Special Weather Statement, NWS Atlanta, GA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
258 PM EDT Wed Aug 3 2022

...Afternoon Area Forecast Discussion...

.SHORT TERM /Tonight through Thursday Night/...

A typical summertime pattern is expected for the short-term across
GA as high pressure and weak upper riding sets up across the
southeast. Given the lack of any synoptic forcing, any residual
boundaries will be the primary drivers for convective activity
during the afternoon and evening hours each day.

Latest radar imagery still shows showers and a few storms in the
vicinity of the weak boundary near the I-20 corridor with more
storms firing up along the GA coast and GA/SC border. Thinking
the highest PoPs today will remain in these areas due to slightly
higher PWs and greater differential heating from less cloud
cover. Patchy fog and some low clouds will be possible overnight
into early tomorrow morning, particularly in areas that see
rainfall later on today. Low temperatures will generally be in the
70s tonight with upper 60s across the NE mtn areas.

Generally a rise and repeat forecast for Thursday given little
change in the weather pattern and PWs ranging between 1.75 and
1.90 inches. Higher rain chances are expected through the
afternoon across the area. High temperatures will be in the 90s.

07

.LONG TERM /Friday through Wednesday/...

No major changes to the long term forecast at this time with summer
time diurnally-driven convection expected each afternoon.

Picking up the long term on Friday Morning, CWA remains socked in a
summertime pattern with a mid-lvl high off to the west situated over
the Four Corners region and a sprawling Bermuda High to the east. By
the weekend, the western high will continue to build eastward,
filling in the long-wave trough to the north and increasing the
coverage of the ridge to include the central and eastern CONUS. With
a lack of upper level support and weak sfc high residing over the
CWA, the main threat through the long term will be diurnally-driven
convection, aided by any shortwave perturbations that work down
within the mid/upper flow. The summer soup is strong, as PWATs hang
mostly around 2.00" through the long term, however may approach
2.10". Would not be surprised to see efficient rainmakers during the
afternoon that could produce isolated river and urban flooding,
especially with how saturated soils have become over the last couple
of weeks.

With the aforementioned saturated environment, expecting
temperatures to remain in the upper 80's and low 90's through the
forecast period courtesy of increased cloud cover, especially in
the morning, although near climatological norms for this time of
year.

SM

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z Update...
Mostly VFR ceilings across the area with a band of -RA north of
the terminals. Scattered TSRA along the coast will propagate
westward late this afternoon, so continued a TEMPO for TSRA at
most sites. Ceilings briefly improve this evening, then low
ceilings and fog is expected to develop after midnight through
roughly 14Z, improving thereafter. W-SW winds 5 kts or less will
continue through this evening and become calm overnight then shift
towards the E-SE around 5 kts by tomorrow morning.

//ATL Confidence...18Z Update...

Medium confidence on all elements.

86/DMartin

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          72  91  72  90 /  30  40  20  40
Atlanta         72  91  73  91 /  20  40  20  40
Blairsville     67  86  67  84 /  20  60  30  60
Cartersville    71  90  72  91 /  20  40  20  40
Columbus        73  92  73  93 /  30  40  10  30
Gainesville     71  88  71  88 /  20  40  30  50
Macon           72  93  73  94 /  30  40  20  30
Rome            72  93  73  93 /  20  40  20  40
Peachtree City  70  91  70  91 /  20  40  20  30
Vidalia         73  92  73  93 /  30  40  10  40

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...07
LONG TERM....SM
AVIATION...DMartin

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
957 AM EDT Wed Aug 3 2022

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-041000-
Baldwin-Banks-Barrow-Bartow-Bibb-Bleckley-Butts-Carroll-Catoosa-
Chattahoochee-Chattooga-Cherokee-Clarke-Clayton-Cobb-Coweta-
Crawford-Crisp-Dade-Dawson-DeKalb-Dodge-Dooly-Douglas-Emanuel-
Fannin-Fayette-Floyd-Forsyth-Gilmer-Glascock-Gordon-Greene-
Gwinnett-Hall-Hancock-Haralson-Harris-Heard-Henry-Houston-Jackson-
Jasper-Jefferson-Johnson-Jones-Lamar-Laurens-Lumpkin-Macon-
Madison-Marion-Meriwether-Monroe-Montgomery-Morgan-Murray-
Muscogee-Newton-North Fulton-Oconee-Oglethorpe-Paulding-Peach-
Pickens-Pike-Polk-Pulaski-Putnam-Rockdale-Schley-South Fulton-
Spalding-Stewart-Sumter-Talbot-Taliaferro-Taylor-Telfair-Toombs-
Towns-Treutlen-Troup-Twiggs-Union-Upson-Walker-Walton-Warren-
Washington-Webster-Wheeler-White-Whitfield-Wilcox-Wilkes-
Wilkinson-
957 AM EDT Wed Aug 3 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of North and Central Georgia.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight...

Scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible through the
evening across north and central Georgia. Isolated strong storms
resulting in frequent lightning, gusty winds, and locally heavy
rainfall will also be possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday...

Scattered to numerous thunderstorms in the afternoons and
evenings are expected each day through the rest of the forecast
period. As usual during the summer, any storm will have the
potential to become strong to severe and be capable of producing
gusty winds, frequent lightning, and locally heavy rainfall.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
327 PM EDT Wed Aug 3 2022

GAZ051-062-032000-
Taliaferro GA-Warren GA-
327 PM EDT Wed Aug 3 2022

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northwestern Warren
and southeastern Taliaferro Counties through 400 PM EDT...

At 326 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was over Norwood, or near
Warrenton, moving north at 5 mph.

HAZARD...Up to 40 mph wind, pea sized hail and frequent cloud to
         ground lightning.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Norwood, Sharon, Camak, Cadley, Raytown and Barnett.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning.

&&

LAT...LON 3346 8260 3342 8268 3342 8277 3352 8285
      3362 8278 3361 8275 3361 8269 3360 8269
      3360 8266 3361 8265 3349 8260
TIME...MOT...LOC 1926Z 164DEG 6KT 3346 8269

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
341 PM EDT Wed Aug 3 2022

GAZ030-032015-
Polk GA-
341 PM EDT Wed Aug 3 2022

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of central Polk County
through 415 PM EDT...

At 341 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was over Antioch, or 7 miles
east of Cedartown. This storm was nearly stationary.

HAZARD...Up to 40 mph wind, frequent cloud to ground lightning and
         heavy rain.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
         street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Locations impacted include...
Cedartown, Rockmart, Aragon, Fish Creek, Antioch and Van Wert.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

&&

LAT...LON 3410 8517 3410 8516 3408 8515 3408 8512
      3410 8512 3410 8506 3396 8500 3395 8501
      3395 8505 3392 8505 3390 8508 3390 8517
      3398 8534
TIME...MOT...LOC 1941Z 135DEG 4KT 3397 8513

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
347 PM EDT Wed Aug 3 2022

GAZ039-032015-
Wilkes GA-
347 PM EDT Wed Aug 3 2022

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of central Wilkes
County through 415 PM EDT...

At 346 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was near Washington, moving
northwest at 10 mph.

HAZARD...Up to 40 mph wind, pea sized hail and frequent cloud to
         ground lightning.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Washington, Tignall, Newtown, Metasville, Celeste and Floral Hill.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning.

&&

LAT...LON 3367 8264 3374 8286 3385 8283 3391 8273
      3382 8259 3376 8256 3375 8256
TIME...MOT...LOC 1946Z 123DEG 8KT 3376 8268

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
415 PM EDT Wed Aug 3 2022

GAZ042>044-032045-
Douglas GA-Carroll GA-South Fulton GA-
415 PM EDT Wed Aug 3 2022

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of east central
Carroll, Douglas and southwestern Fulton Counties through 445 PM
EDT...

At 415 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was over Bill Arp, or 7 miles
south of Douglasville, moving northwest at 10 mph.

HAZARD...Up to 40 mph wind, frequent cloud to ground lightning and
         heavy rain.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
         street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Locations impacted include...
Douglasville, City of South Fulton, Villa Rica, Winston, Treasure
Lake, Hannah, Campbellton, Bill Arp, Chapel Hill and Fairplay.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

&&

LAT...LON 3364 8465 3354 8481 3365 8495 3374 8488
      3378 8475
TIME...MOT...LOC 2015Z 139DEG 10KT 3365 8479

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
423 PM EDT Wed Aug 3 2022

GAZ086-032100-
Emanuel GA-
423 PM EDT Wed Aug 3 2022

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of east central Emanuel
County through 500 PM EDT...

At 423 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was over Twin City, or 13 miles
east of Swainsboro, moving north at 15 mph.

HAZARD...Up to 40 mph wind, frequent cloud to ground lightning and
         heavy rain.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
         street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Locations impacted include...
Twin City, Garfield, Canoochee and George L Smith State Park.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

&&

LAT...LON 3255 8203 3256 8208 3252 8215 3250 8216
      3269 8224 3270 8210 3266 8208 3261 8200
TIME...MOT...LOC 2023Z 185DEG 12KT 3260 8211

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
439 PM EDT Wed Aug 3 2022

GAZ038-039-032100-
Wilkes GA-Oglethorpe GA-
439 PM EDT Wed Aug 3 2022

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northwestern Wilkes
and northeastern Oglethorpe Counties through 500 PM EDT...

At 439 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was near Norman, or 10 miles
south of Middleton, moving northwest at 15 mph.

HAZARD...40 to 50 mph wind, pea sized hail and frequent cloud to
         ground lightning.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Mallorysville, Vesta, Norman and Jacksons Crossroads.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning.

&&

LAT...LON 3387 8278 3394 8300 3403 8294 3403 8293
      3401 8294 3401 8291 3400 8291 3400 8288
      3398 8285 3399 8284 3397 8278 3399 8272
      3398 8267
TIME...MOT...LOC 2039Z 129DEG 12KT 3395 8283

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH