Special Weather Statement, NWS Atlanta, GA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
351 PM EDT Sun Jun 4 2023

...Afternoon Area Forecast Discussion...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Monday)
Issued at 331 PM EDT Sun Jun 4 2023

Active showers and thunderstorms firing this afternoon over north
and western Georgia will continue into tonight as lobe of mid-
level cyclonic vorticity shifts southwest from the Tennessee
Valley into Alabama. Morning showers kept instability low over
the Atlanta-area, but sufficient forcing combined with diurnal
heating to get a few strong storms firing over mostly the
northeast Georgia mountains. PoPs continue to be highest north and
west of the I-85 corridor, with gradient towards lower/no chances
south and east. Storms have the potential to organize into
clusters, with strong to severe storms capable of producing
damaging winds. A Marginal Risk of severe storms remains for north
Georgia.

Little change is expected with the overall mid- to upper-level
pattern through the Short Term with the cutoff low over New
England/Canadian Maritimes, however, models are less enthusiastic
about dry air into the region as a result. Dew points through
Monday are a degree or two higher than previous runs, generally
settling into the upper 50s and low 60s. High temperatures will be
in the mid to upper 80s Monday afternoon, and diurnal isolated to
scattered showers and thunderstorms will be possible over north
Georgia where better moisture is present.

31

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday morning through next Saturday)
Issued at 331 PM EDT Sun Jun 4 2023

Overall weather pattern persists through the Long Term with large
closed low over the Canadian Maritimes flinging waves of moisture
into the Southeast region. Activity will largely be diurnal
through Thursday when more substantial disturbance pushes through
and clears the state by Friday. Temperatures will be seasonally
warm, with the southern CWA rising into the low 90s by Tuesday. In
the wake of the late-week system, cooler and drier conditions are
expected into the weekend.

31

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 136 PM EDT Sun Jun 4 2023

Largely VFR expected through the period, except for brief MVFR
in/near -RA. Light precip over ATL-area TAF sites should inhibit
TS development this afternoon. At some TAF sites, have shortened
TEMPO to 19-21Z, but at KATL, have removed it entirely. NE-E winds
today will shift to the SE after 08Z, and then to the SW after
16-18Z. Speeds will be 10kt or less. Precip potential for Monday
is too low to even include in a PROB30 at this time. SCT CU will
develop mid morning.

//ATL Confidence...18Z Update...
Medium confidence on lower TS potential this afternoon/evening.
High confidence on all other elements.

31

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          61  87  65  90 /  10  20  20  30
Atlanta         64  86  67  88 /  20  20  10  30
Blairsville     58  81  59  84 /  30  30  20  30
Cartersville    61  88  64  89 /  30  20  20  30
Columbus        64  89  66  91 /  20  10  10  30
Gainesville     61  85  66  89 /  20  30  20  30
Macon           61  89  67  92 /  10  10  10  30
Rome            62  88  65  90 /  40  20  20  30
Peachtree City  61  87  65  89 /  20  10  10  30
Vidalia         62  87  66  92 /  10  10   0  20

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

SHORT TERM...31
LONG TERM....31
AVIATION...31

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
108 PM EDT Sun Jun 4 2023

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-051200-
Baldwin-Banks-Barrow-Bartow-Bibb-Bleckley-Butts-Carroll-Catoosa-
Chattahoochee-Chattooga-Cherokee-Clarke-Clayton-Cobb-Coweta-
Crawford-Crisp-Dade-Dawson-DeKalb-Dodge-Dooly-Douglas-Emanuel-
Fannin-Fayette-Floyd-Forsyth-Gilmer-Glascock-Gordon-Greene-
Gwinnett-Hall-Hancock-Haralson-Harris-Heard-Henry-Houston-Jackson-
Jasper-Jefferson-Johnson-Jones-Lamar-Laurens-Lumpkin-Macon-
Madison-Marion-Meriwether-Monroe-Montgomery-Morgan-Murray-
Muscogee-Newton-North Fulton-Oconee-Oglethorpe-Paulding-Peach-
Pickens-Pike-Polk-Pulaski-Putnam-Rockdale-Schley-South Fulton-
Spalding-Stewart-Sumter-Talbot-Taliaferro-Taylor-Telfair-Toombs-
Towns-Treutlen-Troup-Twiggs-Union-Upson-Walker-Walton-Warren-
Washington-Webster-Wheeler-White-Whitfield-Wilcox-Wilkes-
Wilkinson-
108 PM EDT Sun Jun 4 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of North and Central Georgia.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight...

Scattered showers and thunderstorms will develop by early this
afternoon, mainly across parts of north and west-central Georgia.
The primary threats with any storms will be brief gusty winds,
heavy rain, and cloud to ground lightning. An isolated severe
storm is possible, with damaging winds being the main concern.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday...

