Special Weather Statement, NWS Atlanta, GA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
351 PM EDT Sun Jun 4 2023

...Afternoon Area Forecast Discussion...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Monday)
Issued at 331 PM EDT Sun Jun 4 2023

Active showers and thunderstorms firing this afternoon over north
and western Georgia will continue into tonight as lobe of mid-
level cyclonic vorticity shifts southwest from the Tennessee
Valley into Alabama. Morning showers kept instability low over
the Atlanta-area, but sufficient forcing combined with diurnal
heating to get a few strong storms firing over mostly the
northeast Georgia mountains. PoPs continue to be highest north and
west of the I-85 corridor, with gradient towards lower/no chances
south and east. Storms have the potential to organize into
clusters, with strong to severe storms capable of producing
damaging winds. A Marginal Risk of severe storms remains for north
Georgia.

Little change is expected with the overall mid- to upper-level
pattern through the Short Term with the cutoff low over New
England/Canadian Maritimes, however, models are less enthusiastic
about dry air into the region as a result. Dew points through
Monday are a degree or two higher than previous runs, generally
settling into the upper 50s and low 60s. High temperatures will be
in the mid to upper 80s Monday afternoon, and diurnal isolated to
scattered showers and thunderstorms will be possible over north
Georgia where better moisture is present.

31

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday morning through next Saturday)
Issued at 331 PM EDT Sun Jun 4 2023

Overall weather pattern persists through the Long Term with large
closed low over the Canadian Maritimes flinging waves of moisture
into the Southeast region. Activity will largely be diurnal
through Thursday when more substantial disturbance pushes through
and clears the state by Friday. Temperatures will be seasonally
warm, with the southern CWA rising into the low 90s by Tuesday. In
the wake of the late-week system, cooler and drier conditions are
expected into the weekend.

31

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 136 PM EDT Sun Jun 4 2023

Largely VFR expected through the period, except for brief MVFR
in/near -RA. Light precip over ATL-area TAF sites should inhibit
TS development this afternoon. At some TAF sites, have shortened
TEMPO to 19-21Z, but at KATL, have removed it entirely. NE-E winds
today will shift to the SE after 08Z, and then to the SW after
16-18Z. Speeds will be 10kt or less. Precip potential for Monday
is too low to even include in a PROB30 at this time. SCT CU will
develop mid morning.

//ATL Confidence...18Z Update...
Medium confidence on lower TS potential this afternoon/evening.
High confidence on all other elements.

31

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          61  87  65  90 /  10  20  20  30
Atlanta         64  86  67  88 /  20  20  10  30
Blairsville     58  81  59  84 /  30  30  20  30
Cartersville    61  88  64  89 /  30  20  20  30
Columbus        64  89  66  91 /  20  10  10  30
Gainesville     61  85  66  89 /  20  30  20  30
Macon           61  89  67  92 /  10  10  10  30
Rome            62  88  65  90 /  40  20  20  30
Peachtree City  61  87  65  89 /  20  10  10  30
Vidalia         62  87  66  92 /  10  10   0  20

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

SHORT TERM...31
LONG TERM....31
AVIATION...31

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
108 PM EDT Sun Jun 4 2023

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-051200-
Baldwin-Banks-Barrow-Bartow-Bibb-Bleckley-Butts-Carroll-Catoosa-
Chattahoochee-Chattooga-Cherokee-Clarke-Clayton-Cobb-Coweta-
Crawford-Crisp-Dade-Dawson-DeKalb-Dodge-Dooly-Douglas-Emanuel-
Fannin-Fayette-Floyd-Forsyth-Gilmer-Glascock-Gordon-Greene-
Gwinnett-Hall-Hancock-Haralson-Harris-Heard-Henry-Houston-Jackson-
Jasper-Jefferson-Johnson-Jones-Lamar-Laurens-Lumpkin-Macon-
Madison-Marion-Meriwether-Monroe-Montgomery-Morgan-Murray-
Muscogee-Newton-North Fulton-Oconee-Oglethorpe-Paulding-Peach-
Pickens-Pike-Polk-Pulaski-Putnam-Rockdale-Schley-South Fulton-
Spalding-Stewart-Sumter-Talbot-Taliaferro-Taylor-Telfair-Toombs-
Towns-Treutlen-Troup-Twiggs-Union-Upson-Walker-Walton-Warren-
Washington-Webster-Wheeler-White-Whitfield-Wilcox-Wilkes-
Wilkinson-
108 PM EDT Sun Jun 4 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of North and Central Georgia.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight...

Scattered showers and thunderstorms will develop by early this
afternoon, mainly across parts of north and west-central Georgia.
The primary threats with any storms will be brief gusty winds,
heavy rain, and cloud to ground lightning. An isolated severe
storm is possible, with damaging winds being the main concern.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday...

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

Isolated to scattered mainly afternoon and evening thunderstorms
are possible each day, through Thursday. A few better organized
storms will be capable of producing strong winds, heavy rain and
frequent cloud to ground lightning. Widespread severe weather is
not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected through tonight.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
416 PM EDT Sun Jun 4 2023

GAZ006-042045-
Fannin GA-
416 PM EDT Sun Jun 4 2023

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northeastern Fannin
County through 445 PM EDT...

At 415 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was near Epworth, or near Blue
Ridge, moving southwest at 20 mph.

HAZARD...Up to 40 mph wind, frequent cloud to ground lightning and
         heavy rain.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
         street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Locations impacted include...
Blue Ridge, Higdon, Colwell, Mineral Bluff and Epworth.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

&&

LAT...LON 3499 8427 3490 8421 3485 8443 3486 8445
      3499 8455
TIME...MOT...LOC 2015Z 067DEG 16KT 3493 8434

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

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