Severe Thunderstorm Warning 133, NWS Atlanta, GA

323 
WWUS52 KFFC 270953
SVSFFC

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
553 AM EDT Mon Mar 27 2023

GAC145-263-271015-
/O.CON.KFFC.SV.W.0133.000000T0000Z-230327T1015Z/
Talbot GA-Harris GA-
553 AM EDT Mon Mar 27 2023

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 615 AM EDT
FOR NORTHWESTERN TALBOT AND EAST CENTRAL HARRIS COUNTIES...

At 553 AM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Waverly Hall,
or 9 miles east of Hamilton, moving east at 40 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Manchester, Woodland, Shiloh, Pleasant Hill and Flint Hill. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3280 8477 3285 8468 3285 8457 3287 8452
      3279 8448 3271 8449 3270 8476 3274 8479
TIME...MOT...LOC 0953Z 254DEG 36KT 3274 8471 

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

408 
WWUS52 KFFC 271010
SVSFFC

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
610 AM EDT Mon Mar 27 2023

GAC145-263-271020-
/O.EXP.KFFC.SV.W.0133.000000T0000Z-230327T1015Z/
Talbot GA-Harris GA-
610 AM EDT Mon Mar 27 2023

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHWESTERN TALBOT AND EAST
CENTRAL HARRIS COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 615 AM EDT...
        
The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and has exited the warned area. Therefore, the warning will
be allowed to expire.  However gusty winds and heavy rain are still
possible with this thunderstorm.

To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement
agency. They will relay your report to the National Weather Service
Peachtree City.

LAT...LON 3280 8477 3285 8468 3285 8457 3287 8452
      3279 8448 3271 8449 3270 8476 3274 8479
TIME...MOT...LOC 1010Z 254DEG 36KT 3278 8453 

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
403 AM EDT Mon Mar 27 2023

...Morning Area Forecast Discussion...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Tuesday)
Issued at 349 AM EDT Mon Mar 27 2023

Torrential rainfall will continue tonight and into the morning
hours. Some areas have already received 4 inches of rain across
central Georgia south of I-20. Some of these storms have been
extremely efficient rain producers with up to 2" per hour. Up to 3
additional inches may fall overnight as a result, isolated flash
flooding is possible. If you have to drive, please exercise extreme
caution as high water will be difficult to recognize.

The axis for precipitation should begin pushing south early this
afternoon, and finally come to an end late this evening for areas of
south and central GA. The front that has caused so many problems for
the south will likely stall somewhere north of the FL panhandle and
as a result another wave of precipitation will be likely for
Tuesday. While rainfall totals will remain less than a quarter of an
inch, areas that have been saturated will likely see quick flash
flooding responses and swollen rivers may react quickly to
additional rainfall.

Temperatures will remain seasonal through the short term, with highs
in the upper 60s and 70s. However, overnight lows could reach
freezing, especially across NE Georgia after the front moves
through. A frost advisory may be necessary for some areas of
northern GA.

Vaughn

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday night through Sunday)
Issued at 349 AM EDT Mon Mar 27 2023

I'm on a roll and everyone else is busy so I'll be your long term
forecaster for this morning as well. The front will finally kick out
and return dry weather to the area come Wednesday. Cooler temps will
settle in on the backside of the front, with temps comfortably in
the mid 60s for the highs and overnight lows in the low 40s with
some 30s in the higher elevation.

Temps will start to rebound on Thursday as warm moist air advects
back into the area once again and we're back in the 80s come Friday.
On Saturday our chance for thunderstorms returns as a cold front
pushes in from the west. There is some discrepancies between the
major models. The GFS has a sharp cold front that pushes through
relatively quickly. The EURO shows another boundary that stalls
across the area as the upper level dynamics turn more zonal and the
low levels get cut off from the parent low. This is ultimately what
drives the uncertainty in the weekends PoPs which have been capped
for now at slightly.

In the Euro's solution a boundary that sets up may be able to tap
into dewpoints in the upper 60s. A weak disturbance in the upper
level flow may be all it takes to set off more severe weather.
Capped thunder at chance for much of the CWA until a better picture
comes into view.

Vaughn

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 151 AM EDT Mon Mar 27 2023

Heavy rain will continue for the ATL sites. TSRA remains likely,
although the axis for the most intense storms will be along a line
from CSG to MCN. Winds will be SW at 8-12kts gusting to 15kts. After
15Z they become NW and ease to less than 8kts. A few obs of LIFR
cigs are possible after 10Z but prevailing will be OVC007 which may
deteriorate as rain pushes south.

//ATL Confidence...06Z Update...

Low to Medium on LIFR onset
Medium to High on all other elements

Vaughn

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          79  51  71  42 /  60  10  20   0
Atlanta         78  53  70  42 /  50  10  20   0
Blairsville     72  44  65  34 /  30  10  10  10
Cartersville    77  48  70  38 /  40  10  10   0
Columbus        79  57  71  45 /  70  20  60   0
Gainesville     77  51  69  41 /  40  10  10   0
Macon           78  55  71  46 /  80  20  50   0
Rome            78  49  70  39 /  20  10  10   0
Peachtree City  79  51  71  41 /  60  20  40   0
Vidalia         83  62  75  51 /  70  40  70  10

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flood Watch through this afternoon for GAZ022>025-027-031>039-
041>062-066>076-078>085-089>095.

&&

SHORT TERM...Vaughn
LONG TERM....Vaughn
AVIATION...Vaughn

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
506 AM EDT Mon Mar 27 2023

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-280915-
Baldwin-Banks-Barrow-Bartow-Bibb-Bleckley-Butts-Carroll-Catoosa-
Chattahoochee-Chattooga-Cherokee-Clarke-Clayton-Cobb-Coweta-
Crawford-Crisp-Dade-Dawson-DeKalb-Dodge-Dooly-Douglas-Emanuel-
Fannin-Fayette-Floyd-Forsyth-Gilmer-Glascock-Gordon-Greene-
Gwinnett-Hall-Hancock-Haralson-Harris-Heard-Henry-Houston-Jackson-
Jasper-Jefferson-Johnson-Jones-Lamar-Laurens-Lumpkin-Macon-
Madison-Marion-Meriwether-Monroe-Montgomery-Morgan-Murray-
Muscogee-Newton-North Fulton-Oconee-Oglethorpe-Paulding-Peach-
Pickens-Pike-Polk-Pulaski-Putnam-Rockdale-Schley-South Fulton-
Spalding-Stewart-Sumter-Talbot-Taliaferro-Taylor-Telfair-Toombs-
Towns-Treutlen-Troup-Twiggs-Union-Upson-Walker-Walton-Warren-
Washington-Webster-Wheeler-White-Whitfield-Wilcox-Wilkes-
Wilkinson-
506 AM EDT Mon Mar 27 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of North and Central Georgia.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight...

This morning, a wave of thunderstorms will push through central
Georgia. The primary severe weather hazards will be damaging wind
gusts and hail along with heavy rain and frequent lightning. A
brief isolated tornado could be possible as well.

Heavy rainfall will be continue, and a Flash Flood Watch has been
issued for widespread totals of 1 to 3 inches of additional
rainfall. The greatest threat for the severe weather and flash
flooding will be along and south of the I-20 corridor.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday...

There is the potential for multiple rounds of heavy showers and
thunderstorms through Tuesday, with strong to severe storms and
isolated flash flooding possible each day.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
419 AM EDT Mon Mar 27 2023

GAZ069-071-079>081-270845-
Monroe GA-Taylor GA-Upson GA-Crawford GA-Talbot GA-
419 AM EDT Mon Mar 27 2023

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southwestern Monroe,
southeastern Upson, western Crawford, Talbot and northern Taylor
Counties through 445 AM EDT...

At 419 AM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was over Talbotton, moving east
at 50 mph.

HAZARD...40 mph wind and heavy rain.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
         street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Locations impacted include...
Thomaston, Butler, Roberta, Talbotton, Reynolds, Woodland,
Yatesville, Junction City, Culloden, Geneva, Logtown, Howard, Salem,
Prattsburg, Horns, Big Lazer Creek Wma, Wesley Church, Fickling Mill,
Baldwinville and Redbone Crossroads.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. Motorists should
slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

&&

LAT...LON 3276 8464 3293 8409 3276 8396 3257 8401
      3255 8445 3256 8445 3256 8449 3255 8449
      3255 8451 3254 8453 3255 8454 3254 8454
      3255 8455 3254 8462
TIME...MOT...LOC 0819Z 258DEG 42KT 3267 8453

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
443 AM EDT Mon Mar 27 2023

GAZ048-049-058>060-071-072-270915-
Butts GA-Morgan GA-Putnam GA-Monroe GA-Jones GA-Jasper GA-Newton GA-
443 AM EDT Mon Mar 27 2023

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of south central
Morgan, southwestern Putnam, northeastern Monroe, Butts, northwestern
Jones, Jasper and south central Newton Counties through 515 AM EDT...

At 442 AM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was over Indian Springs State
Park, or over Jackson, moving east at 70 mph.

HAZARD...40 to 50 mph wind and enhanced risk for downed trees.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects is expected. Trees can also down
         more easily with already wet soil from previous rainfall.

Locations impacted include...
Eatonton, Jackson, Monticello, Flovilla, Jenkinsburg, Shady Dale,
Turtle Cove, Worthville, Resseaus Crossroads, Round Oak, Central
Georgia Experiment Stn, Blount, Eudora, North Alcovy, McElheneys
Crossroads, Berner, Godfrey, Willard, High Falls State Park and
Calvin.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately.

&&

LAT...LON 3306 8350 3315 8404 3320 8404 3320 8405
      3333 8405 3334 8403 3336 8403 3336 8401
      3339 8398 3350 8353 3329 8339
TIME...MOT...LOC 0842Z 269DEG 60KT 3326 8395

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
447 AM EDT Mon Mar 27 2023

GAZ069>072-079>082-270915-
Lamar GA-Monroe GA-Taylor GA-Bibb GA-Upson GA-Crawford GA-Jones GA-
Talbot GA-
447 AM EDT Mon Mar 27 2023

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of Bibb, Monroe,
eastern Upson, Crawford, southwestern Jones, southeastern Talbot,
northern Taylor and southeastern Lamar Counties through 515 AM EDT...

At 447 AM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was over Musella, or near
Roberta, moving east at 55 mph.

HAZARD...40 mph wind and heavy rain.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
         street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Locations impacted include...
Macon, Forsyth, Roberta, Yatesville, Payne, Junction City, Culloden,
Payne City, Lake Tobesofkee, Russellville, Wesleyan, Logtown, Howard,
Skipperton, Arkwright, Salem, Prattsburg, Horns, Wesley Church and
Fickling Mill.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. Motorists should
slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

&&

LAT...LON 3255 8452 3294 8425 3310 8370 3285 8356
      3267 8364 3269 8377 3264 8384
TIME...MOT...LOC 0847Z 259DEG 49KT 3277 8407

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
449 AM EDT Mon Mar 27 2023

GAZ078-079-089-270915-
Harris GA-Talbot GA-Muscogee GA-
449 AM EDT Mon Mar 27 2023

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northern Muscogee,
western Talbot and Harris Counties through 515 AM EDT...

At 449 AM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was near Fortson, or near
Smiths, moving east at 55 mph.

HAZARD...40 mph wind and heavy rain.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
         street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Locations impacted include...
Hamilton, Talbotton, Manchester, Waverly Hall, Woodland, Geneva,
Upatoi, Shiloh, Goat Rock Lake, Ellerslie, Flat Rock, Laurel Hills,
Green Island Hills, Cataula, Columbus Metropolitan Airport,
Baughville, Flint Hill, Olive Branch, Midland and Mountain Hill.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. Motorists should
slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

&&

LAT...LON 3285 8472 3284 8470 3285 8459 3269 8450
      3255 8455 3251 8500 3254 8502 3258 8507
      3262 8509 3263 8508 3264 8511 3266 8509
      3269 8512 3272 8512 3274 8511 3275 8514
TIME...MOT...LOC 0849Z 259DEG 49KT 3261 8500

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
533 AM EDT Mon Mar 27 2023

GAZ053-066-067-271000-
Coweta GA-Troup GA-Meriwether GA-
533 AM EDT Mon Mar 27 2023

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northwestern
Meriwether, Troup and south central Coweta Counties through 600 AM
EDT...

At 533 AM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was near LaGrange, moving east
at 40 mph.

HAZARD...40 to 50 mph wind and enhanced risk for downed trees.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects is expected. Trees can also down
         more easily with already wet soil from previous rainfall.

Locations impacted include...
LaGrange, Greenville, Hogansville, Grantville, Luthersville, Lone
Oak, Rocky Mount, Saint Marks, Mountville, Cannonville, Louise,
Odessadale, Abbottsford, Harrisonville, Hillcrest, Big Springs, Wares
Crossroads and Long Cane.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately.

&&

LAT...LON 3294 8516 3311 8521 3327 8469 3301 8461
TIME...MOT...LOC 0933Z 255DEG 35KT 3306 8508

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
543 AM EDT Mon Mar 27 2023

GAZ072-073-082>084-271015-
Wilkinson GA-Baldwin GA-Bibb GA-Jones GA-Twiggs GA-
543 AM EDT Mon Mar 27 2023

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of south central
Baldwin, northwestern Wilkinson, southeastern Bibb, northwestern
Twiggs and southeastern Jones Counties through 615 AM EDT...

At 542 AM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was over Dry Branch, or 8 miles
east of Macon, moving east at 40 mph.

HAZARD...40 mph wind and heavy rain.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
         street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Locations impacted include...
Macon, Irwinton, Gordon, Ivey, McIntyre, Cross Keys, Dry Branch,
Myricks Mill, Mountain Springs, Griswoldville, Franklinton and
Fitzpatrick.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. Motorists should
slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

&&

LAT...LON 3272 8361 3286 8364 3298 8327 3289 8316
      3275 8318
TIME...MOT...LOC 0942Z 254DEG 36KT 3279 8351

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH