Tornado Warning 22, NWS Memphis, TN

112 
WWUS54 KMEG 020209 RRA
SVSMEG

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Memphis TN
Issued by National Weather Service Nashville TN
809 PM CST Wed Mar 1 2023

MSC057-117-141-020219-
/O.EXP.KMEG.TO.W.0022.000000T0000Z-230302T0215Z/
Itawamba MS-Tishomingo MS-Prentiss MS-
809 PM CST Wed Mar 1 2023

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN ITAWAMBA...SOUTHERN
TISHOMINGO AND SOUTHEASTERN PRENTISS COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 815 PM
CST...
        
The storm which prompted the warning has moved out of the area.
Therefore, the warning will be allowed to expire. However heavy rain 
is still possible with this thunderstorm.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CST for northeastern
Mississippi.

LAT...LON 3442 8816 3442 8834 3458 8837 3462 8814
TIME...MOT...LOC 0209Z 261DEG 41KT 3451 8812 

$$

PWB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Memphis TN
Issued by National Weather Service Little Rock AR
448 PM CST Wed Mar 1 2023

...New SYNOPSIS, DISCUSSION, AVIATION...

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 336 PM CST Wed Mar 1 2023

Showers and thunderstorms are developing over the Mid South as a
warm front surges northward over the region. Strong to severe
storms will be possible along and south of I-40 this evening. Low pressure
will develop along the front Thursday night. As the low moves
east, more thunderstorms are expected with tornadoes, large hail
and damaging winds possible. Locally heavy rainfall is also
possible today and Thursday. Dry and cooler weather is expected
for the weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
(This evening through next Tuesday)
Issued at 336 PM CST Wed Mar 1 2023

A multi-day severe weather and heavy rainfall event is poised to
impact the Mid South starting tonight through Friday morning.
There will be multiple rounds of severe storms and heavy rainfall
across the region. A warm front is surging northward and this
boundary will dictate how far north the severe weather threat gets
for tonight. A Tornado Watch is in effect for areas along and
south of I-40 this evening through 10PM. All modes of severe
weather will be possible tonight, but the main threats will be
large hail, heavy rain, and damaging winds. Tornadoes may be
possible, but the greater threat for tornadoes looks to come on
Thursday with a potent low that will move through the Mid South.
Storms will move through tonight and we should see a break on
Thursday morning. A secondary warm front will move through the
region Thursday afternoon, and a few storms will be possible along
that front. Then we move into the prime time for the severe
weather threat for the Mid South Thursday night into Friday
morning. A QLCS should move through Thursday night with all modes
of severe weather possible into Friday morning. One thing to point
out is that winds will be strong outside of the thunderstorms
Thursday night through Friday afternoon. A Wind Advisory will be
needed for this time period. Another thing to remember is the
flood threat for the area. A Flood Watch remains in effect for the
entire area through Friday. 1 to 2 inches of rain is expected
tonight and an additional 2 to 4 inches could be possible Thursday
night into Friday. Soils are already saturated and will lead to
runoff quickly. So combine the rain and 50 MPH wind gusts...trees
and powerlines could come down. Everyone in the Mid South should
stay weather aware now through Friday.

The front will push through Friday morning ushering in cooler air.
Temperatures will return back to near normal for Friday night through
Saturday night. As high pressure moves east of the Mid- South on
Sunday, temperatures will warm up for Sunday and Monday. A cold
front will approach the region from the north Monday night and
Tuesday with a few showers expected.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 336 PM CST Wed Mar 1 2023

MVFR ceilings are noted across much of the forecast area late this
morning, with showers approaching from the SSW. Strong to severe
thunderstorms are forecast late this evening and into the
overnight hours. Severe weather is expected to return by Thursday
late morning/early afternoon, with the highest potential hazards
expected late Thursday night. Southerly winds are expected to
continue through the overnight hours, becoming more NNEerly by
Thursday morning.

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...Flood Watch through Friday afternoon for ARZ009-018-026>028-035-
     036-048-049-058.

MO...Flood Watch through Friday afternoon for MOZ113-115.

MS...Flood Watch through Friday afternoon for MSZ001>017-020>024.

TN...Flood Watch through Friday afternoon for TNZ001>004-019>022-
     048>055-088>092.

&&

PUBLIC FORECAST...MJH
AVIATION...MJH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Memphis TN
Issued by National Weather Service Nashville TN
651 PM CST Wed Mar 1 2023

ARZ049-058-020115-
Phillips AR-Lee AR-
651 PM CST Wed Mar 1 2023

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of south central Lee
and northern Phillips Counties through 715 PM CST...

At 651 PM CST, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Watkins Corner, or near Marvell, moving east at 50 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Marvell, Helena-West Helena, St Francis National Park, Lexa, Rondo,
Watkins Corner, Lake View, Lagrange, Jeffersonville, Preston Place,
Haleside, Quarles, Wycamp, Latour, Turkey Scratch, Vineyard, Helena
Crossing, Cypress Corner, Poplar Grove and Huma.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CST for eastern
Arkansas...and northwestern Mississippi.

&&

LAT...LON 3461 9105 3475 9062 3453 9057 3452 9058
      3450 9059 3447 9059 3444 9057 3440 9100
      3447 9100 3447 9106
TIME...MOT...LOC 0051Z 251DEG 45KT 3451 9100

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

PWB

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Memphis TN
Issued by National Weather Service Nashville TN
654 PM CST Wed Mar 1 2023

MSZ014>016-020115-
Pontotoc MS-Union MS-Lee MS-
654 PM CST Wed Mar 1 2023

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southeastern Union,
northeastern Pontotoc and northwestern Lee Counties through 715 PM
CST...

At 654 PM CST, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Ecru, or 7 miles north of Pontotoc, moving east at 50 mph.

HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Tupelo, Saltillo, Ecru, New Harmony, Blair, Sherman, Blue Springs,
Hortontown, Endville, Jericho, Cherry Creek, Branyan, Ellistown, Jug
Fork, Nixon, Beech Springs, Wallerville, Belden, Alpine and Ingomar.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CST for northeastern
Mississippi.

&&

LAT...LON 3429 8862 3428 8907 3441 8912 3456 8875
      3453 8873 3451 8874 3451 8873
TIME...MOT...LOC 0054Z 251DEG 45KT 3435 8900

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

PWB

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Memphis TN
Issued by National Weather Service Nashville TN
701 PM CST Wed Mar 1 2023

MSZ003>005-TNZ090-091-020115-
Tippah MS-Benton MS-Alcorn MS-Hardeman TN-McNairy TN-
701 PM CST Wed Mar 1 2023

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northwestern Tippah,
northeastern Benton, northwestern Alcorn, southern Hardeman and
southwestern McNairy Counties through 715 PM CST...

At 701 PM CST, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Canaan, or 17 miles north of Ripley, moving east at 45 mph.

HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Big Hill Pond State Park, Pocahontas, Theo, Walnut, Middleton,
Saulsbury, Rogers Springs, Chalybeate, Brody, New Canaan, Essary
Springs, Brownfield, Lone Pine, Cypress, Hamilton and Tiplersville.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CST for northeastern
Mississippi...and west Tennessee.

&&

LAT...LON 3486 8910 3503 8917 3513 8875 3490 8864
TIME...MOT...LOC 0101Z 256DEG 37KT 3498 8904

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

PWB

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Memphis TN
Issued by National Weather Service Nashville TN
712 PM CST Wed Mar 1 2023

MSZ004-005-009-020130-
Tippah MS-Alcorn MS-Prentiss MS-
712 PM CST Wed Mar 1 2023

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southeastern Tippah,
northern Prentiss and southern Alcorn Counties through 730 PM CST...

At 711 PM CST, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Jumpertown, or 9 miles northwest of Booneville, moving east at 45
mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and half inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Corinth, Booneville, Jumpertown, Glen, Thrashers, Hinkle, Farmington,
Rienzi, Allentown, Hightown, Strickland, Collinstown, Biggersville,
Jobes, Gaston and Altitude.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CST for northeastern
Mississippi.

&&

LAT...LON 3466 8878 3480 8883 3493 8843 3464 8836
TIME...MOT...LOC 0111Z 256DEG 40KT 3474 8872

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

PWB

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Memphis TN
Issued by National Weather Service Nashville TN
713 PM CST Wed Mar 1 2023

ARZ049-058-MSZ007-010-011-020145-
Phillips AR-Lee AR-Tunica MS-Coahoma MS-Quitman MS-
713 PM CST Wed Mar 1 2023

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southeastern Lee,
northeastern Phillips, northeastern Coahoma, Tunica and northern
Quitman Counties through 745 PM CST...

At 713 PM CST, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Helena-West Helena, moving east at 55 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Helena-West Helena, St Francis National Park, Tunica, Crenshaw,
Sledge, Lexa, Dubbs, North Tunica, Dundee, Little Texas, Lula,
Lagrange, Gerlach Mill, Moon, Preston Place, Quarles, Austin,
Jeffries, Wycamp and Latour.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CST for eastern
Arkansas...and northwestern Mississippi.

&&

LAT...LON 3465 9077 3476 9020 3472 9020 3472 9021
      3470 9023 3465 9022 3463 9024 3460 9023
      3460 9024 3457 9021 3456 9021 3456 9022
      3455 9020 3442 9020 3442 9075
TIME...MOT...LOC 0113Z 263DEG 47KT 3456 9066

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

PWB

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Memphis TN
Issued by National Weather Service Nashville TN
725 PM CST Wed Mar 1 2023

MSZ005-006-009-020145-
Tishomingo MS-Alcorn MS-Prentiss MS-
725 PM CST Wed Mar 1 2023

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northwestern
Tishomingo, northeastern Prentiss and southeastern Alcorn Counties
through 745 PM CST...

At 725 PM CST, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Hinkle, or 7 miles northeast of Booneville, moving east at 45 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Booneville, Burnsville, Glen, Thrashers, Hinkle, Midway, Leedy,
Rienzi, Doskie, Biggersville, Jobes, Hazard Switch, Walker Siding,
Holcut and Holts Spur.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CST for northeastern
Mississippi.

&&

LAT...LON 3468 8859 3484 8862 3491 8827 3469 8819
TIME...MOT...LOC 0125Z 258DEG 39KT 3476 8852

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

PWB