Wind Advisory 17, NWS Wichita, KS

610 
WWUS73 KICT 302049
NPWICT

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Wichita KS
349 PM CDT Sat Apr 30 2022

KSZ032-033-047>053-067-068-010000-
/O.CON.KICT.WI.Y.0017.000000T0000Z-220501T0000Z/
Russell-Lincoln-Barton-Ellsworth-Saline-Rice-McPherson-Marion-
Chase-Reno-Harvey-
Including the cities of Russell, Lincoln, Sylvan Grove, 
Great Bend, Ellsworth, Wilson, Salina, Lyons, Sterling, 
McPherson, Hillsboro, Marion, Peabody, Cottonwood Falls, 
Strong City, Hutchinson, and Newton
349 PM CDT Sat Apr 30 2022

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...Northwest winds 25 to 30 mph with gusts up to 45 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...Central Kansas.

* WHEN...Until 7 PM CDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured light weight 
  objects and make driving difficult for high profile vehicles.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

261 
WWUS73 KICT 302358
NPWICT

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Wichita KS
658 PM CDT Sat Apr 30 2022

KSZ032-033-047>053-067-068-010100-
/O.CAN.KICT.WI.Y.0017.000000T0000Z-220501T0000Z/
Russell-Lincoln-Barton-Ellsworth-Saline-Rice-McPherson-Marion-
Chase-Reno-Harvey-
Including the cities of Russell, Lincoln, Sylvan Grove, 
Great Bend, Ellsworth, Wilson, Salina, Lyons, Sterling, 
McPherson, Hillsboro, Marion, Peabody, Cottonwood Falls, 
Strong City, Hutchinson, and Newton
658 PM CDT Sat Apr 30 2022

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

Winds have begun to weaken this evening, so the wind advisory will
be allowed to expire.

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
1246 AM CDT Sat Apr 30 2022

...Updated Aviation Discussion...

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Monday night)
Issued at 256 PM CDT Fri Apr 29 2022

Convective trends/severe mode the main concern/challenge this
evening. Little change from previous thinking/discussions, as warm
sector continues to destabilize with dry-line (DL) at 19z starting
to mix eastward from GBD to just east of PTT/P28 line. So, expect
the DL focus to be situated just west of the I-135 corridor in
the 21z-00z time frame where 2500-3000 j/kg MLCape should reside
with weakening inhibition. IF DL convection can develop, then very
favorable bulk shear of 45-50 kts normal to the DL, around 100
j/kg 0-3km Cape and increasing low level helicity with backing
near surface flow toward around 00z will support supercells with
potential for significant large hail and tornadoes across south
central Kansas into the Flint Hills through early this evening.
Otherwise, there remains rather high confidence in quasi-linear
strong to severe convection as the cold front merges with the DL
late this evening/tonight as it progresses eastward from the I-
135 corridor across the Flint Hills into southeast Kansas. This
will pose mainly a damaging wind threat with some potential for
marginally large hail early on.

A drier and cooler regime will follow on Saturday as the upper low
deepens over the Upper Midwest. Some diurnally enhanced stratocu
could drift over portions of central and eastern Kansas with gusty
northwest winds diminishing late in the day. Dry weather expected on
Sunday with return southerly flow and mild/near seasonal
temperatures.

Sunday night-Monday: Strong low level moisture transport Sunday
night may result in moderate instability with sufficient cloud
bearing shear for strong storms with potential MCS moving across
southern Kansas. Then on Monday the warm front will bow northward
putting at least portions of southern and eastern Kansas in the
very moist unstable warm sector ahead of another vigorous upper
trof moving into the central Plains. Of course the NAM is more
bullish with the Sunday night-Monday scenario over the GFS.
Nonetheless, another dry-line/cold frontal merger scenario looks
to evolve along/east of I- 135 in the late afternoon/evening with
higher probability of severe wind/squall line, though conditional
chances again for somewhat more isolated storms/supercells across
far southern Kansas or more probable northern Oklahoma at the
moment.

Darmofal

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday through Friday)
Issued at 256 PM CDT Fri Apr 29 2022

A more typical active Spring-time pattern will prevail next week.
Another upper low will be somewhat slower to progress eastward
from the western conus into the Plains Wednesday into Thursday.
The medium range ensemble members show some variance late in the
week, so confidence is lower especially on PoP trends.

KED

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Saturday night)
Issued at 1243 AM CDT Sat Apr 30 2022

Line of strong thunderstorms will exit southeast Kansas by 08z,
with clearing skies in its wake. Strong and gusty west/northwest
winds will prevail Saturday, strongest across central and north-
central Kansas, where gusts could reach 35-40 kts.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 256 PM CDT Fri Apr 29 2022

Gusty northwest winds on Saturday will result in very high
grassland fire danger from late morning through the afternoon
across portions of central Kansas, mainly west of highway 14.
Otherwise, fire weather concerns are expected to be low to
moderate Sunday into next week with periodic chances for
widespread wetting rains.

KED

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Wichita-KICT    52  74  46  75 /  50   0   0   0
Hutchinson      51  73  44  74 /  30   0   0  10
Newton          51  72  45  74 /  60   0   0   0
ElDorado        51  73  46  74 /  70   0   0   0
Winfield-KWLD   51  75  46  76 /  50   0   0   0
Russell         48  71  42  74 /  30  10   0  10
Great Bend      49  72  42  74 /  20   0   0  10
Salina          51  72  44  74 /  40  10   0  10
McPherson       50  72  44  73 /  30   0   0  10
Coffeyville     55  75  48  76 /  90  10   0   0
Chanute         54  73  47  75 / 100  10   0   0
Iola            54  72  47  73 / 100  10   0   0
Parsons-KPPF    55  74  47  75 /  90  10   0   0

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

SHORT TERM...KED
LONG TERM...KED
AVIATION...ADK
FIRE WEATHER...KED

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wichita KS
1130 PM CDT Fri Apr 29 2022

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-010430-
Russell-Lincoln-Barton-Ellsworth-Saline-Rice-McPherson-Marion-Chase-
Reno-Harvey-Butler-Greenwood-Woodson-Allen-Kingman-Sedgwick-Harper-
Sumner-Cowley-Elk-Wilson-Neosho-Chautauqua-Montgomery-Labette-
1130 PM CDT Fri Apr 29 2022

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Central Kansas,
South Central Kansas and Southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

A line of thunderstorms will move across southeast Kansas tonight
with damaging winds up to 60 mph, and hail up quarter size.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

Very high grassland fire danger is expected Saturday from late
morning through the afternoon across portions of central Kansas,
mainly along and west of highway 14.

There is a good chance for thunderstorms Sunday night through
Monday
night. Some of these storms could be strong to severe. Periodic
chances for storms will exist Wednesday into Thursday with some
potential for at least strong to marginally severe storms.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated tonight.

&&

For a graphical version of this information, see our webpage at:
https://weather.gov/crh/ghwo?sid=ict

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
150 AM CDT SAT APR 30 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0814 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST SALINA MUNICIPAL AIRPOR 38.79N 97.64W
04/29/2022  M79 MPH          SALINE             KS   ASOS

            DELAYED REPORT.

&&

ADK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
157 AM CDT SAT APR 30 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0754 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST RUSSELL AIRPORT         38.87N 98.81W
04/29/2022  M90 MPH          RUSSELL            KS   ASOS

            DELAYED REPORT.

&&

ADK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
201 AM CDT SAT APR 30 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0757 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST ELLSWORTH AIRPORT       38.75N 98.23W
04/29/2022  M66 MPH          ELLSWORTH          KS   AWOS

            DELAYED REPORT.

&&

ADK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
205 AM CDT SAT APR 30 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0752 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST HUTCHINSON AIRPORT      38.07N 97.86W
04/29/2022  M62 MPH          RENO               KS   ASOS

            DELAYED REPORT.

&&

ADK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
207 AM CDT SAT APR 30 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0735 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST LYONS AIRPORT           38.34N 98.23W
04/29/2022  M64 MPH          RICE               KS   AWOS

            DELAYED REPORT.

&&

ADK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
209 AM CDT SAT APR 30 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0757 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST ELLSWORTH AIRPORT       38.75N 98.23W
04/29/2022  M74 MPH          ELLSWORTH          KS   AWOS

            CORRECTS PREVIOUS REPORT OF 66 MPH.

&&

ADK