Alert archive / Kansas / River Flood Warnings in 2022

River Flood Warning 2, NWS Wichita, KS

May 4, 2022Butler County, Cowley County, Kansas

NWS Wichita, KS issued this river flood warning at May 4, 2022, 8:27 PM CDT for Butler County, Cowley County, Kansas. It took effect at May 5, 2022, 6:25 AM CDT. It was in force for 30 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 4, 2022, 8:27 PM CDT (01:27 UTC)
In effect from
May 5, 2022, 6:25 AM CDT
Expired
May 6, 2022, 12:00 PM CDT
In force
30 hr
Issued by
NWS Wichita, KS
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

Counties Butler County, KS, Cowley County, KS

The radar

The Wichita radar (KICT), 39 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:28 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Whitewater River (KS) at Augusta (AGSK1).

Action stage
19 ft
Minor stage
21 ft
Moderate stage
25 ft
Major stage
30 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 07147190, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

879 
WGUS43 KICT 050127
FLWICT

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Wichita KS
827 PM CDT Wed May 4 2022

...The National Weather Service in Wichita KS has issued a Flood 
Warning for the following rivers in Kansas...

  Whitewater River at Towanda affecting Butler County.

  Whitewater River at Augusta affecting Butler and Cowley Counties.

For the Whitewater River...including Towanda, Augusta...Minor 
flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive into flooded areas or go around barricades. Nearly two 
feet of water will carry most vehicles away. Turn around, don't 
drown.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

&&

KSC015-051330-
/O.NEW.KICT.FL.W.0001.220505T0625Z-220506T1055Z/
/TOWK1.1.ER.220505T0625Z.220505T1200Z.220505T2254Z.NO/
827 PM CDT Wed May 4 2022

...FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT TO EARLY FRIDAY 
MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Whitewater River at Towanda.

* WHEN...From late tonight to early Friday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 25.0 feet, Flooding over cropland becomes more 
  widespread. County roads flood at Southwest 40th Street on low 
  spots near the river about 2 miles downstream of gage and along 
  Southwest 60th Street just west of Fulton Road near the river 
  located 4 miles south of Towanda. Further downstream, 5 miles 
  south of Towanda, expect flooding across Southwest 70th.,

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 7:30 PM CDT Wednesday the stage was 16.8 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
    just after midnight tonight to a crest of 24.6 feet tomorrow
    morning. It will then fall below flood stage tomorrow
    afternoon.
  - Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

                Fld   Observed           Forecasts (7 pm CDT)     
Location        Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Thu   Fri   Sat          

Whitewater River
Towanda         22.0  16.8  Wed 7 pm CDT 21.6  11.7  4.9          


&&

LAT...LON 3794 9698 3774 9695 3774 9707 3794 9709


$$

KSC015-035-051330-
/O.NEW.KICT.FL.W.0002.220505T1142Z-220506T1700Z/
/AGSK1.1.ER.220505T1142Z.220505T1800Z.220506T0500Z.NO/
827 PM CDT Wed May 4 2022

...FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING TO EARLY FRIDAY 
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Whitewater River at Augusta.

* WHEN...From Thursday morning to early Friday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...At 24.0 feet, Flood waters begin to flow over Southwest 
  70th Street just to the east of the river bridge loacted 3 miles 
  northwest of Augusta and also across Southwest 60th Street near 
  the river bridge located about 4 miles northwest of town.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 7:46 PM CDT Wednesday the stage was 8.8 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
    tomorrow morning to a crest of 22.6 feet early tomorrow
    afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage early Friday
    morning.
  - Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

                Fld   Observed           Forecasts (7 pm CDT)     
Location        Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Thu   Fri   Sat          

Whitewater River
Augusta         21.0  8.8   Wed 7 pm CDT 22.5  12.8  7.0          


&&

LAT...LON 3774 9695 3765 9699 3765 9706 3774 9707


$$

McGuire
6 follow-up statements
276 
WGUS83 KICT 050718
FLSICT

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Wichita KS
218 AM CDT Thu May 5 2022

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Kansas...

  Whitewater River at Augusta affecting Butler and Cowley Counties.

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Kansas...

  Whitewater River at Towanda affecting Butler County.

