Severe Thunderstorm Warning 17, NWS Twin Cities, MN

378 
WWUS53 KMPX 130300
SVSMPX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
1000 PM CDT Tue Apr 12 2022

MNC043-130309-
/O.CAN.KMPX.SV.W.0017.000000T0000Z-220413T0345Z/
Faribault MN-
1000 PM CDT Tue Apr 12 2022

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN FARIBAULT COUNTY
IS CANCELLED...

The storms which prompted the warning have moved out of the warned 
area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

LAT...LON 4382 9365 4387 9362 4402 9329 4401 9305
      4350 9305 4350 9364
TIME...MOT...LOC 0259Z 240DEG 33KT 4383 9351 4355 9358 

$$

MNC047-147-161-130345-
/O.CON.KMPX.SV.W.0017.000000T0000Z-220413T0345Z/
Freeborn MN-Steele MN-Waseca MN-
1000 PM CDT Tue Apr 12 2022

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1045 PM CDT
FOR FREEBORN...SOUTHERN STEELE AND SOUTHEASTERN WASECA COUNTIES...

At 959 PM CDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from near Hartland to near Mansfield, moving northeast at
40 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Albert Lea, Blooming Prairie, New Richland, Clarks Grove, Ellendale,
Alden, Glenville, Geneva, Emmons, Hartland, London and Hollandale.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 4382 9365 4387 9362 4402 9329 4401 9305
      4350 9305 4350 9364
TIME...MOT...LOC 0259Z 240DEG 33KT 4383 9351 4355 9358 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

Borghoff

486 
WWUS53 KMPX 130316
SVSMPX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
1016 PM CDT Tue Apr 12 2022

MNC161-130326-
/O.CAN.KMPX.SV.W.0017.000000T0000Z-220413T0345Z/
Waseca MN-
1016 PM CDT Tue Apr 12 2022

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN WASECA COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

The storms which prompted the warning have moved out of the warned 
area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until midnight CDT for south
central Minnesota.

LAT...LON 4350 9352 4368 9344 4395 9341 4401 9305
      4350 9305
TIME...MOT...LOC 0316Z 264DEG 28KT 4385 9335 4365 9334 4352 9341 

$$

MNC047-147-130345-
/O.CON.KMPX.SV.W.0017.000000T0000Z-220413T0345Z/
Freeborn MN-Steele MN-
1016 PM CDT Tue Apr 12 2022

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1045 PM CDT
FOR FREEBORN AND SOUTHERN STEELE COUNTIES...

At 1016 PM CDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from near Ellendale to Albert Lea to near Twin Lakes,
moving east at 35 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Albert Lea, Blooming Prairie, Clarks Grove, Ellendale, Glenville,
Geneva, Emmons, London, Hollandale, Hayward, Twin Lakes and Myrtle.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until midnight CDT for south
central Minnesota.

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 4350 9352 4368 9344 4395 9341 4401 9305
      4350 9305
TIME...MOT...LOC 0316Z 264DEG 28KT 4385 9335 4365 9334 4352 9341 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

Borghoff

624 
WWUS53 KMPX 130344
SVSMPX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
1044 PM CDT Tue Apr 12 2022

MNC047-147-130354-
/O.EXP.KMPX.SV.W.0017.000000T0000Z-220413T0345Z/
Freeborn MN-Steele MN-
1044 PM CDT Tue Apr 12 2022

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR FREEBORN AND SOUTHERN STEELE
COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 1045 PM CDT...
    
The storms which prompted the warning have weakened below severe
limits, and have exited the warned area. Therefore, the warning will
be allowed to expire.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until midnight CDT for south
central Minnesota.

LAT...LON 4350 9352 4368 9344 4395 9341 4401 9305
      4350 9305
TIME...MOT...LOC 0344Z 220DEG 30KT 4402 9315 4382 9314 4370 9321 

$$

CTG

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
546 PM CDT Tue Apr 12 2022

.UPDATED for 06Z aviation discussion...
Issued at 536 PM CDT Tue Apr 12 2022

&&

.DISCUSSION...(This evening through Tuesday)
Issued at 230 PM CDT Tue Apr 12 2022

* KEY MESSAGES: (optional)

- Severe thunderstorms are possible through this evening from
  southwest and south central Minnesota through east central
  Minnesota and into west central Wisconsin. Although isolated severe
  weather is possible prior to 7 PM, most of the potential for severe
  storms will be from 7 PM onward.

- Strong winds are expected Thursday into Thursday night, with gusts
  of 40 to 50 mph possible, especially along and south of the
  Minnesota River valley.

Visible satellite imagery this afternoon shows clouds locked in
across the area, with the nearest clearing from southeast South
Dakota into western Iowa. Surface low of around 985 mb was analyzed
over eastern Nebraska. This low will lift northeast through this
evening, and should bring the warm frontal boundary into far southern
and southeast Minnesota after 00Z. Instability will be somewhat
limited, and will be primarily elevated, although the south/southeast
portion of the area could see some storms rooted in the boundary
layer which would enhance tornado potential there. In addition, the
eventual evolution into more of a QLCS structure east of I-35 after
02Z could favor the development of low-level mesovortices and short-
tracked tornadoes and/or enhanced areas of wind damage. Otherwise,
hail looks to be the primary concern over most of the area, including
the Twin Cities metro, where forecast soundings from the RAP and HRRR
favor things remaining elevated. Even with somewhat limited
instability, low-level and deep layer/effective shear will remain
high through the evening, favoring rotating updrafts in discrete
elevated storms, further enhancing the large hail potential. The
forecast 0-3 km bulk shear fields across the southern portion of the
area this evening favor greater than 30 kt of shear with any
potential storm/line motion, which is why mesovortices (as mentioned
above) would be favored if/when a QLCS structure evolves. Meaningful
convection should push east of the area by around 05-06Z, with some
lingering showers possible, mainly over the north.

The surface low will occlude from Minnesota into Wisconsin on
Wednesday, with the bulk of the lingering precipitation staying
north/east of the forecast area, although some PoPs are still
warranted (particularly north of I-94). Cold advection increases
Wednesday night into Thursday, along with the pressure gradient.
Winds look to significantly increase Thursday into Thursday night,
with gusts to 50 mph a possibility (especially from west central into
south central Minnesota). Included gusts above 40 mph for much of the
area Thursday afternoon/evening, and subsequent forecasts should be
able to refine things, with the definite possibility of a wind
advisory being needed at some point.

Medium range guidance is in good agreement after Thursday, with
unseasonably cool temperatures continuing through the weekend,
although precipitation chances are limited and light through that
time. Return flow will precede the next system of note Sunday
afternoon/evening, with sufficient moisture and lift for rain/snow
across the area. It looks to cool off a bit behind this system, with
any significant warming holding off until after the current seven day
forecast period.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Wednesday evening)
Issued at 536 PM CDT Tue Apr 12 2022

Areas of MVFR/IFR developing this evening as thunderstorms lift up
from Iowa and move across Minnesota and Wisconsin. These storms could
be severe with strong winds and large hail. Expect a strong wind
shift as well with a surface low moving through. Winds will start out
easterly this evening, and then take on a more westerly direction
with strong gusts near 30kts on Wednesday after the surface low
passes through.

KMSP...
No significant changes from the previous forecast. Thunderstorms are
expected later this evening with MVFR/IFR clouds developing as well.
These storms could produce strong winds or large hail. Winds will be
easterly, and then switch northeast and to the north tonight,
eventually becoming westerly on Wednesday. Clouds should lift towards
VFR by the late afternoon and evening.

/OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/
Thu...IFR/MVFR chc -RASN. Wind W 20-25 kts, gusts 40-45 kts.
Fri...VFR. Wind W 20-25 kts, gusts 35-40 kts.
Sat...VFR. Wind WNW 10-15 kts, gusts 25kts.

&&

.MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MN...None.
WI...None.
&&

DISCUSSION...WFO MPX
AVIATION...JRB

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
526 PM CDT Tue Apr 12 2022

MNZ051>053-059>063-065>070-073>078-082>085-091>093-WIZ014>016-
023>028-132230-
Sherburne-Isanti-Chisago-Wright-Hennepin-Anoka-Ramsey-Washington-
Renville-McLeod-Sibley-Carver-Scott-Dakota-Redwood-Brown-Nicollet-
Le Sueur-Rice-Goodhue-Watonwan-Blue Earth-Waseca-Steele-Martin-
Faribault-Freeborn-Polk-Barron-Rusk-St. Croix-Pierce-Dunn-Pepin-
Chippewa-Eau Claire-
526 PM CDT Tue Apr 12 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central
Minnesota...east central Minnesota...south central Minnesota...
southeast Minnesota...southwest Minnesota...northwest Wisconsin
and west central Wisconsin.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Strong to severe thunderstorms are expected this evening from
southwest and south central through east central Minnesota and
into western Wisconsin. The greatest risk for tornadoes,
including a strong tornado or two, exists this evening in south
central Minnesota. Large hail will be the primary severe hazard
across the rest of the thunderstorm threat area.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Wind gusts of 45 to 55 mph are expected across much of central
and southern Minnesota Wednesday night into Thursday night. Wind
gusts to 40 mph will also be possible Wednesday and Friday.

Scattered snow showers will be possible Thursday, with occasional
bouts of low visibility resulting from the falling and blowing
snow.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN spotter activation will likely be needed.

MNZ041>045-047>050-054>058-064-132230-
Douglas-Todd-Morrison-Mille Lacs-Kanabec-Stevens-Pope-Stearns-
Benton-Lac Qui Parle-Swift-Chippewa-Kandiyohi-Meeker-
Yellow Medicine-
526 PM CDT Tue Apr 12 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central
Minnesota...east central Minnesota and west central Minnesota.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Showers and thunderstorms are expected late tonight. Some storms
may be strong with gusty winds and small hail. Widespread severe
weather is not anticipated.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Wind gusts of 45 to 55 mph are expected across much of central
and southern Minnesota Wednesday night into Thursday night. Wind
gusts to 40 mph will also be possible Wednesday and Friday.

Scattered snow showers will be possible Thursday, with occasional
bouts of low visibility resulting from the falling and blowing
snow.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN spotter activation will likely be needed.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
826 PM CDT TUE APR 12 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0800 PM     HAIL             SKYLINE                 44.14N 94.03W
04/12/2022  M1.00 INCH       BLUE EARTH         MN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            PICTURE VIA TWITTER.

&&

TDH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
858 PM CDT Tue Apr 12 2022

MNZ058-059-066-130230-
McLeod MN-Meeker MN-Wright MN-
858 PM CDT Tue Apr 12 2022

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southwestern Wright,
southeastern Meeker and northern McLeod Counties through 930 PM
CDT...

At 858 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Hutchinson, moving east at 40 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Silver Lake around 915 PM CDT.

Other locations in the path of this storm include Lester Prairie,
Winsted and Howard Lake.

This includes U.S. Highway 12 between mile markers 118 and 128.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until midnight CDT for
central and east central Minnesota.

&&

LAT...LON 4498 9399 4497 9401 4483 9401 4484 9450
      4489 9450 4490 9455 4502 9461 4511 9399
TIME...MOT...LOC 0158Z 251DEG 36KT 4487 9445

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

JRB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
900 PM CDT TUE APR 12 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0740 PM     HAIL             2 NNE MANKATO           44.19N 93.98W
04/12/2022  E1.00 INCH       BLUE EARTH         MN   PUBLIC

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
907 PM CDT TUE APR 12 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0855 PM     HAIL             HUTCHINSON              44.89N 94.37W
04/12/2022  M1.00 INCH       MCLEOD             MN   PUBLIC

            PICTURE VIA TWITTER.

&&

TDH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
914 PM CDT Tue Apr 12 2022

MNZ066>068-130245-
Carver MN-McLeod MN-Sibley MN-
914 PM CDT Tue Apr 12 2022

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of eastern Sibley,
southeastern McLeod and southern Carver Counties through 945 PM
CDT...

At 914 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Arlington, or 24 miles northeast of New Ulm, moving northeast at 60
mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Green Isle around 925 PM CDT.
  Norwood Young America around 930 PM CDT.

Other locations in the path of this storm include Cologne, Carver and
Chaska.

This includes U.S. Highway 212 between mile markers 114 and 126.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until midnight CDT for
south central, central and east central Minnesota.

&&

LAT...LON 4453 9439 4483 9423 4479 9358 4476 9362
      4472 9363 4463 9377 4463 9381 4460 9388
      4453 9391 4445 9403
TIME...MOT...LOC 0214Z 225DEG 53KT 4457 9412

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

JRB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
934 PM CDT TUE APR 12 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0930 PM     HAIL             NEW PRAGUE              44.54N 93.57W
04/12/2022  M1.00 INCH       SCOTT              MN   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

TDH