Special Weather Statement, NWS Atlanta, GA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
258 PM EDT Wed Aug 3 2022

...Afternoon Area Forecast Discussion...

.SHORT TERM /Tonight through Thursday Night/...

A typical summertime pattern is expected for the short-term across
GA as high pressure and weak upper riding sets up across the
southeast. Given the lack of any synoptic forcing, any residual
boundaries will be the primary drivers for convective activity
during the afternoon and evening hours each day.

Latest radar imagery still shows showers and a few storms in the
vicinity of the weak boundary near the I-20 corridor with more
storms firing up along the GA coast and GA/SC border. Thinking
the highest PoPs today will remain in these areas due to slightly
higher PWs and greater differential heating from less cloud
cover. Patchy fog and some low clouds will be possible overnight
into early tomorrow morning, particularly in areas that see
rainfall later on today. Low temperatures will generally be in the
70s tonight with upper 60s across the NE mtn areas.

Generally a rise and repeat forecast for Thursday given little
change in the weather pattern and PWs ranging between 1.75 and
1.90 inches. Higher rain chances are expected through the
afternoon across the area. High temperatures will be in the 90s.

07

.LONG TERM /Friday through Wednesday/...

No major changes to the long term forecast at this time with summer
time diurnally-driven convection expected each afternoon.

Picking up the long term on Friday Morning, CWA remains socked in a
summertime pattern with a mid-lvl high off to the west situated over
the Four Corners region and a sprawling Bermuda High to the east. By
the weekend, the western high will continue to build eastward,
filling in the long-wave trough to the north and increasing the
coverage of the ridge to include the central and eastern CONUS. With
a lack of upper level support and weak sfc high residing over the
CWA, the main threat through the long term will be diurnally-driven
convection, aided by any shortwave perturbations that work down
within the mid/upper flow. The summer soup is strong, as PWATs hang
mostly around 2.00" through the long term, however may approach
2.10". Would not be surprised to see efficient rainmakers during the
afternoon that could produce isolated river and urban flooding,
especially with how saturated soils have become over the last couple
of weeks.

With the aforementioned saturated environment, expecting
temperatures to remain in the upper 80's and low 90's through the
forecast period courtesy of increased cloud cover, especially in
the morning, although near climatological norms for this time of
year.

SM

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z Update...
Mostly VFR ceilings across the area with a band of -RA north of
the terminals. Scattered TSRA along the coast will propagate
westward late this afternoon, so continued a TEMPO for TSRA at
most sites. Ceilings briefly improve this evening, then low
ceilings and fog is expected to develop after midnight through
roughly 14Z, improving thereafter. W-SW winds 5 kts or less will
continue through this evening and become calm overnight then shift
towards the E-SE around 5 kts by tomorrow morning.

//ATL Confidence...18Z Update...

Medium confidence on all elements.

86/DMartin

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          72  91  72  90 /  30  40  20  40
Atlanta         72  91  73  91 /  20  40  20  40
Blairsville     67  86  67  84 /  20  60  30  60
Cartersville    71  90  72  91 /  20  40  20  40
Columbus        73  92  73  93 /  30  40  10  30
Gainesville     71  88  71  88 /  20  40  30  50
Macon           72  93  73  94 /  30  40  20  30
Rome            72  93  73  93 /  20  40  20  40
Peachtree City  70  91  70  91 /  20  40  20  30
Vidalia         73  92  73  93 /  30  40  10  40

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...07
LONG TERM....SM
AVIATION...DMartin

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
957 AM EDT Wed Aug 3 2022

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-041000-
Baldwin-Banks-Barrow-Bartow-Bibb-Bleckley-Butts-Carroll-Catoosa-
Chattahoochee-Chattooga-Cherokee-Clarke-Clayton-Cobb-Coweta-
Crawford-Crisp-Dade-Dawson-DeKalb-Dodge-Dooly-Douglas-Emanuel-
Fannin-Fayette-Floyd-Forsyth-Gilmer-Glascock-Gordon-Greene-
Gwinnett-Hall-Hancock-Haralson-Harris-Heard-Henry-Houston-Jackson-
Jasper-Jefferson-Johnson-Jones-Lamar-Laurens-Lumpkin-Macon-
Madison-Marion-Meriwether-Monroe-Montgomery-Morgan-Murray-
Muscogee-Newton-North Fulton-Oconee-Oglethorpe-Paulding-Peach-
Pickens-Pike-Polk-Pulaski-Putnam-Rockdale-Schley-South Fulton-
Spalding-Stewart-Sumter-Talbot-Taliaferro-Taylor-Telfair-Toombs-
Towns-Treutlen-Troup-Twiggs-Union-Upson-Walker-Walton-Warren-
Washington-Webster-Wheeler-White-Whitfield-Wilcox-Wilkes-
Wilkinson-
957 AM EDT Wed Aug 3 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of North and Central Georgia.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight...

Scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible through the
evening across north and central Georgia. Isolated strong storms
resulting in frequent lightning, gusty winds, and locally heavy
rainfall will also be possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday...

Scattered to numerous thunderstorms in the afternoons and
evenings are expected each day through the rest of the forecast
period. As usual during the summer, any storm will have the
potential to become strong to severe and be capable of producing
gusty winds, frequent lightning, and locally heavy rainfall.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
655 PM EDT Wed Aug 3 2022

GAZ020-021-032330-
Cherokee GA-Bartow GA-
655 PM EDT Wed Aug 3 2022

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of west central
Cherokee and east central Bartow Counties through 730 PM EDT...

At 654 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was over Sutallee, or near
Canton, moving north at 15 mph.

HAZARD...Up to 40 mph wind, frequent cloud to ground lightning and
         heavy rain.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
         street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Locations impacted include...
Canton, White, Waleska, Sutallee, Lake Arrowhead and Bridgemill.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

&&

LAT...LON 3418 8451 3415 8465 3427 8476 3434 8466
      3433 8453
TIME...MOT...LOC 2254Z 160DEG 14KT 3422 8461

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
703 PM EDT Wed Aug 3 2022

GAZ050-051-061-032330-
Taliaferro GA-Hancock GA-Greene GA-
703 PM EDT Wed Aug 3 2022

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of north central
Hancock, southeastern Greene and southwestern Taliaferro Counties
through 730 PM EDT...

At 703 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was near White Plains, or 10
miles north of Sparta, moving north at 10 mph.

HAZARD...Up to 40 mph wind, frequent cloud to ground lightning and
         heavy rain.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
         street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Locations impacted include...
Crawfordville, White Plains, Siloam, Liberty, Springfield, Veazey and
Shoulderbone.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

&&

LAT...LON 3338 8289 3333 8312 3347 8324 3358 8310
      3357 8291
TIME...MOT...LOC 2303Z 158DEG 8KT 3343 8302

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
722 PM EDT Wed Aug 3 2022

GAZ049-050-059-060-032345-
Morgan GA-Putnam GA-Jasper GA-Greene GA-
722 PM EDT Wed Aug 3 2022

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southeastern Morgan,
Putnam, south central Greene and east central Jasper Counties through
745 PM EDT...

At 722 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was over Eatonton, moving north
at 15 mph.

HAZARD...40 to 50 mph wind, frequent cloud to ground lightning and
         heavy rain.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
         street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Locations impacted include...
Eatonton, Shady Dale, Phoenix, Rock Eagle 4-H Center, Central Georgia
Experiment Stn, Harmony, Godfrey, Warfield, Willard and Parks Mill.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

&&

LAT...LON 3328 8323 3327 8323 3328 8340 3323 8355
      3343 8361 3353 8343 3349 8322 3328 8322
TIME...MOT...LOC 2322Z 172DEG 14KT 3334 8340

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
725 PM EDT Wed Aug 3 2022

GAZ083-084-040000-
Wilkinson GA-Twiggs GA-
725 PM EDT Wed Aug 3 2022

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southwestern
Wilkinson and northeastern Twiggs Counties through 800 PM EDT...

At 725 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was near Jeffersonville, moving
north at 15 mph.

HAZARD...Up to 40 mph wind, frequent cloud to ground lightning and
         heavy rain.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
         street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Locations impacted include...
Jeffersonville, Irwinton, Gordon, Ivey, McIntyre and Myricks Mill.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

&&

LAT...LON 3265 8317 3266 8335 3285 8340 3290 8329
      3285 8316
TIME...MOT...LOC 2325Z 172DEG 14KT 3272 8328

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
743 PM EDT Wed Aug 3 2022

GAZ059-060-040015-
Putnam GA-Jasper GA-
743 PM EDT Wed Aug 3 2022

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of west central Putnam
and east central Jasper Counties through 815 PM EDT...

At 742 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was near Willard, or near
Monticello, moving north at 5 mph.

HAZARD...Up to 40 mph wind, frequent cloud to ground lightning and
         heavy rain.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
         street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Locations impacted include...
Monticello and Willard.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

&&

LAT...LON 3328 8346 3322 8362 3331 8371 3338 8361
      3339 8347
TIME...MOT...LOC 2342Z 162DEG 4KT 3329 8358

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
745 PM EDT Wed Aug 3 2022

GAZ008-009-016-040015-
Union GA-Towns GA-White GA-
745 PM EDT Wed Aug 3 2022

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southeastern Towns,
White and east central Union Counties through 815 PM EDT...

At 745 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was over Leaf, or near
Cleveland, moving north at 15 mph.

HAZARD...Up to 40 mph wind, frequent cloud to ground lightning and
         heavy rain.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
         street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Locations impacted include...
Cleveland, Helen, Unicoi State Park, Robertstown, Blue Mountain
Shelter, Brasstown Bald, Mountain Scene, Low Gap Shelter, Track Rock,
Anna Ruby Falls, Leaf, Smithgall Woods Conservation Are, Sautee and
Qualatchee Lake.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

&&

LAT...LON 3492 8359 3490 8363 3488 8366 3483 8366
      3482 8365 3480 8368 3479 8368 3476 8363
      3469 8364 3466 8366 3462 8364 3458 8364
      3454 8377 3487 8389 3492 8363
TIME...MOT...LOC 2345Z 167DEG 12KT 3459 8365

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH