Special Weather Statement, NWS Atlanta, GA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
258 PM EDT Wed Aug 3 2022

...Afternoon Area Forecast Discussion...

.SHORT TERM /Tonight through Thursday Night/...

A typical summertime pattern is expected for the short-term across
GA as high pressure and weak upper riding sets up across the
southeast. Given the lack of any synoptic forcing, any residual
boundaries will be the primary drivers for convective activity
during the afternoon and evening hours each day.

Latest radar imagery still shows showers and a few storms in the
vicinity of the weak boundary near the I-20 corridor with more
storms firing up along the GA coast and GA/SC border. Thinking
the highest PoPs today will remain in these areas due to slightly
higher PWs and greater differential heating from less cloud
cover. Patchy fog and some low clouds will be possible overnight
into early tomorrow morning, particularly in areas that see
rainfall later on today. Low temperatures will generally be in the
70s tonight with upper 60s across the NE mtn areas.

Generally a rise and repeat forecast for Thursday given little
change in the weather pattern and PWs ranging between 1.75 and
1.90 inches. Higher rain chances are expected through the
afternoon across the area. High temperatures will be in the 90s.

07

.LONG TERM /Friday through Wednesday/...

No major changes to the long term forecast at this time with summer
time diurnally-driven convection expected each afternoon.

Picking up the long term on Friday Morning, CWA remains socked in a
summertime pattern with a mid-lvl high off to the west situated over
the Four Corners region and a sprawling Bermuda High to the east. By
the weekend, the western high will continue to build eastward,
filling in the long-wave trough to the north and increasing the
coverage of the ridge to include the central and eastern CONUS. With
a lack of upper level support and weak sfc high residing over the
CWA, the main threat through the long term will be diurnally-driven
convection, aided by any shortwave perturbations that work down
within the mid/upper flow. The summer soup is strong, as PWATs hang
mostly around 2.00" through the long term, however may approach
2.10". Would not be surprised to see efficient rainmakers during the
afternoon that could produce isolated river and urban flooding,
especially with how saturated soils have become over the last couple
of weeks.

With the aforementioned saturated environment, expecting
temperatures to remain in the upper 80's and low 90's through the
forecast period courtesy of increased cloud cover, especially in
the morning, although near climatological norms for this time of
year.

SM

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z Update...
Mostly VFR ceilings across the area with a band of -RA north of
the terminals. Scattered TSRA along the coast will propagate
westward late this afternoon, so continued a TEMPO for TSRA at
most sites. Ceilings briefly improve this evening, then low
ceilings and fog is expected to develop after midnight through
roughly 14Z, improving thereafter. W-SW winds 5 kts or less will
continue through this evening and become calm overnight then shift
towards the E-SE around 5 kts by tomorrow morning.

//ATL Confidence...18Z Update...

Medium confidence on all elements.

86/DMartin

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          72  91  72  90 /  30  40  20  40
Atlanta         72  91  73  91 /  20  40  20  40
Blairsville     67  86  67  84 /  20  60  30  60
Cartersville    71  90  72  91 /  20  40  20  40
Columbus        73  92  73  93 /  30  40  10  30
Gainesville     71  88  71  88 /  20  40  30  50
Macon           72  93  73  94 /  30  40  20  30
Rome            72  93  73  93 /  20  40  20  40
Peachtree City  70  91  70  91 /  20  40  20  30
Vidalia         73  92  73  93 /  30  40  10  40

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...07
LONG TERM....SM
AVIATION...DMartin

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
957 AM EDT Wed Aug 3 2022

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-041000-
Baldwin-Banks-Barrow-Bartow-Bibb-Bleckley-Butts-Carroll-Catoosa-
Chattahoochee-Chattooga-Cherokee-Clarke-Clayton-Cobb-Coweta-
Crawford-Crisp-Dade-Dawson-DeKalb-Dodge-Dooly-Douglas-Emanuel-
Fannin-Fayette-Floyd-Forsyth-Gilmer-Glascock-Gordon-Greene-
Gwinnett-Hall-Hancock-Haralson-Harris-Heard-Henry-Houston-Jackson-
Jasper-Jefferson-Johnson-Jones-Lamar-Laurens-Lumpkin-Macon-
Madison-Marion-Meriwether-Monroe-Montgomery-Morgan-Murray-
Muscogee-Newton-North Fulton-Oconee-Oglethorpe-Paulding-Peach-
Pickens-Pike-Polk-Pulaski-Putnam-Rockdale-Schley-South Fulton-
Spalding-Stewart-Sumter-Talbot-Taliaferro-Taylor-Telfair-Toombs-
Towns-Treutlen-Troup-Twiggs-Union-Upson-Walker-Walton-Warren-
Washington-Webster-Wheeler-White-Whitfield-Wilcox-Wilkes-
Wilkinson-
957 AM EDT Wed Aug 3 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of North and Central Georgia.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight...

Scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible through the
evening across north and central Georgia. Isolated strong storms
resulting in frequent lightning, gusty winds, and locally heavy
rainfall will also be possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday...

Scattered to numerous thunderstorms in the afternoons and
evenings are expected each day through the rest of the forecast
period. As usual during the summer, any storm will have the
potential to become strong to severe and be capable of producing
gusty winds, frequent lightning, and locally heavy rainfall.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
446 PM EDT Wed Aug 3 2022

GAZ038-039-050-051-032115-
Taliaferro GA-Wilkes GA-Oglethorpe GA-Greene GA-
446 PM EDT Wed Aug 3 2022

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northeastern Greene,
northwestern Taliaferro, southwestern Wilkes and south central
Oglethorpe Counties through 515 PM EDT...

At 446 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was over Carters Grove, or 8
miles north of Crawfordville, moving north at 5 mph.

HAZARD...40 to 50 mph wind, pea sized hail and frequent cloud to
         ground lightning.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Washington, Rayle, Newtown, Celeste, Lyneville, Philomath, Carters
Grove and Daniel Springs.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning.

&&

LAT...LON 3363 8278 3360 8296 3377 8308 3383 8293
      3382 8276
TIME...MOT...LOC 2046Z 168DEG 6KT 3368 8290

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
450 PM EDT Wed Aug 3 2022

GAZ031-041>043-032115-
Douglas GA-Haralson GA-Carroll GA-Paulding GA-
450 PM EDT Wed Aug 3 2022

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southwestern
Paulding, northeastern Haralson, northeastern Carroll and
northwestern Douglas Counties through 515 PM EDT...

At 450 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was over New Georgia, or 9 miles
southwest of Dallas, moving northwest at 5 mph.

HAZARD...Up to 40 mph wind, frequent cloud to ground lightning and
         heavy rain.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
         street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Locations impacted include...
Douglasville, Dallas, Villa Rica, Temple, Hiram, Braswell, Yorkville,
Draketown, Winston, Lake Val-Do-Mar, Eubank Lake and New Georgia.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

&&

LAT...LON 3391 8508 3391 8505 3393 8505 3395 8502
      3395 8498 3397 8497 3399 8485 3373 8477
      3365 8492 3386 8515
TIME...MOT...LOC 2050Z 154DEG 6KT 3380 8492

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
457 PM EDT Wed Aug 3 2022

GAZ076-032130-
Jefferson GA-
457 PM EDT Wed Aug 3 2022

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northeastern
Jefferson County through 530 PM EDT...

At 457 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was near Wrens, or 8 miles north
of Louisville, moving northwest at 10 mph.

HAZARD...Up to 40 mph wind, pea sized hail and frequent cloud to
         ground lightning.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Wrens, Stapleton and Stellaville.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning.

&&

LAT...LON 3311 8229 3306 8243 3316 8254 3323 8246
      3326 8233
TIME...MOT...LOC 2057Z 153DEG 8KT 3313 8240

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
502 PM EDT Wed Aug 3 2022

GAZ004-032130-
Whitfield GA-
502 PM EDT Wed Aug 3 2022

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northeastern
Whitfield County through 530 PM EDT...

At 502 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was over Dawnville, or near
Dalton, moving north at 15 mph.

HAZARD...40 to 50 mph wind, pea sized hail and frequent cloud to
         ground lightning.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Dalton, Varnell, Beaverdale and Dawnville.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning.

&&

LAT...LON 3494 8484 3492 8484 3490 8483 3489 8483
      3487 8482 3486 8484 3481 8486 3480 8484
      3478 8487 3477 8487 3476 8495 3487 8503
      3488 8501 3491 8502 3494 8492
TIME...MOT...LOC 2102Z 169DEG 13KT 3483 8489

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
508 PM EDT Wed Aug 3 2022

GAZ086-032145-
Emanuel GA-
508 PM EDT Wed Aug 3 2022

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of central Emanuel
County through 545 PM EDT...

At 508 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was near Swainsboro, moving
northwest at 15 mph.

HAZARD...40 mph wind and heavy rain.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
         street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Locations impacted include...
Swainsboro, Nunez, Norristown Junction, Dellwood and Modoc.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. Motorists should
slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

&&

LAT...LON 3248 8236 3255 8256 3264 8249 3265 8247
      3266 8248 3268 8246 3274 8233 3256 8225
TIME...MOT...LOC 2108Z 136DEG 12KT 3256 8239

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
511 PM EDT Wed Aug 3 2022

GAZ031-041-042-032145-
Haralson GA-Carroll GA-Paulding GA-
511 PM EDT Wed Aug 3 2022

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southern Paulding,
northeastern Haralson and northeastern Carroll Counties through 545
PM EDT...

At 510 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was near New Georgia, or 9 miles
southwest of Dallas, moving northwest at 15 mph.

HAZARD...Up to 40 mph wind, frequent cloud to ground lightning and
         heavy rain.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
         street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Locations impacted include...
Dallas, Villa Rica, Temple, Hiram, Braswell, Yorkville, Draketown and
New Georgia.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

&&

LAT...LON 3391 8507 3391 8505 3395 8505 3395 8498
      3397 8497 3400 8484 3383 8476 3377 8486
      3378 8490 3375 8490 3371 8496 3382 8512
TIME...MOT...LOC 2110Z 139DEG 12KT 3381 8495

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH