Storm Warning 38, NWS Anchorage, AK

237 
FZAK51 PAFC 100040
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
340 PM AKST Thu Feb 9 2023

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-101315-
340 PM AKST Thu Feb 9 2023
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

High pressure moves out of the Gulf Fri morning. An Aleutian low 
brings a front across the Gulf of Alaska Fri afternoon.

$$

PKZ119-101315-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
340 PM AKST Thu Feb 9 2023

...STORM WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 25 kt becoming E 40 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 12 ft. Snow.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 50 kt becoming S 25 kt after midnight. 
Seas 16 ft. Rain and snow.
.SAT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ120-101315-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
340 PM AKST Thu Feb 9 2023

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...E wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 12 ft. Snow and rain.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.SAT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ121-101315-
Resurrection Bay-
340 PM AKST Thu Feb 9 2023

.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Gusts to 30 kt in the evening. Seas 3 ft. 
Freezing spray.
.FRI...N wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ125-101315-
Prince William Sound-
340 PM AKST Thu Feb 9 2023

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. 
Seas 5 ft subsiding.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt increasing to 35 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 4 ft building to 7 ft in the afternoon. Snow.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight. 
Seas 8 ft subsiding to 4 ft after midnight. Snow and rain.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ126-101315-
Port Valdez-
340 PM AKST Thu Feb 9 2023

.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable 
less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-101315-
Valdez Narrows-
340 PM AKST Thu Feb 9 2023

.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow.
.SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...N wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-101315-
Valdez Arm-
340 PM AKST Thu Feb 9 2023

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. 
Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...NE wind increasing to 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Snow.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ129-101315-
Passage Canal-
340 PM AKST Thu Feb 9 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. 
Gusts to 35 kt in the evening near Whittier. Seas 4 ft. Freezing 
spray.
.FRI...E wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft 
building to 4 ft in the afternoon. Freezing spray. Snow.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. 
Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-101315-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
340 PM AKST Thu Feb 9 2023

...STORM WARNING FRIDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt becoming E after midnight. Seas 6 ft.
Freezing spray. Snow.
.FRI...NE wind 50 kt. Seas 18 ft. Heavy freezing spray in the morning.
Snow.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.
.SAT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 50 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ131-101315-
Barren Islands East-
340 PM AKST Thu Feb 9 2023

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt becoming S 20 kt after midnight. 
Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.
.FRI...SE wind 45 kt. Seas 14 ft. Freezing spray in the morning. 
Snow.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain.
.SAT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 45 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ132-101315-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
340 PM AKST Thu Feb 9 2023

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt becoming SE 40 kt after midnight. 
Seas 7 ft building to 11 ft after midnight. Snow and rain.
.FRI...S wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain and snow.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 31 ft except 22 ft 
N of Dangerous Cape. Rain showers.
.SAT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 26 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN...W wind 45 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.MON...W wind 45 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 22 ft.

$$

PKZ136-101315-
Chiniak Bay-
340 PM AKST Thu Feb 9 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming SE 25 kt 
after midnight. Seas 2 ft building to 7 ft after midnight. 
.FRI...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft subsiding to 5 ft in the
afternoon. Snow with rain.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ137-101315-
Marmot Bay-
340 PM AKST Thu Feb 9 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...W wind 10 kt becoming SE 20 kt after midnight. 
Seas 2 ft building to 7 ft after midnight. Snow.
.FRI...E wind 30 kt becoming S 15 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 12 ft subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon. Snow.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 35 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ138-101315-
Shelikof Strait-
340 PM AKST Thu Feb 9 2023

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt becoming E 35 kt after midnight. 
Seas 2 ft building to 8 ft after midnight. Freezing spray. Snow.
.FRI...E wind 35 kt becoming S 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 9 ft
subsiding to 5 ft in the afternoon. Freezing spray. Snow.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft subsiding to 3 ft after
midnight. Rain and snow.
.SAT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ139-101315-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
340 PM AKST Thu Feb 9 2023

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming NE 25 kt after midnight. 
Seas 2 ft building to 5 ft after midnight. Heavy freezing spray 
after midnight.
.FRI...NE wind increasing to 45 kt. Seas 15 ft. Heavy freezing 
spray.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.
.SAT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ140-101315-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
340 PM AKST Thu Feb 9 2023

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING FRIDAY...
...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming N 15 kt after
midnight. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft.
.FRI...N wind 20 kt increasing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas in 
ice free waters 5 ft building to 8 ft in the afternoon. Heavy 
freezing spray.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight.
Seas in ice free waters 8 ft subsiding to 5 ft after midnight. 
Freezing spray.
.SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft.
.MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft.
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft.

