Severe Thunderstorm Warning 90, NWS Lincoln, IL

423 
WWUS53 KILX 070511
SVSILX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
1211 AM CDT Sun May 7 2023

ILC169-070521-
/O.CAN.KILX.SV.W.0090.000000T0000Z-230507T0530Z/
Schuyler-
1211 AM CDT Sun May 7 2023

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTH CENTRAL SCHUYLER COUNTY
IS CANCELLED...
    
The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out of 
the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 500 AM CDT for
central and west central Illinois.

LAT...LON 4010 9031 4005 9027 4006 9016 4010 9006
      4010 9000 3991 8999 3991 9016 3996 9047
      4010 9036
TIME...MOT...LOC 0511Z 270DEG 39KT 3998 9017 

$$

ILC017-070530-
/O.CON.KILX.SV.W.0090.000000T0000Z-230507T0530Z/
Cass-
1211 AM CDT Sun May 7 2023

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1230 AM CDT
FOR CASS COUNTY...

At 1211 AM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Virginia,
moving east at 45 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees.

This severe thunderstorm will remain over mainly rural areas of Cass
County, including the following locations... Philadelphia and
Newmansville.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 4010 9031 4005 9027 4006 9016 4010 9006
      4010 9000 3991 8999 3991 9016 3996 9047
      4010 9036
TIME...MOT...LOC 0511Z 270DEG 39KT 3998 9017 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

Geelhart

022 
WWUS53 KILX 070519
SVSILX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
1219 AM CDT Sun May 7 2023

ILC017-070530-
/O.CON.KILX.SV.W.0090.000000T0000Z-230507T0530Z/
Cass-
1219 AM CDT Sun May 7 2023

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1230 AM CDT
FOR EASTERN CASS COUNTY...

At 1219 AM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Chandlerville,
or 8 miles northeast of Virginia, moving east at 45 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and half dollar size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Virginia, Chandlerville, Philadelphia and Newmansville. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 4005 9027 4006 9016 4010 9006 4010 9000
      3991 8999 3991 9016 3996 9026
TIME...MOT...LOC 0519Z 266DEG 38KT 4001 9007 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.25 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

Geelhart

Area Forecast Discussion...Updated Aviation
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
1156 PM CDT Sat May 6 2023

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 1145 PM CDT Sat May 6 2023

A period of strong to severe thunderstorms are expected overnight
across central IL, with large hail and damaging winds possible. A
warm and unsettled weather pattern will continue over the area
through Monday night. Some storms could be severe again during
Sunday night into Monday evening. Temperatures will stay above
normal through the rest of the week, with another chance for
thunderstorms by the end of the work week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 253 PM CDT Sat May 6 2023

Late this afternoon and tonight...

The forecast starts off with an upper ridge building over the OH
River Valley, with SW flow aloft over the central U.S. A warm
front in southern IL will lift north through the area tonight. A
strong line of thunderstorms has been moving ESE across central
IL, just clipping the ILX forecast area. MUCAPE is around 1000
J/kg and effective shear 30-45 kts in central IL. Will be watching
this line as it's had a history of producing severe hail and could
produce damaging winds.

The better chance for severe storms will be tonight as storms
firing to the northwest in IA are expected to develop into a line
and move southeast across parts of central IL. However, modeled
solutions vary considerably regarding the track and coverage.
Still, a line does appear likely across the region so have kept
PoPs in this range. West-central IL is in a slight risk and east-
central is in a marginal risk in SPC's latest outlook.

Sunday and Monday...

Any morning activity will exiting the southeastern counties
around or shortly after sunrise Sunday morning. Central IL is
expected to warm into the 80s on Sunday, with CAPE increasing as
well. Isolated afternoon storms will be possible, but the main
severe threat will be late Sunday night when discrete cells over
IA, once again, are expected to congeal into a line of storms and
push southeast across central IL. The storms could be severe with
damaging winds being the primary threat. On Monday, we'll have
showers and thunderstorms possible all day as a surface low and
associated upper wave move through the area. Much of the area is
in a marginal to slight risk of severe storms on Monday due to
+2000 J/kg and +30 kts of deep shear. This will be an
afternoon/evening event, with storms developing ahead of a cold
front that will push south across the area Monday night.

Extended...

The rest of the week looks to be warmer than average with highs in
the upper 70s to mid 80s. After Monday night's activity, the best
chance for precipitation will come towards the end of the week.

Knutsvig

&&

.AVIATION...  (For the 06z TAFs through 06z Sunday Night)
Issued at 1155 PM CDT Sat May 6 2023

A broken band of thunderstorms near the IL river at 05Z/midnight
will race eastward to I-55 by 06Z/1 am and to DEC and CMI by
07-08Z. IFR to MVFR conditions will be likely for a couple hours
overnight with thunderstorms with brief heavy rains along with
gusty WNW winds 30-40 kts and possibly stronger. PIA currently sw
wind gusting 34 kts. More thunderstorms will be possible Sunday
night, though coverage and timing that far out is more uncertain.
South to SE winds 8-13 kts with gusts 15-20 kts ahead of the
thunderstorms to veer SW on Sunday and could still gust to near 20
kts.

07

&&

.ILX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

WFO ILX

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
328 PM CDT Sat May 6 2023

ILZ027>031-036>038-040>057-061>063-066>068-071>073-072030-
Knox-Stark-Peoria-Marshall-Woodford-Fulton-Tazewell-McLean-Schuyler-
Mason-Logan-De Witt-Piatt-Champaign-Vermilion-Cass-Menard-Scott-
Morgan-Sangamon-Christian-Macon-Moultrie-Douglas-Coles-Edgar-Shelby-
Cumberland-Clark-Effingham-Jasper-Crawford-Clay-Richland-Lawrence-
328 PM CDT Sat May 6 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Illinois, east
central Illinois, southeast Illinois and west central Illinois.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

An isolated strong or severe thunderstorm is possible this
afternoon. Tonight, a line of storms will likely develop and push
southeast across parts of central IL. This line of storms could be
severe with damaging winds and large hail being the primary hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Periods of thunderstorms are expected Sunday and Monday. Severe
storms will again be possible, especially Sunday night and Monday.
Damaging wind gusts and large hail are the primary hazards. An
isolated flash flood risk may develop if thunderstorms repeatedly
affect the same location.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed late tonight.

Knutsvig

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
629 PM CDT Sat May 6 2023

ILZ031-037-038-042>044-053-070000-
Logan-Tazewell-Macon-Woodford-Piatt-De Witt-McLean-
629 PM CDT Sat May 6 2023

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northeastern Logan,
southeastern Woodford, northeastern Piatt, De Witt, eastern Tazewell,
McLean and northwestern Macon Counties through 700 PM CDT...

At 627 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Hudson, or 11 miles north of Bloomington, moving northeast at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Half inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Minor damage to outdoor objects is possible.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Gridley around 645 PM CDT.

Other locations in the path of this storm include Lexington and
Chenoa.

This includes the following highways...
 Interstate 39 between mile markers 0 and 18.
 Interstate 55 between mile markers 137 and 187.
 Interstate 74 between mile markers 102 and 161.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional
information and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 4075 8893 4076 8859 4062 8858 4062 8853
      4028 8846 4004 8909 4019 8924 4067 8950
      4082 8893
TIME...MOT...LOC 2327Z 246DEG 24KT 4064 8898

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...<30 MPH

07

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
706 PM CDT Sat May 6 2023

ILZ031-038-043>045-070030-
Woodford-Piatt-De Witt-McLean-Champaign-
706 PM CDT Sat May 6 2023

...Strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southeastern
Woodford, northern Piatt, eastern De Witt, western Vermilion, McLean
and northern Champaign Counties through 730 PM CDT...

At 703 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms near
Bloomington, moving east at 40 mph.

HAZARD...Half inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Minor damage to outdoor objects is possible.

This includes the following highways...
 Interstate 39 between mile markers 0 and 21.
 Interstate 55 between mile markers 161 and 187.
 Interstate 57 between mile markers 238 and 257.
 Interstate 74 between mile markers 126 and 130, and between mile
 markers 136 and 179.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 4019 8794 4008 8881 4080 8919 4084 8893
      4075 8893 4076 8859 4062 8858 4061 8846
      4040 8846 4040 8794
TIME...MOT...LOC 0003Z 263DEG 34KT 4046 8876

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...<30 MPH

37