 16, 1:21 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementPHIKent24 min
Jul 16, 3:09 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementPHIKent36 min
Jul 16, 3:54 AM EDTFlash Flood WarningPHIKent, Sussex4 hr
Jul 16, 7:02 AM EDTFlash Flood WarningPHISussex108 min
Jul 16, 12:19 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryPHIKent, Sussex60 min
Jul 16, 1:08 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryPHIKent, New Castle3 hr
Jul 16, 1:19 PM EDTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatPHIKent, Sussex4 hr
Jul 16, 1:42 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementPHIKent33 min
Jul 16, 2:23 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryPHISussex71 min
Jul 16, 3:34 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningPHISussex116 min
Jul 16, 2:17 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementPHIKent, Queen Anne's28 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in New Jersey, 2023Every special weather statement in 2023

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.