$$

PKZ141-101315-
Kachemak Bay-
340 PM AKST Thu Feb 9 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 10 kt becoming NE 10 kt after midnight. 
Except W 15 kt in the evening near the outer bay. Seas 4 ft 
subsiding to 2 ft after midnight.
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight.
Seas 3 ft subsiding. Rain.
.SAT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

342 
FZAK51 PAFC 100120 AAA
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast...UPDATED
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
420 PM AKST Thu Feb 9 2023

Coastal waters forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-101415-
420 PM AKST Thu Feb 9 2023
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

High pressure moves out of the Gulf Fri morning. An Aleutian low 
brings a front across the Gulf of Alaska Fri afternoon.

$$

PKZ119-101415-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
420 PM AKST Thu Feb 9 2023

...STORM WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.FRI...SE wind 25 kt becoming E 40 kt in the afternoon.  Seas
12 ft. Snow. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 50 kt becoming S 25 kt after midnight.  Seas
16 ft. Rain and snow. 
.SAT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. 
.TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ120-101415-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
420 PM AKST Thu Feb 9 2023

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.FRI...E wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt in the afternoon.  Seas
12 ft. Snow and rain. 
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain. 
.SAT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 19 ft. 
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ121-101415-
Resurrection Bay-
420 PM AKST Thu Feb 9 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. 
Seas 4 ft subsiding. Freezing spray in the evening. 
.FRI...N wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow. 
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ125-101415-
Prince William Sound-
420 PM AKST Thu Feb 9 2023

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. 
Seas 5 ft subsiding. 
.FRI...E wind 20 kt increasing to 35 kt in the afternoon.  Seas
4 ft building to 7 ft in the afternoon. Snow. 
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight. 
Seas 8 ft subsiding to 4 ft after midnight. Snow and rain. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ126-101415-
Port Valdez-
420 PM AKST Thu Feb 9 2023

.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable  less
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
Snow. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-101415-
Valdez Narrows-
420 PM AKST Thu Feb 9 2023

.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow. 
.SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON...N wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-101415-
Valdez Arm-
420 PM AKST Thu Feb 9 2023

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. 
Seas 3 ft. 
.FRI...NE wind increasing to 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Snow. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ129-101415-
Passage Canal-
420 PM AKST Thu Feb 9 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. 
Gusts to 35 kt in the evening near Whittier. Seas 4 ft. Freezing 
spray. 
.FRI...E wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
2 ft  building to 4 ft in the afternoon. Freezing spray. Snow. 
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. 
Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. Snow. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.TUE...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-101415-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
420 PM AKST Thu Feb 9 2023

...STORM WARNING FRIDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt becoming E after midnight. Seas 6 ft.
Freezing spray. Snow. 
.FRI...NE wind 50 kt. Seas 18 ft. Heavy freezing spray in the
morning. Snow. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft. Freezing spray. Snow. 
.SAT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 50 kt. Seas 15 ft. 
.TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ131-101415-
Barren Islands East-
420 PM AKST Thu Feb 9 2023

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt becoming S 20 kt after midnight.  Seas
7 ft. Freezing spray. Snow. 
.FRI...SE wind 45 kt. Seas 14 ft. Freezing spray in the morning. 
Snow. 
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain. 
.SAT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 45 kt. Seas 19 ft. 
.TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ132-101415-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
420 PM AKST Thu Feb 9 2023

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt becoming SE 40 kt after midnight.  Seas
7 ft building to 11 ft after midnight. Snow and rain. 
.FRI...S wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain and snow. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 31 ft except 22 ft  N of
Dangerous Cape. Rain showers. 
.SAT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 26 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.SUN...W wind 45 kt. Seas 18 ft. 
.MON...W wind 45 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 22 ft.

$$

PKZ136-101415-
Chiniak Bay-
420 PM AKST Thu Feb 9 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming SE 25 kt  after
midnight. Seas 2 ft building to 7 ft after midnight.  
.FRI...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft subsiding to 5 ft in the
afternoon. Snow with rain. 
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ137-101415-
Marmot Bay-
420 PM AKST Thu Feb 9 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...W wind 10 kt becoming SE 20 kt after midnight.  Seas
2 ft building to 7 ft after midnight. Snow. 
.FRI...E wind 30 kt becoming S 15 kt in the afternoon.  Seas
12 ft subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon. Snow. 
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SAT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 35 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ138-101415-
Shelikof Strait-
420 PM AKST Thu Feb 9 2023

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt becoming E 35 kt after midnight.  Seas
2 ft building to 8 ft after midnight. Freezing spray. Snow. 
.FRI...E wind 35 kt becoming S 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 9 ft
subsiding to 5 ft in the afternoon. Freezing spray. Snow. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft subsiding to 3 ft after
midnight. Rain and snow. 
.SAT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ139-101415-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
420 PM AKST Thu Feb 9 2023

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming NE 25 kt after midnight. 
Seas 2 ft building to 5 ft after midnight. Heavy freezing spray 
after midnight. 
.FRI...NE wind increasing to 45 kt. Seas 15 ft. Heavy freezing 
spray. 
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft. Freezing spray. Snow. 
.SAT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ140-101415-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
420 PM AKST Thu Feb 9 2023

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING FRIDAY...
...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming N 15 kt after
midnight. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft. 
.FRI...N wind 20 kt increasing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas in
 ice free waters 5 ft building to 8 ft in the afternoon. Heavy 
freezing spray. 
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight.
Seas in ice free waters 8 ft subsiding to 5 ft after midnight. 
Freezing spray. 
.SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft. 
.SUN...SW wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft. 
.MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft. 
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft.

$$

PKZ141-101415-
Kachemak Bay-
420 PM AKST Thu Feb 9 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 10 kt becoming NE 10 kt after midnight. 
Except W 15 kt in the evening near the outer bay. Seas 4 ft 
subsiding to 2 ft after midnight. 
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon.  Seas
5 ft. Freezing spray. Snow. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight.
Seas 3 ft subsiding. Rain. 
.SAT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

683 
FZAK51 PAFC 100201 AAB
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast...UPDATED
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
501 PM AKST Thu Feb 9 2023

Coastal waters forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-101445-
501 PM AKST Thu Feb 9 2023
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

High pressure moves out of the Gulf Fri morning. An Aleutian low 
brings a front across the Gulf of Alaska Fri afternoon.

$$

PKZ119-101445-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
501 PM AKST Thu Feb 9 2023

...STORM WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.  
.FRI...SE wind 25 kt becoming E 40 kt in the afternoon.  Seas
12 ft. Snow.  
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 50 kt becoming S 25 kt after midnight.  Seas
16 ft. Rain and snow.  
.SAT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.  
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.  
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.  
.TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ120-101445-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
501 PM AKST Thu Feb 9 2023

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.  
.FRI...E wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt in the afternoon.  Seas
12 ft. Snow and rain.  
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain.  
.SAT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.  
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.  
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 19 ft.  
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ121-101445-
Resurrection Bay-
501 PM AKST Thu Feb 9 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. 
Seas 4 ft subsiding. Freezing spray in the evening.  
.FRI...N wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.  
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.  
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.  
.SUN THROUGH MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.  
.TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ125-101445-
Prince William Sound-
501 PM AKST Thu Feb 9 2023

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. 
Seas 5 ft subsiding.  
.FRI...E wind 20 kt increasing to 35 kt in the afternoon.  Seas
4 ft building to 7 ft in the afternoon. Snow.  
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight. 
Seas 8 ft subsiding to 4 ft after midnight. Snow and rain.  
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.  
.SUN THROUGH MON...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.  
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ126-101445-
Port Valdez-
501 PM AKST Thu Feb 9 2023

.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable  less
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.  
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
Snow.  
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.  
.SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.  
.MON THROUGH TUE...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-101445-
Valdez Narrows-
501 PM AKST Thu Feb 9 2023

.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.  
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow.  
.SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.  
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.  
.SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.  
.MON...N wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft.  
.TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-101445-
Valdez Arm-
501 PM AKST Thu Feb 9 2023

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. 
Seas 3 ft.  
.FRI...NE wind increasing to 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.  
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Snow.  
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.  
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.  
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ129-101445-
Passage Canal-
501 PM AKST Thu Feb 9 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. 
Gusts to 35 kt in the evening near Whittier. Seas 4 ft. Freezing 
spray.  
.FRI...E wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
2 ft  building to 4 ft in the afternoon. Freezing spray. Snow.  
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. 
Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.  
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.  
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.  
.TUE...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-101445-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
501 PM AKST Thu Feb 9 2023

...STORM WARNING FRIDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt becoming E after midnight. Seas 6 ft.
Freezing spray. Snow.  
.FRI...NE wind 50 kt. Seas 18 ft. Heavy freezing spray in the
morning. Snow.  
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.  
.SAT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.  
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.  
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 50 kt. Seas 15 ft.  
.TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ131-101445-
Barren Islands East-
501 PM AKST Thu Feb 9 2023

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt becoming S 20 kt after midnight.  Seas
7 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.  
.FRI...SE wind 45 kt. Seas 14 ft. Freezing spray in the morning. 
Snow.  
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain.  
.SAT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.  
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.  
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 45 kt. Seas 19 ft.  
.TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ132-101445-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
501 PM AKST Thu Feb 9 2023

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt becoming SE 40 kt after midnight.  Seas
7 ft building to 11 ft after midnight. Snow and rain.  
.FRI...S wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain and snow.  
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 31 ft except 22 ft  N of
Dangerous Cape. Rain showers.  
.SAT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 26 ft.  
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.  
.SUN...W wind 45 kt. Seas 18 ft.  
.MON...W wind 45 kt. Seas 14 ft.  
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 22 ft.

$$

PKZ136-101445-
Chiniak Bay-
501 PM AKST Thu Feb 9 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming SE 25 kt  after
midnight. Seas 2 ft building to 7 ft after midnight.   
.FRI...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft subsiding to 5 ft in the
afternoon. Snow with rain.  
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.  
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.  
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.  
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft.  
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ137-101445-
Marmot Bay-
501 PM AKST Thu Feb 9 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...W wind 10 kt becoming SE 20 kt after midnight.  Seas
2 ft building to 7 ft after midnight. Snow.  
.FRI...E wind 30 kt becoming S 15 kt in the afternoon.  Seas
12 ft subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon. Snow.  
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.  
.SAT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.  
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.  
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 35 kt. Seas 8 ft.  
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ138-101445-
Shelikof Strait-
501 PM AKST Thu Feb 9 2023

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt becoming E 35 kt after midnight.  Seas
2 ft building to 8 ft after midnight. Freezing spray. Snow.  
.FRI...E wind 35 kt becoming S 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 9 ft
subsiding to 5 ft in the afternoon. Freezing spray. Snow.  
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft subsiding to 3 ft after
midnight. Rain and snow.  
.SAT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.  
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.  
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.  
.TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ139-101445-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
501 PM AKST Thu Feb 9 2023

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt this evening, except W wind to 20 
kt S of Anchor Point early. Wind becoming NE 25 kt after midnight.
Seas to 5 ft, building to 8 ft after midnight. Heavy freezing 
spray after midnight.
.FRI...NE wind increasing to 45 kt. Seas 15 ft. Heavy freezing 
spray.  
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.  
.SAT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.  
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.  
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.  
.TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ140-101445-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
501 PM AKST Thu Feb 9 2023

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING FRIDAY...
...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming N 15 kt after
midnight. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft.  
.FRI...N wind 20 kt increasing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas in
 ice free waters 5 ft building to 8 ft in the afternoon. Heavy 
freezing spray.  
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight.
Seas in ice free waters 8 ft subsiding to 5 ft after midnight. 
Freezing spray.  
.SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft.  
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft.  
.SUN...SW wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft.  
.MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft.  
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft.

$$

PKZ141-101445-
Kachemak Bay-
501 PM AKST Thu Feb 9 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt early, then shifting to NE 10 kt and
increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 2 ft, except 5 ft in the
outer bay during the evening. 
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon.  Seas
building to 5 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.  
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight.
Seas 3 ft subsiding. Rain.  
.SAT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.  
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.  
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.  
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

982 
FZAK51 PAFC 101247
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
347 AM AKST Fri Feb 10 2023

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-110215-
347 AM AKST Fri Feb 10 2023
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 960 mb Aleutian low pushes a front across the Gulf of Alaska 
through Fri night. A 984 mb low 320 nm south of Chignik Sat 
morning moves to 190 nm south of Middleton Island at 980 mb by 
Sun morning.

$$

PKZ119-110215-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
347 AM AKST Fri Feb 10 2023

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 15 kt in the morning increasing to 45 kt. Seas 7 ft
building to 13 ft in the afternoon. Snow and rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Near the coast, SE wind 50 kt becoming S
20 kt after midnight. Seas 17 ft. Rain and snow.
.SAT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SUN...W wind 40 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ120-110215-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
347 AM AKST Fri Feb 10 2023

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt in the morning becoming SE 40 kt. Seas 7 ft in
the morning building to 13 ft. Snow and rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.SAT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...W wind 50 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.MON...W wind 45 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.TUE...E wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ121-110215-
Resurrection Bay-
347 AM AKST Fri Feb 10 2023

.TODAY...N wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming S 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Rain and snow.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ125-110215-
Prince William Sound-
347 AM AKST Fri Feb 10 2023

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 15 kt increasing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 
ft building to 7 ft in the afternoon. Snow.
.TONIGHT...E wind 40 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 9 
ft subsiding to 4 ft after midnight. Rain and snow.
.SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain and snow.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ126-110215-
Port Valdez-
347 AM AKST Fri Feb 10 2023

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.TONIGHT AND SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-110215-
Valdez Narrows-
347 AM AKST Fri Feb 10 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.
.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.
.SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow and rain.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...N wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-110215-
Valdez Arm-
347 AM AKST Fri Feb 10 2023

.TODAY...NE wind increasing to 20 kt. Seas building to 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Snow.
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain and snow.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ129-110215-
Passage Canal-
347 AM AKST Fri Feb 10 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt becoming E 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
2 ft building to 4 ft in the afternoon. Freezing spray in the
afternoon. Snow.
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 4 
ft. Freezing spray in the evening. Snow.
.SAT...E wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2
ft. Snow and rain.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-110215-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
347 AM AKST Fri Feb 10 2023

...STORM WARNING TODAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 40 kt in the morning increasing to 50 kt. Seas 11 ft
in the morning building to 15 ft. Heavy freezing spray in the 
morning. Snow.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft. Snow.
.SAT...NE wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
9 ft subsiding to 5 ft in the afternoon.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...W wind 55 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.MON...NW wind 50 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ131-110215-
Barren Islands East-
347 AM AKST Fri Feb 10 2023

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 30 kt in the morning increasing to 40 kt...then
becoming S 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 9 ft in the morning building
to 14 ft. Freezing spray near the Barren Islands in the morning. 
Rain and snow.
.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SAT...S wind 30 kt becoming SW 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 17
ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...W wind 55 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.MON...W wind 50 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.TUE...E wind 35 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ132-110215-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
347 AM AKST Fri Feb 10 2023

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 30 ft except 21 ft N of Dangerous
Cape. Rain showers.
.SAT...SW wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
24 ft subsiding to 17 ft in the afternoon.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SUN...W wind 45 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.MON...W wind 40 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ136-110215-
Chiniak Bay-
347 AM AKST Fri Feb 10 2023

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 35 kt becoming S 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 12
ft subsiding to 7 ft in the afternoon. Rain and snow.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...W wind 40 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...W wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ137-110215-
Marmot Bay-
347 AM AKST Fri Feb 10 2023

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 35 kt becoming S 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 12 ft 
subsiding to 5 ft in the afternoon. Snow with rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 15 kt becoming W 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...W wind 40 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ138-110215-
Shelikof Strait-
347 AM AKST Fri Feb 10 2023

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 35 kt becoming S 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 9 ft
subsiding to 6 ft in the afternoon. Rain showers and snow.
.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt becoming SE 15 kt after midnight. Seas 6
ft. Rain showers and snow showers.
.SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...W wind 50 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ139-110215-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
347 AM AKST Fri Feb 10 2023

...STORM WARNING TODAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 35 kt in the morning increasing to 50 kt. Seas 8 ft
in the morning building to 14 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...N wind 40 kt. Seas 11 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT...NE wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
8 ft subsiding to 5 ft in the afternoon. Freezing spray. Snow.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...W wind 40 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ140-110215-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
347 AM AKST Fri Feb 10 2023

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt in the morning increasing to 30 kt. Seas in 
ice free waters 4 ft in the morning building to 7 ft. Heavy freezing
spray.
.TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas
in ice free waters 7 ft subsiding to 4 ft after midnight. Freezing 
spray.
.SAT...N wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft. Freezing spray.
Snow.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft.
.MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft.
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft.

$$

PKZ141-110215-
Kachemak Bay-
347 AM AKST Fri Feb 10 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt in the morning increasing to 30 kt...then
diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray. 
Snow.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...W wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

045 
FZAK51 PAFC 110025
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
325 PM AKST Fri Feb 10 2023

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-111345-
325 PM AKST Fri Feb 10 2023
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 972 mb low 60 nm SE of Cold Bay moves into the Kenai Peninsula 
through Sat afternoon. A trough lifts through the Gulf of Alaska 
Sat evening into Sun morning.

$$

PKZ119-111345-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
325 PM AKST Fri Feb 10 2023

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Near the coast, SE wind 50 kt becoming 
S 20 kt after midnight. Seas 16 ft. Rain and snow.
.SAT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.SUN...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ120-111345-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
325 PM AKST Fri Feb 10 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.SAT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.SUN...NW wind 45 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 50 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.MON...W wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.TUE...E wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ121-111345-
Resurrection Bay-
325 PM AKST Fri Feb 10 2023

.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming S 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Rain and snow.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming N after midnight. 
Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...N wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ125-111345-
Prince William Sound-
325 PM AKST Fri Feb 10 2023

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 40 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas
9 ft subsiding to 4 ft after midnight. Rain and snow.
.SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain and snow.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.SUN...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-111345-
Port Valdez-
325 PM AKST Fri Feb 10 2023

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-111345-
Valdez Narrows-
325 PM AKST Fri Feb 10 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. 
Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.
.SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow and rain.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 10 kt increasing to 20 kt after midnight. 
Seas 3 ft. Snow and rain.
.SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...N wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-111345-
Valdez Arm-
325 PM AKST Fri Feb 10 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. 
Seas 4 ft. Snow.
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain and snow.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain and snow.
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ129-111345-
Passage Canal-
325 PM AKST Fri Feb 10 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt becoming NE 15 kt after midnight. Seas 4 ft 
subsiding to 2 ft after midnight. Freezing spray. Snow.
.SAT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow and rain.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain and snow.
.SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-111345-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
325 PM AKST Fri Feb 10 2023

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 11 ft. Snow.
.SAT...NE wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 9 ft subsiding to 5 ft in the afternoon.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray.
.SUN...W wind 55 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 50 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.MON...NW wind 45 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ131-111345-
Barren Islands East-
325 PM AKST Fri Feb 10 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.SAT...S wind 30 kt becoming SW 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 18 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt becoming NW 30 kt after midnight. 
Seas 11 ft.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...W wind 55 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.MON...W wind 50 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.TUE...E wind 35 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ132-111345-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
325 PM AKST Fri Feb 10 2023

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 31 ft except 22 ft N of Dangerous
Cape. Widespread rain showers.
.SAT...SW wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
26 ft subsiding to 19 ft in the afternoon.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt increasing to 35 kt after midnight. N
of Dangerous Cape, N wind 15 kt becoming NW 30 kt after midnight. 
Seas 13 ft.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...W wind 45 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.MON...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ136-111345-
Chiniak Bay-
325 PM AKST Fri Feb 10 2023

.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...W wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...W wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ137-111345-
Marmot Bay-
325 PM AKST Fri Feb 10 2023

.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 15 kt becoming W 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt increasing to 20 kt after midnight.
Seas 1 ft building to 3 ft after midnight.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ138-111345-
Shelikof Strait-
325 PM AKST Fri Feb 10 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt becoming SE 15 kt after midnight. 
Seas 5 ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight. Rain and snow showers.
.SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray.
.SUN...W wind 50 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 45 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ139-111345-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
325 PM AKST Fri Feb 10 2023

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 40 kt. Seas 10 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.
.SAT...NE wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
8 ft subsiding to 5 ft in the afternoon. Freezing spray. Snow.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...W wind 40 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ140-111345-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
325 PM AKST Fri Feb 10 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas
in ice free waters 8 ft subsiding to 5 ft after midnight. Freezing 
spray.
.SAT...N wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft subsiding to 3 ft 
in the afternoon. Freezing spray. Snow.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft. Snow.
.SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft.
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft.
.WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-111345-
Kachemak Bay-
325 PM AKST Fri Feb 10 2023

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. 
Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.SAT...NE wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
617 PM AKST Wed Feb 8 2023

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

In the upper levels the jet stream continues to move near the
Aleutian chain and dips southeast before recurving north towards
Southeast Alaska. Several lows and shortwaves are moving along the
jet with a storm force low over the northern Pacific approaching
the western Aleutians, while a weaker low near Atka is enhancing
winds to near small crafts and producing a few snow showers.
Otherwise, colder than normal across the Aleutians and Bering
with temperatures in the 20s to near freezing. Another shortwave
is moving into southwestern Alaska producing a few snow showers.
Across the Gulf a weak surface low south of Seward along with a
shortwave trough extending across the Kenai Peninsula into the
northern Gulf is producing snow showers across the Prince William
Sound area. While an area of weak low pressure and low level
convergence is producing light snow from the western Kenai
Peninsula and north into Anchorage and parts of the Mat-Su.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

Model guidance continues to be in good agreement with the synoptic
scale features. The forecast challenge will winds and
precipitation type along the Alaska Peninsula and Aleutians as
a storm force low tracks near and just south of the Aleutian
chain on Thursday. Expect the warming to overwhelm the cold air in
place pretty quickly, so will lead toward lower snow accumulation
guidance along the Aleutians.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...Light snow will continue through this afternoon with MVFR
to IFR conditions. Snow accumulation through today will be an inch
or less. The snow is expected to end by the late afternoon or
early evening hours. The big question is whether skies will clear,
in which case fog/stratus (IFR/LIFR) could quickly form - or
whether cloud cover (MVFR/VFR) will hold in and limit fog
formation. With persistent cyclonic flow aloft, seems more
favorable for some sort of higher cloud deck to hold in place.
Will keep an eye on satellite and webcams and adjust the forecast
as the more likely scenario tips its hand.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 through 3/Tonight
through Saturday)...

Tonight's forecast begins with the timing of snow ending. It
appears as if the current round of snow will end this evening,
then the forecast question becomes, how quickly does the cloud
cover clear out. There does not appear to be much to clear the
current cloud cover out. The Kenai Peninsula has a better chance
to clear out which will drop their temperatures much more than the
places that keep clouds to the north. Lows will drop into the
single digits in places that clear, teens for cloudy areas. The
chances for fog also ramp up where the clouds clear. Tomorrow
looks like the start of a full scale pattern change from the weak
feature cyclonic flow we have been in for the last several weeks.
First, however, is a short period of offshore gap winds in
response to a stronger system near the Panhandle. These will be
limited in strength by the lack of upper level support, peaking
in the 30 to 40 kt range.

The next system/front to affect the area is a very strong Aleutian
low pressure that swings a front into the Gulf on Friday, pushing
onto the north Gulf coast late Friday. The system as a whole will
be in a weakening phase as it approaches, but will bring gale-force
winds to much of the area, with large swells behind the front due
to dynamic fetch from the north Pacific. The Gulf coast will see
a decent period of snow from the front, but inland areas will be
mainly dry from moisture blocking and downslope drying.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 through 3: Tonight
through Saturday)...

One more day of quiet but still bitterly cold conditions is on
track for most of the outlook area, save for a few widely scattered
snow showers moving in with a couple weak waves embedded in an
upper trough moving overhead this evening. For places that clear
up and allow the surface to radiate out, very cold overnight lows
the -10s will be possible overnight tonight. Areas of low stratus
that moved over the Kuskokwim Delta earlier today could keep
temperatures a little warmer, depending on how much this deck is
able to break up overnight. Otherwise, expect another partly to
mostly sunny and clear day on Thursday.

A significant shift in the pattern will begin from Thursday night
into Friday as a strong, storm force low sends a front northeast
along the Alaska Peninsula, pushing into Bristol Bay on Friday.
Strong, gusty northeast winds will develop as a tight offshore
pressure gradient develops north of the low and approaching front,
with the strongest winds gusting up to 40 mph expected to peak
across Bristol Bay by the early afternoon hours. Snow will spread
north with the front as well, mainly for areas that will favor
upslope enhancement around the Kilbucks, while much of the rest of
Bristol Bay will stay drier due to downsloping drying off of the
Aleutian and Alaska Ranges. Areas of blowing snow are likely
farther west, including around Dillingham and Togiak, until winds
begin to decrease as the front weakens and the as the parent low
approaches from the southwest early on Saturday. The heaviest
snowfall amounts will also be focused near Dillingham, with around
5 to 8 inches of new accumulation through Saturday morning. Areas
of snow will linger near the the weakening surface low as it
moves over Bristol Bay on Saturday, while colder air begins rush
back into the Lower Kuskokwim Valley and Kuskokwim Delta and push
temperatures lower through Saturday evening.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 through 3:
Tonight through Friday)...

In the near term through tonight, a cluster of weak lows and
associated snow showers will continue to drift across the
Aleutians with generally weak winds. A much more active pattern
will begin by tomorrow, as a strong North Pacific low deepens to
around 955 mb on its approach to the central Aleutians. Strong
easterly winds gusting to around 75 mph at the peak remain
expected along the low's front across the central parts of the
Aleutian Chain, where a High Wind Warning remains in effect
beginning early Thursday. Storm force sustained east to northeast
winds will spread into much of the southern Bering as the low
runs up against high pressure focused over the northern Bering and
Siberia, with sustained winds of 50 kts expected to reach all the
way up to Saint George by Thursday night. The low's frontal
boundary will weaken as it moves into the eastern Aleutians and
up the southern Alaska Peninsula, resulting in slightly weaker
wind gusts peaking between 55 and 65 mph as it moves across on
Friday afternoon and evening. The High Wind Watches earlier in
effect have been cancelled, with confidence increasing that strong
and gusty winds will still occur along the front, but remain below
warning thresholds.