For the Whitewater River...including Towanda, Augusta...Minor 
flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive into flooded areas or go around barricades. Nearly two 
feet of water will carry most vehicles away. Turn around, don't 
drown.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

&&

KSC015-051930-
/O.EXT.KICT.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-220506T0900Z/
/TOWK1.1.ER.220505T0514Z.220505T1200Z.220505T2100Z.NO/
218 AM CDT Thu May 5 2022

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE TONIGHT...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Whitewater River at Towanda.

* WHEN...Until late tonight.

* IMPACTS...At 25.0 feet, Flooding over cropland becomes more 
  widespread. County roads flood at Southwest 40th Street on low 
  spots near the river about 2 miles downstream of gage and along 
  Southwest 60th Street just west of Fulton Road near the river 
  located 4 miles south of Towanda. Further downstream, 5 miles 
  south of Towanda, expect flooding across Southwest 70th.,

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 1:30 AM CDT Thursday the stage was 22.5 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 24.6
    feet this morning. It will then fall below flood stage late
    this afternoon.
  - Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

                Fld   Observed           Forecasts (1 am CDT)     
Location        Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Fri   Sat   Sun          

Whitewater River
Towanda         22.0  22.5  Thu 1 am CDT 18.3  10.7  4.7          


&&

LAT...LON 3794 9698 3774 9695 3774 9707 3794 9709


$$

KSC015-035-051930-
/O.EXT.KICT.FL.W.0002.220505T1125Z-220507T0016Z/
/AGSK1.1.ER.220505T1125Z.220506T0000Z.220506T1216Z.NO/
218 AM CDT Thu May 5 2022

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM THIS MORNING TO TOMORROW 
EVENING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Whitewater River at Augusta.

* WHEN...From this morning to tomorrow evening.

* IMPACTS...At 24.0 feet, Flood waters begin to flow over Southwest 
  70th Street just to the east of the river bridge loacted 3 miles 
  northwest of Augusta and also across Southwest 60th Street near 
  the river bridge located about 4 miles northwest of town.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 1:31 AM CDT Thursday the stage was 16.8 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
    this morning to a crest of 23.7 feet this evening. It will
    then fall below flood stage tomorrow morning.
  - Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

                Fld   Observed           Forecasts (1 am CDT)     
Location        Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Fri   Sat   Sun          

Whitewater River
Augusta         21.0  16.8  Thu 1 am CDT 23.1  14.7  6.8          


&&

LAT...LON 3774 9695 3765 9699 3765 9706 3774 9707


$$

Jakub
896 
WGUS83 KICT 051345
FLSICT

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Wichita KS
845 AM CDT Thu May 5 2022

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Kansas...

  Whitewater River at Augusta affecting Butler and Cowley Counties.

For the Whitewater River...including Towanda, Augusta...Minor 
flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive into flooded areas or go around barricades. Nearly two 
feet of water will carry most vehicles away. Turn around, don't 
drown.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

&&

KSC015-035-060145-
/O.EXT.KICT.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-220506T2324Z/
/AGSK1.1.ER.220505T1413Z.220506T0000Z.220506T1124Z.NO/
845 AM CDT Thu May 5 2022

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL TOMORROW EVENING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Whitewater River at Augusta.

* WHEN...Until tomorrow evening.

* IMPACTS...At 24.0 feet, Flood waters begin to flow over Southwest 
  70th Street just to the east of the river bridge loacted 3 miles 
  northwest of Augusta and also across Southwest 60th Street near 
  the river bridge located about 4 miles northwest of town.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:31 AM CDT Thursday the stage was 20.7 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
    late this morning to a crest of 23.7 feet this evening. It
    will then fall below flood stage tomorrow morning.
  - Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

                Fld   Observed           Forecasts (7 am CDT)     
Location        Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Fri   Sat   Sun          

Whitewater River
Augusta         21.0  20.7  Thu 8 am CDT 20.8  12.1  5.6          


&&

LAT...LON 3774 9695 3765 9699 3765 9706 3774 9707


$$

Butler
199 
WGUS83 KICT 051925
FLSICT

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Wichita KS
225 PM CDT Thu May 5 2022

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Kansas...

  Whitewater River at Towanda affecting Butler County.

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Kansas...

  Whitewater River at Augusta affecting Butler and Cowley Counties.

For the Whitewater River...including Towanda, Augusta...Minor 
flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive into flooded areas or go around barricades. Nearly two 
feet of water will carry most vehicles away. Turn around, don't 
drown.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

&&

KSC015-035-060730-
/O.EXT.KICT.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-220506T1330Z/
/AGSK1.1.ER.220505T1845Z.220506T0000Z.220506T0130Z.NO/
225 PM CDT Thu May 5 2022

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL TOMORROW MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Whitewater River at Augusta.

* WHEN...Until tomorrow morning.

* IMPACTS...At 21.0 feet, Flooding of low lying areas can be 
  expected, especially rural roads west of town approximately 1 mile.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 2:01 PM CDT Thursday the stage was 21.1 feet and cresting.
  - Forecast...The river is near its crest of 21.1 feet. It will
    then fall below flood stage this evening.
  - Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

                Fld   Observed           Forecasts (1 pm CDT)     
Location        Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Fri   Sat   Sun          

Whitewater River
Augusta         21.0  21.1  Thu 2 pm CDT 15.0  8.1   5.7          


&&

LAT...LON 3774 9695 3765 9699 3765 9706 3774 9707


$$

KSC015-060730-
/O.EXT.KICT.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-220506T1307Z/
/TOWK1.1.ER.220505T0514Z.220505T1830Z.220506T0107Z.NO/
225 PM CDT Thu May 5 2022

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL TOMORROW MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Whitewater River at Towanda.

* WHEN...Until tomorrow morning.

* IMPACTS...At 25.0 feet, Flooding over cropland becomes more 
  widespread. County roads flood at Southwest 40th Street on low 
  spots near the river about 2 miles downstream of gage and along 
  Southwest 60th Street just west of Fulton Road near the river 
  located 4 miles south of Towanda. Further downstream, 5 miles 
  south of Towanda, expect flooding across Southwest 70th.,

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 1:30 PM CDT Thursday the stage was 24.4 feet and cresting.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    this evening and continue falling to 3.6 feet early Tuesday
    afternoon.
  - Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

                Fld   Observed           Forecasts (1 pm CDT)     
Location        Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Fri   Sat   Sun          

Whitewater River
Towanda         22.0  24.4  Thu 1 pm CDT 15.7  8.4   4.8          


&&

LAT...LON 3794 9698 3774 9695 3774 9707 3794 9709


$$

Pearce
846 
WGUS83 KICT 060154
FLSICT

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Wichita KS
854 PM CDT Thu May 5 2022

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Kansas...

  Whitewater River at Augusta affecting Butler and Cowley Counties.

  Whitewater River at Towanda affecting Butler County.

For the Whitewater River...including Towanda, Augusta...Minor 
flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive into flooded areas or go around barricades. Nearly two 
feet of water will carry most vehicles away. Turn around, don't 
drown.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the 
dangers of flooding.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

&&

KSC015-035-061400-
/O.EXT.KICT.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-220506T2018Z/
/AGSK1.1.ER.220505T1845Z.220506T0130Z.220506T0818Z.NO/
854 PM CDT Thu May 5 2022

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL TOMORROW AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Whitewater River at Augusta.

* WHEN...Until tomorrow afternoon.

* IMPACTS...At 21.0 feet, Flooding of low lying areas can be 
  expected, especially rural roads west of town approximately 1 mile.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:30 PM CDT Thursday the stage was 21.7 feet and cresting.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    late tonight and continue falling to 4.7 feet Tuesday
    evening.
  - Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

                Fld   Observed           Forecasts (7 pm CDT)     
Location        Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Fri   Sat   Sun          

Whitewater River
Augusta         21.0  21.7  Thu 8 pm CDT 15.5  9.0   5.7          


&&

LAT...LON 3774 9695 3765 9699 3765 9706 3774 9707


$$

KSC015-061400-
/O.EXT.KICT.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-220506T1622Z/
/TOWK1.N.ER.220505T0514Z.220505T1830Z.220506T0422Z.NO/
854 PM CDT Thu May 5 2022

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE TOMORROW MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring.

* WHERE...Whitewater River at Towanda.

* WHEN...Until late tomorrow morning.

* IMPACTS...At 25.0 feet, Flooding over cropland becomes more 
  widespread. County roads flood at Southwest 40th Street on low 
  spots near the river about 2 miles downstream of gage and along 
  Southwest 60th Street just west of Fulton Road near the river 
  located 4 miles south of Towanda. Further downstream, 5 miles 
  south of Towanda, expect flooding across Southwest 70th.,

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:30 PM CDT Thursday the stage was 23.8 feet and falling.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    tonight and continue falling to 2.3 feet Tuesday evening.
  - Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

                Fld   Observed           Forecasts (7 pm CDT)     
Location        Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Fri   Sat   Sun          

Whitewater River
Towanda         22.0  23.8  Thu 8 pm CDT 13.8  6.9   3.5          


&&

LAT...LON 3794 9698 3774 9695 3774 9707 3794 9709


$$

Pearce
609 
WGUS83 KICT 060721
FLSICT

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Wichita KS
221 AM CDT Fri May 6 2022

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Kansas...

  Whitewater River at Augusta affecting Butler and Cowley Counties.

  Whitewater River at Towanda affecting Butler County.

For the Whitewater River...including Towanda, Augusta...Minor 
flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive into flooded areas or go around barricades. Nearly two 
feet of water will carry most vehicles away. Turn around, don't 
drown.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the 
dangers of flooding.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

&&

KSC015-035-061930-
/O.EXT.KICT.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-220507T0430Z/
/AGSK1.1.ER.220505T1845Z.220506T0130Z.220506T1630Z.NO/
221 AM CDT Fri May 6 2022

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Whitewater River at Augusta.

* WHEN...Until late this evening.

* IMPACTS...At 21.0 feet, Flooding of low lying areas can be 
  expected, especially rural roads west of town approximately 1 mile.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 2:00 AM CDT Friday the stage was 21.4 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 21.6
    feet this morning. It will then fall below flood stage late
    this morning.
  - Flood stage is 21.0 feet.


&&

                Fld   Observed           Forecasts (1 am CDT)     
Location        Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Sat   Sun   Mon          

Whitewater River
Augusta         21.0  21.4  Fri 2 am CDT 15.2  7.6   5.3          


&&

LAT...LON 3774 9695 3765 9699 3765 9706 3774 9707


$$

KSC015-061930-
/O.EXT.KICT.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-220507T0049Z/
/TOWK1.1.ER.220505T0514Z.220505T1830Z.220506T1249Z.NO/
221 AM CDT Fri May 6 2022

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Whitewater River at Towanda.

* WHEN...Until this evening.

* IMPACTS...At 22.0 feet, The river will be out of its banks on both 
  sides. West bank overflows impact cropland mainly in low lying 
  areas.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 1:30 AM CDT Friday the stage was 23.0 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    this morning and continue falling to 2.3 feet early Wednesday
    morning.
  - Flood stage is 22.0 feet.


&&

                Fld   Observed           Forecasts (1 am CDT)     
Location        Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Sat   Sun   Mon          

Whitewater River
Towanda         22.0  23.0  Fri 1 am CDT 13.9  5.9   2.9          


&&

LAT...LON 3794 9698 3774 9695 3774 9707 3794 9709


$$

Lawson
483 
WGUS83 KICT 061322
FLSICT

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Wichita KS
822 AM CDT Fri May 6 2022

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Kansas...

  Whitewater River at Augusta affecting Butler and Cowley Counties.

  Whitewater River at Towanda affecting Butler County.

KSC015-035-061430-
/O.CAN.KICT.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-220506T1322Z/
/AGSK1.1.ER.220505T1845Z.220506T0130Z.220506T1202Z.NO/
822 AM CDT Fri May 6 2022

...FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED...

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Whitewater River at Augusta.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:16 AM CDT Friday the stage was 20.6 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall to 4.8 feet
    Wednesday morning.
  -

&&

                Fld   Observed           Forecasts (7 am CDT)     
Location        Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Sat   Sun   Mon          

Whitewater River
Augusta         21.0  20.6  Fri 8 am CDT 12.9  7.5   5.5          


&&

LAT...LON 3774 9695 3765 9699 3765 9706 3774 9707


$$

KSC015-061430-
/O.CAN.KICT.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-220506T1322Z/
/TOWK1.1.ER.220505T0514Z.220505T1830Z.220506T1000Z.NO/
822 AM CDT Fri May 6 2022

...FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED...

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Whitewater River at Towanda.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 7:30 AM CDT Friday the stage was 20.9 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall to 2.3 feet
    Wednesday morning.
  -

&&

                Fld   Observed           Forecasts (7 am CDT)     
Location        Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Sat   Sun   Mon          

Whitewater River
Towanda         22.0  20.9  Fri 7 am CDT 12.3  5.7   3.4          


&&

LAT...LON 3794 9698 3774 9695 3774 9707 3794 9709


$$

Butler

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Wichita, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at May 4, 6:52 PM CDT, 1 hour 35 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 4, 6:52 PM CDT, 1 hour 35 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
652 PM CDT Wed May 4 2022

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Friday night)
Issued at 226 PM CDT Wed May 4 2022

Current satellite water vapor imagery shows a vigorous shortwave
over the Rockies, with this shortwave expected to move east into the
plains tonight through Thu. Warm advection and low level moisture
transport has led to, off and on, showers and embedded
thunderstorms across southern KS, with the latest RAP showing
persistent moisture transport. Rich Gulf moisture associated with
this moisture transport has led to very efficient rainfall
producers with some areas already picking up 0.5 to 0.75 inches of
rainfall.

Could see a slight lull in the moisture transport for the early
afternoon hours, before its ramps back up this evening and
especially after midnight.

When it comes to severe weather potential, looks like the warm
sector and warm front will stay well south of the area, situated
closer to the Red River in OK, which will keep the severe weather
threat south of the area. But expect deep moisture transport over
the top of the warm front for a good overrunning and elevated
storm event, with skinny CAPE sounding profiles and some elevated
instability. So could a few strong storms, with a very small hail
threat.

The strong moisture transport combined with precipitable water
values running 190 to 200 percent of normal, and a coupled upper jet
structure favors efficient rainfall, and heavy rainfall potential.
So expect periods of moderate to heavy rainfall overnight through
early Thu morning. Expect to see widespread rainfall amounts of 1 to
3 inches across the region, with the potential for some areas in
extreme SE KS seeing 3 to 5 inches of rainfall. Possible flooding is
the main concern. Current location of the flood watch looks right
on track, but gonna expand the watch on the northern edge by a few
counties, considering rainfall that has already fallen. Expect to
see some areal flooding and possible river flooding overnight
into early on Thu, especially over the Flint Hills and SE KS.

The upper low, becomes vertically stacked early on Thu, which will
lead to lingering wrap around clouds/precipitation over the area
through Thursday along with cool below normal temperatures. There is
some concern for renewed convection along the east-northeast
quadrant of this upper low, for the Flint Hills and SE KS for Thu
afternoon with clearing from the mid level dry slot allowing good
sunshine/destabilization on the edge of deeper moisture plume. The
alignment of upper level low/surface low resembles a favorable cold
core setup. If this signal is maintained by the models there would
be small "window of opportunity" for low topped strong/severe
thunderstorms or even some cold core tornadoes in the 0-3km CAPE
axis aligned with surface vorticity area.

Otherwise, the precipitation will taper off Thursday night as main
upper low shifts east into Missouri valley region. Dry weather and
near normal temperatures look to be in store for area on Friday.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday through Wednesday)
Issued at 226 PM CDT Wed May 4 2022

Saturday looks to be a dry weather day with above normal
temperatures. Meanwhile, pattern recognition from medium range
models are hinting at a very strong 700mb baroclinic zone residing
over western Nebraska extending east into northern Kansas Saturday
night. This combined with decent upslope of richer moisture in the
surface-850mb layer towards western Nebraska looks to spark off
convection in the models Saturday evening. This convection would
then travel eastward along the 700mb mid-level baroclinic zone in a
forward propagating mode, as low level jet veers out leading the
convective development. At this time, models are showing this
activity possibly clipping central Kansas or remaining north of the
area late Saturday night. Something to monitor for any shifts in the
models with this signal which could result in severe weather.

Otherwise warm and more humid conditions look to prevail for Sunday
into Tuesday with richer Gulf of Mexico moisture in place. Some
medium range models are showing a frontal boundary pushing southward
into this rich moisture which could generate thunderstorms over the
region for Tuesday afternoon or Tue night.

Ketcham

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Thursday evening)
Issued at 651 PM CDT Wed May 4 2022

Widespread MVFR and IFR this evening may transitions to
predominately IFR and LIFR as we move through the overnight hours
with multiple rounds of showers and storms bringing heavy rainfall
to much of south central and southeast Kansas. East and northeast
winds will keep abundant boundary layer moisture in place so
locations that are not raining may see more LIFR with low cigs while
conditions improve to IFR under the showers and storms although
visibilities may keep LIFR the predominate flight category
through much of the night and into the morning hours on Thu. A
cold front will eventually arrive across the area on Thu ushering
in northwest winds and some drier air which may help to mix low
cigs out from west to east late in the day tomorrow.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
Issued at 226 PM CDT Wed May 4 2022

Flood watch has been expanded a few more counties to the north,
given rainfall that has already occurred. Scattered showers and
storms will continue late this afternoon and become more widespread
late this evening into tonight. Widespread 1 to 3 inches of rainfall
is expected with a few locations in southeast Kansas having
potential to see amounts greater than 3 inches. This will result in
rises on rivers and streams with some minor flooding problems in low
lying areas.

Ketcham

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Wichita-KICT    55  64  50  73 /  80  60  40   0
Hutchinson      52  60  47  73 /  90  60  30   0
Newton          54  62  49  72 /  90  70  40   0
ElDorado        56  64  51  71 /  90  70  50   0
Winfield-KWLD   57  66  50  73 /  90  60  30   0
Russell         47  55  44  75 /  90  70  30   0
Great Bend      48  55  43  75 /  90  60  20   0
Salina          51  59  48  72 /  90  70  40   0
McPherson       52  59  47  72 /  90  70  40   0
Coffeyville     58  70  52  72 / 100  70  50   0
Chanute         56  70  53  70 / 100  80  60  10
Iola            56  71  52  68 /  90  80  70  10
Parsons-KPPF    57  70  52  71 / 100  70  50   0

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flood Watch through Thursday afternoon for KSZ070>072-093>096-
098>100.

&&

SHORT TERM...Ketcham
LONG TERM...Ketcham
AVIATION...MWM
HYDROLOGY...Ketcham
Hazardous weather outlook, May 4, 5:18 PM CDT, 3 hours 9 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wichita KS
518 PM CDT Wed May 4 2022

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-052230-
Russell-Lincoln-Barton-Ellsworth-Saline-Rice-McPherson-Marion-Chase-
Reno-Harvey-Butler-Greenwood-Woodson-Allen-Kingman-Sedgwick-Harper-
Sumner-Cowley-Elk-Wilson-Neosho-Chautauqua-Montgomery-Labette-
518 PM CDT Wed May 4 2022

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Central Kansas,
South Central Kansas and Southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

Showers and thunderstorms will continue over the area this evening
and become more widespread for locations east of the Kansas
turnpike, mainly during the night time hours. Some of the storms
could produce heavy rainfall and cause some flooding problems. See
latest flood watch for more details.

In addition, a few strong storms could produce small hail or gusty
winds across south central and southeast Kansas. Severe weather is
not expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

Thunderstorms could redevelop early Thursday afternoon across
southeast Kansas, especially if ample daytime heating occurs. A few
strong to severe are possible.

Thunderstorms will be possible late Saturday night into early
Sunday morning for areas along and north of I-70. Some of these
storms could reach severe levels.

Thunderstorms could affect the region again on Monday and Tuesday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated tonight.

&&

For a graphical version of this information, see our webpage at:
https://weather.gov/crh/ghwo?sid=ict

Ketcham/Jakub

In the hours before

Local storm report, May 4, 5:00 PM CDT, 3 hours 27 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
500 PM CDT WED MAY 4 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0445 PM     FLOOD            2 WSW EAST WICHITA      37.67N 97.30W
05/04/2022                   SEDGWICK           KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            FLOODED INTERSECTION.

&&

MWM
Special weather statement, May 4, 5:39 PM CDT, 2 hours 48 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wichita KS
539 PM CDT Wed May 4 2022

KSZ093-042315-
Cowley KS-
539 PM CDT Wed May 4 2022

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southeastern Cowley
County through 615 PM CDT...

At 538 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Chilocco, or 7 miles south of Arkansas City, moving northeast at 45
mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Arkansas City, Winfield, Burden, Dexter, Maple City and Strother
Field Airport.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3705 9715 3717 9705 3738 9678 3716 9653
      3700 9675 3700 9715
TIME...MOT...LOC 2238Z 227DEG 40KT 3697 9708

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH
Special weather statement, May 4, 6:49 PM CDT, 1 hour 38 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wichita KS
649 PM CDT Wed May 4 2022

KSZ098-099-050015-
Montgomery KS-Chautauqua KS-
649 PM CDT Wed May 4 2022

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of west central
Montgomery and eastern Chautauqua Counties through 715 PM CDT...

At 648 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Chautauqua, or near Sedan, moving northeast at 45 mph.

HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Sedan, Peru, Chautauqua, Elgin and Hale.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3700 9616 3700 9637 3712 9626 3721 9614
      3730 9596 3718 9583
TIME...MOT...LOC 2348Z 235DEG 40KT 3707 9620

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
Local storm report, May 4, 6:57 PM CDT, 1 hour 30 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
657 PM CDT WED MAY 4 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0653 PM     HEAVY RAIN       7 N EL DORADO           37.92N 96.86W
05/04/2022  M4.20 INCH       BUTLER             KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&
Local storm report, May 4, 7:06 PM CDT, 1 hour 21 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
706 PM CDT WED MAY 4 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0653 PM     FLOOD            7 N EL DORADO           37.92N 96.86W
05/04/2022                   BUTLER             KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            MOST RURAL ROADWAYS ARE COVERED WITH WATER
            AND SOME THAT ARE IMPASSABLE.

&&
Local storm report, May 4, 7:28 PM CDT, 59 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
728 PM CDT WED MAY 4 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0705 PM     HEAVY RAIN       ARKANSAS CITY           37.07N 97.04W
05/04/2022  M2.63 INCH       COWLEY             KS   CO-OP OBSERVER

            RAINFALL TOTAL SINCE SIX THIS MORNING. MINOR
            STREET FLOODING IN NORMAL PROBLEM AREAS.

&&

The office that day

Everything else NWS Wichita, KS issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 4, 7:46 PM CDTAreal Flood WarningICTCowley18 hr
May 4, 7:49 PM CDTAreal Flood WarningICTChautauqua, Elk, Montgomery18 hr
May 4, 7:54 PM CDTAreal Flood WarningICTMontgomery18 hr
May 4, 8:27 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningICTButler36 hr
May 4, 8:28 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningICTButler12 hr
May 4, 8:29 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningICTButler, Cowley30 hr
May 4, 8:35 PM CDTAreal Flood WarningICTButler18 hr
May 4, 9:41 PM CDTAreal Flood WarningICTWilson18 hr
May 4, 10:03 PM CDTAreal Flood WarningICTLabette, Neosho17 hr
May 4, 10:53 PM CDTAreal Flood WarningICTElk, Greenwood17 hr
May 5, 12:03 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningICTWilson23 hr
May 5, 12:42 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningICTButler, Cowley69 hr
May 5, 1:55 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningICTMontgomery, Wilson56 hr
May 5, 1:55 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningICTMontgomery55 hr
May 5, 2:48 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningICTAllen, Neosho47 hr
May 5, 2:48 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningICTNeosho60 hr
May 5, 2:48 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningICTCherokee, Labette4 days
May 5, 2:48 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningICTLabette, Neosho3 days
May 5, 8:59 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningICTAllen24 hr
May 5, 10:51 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementICTSedgwick39 min
May 5, 11:25 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementICTCowley35 min
May 5, 12:25 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementICTKingman35 min
May 5, 1:43 PM CDTAreal Flood WarningICTButler, Chautauqua, Cowley, Elk, Greenwood, Labette and 3 more32 hr
May 5, 1:54 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementICTHarvey, McPherson, Sedgwick51 min
May 5, 1:59 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementICTLabette, Montgomery31 min
May 5, 2:49 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementICTElk26 min

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Kansas, 2022Every river flood warning in 2022

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.