Alert archive / Kentucky / Mesoscale Discussions in 2022

Mesoscale Discussion 2

December 31, 202173 counties in Kentucky; 27 counties in Tennessee

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Dec 31, 2021, 9:31 PM CST for 73 counties in Kentucky; 27 counties in Tennessee. It was in force for 2 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Dec 31, 2021, 9:31 PM CST (03:31 UTC)
Expired
Jan 1, 2022, 12:00 AM CST
In force
2 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Concerning
Severe potential...watch possible
Chance of a watch
60%
All 100 counties

Adair County, KY, Allen County, KY, Anderson County, KY, Barren County, KY, Bath County, KY, Bell County, KY, Bourbon County, KY, Boyle County, KY, Breckinridge County, KY, Bullitt County, KY, Butler County, KY, Calloway County, KY, Casey County, KY, Christian County, KY, Clark County, KY, Clay County, KY, Clinton County, KY, Cumberland County, KY, Edmonson County, KY, Estill County, KY, Fayette County, KY, Franklin County, KY, Fulton County, KY, Garrard County, KY, Graves County, KY, Grayson County, KY, Green County, KY, Hardin County, KY, Harrison County, KY, Hart County, KY, Henry County, KY, Hickman County, KY, Jackson County, KY, Jefferson County, KY, Jessamine County, KY, Knox County, KY, Larue County, KY, Laurel County, KY, Lee County, KY, Lincoln County, KY, Logan County, KY, Madison County, KY, Marion County, KY, Marshall County, KY, McCreary County, KY, Meade County, KY, Mercer County, KY, Metcalfe County, KY, Monroe County, KY, Montgomery County, KY, Muhlenberg County, KY, Nelson County, KY, Nicholas County, KY, Ohio County, KY, Oldham County, KY, Owen County, KY, Owsley County, KY, Powell County, KY, Pulaski County, KY, Rockcastle County, KY, Russell County, KY, Scott County, KY, Shelby County, KY, Simpson County, KY, Spencer County, KY, Taylor County, KY, Todd County, KY, Trigg County, KY, Warren County, KY, Washington County, KY, Wayne County, KY, Whitley County, KY, Woodford County, KY, Campbell County, TN, Cannon County, TN, Cheatham County, TN, Clay County, TN, Davidson County, TN, DeKalb County, TN, Dickson County, TN, Fentress County, TN, Henry County, TN, Houston County, TN, Jackson County, TN, Macon County, TN, Montgomery County, TN, Obion County, TN, Overton County, TN, Pickett County, TN, Putnam County, TN, Robertson County, TN, Rutherford County, TN, Scott County, TN, Smith County, TN, Stewart County, TN, Sumner County, TN, Trousdale County, TN, Weakley County, TN, White County, TN, Wilson County, TN

The radar

The Nashville radar (KOHX), 71 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 03:30 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 00:00Z, 3.5 hours before the alert went out and 84 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Nashville Metro, TN at 00:00Z on 2022-01-01Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 336 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Nashville Metro, TN at 00:00Z on 2022-01-01The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 223 square meters per square second.1939587897117136Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
336 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-83 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
894 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
79 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
223 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
268 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.4
Supercell composite
2.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 31, 11:57 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCAdair, Allen, Barren, Butler, Calloway, Carlisle and 33 more7 hr
Jan 1, 2:07 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Barren, Butler, Calloway, Christian, Cumberland and 9 more113 min
Jan 1, 10:29 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Allen, Barren, Butler, Casey, Edmonson and 10 more61 min
Jan 1, 10:50 AM CSTTornado WatchSPCAdair, Allen, Barren, Boyle, Casey, Clinton and 14 more7 hr
Jan 1, 12:38 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Casey, Clay, Clinton, Cumberland, Estill and 17 more97 min
Jan 1, 12:56 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCBell, Breathitt, Clay, Harlan, Jackson, Knott and 12 more6 hr
Jan 1, 1:57 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBedford, Giles, Hardin, Lawrence, Lincoln, Marshall and 2 more93 min
Jan 1, 3:27 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Bledsoe, Campbell, Coffee, Cumberland, Franklin and 14 more93 min
Jan 1, 5:53 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Bledsoe, Blount, Bradley, Cumberland, Franklin and 19 more67 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Kentucky, 2022Mesoscale Discussions in Tennessee, 2022Every mesoscale discussion in 2022

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.