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

Isolated to scattered mainly afternoon and evening thunderstorms
are possible each day, through Thursday. A few better organized
storms will be capable of producing strong winds, heavy rain and
frequent cloud to ground lightning. Widespread severe weather is
not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected through tonight.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
331 PM EDT Sun Jun 4 2023

GAZ005-007-042000-
Gilmer GA-Murray GA-
331 PM EDT Sun Jun 4 2023

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southwestern Gilmer
and southeastern Murray Counties through 400 PM EDT...

At 331 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was near Tails Creek, or near
Ellijay, moving southwest at 10 mph.

HAZARD...40 to 50 mph wind, up to penny sized hail and frequent
         cloud to ground lightning.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Carters, Tails Creek and Roundtop.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning.

&&

LAT...LON 3467 8451 3455 8455 3455 8461 3456 8465
      3458 8465 3458 8468 3459 8468 3459 8470
      3460 8471 3460 8473 3461 8473 3461 8472
      3462 8472 3462 8473 3473 8461
TIME...MOT...LOC 1931Z 028DEG 10KT 3465 8460

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
339 PM EDT Sun Jun 4 2023

GAZ078-042015-
Harris GA-
339 PM EDT Sun Jun 4 2023

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of west central Harris
County through 415 PM EDT...

At 339 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was near Lake Harding, or 7
miles southeast of Valley, moving southwest at 15 mph.

HAZARD...40 to 50 mph wind, nickel sized hail and frequent cloud to
         ground lightning.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Mountain Hill and Lake Harding.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning.

&&

LAT...LON 3277 8514 3277 8512 3279 8514 3281 8510
      3272 8499 3264 8510 3264 8511 3266 8509
      3269 8512 3272 8512 3274 8511 3274 8513
      3276 8514
TIME...MOT...LOC 1939Z 045DEG 13KT 3273 8510

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
346 PM EDT Sun Jun 4 2023

GAZ006-008-042015-
Union GA-Fannin GA-
346 PM EDT Sun Jun 4 2023

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northwestern Union
and northeastern Fannin Counties through 415 PM EDT...

At 345 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was over Hemp, or 8 miles east
of Blue Ridge, moving west at 10 mph.

HAZARD...Up to 40 mph wind, frequent cloud to ground lightning and
         heavy rain.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
         street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Locations impacted include...
Morganton, Hemp, Hurst, Loving and Mineral Bluff.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

&&

LAT...LON 3497 8414 3488 8406 3481 8421 3495 8432
TIME...MOT...LOC 1945Z 068DEG 8KT 3490 8419

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
400 PM EDT Sun Jun 4 2023

GAZ006-007-042030-
Gilmer GA-Fannin GA-
400 PM EDT Sun Jun 4 2023

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of central Gilmer and
eastern Fannin Counties through 430 PM EDT...

At 359 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was near Blue Ridge, moving west
at 10 mph.

HAZARD...40 to 50 mph wind, pea sized hail and frequent cloud to
         ground lightning.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Blue Ridge, Morganton, Dial, Pisgah, Cherry Log, Hurst and Roy.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning.

&&

LAT...LON 3492 8422 3482 8414 3481 8414 3479 8412
      3469 8424 3463 8440 3486 8446
TIME...MOT...LOC 1959Z 068DEG 8KT 3482 8429

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
402 PM EDT Sun Jun 4 2023

GAZ007-012-013-042030-
Gilmer GA-Gordon GA-Pickens GA-
402 PM EDT Sun Jun 4 2023

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southwestern Gilmer,
northeastern Gordon and northwestern Pickens Counties through 430 PM
EDT...

At 402 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was over Talona, or 9 miles
south of Ellijay, moving west at 10 mph.

HAZARD...Up to 40 mph wind, frequent cloud to ground lightning and
         heavy rain.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
         street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Locations impacted include...
Talking Rock, Oakman, Talona, Hinton, Blaine and Roundtop.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

&&

LAT...LON 3464 8451 3453 8443 3445 8465 3460 8474
      3460 8471 3459 8470 3459 8468 3458 8468
      3458 8465 3462 8465
TIME...MOT...LOC 2002Z 068DEG 8KT 3457 8454

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
416 PM EDT Sun Jun 4 2023

GAZ006-042045-
Fannin GA-
416 PM EDT Sun Jun 4 2023

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northeastern Fannin
County through 445 PM EDT...

At 415 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was near Epworth, or near Blue
Ridge, moving southwest at 20 mph.

HAZARD...Up to 40 mph wind, frequent cloud to ground lightning and
         heavy rain.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
         street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Locations impacted include...
Blue Ridge, Higdon, Colwell, Mineral Bluff and Epworth.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

&&

LAT...LON 3499 8427 3490 8421 3485 8443 3486 8445
      3499 8455
TIME...MOT...LOC 2015Z 067DEG 16KT 3493 8434

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH