Flash Flood Warning 11, NWS Nashville, TN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
346 PM CDT Sat Aug 6 2022

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Sunday Night)
Issued at 346 PM CDT Sat Aug 6 2022

Unsettled weather pattern will continue through Sunday night as
result of a benign surface and upper level pattern continuing
across mid state region. Isolated to scattered mainly diurnally
driven showers and thunderstorms will be norm with at times
numerous showers and thunderstorms being experienced also
for remainder of these afternoon hours today and again on Sunday
afternoon for locations generally east of I-65. When diurnal
influences begin to diminish, showers and thunderstorms will
start coming to an end. This should be generally as evening hours
tonight progress with showers and thunderstorms once again
developing again as daylight hours progress on Sunday. Within this
very unsettled weather pattern, it is of particular note that
very little if any atmospheric wind shear is expected. As a
result, developing convection will generally be quite vertical,
slow moving, and thus bringing the potential with it of some of
the stronger showers and thunderstorms bringing heavy rainfall to
certain locations that could result in at least local ponding of
water on area roadways, minor flooding, etc. Can not rule out the
stronger downdrafts associated with the stronger storms producing
strong to damaging winds at times. As mentioned before, most
shower and thunderstorms activity will be diurnally driven in
nature. However, when it comes to location development outflow
boundaries from current and previous days convection along with
local orographic effects will likely play a key role in
particular convective development also. For a better set of words,
atmosphere just trying to cool itself off when the day starts
getting too hot. As for temperatures, mild lows in low to mid 70s,
upper 60s to around 70 Cumberland Plateau Region expected tonight
and Sunday night with muggy overnight conditions continuing.
Highs on Sunday will be near seasonal normal values with humid
conditions continuing.

.LONG TERM...
(Monday through next Saturday)
Issued at 346 PM CDT Sat Aug 6 2022

More unsettled weather pattern through at least day on Wednesday
is continued to be expected across mid state region as benign
surface and upper level pattern continues across our area. Pretty
much a repeat of the short term period when it comes to
temperature and humidity values through Tuesday night. Pretty
much of a repeat of the short term period also through Tuesday
night when it comes to showers and thunderstorm chances and
possible location development and areal coverage.

Thankfully, a summertime cold front looks to push through mid
state as day progresses on Wednesday. As Wednesday night into
Thursday progresses also, upper level ridging influences across
western contingous U.S. will slowly shift eastward and become
even stronger, ushering in northwesterly upper level flow to our
area. So it is looking like this unsettled weather pattern will
come to an end as Thursday into first part of upcoming weekend
progresses. As those days progress, expecting dry weather, mostly
clear skies, and temperatures a few degrees below seasonal normal
values.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1236 PM CDT Sat Aug 6 2022

The weather pattern will continue for the next 24+ hours.
Standard afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms. The best
chances will be BNA/MQY/CSV but have included a tempo for all
sites. Any storms that do impact a terminal will have the
potential for heavy rainfall. Coverage of storms will decrease
after sunset with some broken high clouds. Winds will be
southerly. Don/t expect too much in the way of early morning
fog...except for possible at CSV from 07/10Z to 07/13Z with MVFR
possible.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      73  91  73  90 /  40  60  20  40
Clarksville    72  91  71  90 /  30  40  20  30
Crossville     68  83  68  82 /  40  70  20  60
Columbia       72  91  72  90 /  40  60  20  40
Cookeville     70  86  71  85 /  50  70  20  50
Jamestown      69  83  69  83 /  50  60  20  60
Lawrenceburg   71  89  71  88 /  30  50  20  40
Murfreesboro   72  90  72  89 /  40  60  20  40
Waverly        72  91  72  91 /  30  40  20  30

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

SHORT TERM...JB Wright
LONG TERM....JB Wright
AVIATION.....12

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Nashville TN
246 AM CDT Sat Aug 6 2022

TNZ005>011-023>034-056>066-075-077>080-093>095-070800-
Stewart-Montgomery-Robertson-Sumner-Macon-Clay-Pickett-Houston-
Humphreys-Dickson-Cheatham-Davidson-Wilson-Trousdale-Smith-Jackson-
Putnam-Overton-Fentress-Perry-Hickman-Lewis-Williamson-Maury-
Marshall-Rutherford-Cannon-De Kalb-White-Cumberland-Bedford-Coffee-
Warren-Grundy-Van Buren-Wayne-Lawrence-Giles-
246 AM CDT Sat Aug 6 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Middle Tennessee.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

10

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Nashville TN
402 PM CDT Sat Aug 6 2022

TNZ063>065-077>079-062200-
Cannon TN-Coffee TN-Grundy TN-De Kalb TN-Warren TN-White TN-
402 PM CDT Sat Aug 6 2022

...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of southeastern De Kalb,
Warren, Coffee, northwestern Grundy, southwestern White and eastern
Cannon Counties through 500 PM CDT...

At 402 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 8 miles southwest of Smithville to near
Tullahoma. Movement was east at 10 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
McMinnville, Manchester, Tullahoma, Altamont, Morrison, Centertown,
Viola, Hillsboro, Rock Island State Park, Summitville and Arnold AFB.

Subterranea Festival 2022 will also be impacted.

This includes Interstate 24 between mile markers 104 and 126.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3532 8600 3534 8603 3536 8615 3534 8620
      3534 8626 3535 8624 3537 8628 3538 8625
      3539 8628 3541 8625 3546 8625 3592 8596
      3592 8551 3580 8557 3581 8560 3578 8561
      3579 8560 3576 8561 3576 8560 3531 8583
TIME...MOT...LOC 2102Z 268DEG 9KT 3587 8592 3540 8622

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Barnwell

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Nashville TN
445 PM CDT Sat Aug 6 2022

TNZ078-080-062230-
Van Buren TN-Warren TN-
445 PM CDT Sat Aug 6 2022

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of Van Buren and
southeastern Warren Counties through 530 PM CDT...

At 445 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 11
miles south of Spencer, moving northeast at 20 mph.

HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Spencer and Fall Creek Falls State Park.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3576 8527 3572 8527 3557 8542 3555 8546
      3553 8563 3559 8572 3582 8548 3581 8547
      3582 8546 3582 8543 3580 8536 3582 8527
      3581 8528 3580 8527 3578 8527 3578 8526
      3577 8525
TIME...MOT...LOC 2145Z 240DEG 19KT 3558 8551

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Barnwell

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Nashville TN
450 PM CDT Sat Aug 6 2022

TNZ011-032>034-066-062245-
Putnam TN-Cumberland TN-Fentress TN-Overton TN-Pickett TN-
450 PM CDT Sat Aug 6 2022

...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of eastern Overton,
central Pickett, northern Cumberland, southeastern Putnam and
Fentress Counties through 545 PM CDT...

At 449 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 6 miles southeast of Byrdstown to near
Monterey. Movement was northeast at 25 mph.

HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Jamestown, Fairfield Glade, Monterey, Allardt, Grimsley, Slate
Springs, Clarkrange, Crawford, Pickett State Park and Pall Mall.

This includes Interstate 40 between mile markers 298 and 316.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3637 8470 3638 8472 3634 8474 3633 8477
      3630 8480 3629 8487 3621 8491 3615 8491
      3613 8487 3608 8483 3609 8480 3606 8479
      3598 8527 3599 8531 3603 8531 3605 8537
      3652 8519 3662 8500 3660 8479 3640 8466
TIME...MOT...LOC 2149Z 238DEG 20KT 3652 8504 3607 8529

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Barnwell

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
523 PM CDT SAT AUG 6 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0230 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 ESE INGLEWOOD         36.20N 86.68W
08/06/2022                   DAVIDSON           TN   PUBLIC

            TREE DAMAGE REPORTED WITH ONE LIMB HITTING A
            VEHICLE. PHOTOS AND REPORT VIA TWITTER. TIME
            ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.

&&

JB

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Nashville TN
547 PM CDT Sat Aug 6 2022

TNZ011-032>034-066-062345-
Putnam TN-Cumberland TN-Fentress TN-Overton TN-Pickett TN-
547 PM CDT Sat Aug 6 2022

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southeastern
Overton, central Pickett, northern Cumberland, east central Putnam
and Fentress Counties through 645 PM CDT...

At 547 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 9
miles south of Jamestown, moving northeast at 20 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Jamestown, Allardt, Crawford, Grimsley, Pickett State Park and
Clarkrange.

This includes Interstate 40 between mile markers 305 and 306.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3637 8470 3638 8472 3635 8473 3635 8474
      3634 8474 3633 8477 3630 8480 3629 8487
      3624 8488 3621 8491 3615 8491 3613 8487
      3608 8483 3610 8482 3609 8480 3604 8477
      3608 8524 3652 8509 3656 8475 3640 8466
TIME...MOT...LOC 2247Z 246DEG 16KT 3630 8494

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Barnwell

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
551 PM CDT SAT AUG 6 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0230 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 ESE INGLEWOOD         36.20N 86.68W
08/06/2022                   DAVIDSON           TN   PUBLIC

            ADDITIONAL TREES DOWN IN THE SUNSET VIEW
            NEIGHBORHOOD. REPORT VIA TWITTER, TIME
            ESTIMATED BY RADAR.

&&

JB