High Wind Warning 1, NWS Newport/Morehead City, NC

630 
WWUS72 KMHX 030815
NPWMHX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
315 AM EST Mon Jan 3 2022

NCZ203>205-032100-
/O.CON.KMHX.HW.W.0001.220103T1200Z-220104T0300Z/
Northern Outer Banks-Ocracoke Island-Hatteras Island-
Including the cities of Duck, Kitty Hawk, Kill Devil Hills, 
Nags Head, Manteo, Ocracoke, Rodanthe, Avon, Buxton, Frisco, 
and Hatteras Village
315 AM EST Mon Jan 3 2022

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO
10 PM EST THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...North winds 35 to 45 mph with gusts up to 60 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...Hatteras Island, Ocracoke Island and Northern Outer 
  Banks.

* WHEN...From 7 AM this morning to 10 PM EST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines. 
  Widespread power outages are expected. Travel will be 
  difficult, especially for high profile vehicles.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around
trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of
your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if
you must drive.

&&

$$

NCZ199-032100-
/O.EXA.KMHX.WI.Y.0001.220103T1200Z-220104T0000Z/
Coastal Onslow-
Including the cities of Swansboro, Sneads Ferry, 
and North Topsail Beach
315 AM EST Mon Jan 3 2022

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM EST
THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...West to southwest winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 45
  mph expected.

* WHERE...Coastal Onslow County.

* WHEN...From 7 AM this morning to 7 PM EST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may 
  result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

NCZ196-032100-
/O.CON.KMHX.WI.Y.0001.220103T1200Z-220104T0300Z/
East Carteret-
Including the cities of Beaufort, Harkers Island, Sea Level, 
and Cedar Island
315 AM EST Mon Jan 3 2022

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO
10 PM EST THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...Northwest winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 50 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...East Carteret County.

* WHEN...From 7 AM this morning to 10 PM EST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may 
  result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

NCZ046-047-032100-
/O.CON.KMHX.WI.Y.0001.220103T1200Z-220103T2100Z/
Tyrrell-Mainland Dare-
Including the cities of Columbia, Gum Neck, Manns Harbor, 
Stumpy Point, and East Lake
315 AM EST Mon Jan 3 2022

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO 4 PM
EST THIS AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...North winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 45 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...Mainland Dare and Tyrrell Counties.

* WHEN...From 7 AM this morning to 4 PM EST this afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may 
  result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

NCZ195-032100-
/O.CON.KMHX.WI.Y.0001.220103T1200Z-220104T0000Z/
West Carteret-
Including the cities of Morehead City, Newport, Atlantic Beach, 
Emerald Isle, and Stella
315 AM EST Mon Jan 3 2022

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM
EST THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...West to southwest winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 50
  mph expected.

* WHERE...West Carteret County.

* WHEN...From 7 AM this morning to 7 PM EST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may 
  result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

604 
WWUS72 KMHX 030846
NPWMHX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
346 AM EST Mon Jan 3 2022

NCZ203>205-032100-
/O.CON.KMHX.HW.W.0001.220103T1200Z-220104T0300Z/
Northern Outer Banks-Ocracoke Island-Hatteras Island-
Including the cities of Duck, Kitty Hawk, Kill Devil Hills, 
Nags Head, Manteo, Ocracoke, Rodanthe, Avon, Buxton, Frisco, 
and Hatteras Village
346 AM EST Mon Jan 3 2022

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO
10 PM EST THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...North winds 35 to 45 mph with gusts up to 60 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...Hatteras Island, Ocracoke Island and Northern Outer 
  Banks.

* WHEN...From 7 AM this morning to 10 PM EST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines. 
  Widespread power outages are expected. Travel will be 
  difficult, especially for high profile vehicles.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around
trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of
your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if
you must drive.

&&

$$

NCZ029-044-045-079>081-090>092-094-193-194-198-032100-
/O.EXA.KMHX.WI.Y.0001.220103T1200Z-220103T2100Z/
Martin-Pitt-Washington-Greene-Beaufort-Mainland Hyde-Duplin-
Lenoir-Jones-Pamlico-Northern Craven-Southern Craven-
Inland Onslow-
Including the cities of Williamston, Robersonville, Oak City, 
Jamesville, Greenville, Bethel, Farmville, Grifton, Grimesland, 
Plymouth, Roper, Creswell, Snow Hill, Hookerton, Walstonburg, 
Washington, Chocowinity, Belhaven, Bath, Aurora, Engelhard, 
Fairfield, Ponzer, Scranton, Swanquarter, Wallace, Warsaw, 
Kenansville, Beulaville, Faison, Kinston, La Grange, Pink Hill, 
Maysville, Pollocksville, Trenton, Oriental, Bayboro, Arapahoe, 
Vandemere, Vanceboro, Ernul, Dover, Cove City, New Bern, 
River Bend, Fairfield Harbor, Havelock, Jacksonville, Richlands, 
and Half Moon
346 AM EST Mon Jan 3 2022

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO 4 PM EST
THIS AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Northwest winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 45 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...Portions of eastern North Carolina.

* WHEN...From 7 AM this morning to 4 PM EST this afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree
  limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

NCZ195-199-032100-
/O.EXT.KMHX.WI.Y.0001.220103T1200Z-220103T2100Z/
West Carteret-Coastal Onslow-
Including the cities of Morehead City, Newport, Atlantic Beach, 
Emerald Isle, Stella, Swansboro, Sneads Ferry, 
and North Topsail Beach
346 AM EST Mon Jan 3 2022

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO 4 PM EST
THIS AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...West to southwest winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 
  45 mph expected.

* WHERE...Coastal Onslow and West Carteret Counties.

* WHEN...From 7 AM this morning to 4 PM EST this afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may 
  result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

NCZ196-032100-
/O.CON.KMHX.WI.Y.0001.220103T1200Z-220104T0300Z/
East Carteret-
Including the cities of Beaufort, Harkers Island, Sea Level, 
and Cedar Island
346 AM EST Mon Jan 3 2022

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO
10 PM EST THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...Northwest winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 50 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...East Carteret County.

* WHEN...From 7 AM this morning to 10 PM EST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may 
  result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

NCZ046-047-032100-
/O.CON.KMHX.WI.Y.0001.220103T1200Z-220103T2100Z/
Tyrrell-Mainland Dare-
Including the cities of Columbia, Gum Neck, Manns Harbor, 
Stumpy Point, and East Lake
346 AM EST Mon Jan 3 2022

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO 4 PM
EST THIS AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...North winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 45 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...Mainland Dare and Tyrrell Counties.

* WHEN...From 7 AM this morning to 4 PM EST this afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may 
  result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

670 
WWUS72 KMHX 032009
NPWMHX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
309 PM EST Mon Jan 3 2022

NCZ029-044-045-079>081-090>092-094-193>195-198-199-032115-
/O.CAN.KMHX.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-220103T2100Z/
Martin-Pitt-Washington-Greene-Beaufort-Mainland Hyde-Duplin-
Lenoir-Jones-Pamlico-Northern Craven-Southern Craven-
West Carteret-Inland Onslow-Coastal Onslow-
Including the cities of Williamston, Robersonville, Oak City, 
Jamesville, Greenville, Bethel, Farmville, Grifton, Grimesland, 
Plymouth, Roper, Creswell, Snow Hill, Hookerton, Walstonburg, 
Washington, Chocowinity, Belhaven, Bath, Aurora, Engelhard, 
Fairfield, Ponzer, Scranton, Swanquarter, Wallace, Warsaw, 
Kenansville, Beulaville, Faison, Kinston, La Grange, Pink Hill, 
Maysville, Pollocksville, Trenton, Oriental, Bayboro, Arapahoe, 
Vandemere, Vanceboro, Ernul, Dover, Cove City, New Bern, 
River Bend, Fairfield Harbor, Havelock, Morehead City, Newport, 
Atlantic Beach, Emerald Isle, Stella, Jacksonville, Richlands, 
Half Moon, Swansboro, Sneads Ferry, and North Topsail Beach
309 PM EST Mon Jan 3 2022

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

Winds have fallen below Windy Advisory criteria.

$$

NCZ203>205-040000-
/O.EXT.KMHX.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-220104T0000Z/
Northern Outer Banks-Ocracoke Island-Hatteras Island-
Including the cities of Duck, Kitty Hawk, Kill Devil Hills, 
Nags Head, Manteo, Ocracoke, Rodanthe, Avon, Buxton, Frisco, 
and Hatteras Village
309 PM EST Mon Jan 3 2022

...HIGH WIND WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...North winds 35 to 45 mph with gusts up to 60 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...Hatteras Island, Ocracoke Island and Northern Outer 
  Banks.

* WHEN...Until 7 PM EST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines. 
  Widespread power outages are expected. Travel will be 
  difficult, especially for high profile vehicles.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around
trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of
your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if
you must drive.

&&

$$

NCZ196-040000-
/O.EXT.KMHX.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-220104T0000Z/
East Carteret-
Including the cities of Beaufort, Harkers Island, Sea Level, 
and Cedar Island
309 PM EST Mon Jan 3 2022

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...Northwest winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 50 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...East Carteret County.

* WHEN...Until 7 PM EST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may 
  result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

NCZ046-047-032115-
/O.CON.KMHX.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-220103T2100Z/
Tyrrell-Mainland Dare-
Including the cities of Columbia, Gum Neck, Manns Harbor, 
Stumpy Point, and East Lake
309 PM EST Mon Jan 3 2022

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...North winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 45 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...Mainland Dare and Tyrrell Counties.

* WHEN...Until 4 PM EST this afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may 
  result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

228 
WWUS72 KMHX 032030
NPWMHX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
330 PM EST Mon Jan 3 2022

NCZ203>205-040000-
/O.CON.KMHX.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-220104T0000Z/
Northern Outer Banks-Ocracoke Island-Hatteras Island-
Including the cities of Duck, Kitty Hawk, Kill Devil Hills, 
Nags Head, Manteo, Ocracoke, Rodanthe, Avon, Buxton, Frisco, 
and Hatteras Village
330 PM EST Mon Jan 3 2022

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...North winds 35 to 45 mph with gusts up to 60 mph.

* WHERE...Hatteras Island, Ocracoke Island and Northern Outer 
  Banks.

* WHEN...Until early this evening.

* IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines. 
  Widespread power outages are expected. Travel will be 
  difficult, especially for high profile vehicles.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around
trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of
your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if
you must drive.

&&

$$

NCZ046-047-040000-
/O.EXT.KMHX.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-220104T0000Z/
Tyrrell-Mainland Dare-
Including the cities of Columbia, Gum Neck, Manns Harbor, 
Stumpy Point, and East Lake
330 PM EST Mon Jan 3 2022

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...North winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 45 mph.

* WHERE...Mainland Dare and Tyrrell Counties.

* WHEN...Until early this evening.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may 
  result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

NCZ196-040000-
/O.CON.KMHX.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-220104T0000Z/
East Carteret-
Including the cities of Beaufort, Harkers Island, Sea Level, 
and Cedar Island
330 PM EST Mon Jan 3 2022

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...Northwest winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 50 mph.

* WHERE...East Carteret County.

* WHEN...Until early this evening.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may 
  result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

704 
WWUS72 KMHX 032355
NPWMHX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
655 PM EST Mon Jan 3 2022

NCZ203>205-040700-
/O.CAN.KMHX.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-220104T0000Z/
/O.EXB.KMHX.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-220104T0700Z/
Northern Outer Banks-Ocracoke Island-Hatteras Island-
Including the cities of Duck, Kitty Hawk, Kill Devil Hills, 
Nags Head, Manteo, Ocracoke, Rodanthe, Avon, Buxton, Frisco, 
and Hatteras Village
655 PM EST Mon Jan 3 2022

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EST TUESDAY...
...HIGH WIND WARNING IS OVER...

* WHAT...North winds 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 50 mph.

* WHERE...Northern Outer Banks, Ocracoke Island and Hatteras 
  Island.

* WHEN...Until 2 AM EST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree
  limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

NCZ046-047-040100-
/O.CAN.KMHX.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-220104T0000Z/
Tyrrell-Mainland Dare-
Including the cities of Columbia, Gum Neck, Manns Harbor, 
Stumpy Point, and East Lake
655 PM EST Mon Jan 3 2022

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

$$

NCZ196-040400-
/O.EXT.KMHX.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-220104T0400Z/
East Carteret-
Including the cities of Beaufort, Harkers Island, Sea Level, 
and Cedar Island
655 PM EST Mon Jan 3 2022

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...North winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 45 mph.

* WHERE...East Carteret County.

* WHEN...Until 11 PM EST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may 
  result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
445 PM EST Sun Jan 2 2022

.SYNOPSIS...
A strong cold front and low pressure area will impact the
region tonight and Monday. Cold high pressure will build over
the area early next week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /TONIGHT/...
As of 430 PM Sun...

Small convective complex carrying moderate showers near Cape
Lookout will be moving over the Core Banks and out to sea over
the next hour or two. Otherwise some light shower activity back
to the west will continue to linger over the area before
attention focuses to the southwest.

A deep upper trough will dig through the Deep South tonight,
developing both a surface low pressure system as well as an upper
low which will help drive the system into the Carolinas by Monday
morning as the upper trough begins to become negatively tilted. The
biggest variable with this system is the eventual track of the low
with the 12z NAM bringing the low across our southern counties and
then over Hatteras Island before exiting out to sea. The GFS
solution however is further north and west introducing some
uncertainty to the forecast. The upshot of this is that in
either scenario there is a decent severe threat and thus, SPC
has the area in a slight risk for severe wx on Monday. A more
northwesterly solution could really push some of the best
moisture to the northwest which would certainly decrease storm
total QPF, particularly across southern areas of the CWA.
Western counties will still have the best chance at seeing some
of the heaviest rainfall with this system.

As far as the severe threat goes overnight into Monday morning, the
southern counties, Crystal Coast, Downeast NC, and Outer Banks south
of Oregon Inlet are the most likely to see severe weather as
the surface low passes by during the morning hours. Instability
and helicity increase significantly right along the coast
therefore damaging winds and isolated tornados and waterspouts
will be possible with the bulk of this threat closer to sunrise
on Monday.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY/...

As of 400 PM Monday...Strong low pressure will be positioned
over the FA by daybreak with aforementioned heavy rain and
severe potential continuing through the morning hours. Locations
north of the low track and associated warm front will continue
receiving the heaviest rainfall while points south of the front
in the warm sector may continue seeing the potential for severe
weather throughout the morning. Come mid to late morning, the
low will begin to move offshore, bringing along a sweeping cold
front through the region that will shut off our severe weather
risks behind it, though stratiform rain will persist across the
CWA through the early afternoon hours before precip begins to
end late aftn/evening. Gusty Nrly flow behind the front will
usher in strong CAA. Have upgraded Wind Advisory to High Wind
Warning for the Outer Banks with Wind Advisories for mainland
Dare and Tyrrell as well as Carteret Counties.

A non- diurnal temp curve can be expected with high temps
occuring in the morning before crashing with the onset of strong
CAA behind the front. Crystal Coast areas tucked into the warm
sector in the morning can expect an AM high in the low 60s while
the northern half of the FA will only be in the mid 40s to low
50s. By the afternoon, inland locations will drop into the upper
30s to low 40s and continue to crater into the nighttime hours
with lows expected to be in the mid to upper 20s inland with mid
to upper 30s along the coast.

Sightings of some mixed precip cannot be ruled out for the
extreme northern tier counties as temps drop during the
afternoon, but any notable impacts remain unlikely at this time.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 4 AM Sun...Strong low pressure system moves offshore in
the afternoon. Another cold front approaches the region by the
end of the work week.

Tuesday through Saturday...High pressure builds into the area
Tuesday with a significantly colder airmass building into the
area with temps finally falling below normal. Highs on Tuesday
have dropped a few degrees with mid 40s to around 50 inland and
mid to upper 50s along the coast. The high moves off the Mid-
Atlantic coast as a coastal trough begins to push ashore, which
could bring a few showers across eastern portions of the FA
Wednesday. Temps continue to moderate with highs around the
upper 50s to mid 60s. Another trough drips across the Midwest on
Thu, advancing a cold front closer to the East Coast that will
arrive Thu night into Friday for another chance for a few
showers. High pressure builds back in for Saturday.

&&

.AVIATION /20Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
SHORT TERM /through Monday AM/...
As of 100 PM Sunday...VFR conditions across the area this
afternoon as ceilings have lifted and precipitation has become
patchy at best. Winds have also relaxed to southwesterly at 5-10
kts with the occasional gust to 15 kts. As evening approaches
precipitation coverage will start to increase from the southwest
and rain will become more prevalent overnight as a low pressure
system approaches the area. This will bring visibilities down
to MVFR and ceilings will follow with some IFR cigs possible
during the overnight hours. As we approach daybreak on Monday
Morning, chances for thunder will increase as will gusty winds.
KISO, KOAJ, and KEWN will be the most likely to experience
thunder with possible severe gusts. Pockets of low level wind
shear will also be a possibility mainly with convection.

LONG TERM /Monday through Thursday/...
As of 430 AM Sun...The potential for heavy rain and stronger
storms will continue Monday morning, with higher confidence IFR
to LIFR ceilings as the low passes nearby/overhead. High
pressure builds into the area Monday afternoon/evening with
gusty Nrly winds. High pressure settles overhead Tuesday for a
quiet day before moving offshore Wednesday to be replaced by
another high on Thursday.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM /TONIGHT/...
As of 4 PM Sun...Winds have diminished this afternoon to 15-20
kts gusting 20-25 and will continue to 10-15 kt, before ramping
up again early Mon morning. Cold front will push into the
waters tonight and early Monday with strong low pressure moving
along it. Expect conditions to deteriorate rapidly Monday
morning.

LONG TERM /Monday through Thursday/...
As of 440 PM Sun...Nrly winds surge behind the front Monday,
bringing solid gales and storm force winds to coastal waters
from the northern OBX through Cape Lookout including the Pamlico
Sound. Strong gales are also expected for the southern waters as
well as the inland rivers and Ablemarle Sound. Current Marine
Wind Warnings reflect this with timing through 3z on Tuesday.
Treacherous seas are expected Monday, building to 10-14 ft
across the central and northern waters with 7-9 ft across the
southern waters. High pressure moves overhead Tuesday, allowing
howling winds to rapidly calm to 10 kts and dangerous seas to
drop to 3-5 ft with marine conditions continuing to improve into
Wednesday. Weak coastal disturbance will bring some rain
chances across the waters Wed and inc Srly flow to 10-15 kts
before high pressure returns Thursday.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
As of 4 AM Sun...Very minor water level rises in low lying
areas possible for soundside Outer Banks north of Cape Hatteras
today with strong SW winds. Strong northerly winds will develop
behind a cold front Monday, which will likely lead to a better
chance for minor to locally moderate coastal flooding (1-3 ft
agl) along soundside Outer Banks and downeast Carteret county.
Rough surf expected, with minor ocean overwash possible, from
Duck to Cape Hatteras. Will issue Coastal Flood Advisories for
the Outer Banks and eastern Carteret Monday morning into Tue
morning. High Surf Advisory north of Cape Hatteras Mon into Mon
night.

&&

.MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...Wind Advisory from 7 AM to 4 PM EST Monday for NCZ046-047.
     Wind Advisory from 7 AM Monday to 1 AM EST Tuesday for NCZ203-
     205.
     Coastal Flood Advisory from 6 AM Monday to 10 AM EST Tuesday
     for NCZ196-203>205.
     High Surf Advisory from 9 AM Monday to 4 AM EST Tuesday for
     NCZ203-205.
     Wind Advisory from 10 AM to 10 PM EST Monday for NCZ196-204.
MARINE...Gale Warning from 9 AM to 7 PM EST Monday for AMZ136-137.
     Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM EST this afternoon for AMZ135.
     Gale Warning from 6 AM to 10 PM EST Monday for AMZ135.
     Gale Warning from 6 AM to 7 PM EST Monday for AMZ131-230-231.
     Gale Warning until 10 PM EST Monday for AMZ152-154-156-158.
     Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM EST this evening for AMZ150.
     Gale Warning from 5 AM to 10 PM EST Monday for AMZ150.

&&

SYNOPSIS...MHX
NEAR TERM...RTE
SHORT TERM...RTE/ML
LONG TERM...ML/CEB
AVIATION...RTE/ML
MARINE...RTE/CQD/ML
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...MHX

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
409 PM EST Sun Jan 2 2022

NCZ029-044-045-079-080-090-091-094-193-032115-
Martin-Pitt-Washington-Greene-Beaufort-Duplin-Lenoir-Pamlico-
Northern Craven-
409 PM EST Sun Jan 2 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Locally heavy rain is expected tonight into Monday morning, which
could lead to localized flooding of low lying areas.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Locally heavy rain threat will continue into Monday, with localized
flooding possible.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ203-205-032115-
Northern Outer Banks-Hatteras Island-
409 PM EST Sun Jan 2 2022

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM MONDAY TO 10 AM EST
TUESDAY...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM MONDAY TO 1 AM EST TUESDAY...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM MONDAY TO 4 AM EST
TUESDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Locally heavy rain is expected tonight into Monday morning, which
could lead to localized flooding of low lying areas. Strong to severe
thunderstorms will be possible Monday morning, with the threat of
damaging winds and tornadoes.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Coastal Flood Advisory.
   Wind Advisory.
   High Surf Advisory.

Severe weather and heavy rain threats will linger into Monday
morning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ204-032115-
Ocracoke Island-
409 PM EST Sun Jan 2 2022

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM MONDAY TO 10 AM EST
TUESDAY...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 10 PM EST MONDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Locally heavy rain is expected tonight into Monday morning, which
could lead to localized flooding of low lying areas. Strong to severe
thunderstorms will be possible late tonight into Monday morning,
with the threat of damaging winds and tornadoes.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Coastal Flood Advisory.
   Wind Advisory.

Severe weather and heavy rain threats will linger into Monday
morning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ046-047-032115-
Tyrrell-Mainland Dare-
409 PM EST Sun Jan 2 2022

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 4 PM EST MONDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Locally heavy rain is expected tonight into Monday morning, which
could lead to localized flooding of low lying areas.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.

Minor water level rises will be possible for areas adjacent to the
southern Alligator River Monday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ081-032115-
Mainland Hyde-
409 PM EST Sun Jan 2 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Isolated strong to severe thunderstorms with damaging winds are
possible this evening. Locally heavy rain is expected tonight into
Monday morning, which could lead to localized flooding of low lying
areas.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Minor water level rises will be possible for areas adjacent to the
southern Alligator River Monday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ092-194-198-032115-
Jones-Southern Craven-Inland Onslow-
409 PM EST Sun Jan 2 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Locally heavy rain is expected tonight into Monday morning, which
could lead to localized flooding of low lying areas. Strong to severe
thunderstorms will be possible Monday morning, with the threat of
damaging winds and tornadoes.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Severe weather and heavy rain threats will linger into Monday
morning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ195-199-032115-
West Carteret-Coastal Onslow-
409 PM EST Sun Jan 2 2022

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO NOON EST MONDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Locally heavy rain is expected tonight into Monday morning, which
could lead to localized flooding of low lying areas. Strong to severe
thunderstorms will be possible late tonight into Monday morning,
with the threat of damaging winds and tornadoes.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Coastal Flood Advisory.

Severe weather and heavy rain threats will linger into Monday
morning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ196-032115-
East Carteret-
409 PM EST Sun Jan 2 2022

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM MONDAY TO 10 AM EST
TUESDAY...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 10 PM EST MONDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Locally heavy rain is expected tonight into Monday morning, which
could lead to localized flooding of low lying areas. Strong to severe
thunderstorms will be possible late tonight into Monday morning,
with the threat of damaging winds and tornadoes.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Coastal Flood Advisory.
   Wind Advisory.

Severe weather and heavy rain threats will linger into Monday
morning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.