Severe Thunderstorm Warning 150, NWS Atlanta, GA

666 
WWUS52 KFFC 011651
SVSFFC

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1251 PM EDT Sat Apr 1 2023

GAC259-011701-
/O.CAN.KFFC.SV.W.0150.000000T0000Z-230401T1715Z/
Stewart GA-
1251 PM EDT Sat Apr 1 2023

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN STEWART COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
    
The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out of 
the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

LAT...LON 3199 8465 3203 8465 3203 8464 3215 8464
      3216 8465 3218 8463 3219 8464 3222 8464
      3223 8465 3226 8422 3223 8422 3223 8419
      3210 8409 3193 8422
TIME...MOT...LOC 1651Z 271DEG 44KT 3211 8442 

$$

GAC197-249-261-307-011715-
/O.CON.KFFC.SV.W.0150.000000T0000Z-230401T1715Z/
Marion GA-Webster GA-Schley GA-Sumter GA-
1251 PM EDT Sat Apr 1 2023

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 115 PM EDT
FOR SOUTHERN MARION...WEBSTER...SOUTHERN SCHLEY AND WESTERN SUMTER
COUNTIES...

At 1251 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Friendship, or
7 miles northeast of Preston, moving east at 50 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Americus, Ellaville, Preston, Plains, Weston, Sumter, Seminole,
Kimbrough, Croxton Crossroads, New Era, La Crosse, Draneville,
Friendship, Maddox, Bumphead, Church Hill, Centerpoint and Dumas.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3199 8465 3203 8465 3203 8464 3215 8464
      3216 8465 3218 8463 3219 8464 3222 8464
      3223 8465 3226 8422 3223 8422 3223 8419
      3210 8409 3193 8422
TIME...MOT...LOC 1651Z 271DEG 44KT 3211 8442 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

415 
WWUS52 KFFC 011701
SVSFFC

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
101 PM EDT Sat Apr 1 2023

GAC197-011711-
/O.CAN.KFFC.SV.W.0150.000000T0000Z-230401T1715Z/
Marion GA-
101 PM EDT Sat Apr 1 2023

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHERN MARION COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
    
The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out of 
the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

LAT...LON 3199 8465 3203 8465 3213 8443 3218 8442
      3223 8443 3223 8441 3225 8441 3226 8422
      3223 8422 3223 8419 3210 8409 3193 8422
TIME...MOT...LOC 1701Z 271DEG 44KT 3211 8427 

$$

GAC249-261-307-011715-
/O.CON.KFFC.SV.W.0150.000000T0000Z-230401T1715Z/
Webster GA-Schley GA-Sumter GA-
101 PM EDT Sat Apr 1 2023

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 115 PM EDT
FOR SOUTHERN WEBSTER...SOUTHERN SCHLEY AND WESTERN SUMTER COUNTIES...

At 101 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Americus,
moving east at 50 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Americus, Ellaville, Preston, Plains, Weston, Sumter, Kimbrough,
Croxton Crossroads, New Era, La Crosse, Friendship, Maddox, Bumphead,
Centerpoint, Dumas and Walls Crossing.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3199 8465 3203 8465 3213 8443 3218 8442
      3223 8443 3223 8441 3225 8441 3226 8422
      3223 8422 3223 8419 3210 8409 3193 8422
TIME...MOT...LOC 1701Z 271DEG 44KT 3211 8427 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

047 
WWUS52 KFFC 011707
SVSFFC

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
107 PM EDT Sat Apr 1 2023

GAC249-011717-
/O.CAN.KFFC.SV.W.0150.000000T0000Z-230401T1715Z/
Schley GA-
107 PM EDT Sat Apr 1 2023

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHERN SCHLEY COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
    
The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out of 
the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

LAT...LON 3197 8454 3213 8443 3217 8442 3216 8418
      3210 8409 3193 8422
TIME...MOT...LOC 1707Z 271DEG 44KT 3211 8418 

$$

GAC261-307-011715-
/O.CON.KFFC.SV.W.0150.000000T0000Z-230401T1715Z/
Webster GA-Sumter GA-
107 PM EDT Sat Apr 1 2023

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 115 PM EDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN WEBSTER AND WESTERN SUMTER COUNTIES...

