Alert archive / Louisiana / Tornado Watches in 2022

Tornado Watch 563

November 4, 202221 counties in Arkansas; 25 parishes in Louisiana; Jasper County, Newton County, Tyler County, Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Nov 4, 2022, 10:04 PM CDT for 21 counties in Arkansas; 25 parishes in Louisiana; Jasper County, Newton County, Tyler County, Texas. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Nov 4, 2022, 10:04 PM CDT (03:04 UTC)
Expired
Nov 5, 2022, 3:15 AM CDT
In force
5 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 49 counties

Arkansas County, AR, Ashley County, AR, Bradley County, AR, Calhoun County, AR, Chicot County, AR, Cleveland County, AR, Desha County, AR, Drew County, AR, Independence County, AR, Jackson County, AR, Jefferson County, AR, Lawrence County, AR, Lincoln County, AR, Lonoke County, AR, Monroe County, AR, Prairie County, AR, Randolph County, AR, Sharp County, AR, Union County, AR, White County, AR, Woodruff County, AR, Allen Parish, LA, Beauregard Parish, LA, Bienville Parish, LA, Caldwell Parish, LA, Catahoula Parish, LA, Claiborne Parish, LA, Concordia Parish, LA, East Carroll Parish, LA, Franklin Parish, LA, Grant Parish, LA, Jackson Parish, LA, LaSalle Parish, LA, Lincoln Parish, LA, Madison Parish, LA, Morehouse Parish, LA, Natchitoches Parish, LA, Ouachita Parish, LA, Rapides Parish, LA, Red River Parish, LA, Richland Parish, LA, Tensas Parish, LA, Union Parish, LA, Vernon Parish, LA, West Carroll Parish, LA, Winn Parish, LA, Jasper County, TX, Newton County, TX, Tyler County, TX

The radar

The Little Rock radar (KLZK), 101 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 03:06 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
50%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
10%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

24 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 4, 10:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVBienville, Bossier, Caddo, De Soto, Red River, Sabine and 1 more63 min
Nov 4, 10:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKBaxter, Cleburne, Conway, Faulkner, Izard, Searcy and 3 more40 min
Nov 4, 10:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLCHJasper, Tyler10 min
Nov 4, 10:23 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKClark, Cleveland, Dallas, Garland, Grant, Hot Spring and 4 more52 min
Nov 4, 10:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVBienville, Bossier, Claiborne, Webster60 min
Nov 4, 10:51 PM CDTTornado WarningSHVBienville, Bossier, Lincoln, Webster23 min
Nov 4, 10:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVBienville, Bossier, De Soto, Natchitoches, Red River, Sabine and 1 more67 min
Nov 4, 10:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKFaulkner, Lonoke, Pulaski, Saline, White48 min
Nov 4, 11:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKCleburne, Faulkner, Independence, Izard, Jackson, Lawrence and 4 more43 min
Nov 4, 11:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKArkansas, Grant, Jefferson, Lonoke, Prairie, Pulaski and 1 more40 min
Nov 4, 11:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVUnion55 min
Nov 4, 11:09 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedLZKLonoke, Pulaski, Saline23 min
Nov 4, 11:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKBradley, Calhoun, Cleveland, Dallas, Grant, Jefferson and 1 more45 min
Nov 4, 11:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKIndependence, Jackson, Lonoke, Prairie, White, Woodruff38 min
Nov 4, 11:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVJackson, Lincoln, Union62 min
Nov 4, 11:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKArkansas, Jefferson, Lonoke, Monroe, Prairie, Woodruff46 min
Nov 4, 11:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVBienville, Jackson, Natchitoches, Ouachita, Winn55 min
Nov 5, 12:02 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVUnion28 min
Nov 5, 12:10 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKIndependence, Jackson, White, Woodruff50 min
Nov 5, 12:24 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKArkansas, Monroe, Prairie, Woodruff51 min
Nov 5, 12:24 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVJackson, Lincoln, Ouachita, Union36 min
Nov 5, 12:26 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKArkansas, Bradley, Cleveland, Desha, Drew, Jefferson and 2 more49 min
Nov 5, 12:31 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANAshley59 min
Nov 5, 1:05 AM CDTTornado WarningLZKArkansas, Desha25 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Little Rock, AR (KLZK), launched 00:00Z, 3.1 hours before the alert went out and 182 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Little Rock, AR at 00:00Z on 2022-11-05Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 92 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Little Rock, AR at 00:00Z on 2022-11-05The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 294 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
92 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-37 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
886 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
68 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
294 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
360 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.1
Supercell composite
0.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 4, 7:17 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCHoward, Little River, Miller, Sevier88 min
Nov 4, 8:43 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaxter, Boone, Conway, Faulkner, Franklin, Garland and 15 more62 min
Nov 4, 9:20 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAshley, Bradley, Calhoun, Chicot, Drew, Lincoln and 1 more115 min
Nov 4, 9:48 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClay, Cleburne, Craighead, Cross, Faulkner, Fulton and 16 more117 min
Nov 4, 11:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCCraighead, Crittenden, Cross, Lee, Mississippi, Phillips and 2 more4 hr
Nov 5, 12:44 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Ashley, Chicot, Cross, Desha, Drew and 6 more61 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Louisiana, 2022Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2022Tornado Watches in Texas, 2022Every tornado watch in 2022

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.