The other aspect of this system will be the heavy precipitation
amounts with the broad deformation band following the systems's
occluding front as it begins to wrap around the center of the low.
Temperatures will initially be cold enough for snow ahead of the
frontal passage for a few hours across most of the eastern
Aleutians, but a changeover to rain is likely within a few hours
after precipitation onset as temperatures warm through Thursday
night. The warm air following the occlusion aloft may fall just
short of reaching Adak, where several inches of very wet, slushy
snow will be possible through Thursday evening. Given that
temperatures will likely be hovering at or just above freezing for
most of the duration of heavier snow, widespread blowing snow is
not expected to develop until later on Friday morning as the low
moves into the Alaska Peninsula and as colder temperatures dive
south into the Aleutian Chain. Farther north across the Pribilofs,
temperatures will remain colder and well below freezing for the
duration of the event, resulting in blizzard conditions developing
on Thursday, especially across Saint George where the highest
snowfall amounts are expected. Please see the Blizzard Warning in
effect for the Pribilofs for additional details.

Between Friday and Saturday, more cold air will spill into the
Bering behind the low as it steadily weakens to below gale force.
Widespread heavy freezing spray will develop with this very cold,
northerly wind, with extreme freezing spray rates greater than 4
cm/hr possible close to the ice edge through Saturday.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 4 through 7: Sunday through Wednesday)...

A progressive pattern will amplify by mid-week, pushing a series
of storm force lows and fronts through the forecast area. Run to
run consistency is above average, with model solutions remaining
similar to yesterday, lending confidence to the long term forecast.
Sunday morning, a low entering the Gulf of Alaska will push a
front to the north Gulf coast, bringing a round of heavy
precipitation. The track of the low will serve to keep much of
the inland areas dry, with little warm air expected to work its
way into the mainland. This will keep most precipitation snow,
though there is a chance of rain at low elevations along the
immediate coast.

Model guidance continues to indicate that a weak front on the
back side of the low will bring light snow to Southwest Alaska,
with some potential to move into Southcentral as early as Sunday
evening. This is one of the most uncertain aspects of the long
term forecast, though snow accumulations appear to be limited to
a few inches at most. Uncertainty stems from the potential for a
deep cut-off low to be centered over Western Alaska on Sunday,
which would aid in providing lift and instability for precipitation.
It would also correspond to much lower temperatures for Southwest
Alaska as well, with the EC and GEM suggesting 850 mb temperatures
as low as -30C in tandem with the cut-off low. However, the
weaker depiction of this feature in GFS suggests uncertainty in
how cold temperatures will get. Regardless, cold air will help to
drive strong winds out of gaps on the south side of the Alaska
Peninsula and along the western Gulf. These winds are likely to
gust to storm force, and in localized areas storm force winds may
be sustained. Gap winds diminish Monday night as the low in the
Gulf weakens. Shower activity decreases along the north Gulf coast
as well, and the decaying front leaves much of the southern
mainland dry by Monday night.

At the same time, a strong storm force, or potentially hurricane
force, low in the North Pacific passes south of the Aleutian
Islands. The low track has nudged a bit closer to the island chain
with a more northerly model consensus compared to yesterday. Its
front pushes across the central and eastern Aleutians on Monday,
bringing easterly winds as strong as storm force. This also looks
to be another potential significant snowfall event for the
islands, with more cold air in place over the Bering Sea ahead of
the low. Snow moves up along the Alaska Peninsula into Bristol Bay
and over Kodiak Island on Tuesday. There will be some potential
for the low to track into the southern Gulf, allowing its front to
move up along the north Gulf coast bringing another round of
precipitation, with only a limited amount spreading inland. Then,
a strong front off another deep low near the Kamchatka Peninsula
brings a strong southerly push of warmer air late on Tuesday. This
should be enough for precipitation to switch over to rain as the
front sweeps from the western Aleutians to the central Aleutians
through Wednesday.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...High Wind Warning 187.
         Blizzard Warning 195.
MARINE...Heavy Freezing Spray Warning 139 160 179 180 185.
         Storm Warning 170 172 173 174 175 176 177 179.
         Gale Warning 132 150 155 160 165 171 180.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...RC
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...MTL
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...AS
LONG TERM...CQ