At 107 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over New Era, or
near Americus, moving east at 50 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Americus, Plains, Sumter, Friendship, Maddox, Croxton Crossroads, New
Era and Dumas.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3197 8454 3213 8443 3217 8442 3216 8418
      3210 8409 3193 8422
TIME...MOT...LOC 1707Z 271DEG 44KT 3211 8418 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
727 AM EDT Sat Apr 1 2023

...New 12Z Aviation Discussion...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Sunday)
Issued at 428 AM EDT Sat Apr 1 2023

As of 0830z (4:30 AM) this morning, a NE-to-SW oriented line of
convection with embedded supercells is nearing the NW corner of
the state. The line is progged to push through Metro Atlanta and
Athens between 11z-15z, and push through Macon and Columbus
between 13z-18z.

As far as the SPC Convective Outlook valid until 12z, far NW GA
remains under a Slight Risk with the remainder of N GA roughly
along and north of I-85 under a Marginal Risk. SPC/RAP
mesoanalysis depicts MLCAPE peaking around 500 J/kg across this
area as the line of convection moves through, along with both
effective SRH and 0-1 km SRH around 200-300 m^2/s^2 and favorably
curved hodographs. All this said, expect for convection to
maintain intensity across the Slight and Marginal Risk areas
through the morning and continue to pose a threat for damaging
wind gusts and tornadoes. Speaking specifically to the tornado
risk, a Tornado Watch is in effect across NW GA until 13z.

After 12z, the SPC Convective Outlook picks up with a Marginal
Risk generally along and south of I-20 and a Slight Risk roughly
from a Columbus to Macon to Augusta line. Assuming adequate
daytime heating and resulting destabilization, could see SBCAPE
and MUCAPE climb to 1000-1500 J/kg across the Slight Risk area
this afternoon. The environment is forecast to remain supportive
of robust updrafts -- with the potential for supercells -- given
hi-res models depicting sufficiently high supercell composite
parameter values (which take into account MUCAPE, effective SRH,
and effective bulk wind difference). In addition to damaging winds
and tornadoes, severe storms this afternoon could also produce
hail, though marginal mid-level lapse rates could prove to be a
limiting factor.

Cloud cover will clear quickly behind the line of convection as
the attendant cold front pushes through. A Wind Advisory is in
effect from 12z this morning to 03z Sunday (11 PM tonight) for
counties along and north of I-20. Sustained winds will be 20-25
mph and gusts will be 35-40 mph as the pressure gradient tightens
in the wake of the departing low pressure system that is driving
the severe weather threat. Wind gusts could be even higher at
elevations above 2000 feet.

Much colder air will arrive overnight with Sunday morning lows in
the mid-30s to to mid-50s. Sunday will be sunny to mostly sunny
with afternoon highs in the upper 60s to mid-70s.

Martin

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday night through Friday)
Issued at 428 AM EDT Sat Apr 1 2023

A cold front will bring additional chances for showers and
thunderstorms for the late week into the weekend.

High pressure will be in place across the CWA for the first part
of next week. A cold front will begin to move out of the central
US into the Mississippi River Valley by late Tuesday into
Wednesday. The boundary should cross the Mississippi River on
Wednesday and then move through much of the CWA on Thursday. The
front will end up stalling across southern GA or the FL panhandle
for the latter half of the week into the early part of the weekend
as it becomes parallel to the flow in the mid levels. Models have
been pushing the boundary further south from run to run and not
confident that the boundary will push as far south as the northern
GOMEX. So, precip chances for the end of the week into the early
weekend will depend heavily on where the boundary sets up. Several
waves of low pressure are progged to move east along the
boundary, so the potential for locally heavy rainfall will exist
along and south of where the front stalls.

Models are also still progging the chance for some showers and
thunderstorms overnight Sunday into Monday as a strong southern
stream shortwave moves across the Gulf States. Thickness values do
indicate that there is some potential for an organized area of
thunderstorms and will not make any major changes to this period
in the forecast.

NListemaa

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 710 AM EDT Sat Apr 1 2023

TSRA have begun to impact RYY and PDK, with ATL and FTY expected
to get TSRA starting at 12z and AHN at 13z. This messy area of
convection will clear the ATL area sites and AHN by 15z-16z with
quickly improving ceilings in its wake. The convection will impact
MCN and CSG between 15z-17z. SW winds are breezy ahead of the
convection -- 15-20 kts with gusts of 25-30 kts. Winds will remain
just as gusty after the convection moves through, although wind
direction will become westerly.

