Severe Thunderstorm Warning 138, NWS Atlanta, GA

100 
WWUS52 KFFC 271212
SVSFFC

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
812 AM EDT Mon Mar 27 2023

GAC079-171-207-293-271221-
/O.EXP.KFFC.SV.W.0138.000000T0000Z-230327T1215Z/
Monroe GA-Upson GA-Crawford GA-Lamar GA-
812 AM EDT Mon Mar 27 2023

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHWESTERN MONROE...UPSON...
NORTHWESTERN CRAWFORD AND SOUTHEASTERN LAMAR COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT
815 AM EDT...
        
The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and has exited the warned area. Therefore, the warning will
be allowed to expire.  However gusty winds and heavy rain are still
possible with this thunderstorm.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 1100 AM EDT for central and
west central Georgia.

To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement
agency. They will relay your report to the National Weather Service
Peachtree City.

LAT...LON 3297 8450 3299 8405 3273 8405 3277 8434
      3278 8435 3277 8436 3278 8437 3279 8439
      3284 8442 3284 8443 3282 8444 3285 8447
      3286 8449 3288 8448 3288 8450
TIME...MOT...LOC 1211Z 271DEG 37KT 3285 8405 

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
403 AM EDT Mon Mar 27 2023

...Morning Area Forecast Discussion...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Tuesday)
Issued at 349 AM EDT Mon Mar 27 2023

Torrential rainfall will continue tonight and into the morning
hours. Some areas have already received 4 inches of rain across
central Georgia south of I-20. Some of these storms have been
extremely efficient rain producers with up to 2" per hour. Up to 3
additional inches may fall overnight as a result, isolated flash
flooding is possible. If you have to drive, please exercise extreme
caution as high water will be difficult to recognize.

The axis for precipitation should begin pushing south early this
afternoon, and finally come to an end late this evening for areas of
south and central GA. The front that has caused so many problems for
the south will likely stall somewhere north of the FL panhandle and
as a result another wave of precipitation will be likely for
Tuesday. While rainfall totals will remain less than a quarter of an
inch, areas that have been saturated will likely see quick flash
flooding responses and swollen rivers may react quickly to
additional rainfall.

Temperatures will remain seasonal through the short term, with highs
in the upper 60s and 70s. However, overnight lows could reach
freezing, especially across NE Georgia after the front moves
through. A frost advisory may be necessary for some areas of
northern GA.

Vaughn

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday night through Sunday)
Issued at 349 AM EDT Mon Mar 27 2023

I'm on a roll and everyone else is busy so I'll be your long term
forecaster for this morning as well. The front will finally kick out
and return dry weather to the area come Wednesday. Cooler temps will
settle in on the backside of the front, with temps comfortably in
the mid 60s for the highs and overnight lows in the low 40s with
some 30s in the higher elevation.

Temps will start to rebound on Thursday as warm moist air advects
back into the area once again and we're back in the 80s come Friday.
On Saturday our chance for thunderstorms returns as a cold front
pushes in from the west. There is some discrepancies between the
major models. The GFS has a sharp cold front that pushes through
relatively quickly. The EURO shows another boundary that stalls
across the area as the upper level dynamics turn more zonal and the
low levels get cut off from the parent low. This is ultimately what
drives the uncertainty in the weekends PoPs which have been capped
for now at slightly.

In the Euro's solution a boundary that sets up may be able to tap
into dewpoints in the upper 60s. A weak disturbance in the upper
level flow may be all it takes to set off more severe weather.
Capped thunder at chance for much of the CWA until a better picture
comes into view.

Vaughn

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 151 AM EDT Mon Mar 27 2023

Heavy rain will continue for the ATL sites. TSRA remains likely,
although the axis for the most intense storms will be along a line
from CSG to MCN. Winds will be SW at 8-12kts gusting to 15kts. After
15Z they become NW and ease to less than 8kts. A few obs of LIFR
cigs are possible after 10Z but prevailing will be OVC007 which may
deteriorate as rain pushes south.

//ATL Confidence...06Z Update...

Low to Medium on LIFR onset
Medium to High on all other elements

Vaughn

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          79  51  71  42 /  60  10  20   0
Atlanta         78  53  70  42 /  50  10  20   0
Blairsville     72  44  65  34 /  30  10  10  10
Cartersville    77  48  70  38 /  40  10  10   0
Columbus        79  57  71  45 /  70  20  60   0
Gainesville     77  51  69  41 /  40  10  10   0
Macon           78  55  71  46 /  80  20  50   0
Rome            78  49  70  39 /  20  10  10   0
Peachtree City  79  51  71  41 /  60  20  40   0
Vidalia         83  62  75  51 /  70  40  70  10

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flood Watch through this afternoon for GAZ022>025-027-031>039-
041>062-066>076-078>085-089>095.

&&

SHORT TERM...Vaughn
LONG TERM....Vaughn
AVIATION...Vaughn

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
506 AM EDT Mon Mar 27 2023

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-280915-
Baldwin-Banks-Barrow-Bartow-Bibb-Bleckley-Butts-Carroll-Catoosa-
Chattahoochee-Chattooga-Cherokee-Clarke-Clayton-Cobb-Coweta-
Crawford-Crisp-Dade-Dawson-DeKalb-Dodge-Dooly-Douglas-Emanuel-
Fannin-Fayette-Floyd-Forsyth-Gilmer-Glascock-Gordon-Greene-
Gwinnett-Hall-Hancock-Haralson-Harris-Heard-Henry-Houston-Jackson-
Jasper-Jefferson-Johnson-Jones-Lamar-Laurens-Lumpkin-Macon-
Madison-Marion-Meriwether-Monroe-Montgomery-Morgan-Murray-
Muscogee-Newton-North Fulton-Oconee-Oglethorpe-Paulding-Peach-
Pickens-Pike-Polk-Pulaski-Putnam-Rockdale-Schley-South Fulton-
Spalding-Stewart-Sumter-Talbot-Taliaferro-Taylor-Telfair-Toombs-
Towns-Treutlen-Troup-Twiggs-Union-Upson-Walker-Walton-Warren-
Washington-Webster-Wheeler-White-Whitfield-Wilcox-Wilkes-
Wilkinson-
506 AM EDT Mon Mar 27 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of North and Central Georgia.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight...

This morning, a wave of thunderstorms will push through central
Georgia. The primary severe weather hazards will be damaging wind
gusts and hail along with heavy rain and frequent lightning. A
brief isolated tornado could be possible as well.

Heavy rainfall will be continue, and a Flash Flood Watch has been
issued for widespread totals of 1 to 3 inches of additional
rainfall. The greatest threat for the severe weather and flash
flooding will be along and south of the I-20 corridor.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday...

There is the potential for multiple rounds of heavy showers and
thunderstorms through Tuesday, with strong to severe storms and
isolated flash flooding possible each day.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
543 AM EDT Mon Mar 27 2023

GAZ072-073-082>084-271015-
Wilkinson GA-Baldwin GA-Bibb GA-Jones GA-Twiggs GA-
543 AM EDT Mon Mar 27 2023

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of south central
Baldwin, northwestern Wilkinson, southeastern Bibb, northwestern
Twiggs and southeastern Jones Counties through 615 AM EDT...

At 542 AM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was over Dry Branch, or 8 miles
east of Macon, moving east at 40 mph.

HAZARD...40 mph wind and heavy rain.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
         street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Locations impacted include...
Macon, Irwinton, Gordon, Ivey, McIntyre, Cross Keys, Dry Branch,
Myricks Mill, Mountain Springs, Griswoldville, Franklinton and
Fitzpatrick.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. Motorists should
slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

&&

LAT...LON 3272 8361 3286 8364 3298 8327 3289 8316
      3275 8318
TIME...MOT...LOC 0942Z 254DEG 36KT 3279 8351

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
603 AM EDT Mon Mar 27 2023

GAZ069>071-079-081-271030-
Lamar GA-Monroe GA-Upson GA-Crawford GA-Talbot GA-
603 AM EDT Mon Mar 27 2023

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southern Monroe,
Upson, northwestern Crawford, northeastern Talbot and southern Lamar
Counties through 630 AM EDT...

At 603 AM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was over Lincoln Park, or near
Thomaston, moving east at 45 mph.

HAZARD...40 mph wind and heavy rain.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
         street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Locations impacted include...
Thomaston, Forsyth, Yatesville, Culloden, Sunset Village, Lincoln
Park, The Rock, Bolingbroke, Redbone Crossroads, Russellville, Brent,
Musella, Sprewell Bluff State Park, Redbone, Pleasant Hill, Logtown,
Sunnyside, Salem, Hannahs Mill and Collier.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. Motorists should
slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

&&

LAT...LON 3288 8451 3290 8451 3307 8397 3296 8378
      3289 8383 3285 8389 3282 8389 3282 8388
      3280 8389 3271 8447 3287 8452
TIME...MOT...LOC 1003Z 254DEG 39KT 3284 8436

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
611 AM EDT Mon Mar 27 2023

GAZ056-067-068-271045-
Spalding GA-Meriwether GA-Pike GA-
611 AM EDT Mon Mar 27 2023

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of western Spalding,
northeastern Meriwether and Pike Counties through 645 AM EDT...

At 611 AM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was over Wooster, or 8 miles
northeast of Greenville, moving east at 45 mph.

HAZARD...40 mph wind and heavy rain.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
         street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Locations impacted include...
Griffin, Zebulon, Williamson, Gay, Concord, Rocky Mount, Hilltop,
Vaughn, Hollonville, Alvaton, Rover, Digbey, Zetella, Wooster and
Birdie.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. Motorists should
slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

&&

LAT...LON 3323 8465 3322 8451 3323 8450 3325 8451
      3326 8450 3326 8443 3331 8440 3330 8440
      3333 8433 3319 8425 3307 8425 3305 8468
      3311 8471 3320 8473
TIME...MOT...LOC 1011Z 259DEG 37KT 3313 8463

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
719 AM EDT MON MAR 27 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0612 AM     FLASH FLOOD      2 SSE MOLENA            32.98N 84.48W
03/27/2023                   UPSON              GA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            MULTIPLE RDS CLOSED DUE TO FLASH FLOODING
            INCLUDING: JONES RD, MCCRARY RD, DRIPPING
            ROCK RD, AND TURNER LAKE RD.

&&

SAM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
722 AM EDT MON MAR 27 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0612 AM     FLASH FLOOD      1 SE HANNAHS MILL       32.92N 84.32W
03/27/2023                   UPSON              GA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            MULTIPLE ROADS CLOSED DUE TO FLASH FLOODING
            INCLUDING: E COUNTY RD BESIDES POTATO CREEK
            AND NEAR COBBTOWN RD, DELRAY AT N DELRAY.

&&

SAM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
726 AM EDT MON MAR 27 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0612 AM     FLASH FLOOD      2 W HANNAHS MILL        32.93N 84.37W
03/27/2023                   UPSON              GA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            MULTIPLE ROADS CLOSED DUE TO FLASH FLOODING
            INCLUDING: JEFF DAVIS RD, OLD ALABAMA RD
            NEAR JEFF DAVIS RD, AND MORGAN RD.

&&

SAM