//ATL Confidence...12Z Update...
High confidence on all elements.

Martin

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          44  72  50  70 /   0   0  10  30
Atlanta         45  71  52  70 /   0   0  20  40
Blairsville     36  68  44  65 /   0   0  10  30
Cartersville    41  70  50  70 /   0   0  20  40
Columbus        48  75  54  75 /   0   0  20  50
Gainesville     43  71  50  67 /   0   0  10  30
Macon           49  74  53  75 /   0   0  10  40
Rome            41  71  50  70 /   0   0  20  40
Peachtree City  43  72  51  73 /   0   0  20  50
Vidalia         52  76  54  78 /   0   0   0  20

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Wind Advisory until 11 PM EDT this evening for GAZ001>009-
011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>055-057.

&&

SHORT TERM...Martin
LONG TERM....NListemaa
AVIATION...Martin

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
928 AM EDT Sat Apr 1 2023

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-021330-
Baldwin-Banks-Barrow-Bartow-Bibb-Bleckley-Butts-Carroll-Catoosa-
Chattahoochee-Chattooga-Cherokee-Clarke-Clayton-Cobb-Coweta-
Crawford-Crisp-Dade-Dawson-DeKalb-Dodge-Dooly-Douglas-Emanuel-
Fannin-Fayette-Floyd-Forsyth-Gilmer-Glascock-Gordon-Greene-
Gwinnett-Hall-Hancock-Haralson-Harris-Heard-Henry-Houston-Jackson-
Jasper-Jefferson-Johnson-Jones-Lamar-Laurens-Lumpkin-Macon-
Madison-Marion-Meriwether-Monroe-Montgomery-Morgan-Murray-
Muscogee-Newton-North Fulton-Oconee-Oglethorpe-Paulding-Peach-
Pickens-Pike-Polk-Pulaski-Putnam-Rockdale-Schley-South Fulton-
Spalding-Stewart-Sumter-Talbot-Taliaferro-Taylor-Telfair-Toombs-
Towns-Treutlen-Troup-Twiggs-Union-Upson-Walker-Walton-Warren-
Washington-Webster-Wheeler-White-Whitfield-Wilcox-Wilkes-
Wilkinson-
928 AM EDT Sat Apr 1 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of North and
Central Georgia.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight...

A line of thunderstorms is moving through north Georgia and will
move into central Georgia later this morning and afternoon. A few
of the thunderstorms could be strong to severe, capable of
producing damaging wind gusts. There is also some potential for
isolated brief tornadoes. Heavy rain with stronger storms may also
lead to localized flash flooding.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday...

Thunderstorms will be possible again during the mid to late week
as a cold front stalls across portions of central Georgia.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not requested but spotters are encouraged
to submit reports of severe weather through the web by going to
weather.gov/atlanta.  Please relay any information about observed
severe weather to the NWS while following all local, state, and
CDC guidelines.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
1118 AM EDT SAT APR 1 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0916 AM     TSTM WND DMG     2 S ATHENS              33.93N 83.38W
04/01/2023                   CLARKE             GA   911 CALL CENTER

            MULTIPLE TREES DOWN ON MILLEDGE AVE NEAR
            EAST CAMPUS RD.

&&

KAL

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1122 AM EDT Sat Apr 1 2023

GAZ089>091-011600-
Chattahoochee GA-Marion GA-Muscogee GA-
1122 AM EDT Sat Apr 1 2023

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of Marion, southern
Muscogee and Chattahoochee Counties through NOON EDT...

At 1122 AM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was over Sand Hill, or 7 miles
southeast of Columbus, moving east at 55 mph.

HAZARD...Up to 40 mph wind, frequent cloud to ground lightning and
         heavy rain.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
         street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Locations impacted include...
Buena Vista, Cusseta, North Fort Benning, Fort Benning/lawson Army
Air Fld, Putnam, Brantley, Vista Terrace, Jamestown/south Fort
Benning, Oakland, Manta, Zellobee, Tazewell, Doyle, Eelbeck/West Fort
Benning, Benning Hills, Avondale, Benning Park, Saint Marys Hills,
Christopher and Sand Hill.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

&&

LAT...LON 3223 8492 3224 8491 3225 8493 3226 8489
      3230 8494 3233 8501 3238 8497 3238 8499
      3239 8497 3241 8498 3242 8496 3246 8500
      3255 8445 3254 8445 3252 8443 3249 8443
      3243 8439 3230 8439 3229 8441 3224 8441
TIME...MOT...LOC 1522Z 262DEG 49KT 3239 8489

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
1125 AM EDT SAT APR 1 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0927 AM     TSTM WND DMG     SOCIAL CIRCLE           33.65N 83.71W
04/01/2023                   WALTON             GA   911 CALL CENTER

            DOWNED TREE AT EAST HIGHTOWER TRAIL AND
            JONES RD.

&&

KAL

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1146 AM EDT Sat Apr 1 2023

GAZ058>060-071>073-011615-
Butts GA-Putnam GA-Monroe GA-Baldwin GA-Jones GA-Jasper GA-
1146 AM EDT Sat Apr 1 2023

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northwestern
Baldwin, Putnam, northeastern Monroe, southeastern Butts, northern
Jones and Jasper Counties through 1215 PM EDT...

At 1146 AM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was over McElheneys Crossroads,
or near Monticello, moving east at 60 mph.

HAZARD...Winds up to 40 mph, pea sized hail, frequent lightning and
         heavy rain.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
         street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Locations impacted include...
Milledgeville, Eatonton, Jackson, Monticello, Flovilla, Meriwether,
Ethridge, Berner, Resseaus Crossroads, Warfield, Willard, Plant
Harlee Branch, Blount, Hillsboro, McElheneys Crossroads,
Stanfordville, Indian Springs State Park, Adgateville, Blountsville
and Round Oak.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

&&

LAT...LON 3311 8399 3331 8400 3341 8329 3311 8327
TIME...MOT...LOC 1546Z 265DEG 52KT 3324 8377

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1200 PM EDT Sat Apr 1 2023

GAZ080-081-091>094-011630-
Macon GA-Schley GA-Peach GA-Taylor GA-Marion GA-Crawford GA-
1200 PM EDT Sat Apr 1 2023

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of Macon, central
Marion, southwestern Peach, south central Crawford, central Schley
and southern Taylor Counties through 1230 PM EDT...

At 1200 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was over Tazewell, or near
Buena Vista, moving east at 55 mph.

HAZARD...Up to 40 mph wind, frequent cloud to ground lightning and
         heavy rain.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
         street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Locations impacted include...
Fort Valley, Buena Vista, Butler, Ellaville, Oglethorpe, Montezuma,
Marshallville, Reynolds, Ideal, Brantley, Murrays Crossroads,
Whitewater State Park, Nakomis, Rupert, Oakland, Tazewell, Clearview,
Doyle, Saint Louis and Fountainville.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

&&

LAT...LON 3219 8409 3219 8413 3223 8414 3223 8422
      3224 8422 3228 8460 3251 8456 3262 8383
      3244 8385 3244 8384 3238 8384 3238 8386
      3229 8385 3229 8390 3228 8390 3225 8396
      3217 8403
TIME...MOT...LOC 1600Z 265DEG 49KT 3239 8448

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1202 PM EDT Sat Apr 1 2023

GAZ090-091-102-103-011630-
Chattahoochee GA-Stewart GA-Marion GA-Webster GA-
1202 PM EDT Sat Apr 1 2023

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southwestern Marion,
southern Chattahoochee, Stewart and western Webster Counties through
1230 PM EDT...

At 1202 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was near Omaha, or 18 miles
northwest of Lumpkin, moving east at 50 mph.

HAZARD...40 to 50 mph wind, up to penny sized hail, frequent cloud
         to ground lightning and heavy rain.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
         street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Locations impacted include...
Lumpkin, Cusseta, Richland, Weston, Seminole, Charles, Christopher,
Kimbrough, Westville, Jamestown/south Fort Benning, Brooklyn,
Renfroe, Manta, Zellobee, Omaha, Church Hill, Louvale and Providence
Canyon State Park.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

&&

LAT...LON 3204 8506 3209 8504 3213 8506 3218 8501
      3220 8496 3221 8498 3222 8498 3222 8493
      3224 8491 3225 8492 3226 8489 3230 8494
      3232 8499 3236 8457 3216 8453 3198 8459
TIME...MOT...LOC 1602Z 272DEG 45KT 3218 8508

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH