River Flood Warning 84, NWS Atlanta, GA

081 
WGUS82 KFFC 070612
FLSFFC

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
212 AM EDT Thu Apr 7 2022

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...

  Oconee River near Oconee affecting Wilkinson and Washington 
  Counties.

For the Oconee River Basin...including Penfield, Milledgeville, 
Oconee, Oconee, McIntyre, Big Sandy Creek at US 441 near Irwinton, 
Oconee, Dublin, Mount Vernon...Moderate flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at weather.gov/atlanta.

&&


GAC303-319-071815-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0084.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/OCOG1.N.ER.220406T1727Z.220407T0430Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
212 AM EDT Thu Apr 7 2022

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring.

* WHERE...Oconee River near Oconee.

* WHEN...Until further notice.

* IMPACTS...At 19 feet, Minor flooding continues to expand into the 
  woodlands and wetlands along the river upstream and downstream 
  from a gage located by a dirt boat ramp on the west side of Avant 
  Mine off Adams Road in Washington County. The water level will 
  begin to surround the elevated USGS gage house.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 12:45 AM EDT Thursday the stage was 19.3 feet and steady.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 12:45 AM EDT Thursday was 19.3 feet.
  - Forecast...No forecast is available for this location.
  - Flood stage is 18 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3297 8316 3302 8313 3296 8304 3288 8298
      3284 8303 3292 8311


$$

883 
WGUS82 KFFC 071603
FLSFFC

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1203 PM EDT Thu Apr 7 2022

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...

  Oconee River near Oconee affecting Wilkinson and Washington 
  Counties.

For the Oconee River Basin...including Penfield, Milledgeville, 
Oconee, Oconee, McIntyre, Big Sandy Creek at US 441 near Irwinton, 
Oconee, Dublin, Mount Vernon...Moderate flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at weather.gov/atlanta.

&&


GAC303-319-080415-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0084.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/OCOG1.N.ER.220406T1727Z.220407T0430Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1203 PM EDT Thu Apr 7 2022

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring. This approaches the flood of 
  record.

* WHERE...Oconee River near Oconee.

* WHEN...Until further notice.

* IMPACTS...At 19 feet, Minor flooding continues to expand into the 
  woodlands and wetlands along the river upstream and downstream 
  from a gage located by a dirt boat ramp on the west side of Avant 
  Mine off Adams Road in Washington County. The water level will 
  begin to surround the elevated USGS gage house.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 10:45 AM EDT Thursday the stage was 19.3 feet and steady.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 10:45 AM EDT Thursday was 19.3 feet.
  - Forecast...No forecast is available for this location.
  - Flood stage is 18 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    19.3 feet on 03/06/2020.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3297 8316 3302 8313 3296 8304 3288 8298
      3284 8303 3292 8311


$$

519 
WGUS82 KFFC 080006
FLSFFC

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
806 PM EDT Thu Apr 7 2022

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...

  Oconee River near Oconee affecting Wilkinson and Washington 
  Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at weather.gov/atlanta.

&&


GAC303-319-081215-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0084.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/OCOG1.N.ER.220406T1727Z.220407T2330Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
806 PM EDT Thu Apr 7 2022

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring. This approaches the flood of 
  record.

* WHERE...Oconee River near Oconee.

* WHEN...Until further notice.

* IMPACTS...At 19 feet, Minor flooding continues to expand into the 
  woodlands and wetlands along the river upstream and downstream 
  from a gage located by a dirt boat ramp on the west side of Avant 
  Mine off Adams Road in Washington County. The water level will 
  begin to surround the elevated USGS gage house.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 7:45 PM EDT Thursday the stage was 19.5 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 7:45 PM EDT Thursday was 19.5 feet.
  - Forecast...No forecast is available for this location.
  - Flood stage is 18 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    19.5 feet on 09/29/2004.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3297 8316 3302 8313 3296 8304 3288 8298
      3284 8303 3292 8311


$$

322 
WGUS82 KFFC 081009
FLSFFC

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
609 AM EDT Fri Apr 8 2022

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...

  Echeconnee Creek near Echeconnee Creek at Houston Road near Byron 
  affecting Houston, Bibb, Crawford and Peach Counties.

  Oconee River near Oconee affecting Wilkinson and Washington 
  Counties.

  Little River near Washington affecting Wilkes and Taliaferro 
  Counties.

For the Ocmulgee River Basin...including Jackson, Griffin, Juliette, 
East Juliette, Dames Ferry, West Macon, Macon, Clinchfield, Ocmulgee 
River at US 341 at Hawkinsville, Hawkinsville, Echeconnee Creek at 
Houston Road near Byron, Abbeville, McRae, Scotland, Lumber City...
Moderate flooding is forecast.
For the Oconee River Basin...including Penfield, Milledgeville, 
Oconee, Oconee, McIntyre, Big Sandy Creek at US 441 near Irwinton, 
Oconee, Dublin, Mount Vernon...Moderate flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at weather.gov/atlanta.

&&


GAC021-079-153-225-082215-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0085.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BYNG1.N.ER.220407T0324Z.220408T0345Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
609 AM EDT Fri Apr 8 2022

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring.

* WHERE...Echeconnee Creek near Echeconnee Creek at Houston Road 
  near Byron.

* WHEN...Until further notice.

* IMPACTS...At 17 feet, Minor flooding expands into the woodland 
  areas upstream and downstream from the gage on Houston Road. 
  Larger portions of creek access roads will flood.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 5:45 AM EDT Friday the stage was 17.3 feet and falling.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 5:45 AM EDT Friday was 17.8 feet.
  - Forecast...No forecast is available for this location.
  - Flood stage is 15 feet.


&&

LAT...LON 3280 8391 3284 8386 3274 8374 3269 8358
      3263 8355 3269 8379


$$

GAC303-319-082215-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0084.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/OCOG1.N.ER.220406T1727Z.220408T0930Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
609 AM EDT Fri Apr 8 2022

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring.

* WHERE...Oconee River near Oconee.

* WHEN...Until further notice.

* IMPACTS...At 20 feet, Moderate flooding begins. Significant 
  flooding occurs in the woodlands and wetlands along the river 
  upstream and downstream from a gage located by a dirt boat ramp on 
  the west side of Avant Mine off Adams Road in Washington County. 
  The water will be around two feet deep around an elevated USGS 
  gage house. The dirt road by the boat ramp will begin to flood.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 5:45 AM EDT Friday the stage was 19.7 feet and steady.
  - Forecast...No forecast is available for this location.
  - Flood stage is 18 feet.


&&

LAT...LON 3297 8316 3302 8313 3296 8304 3288 8298
      3284 8303 3292 8311


$$

GAC265-317-082215-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0081.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WTNG1.N.ER.220406T0906Z.220407T2145Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
609 AM EDT Fri Apr 8 2022

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...

* WHAT...Moderate flooding is occurring.

* WHERE...Little River near Washington.

* WHEN...Until further notice.

* IMPACTS...At 25 feet, Moderate flooding occurs in the woodlands 
  and fields along the river upstream and downstream from the gage 
  at Lundberg Road.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 5:00 AM EDT Friday the stage was 25.6 feet and falling.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 5:00 AM EDT Friday was 27.5 feet.
  - Forecast...No forecast is available for this location.
  - Flood stage is 19 feet.


&&

LAT...LON 3363 8283 3368 8280 3364 8270 3367 8260
      3361 8258 3358 8272


$$

078 
WGUS82 KFFC 081557
FLSFFC

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1157 AM EDT Fri Apr 8 2022

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...

  Oconee River near Oconee affecting Wilkinson and Washington 
  Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

&&


GAC303-319-090400-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0084.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/OCOG1.N.ER.220406T1727Z.220408T0930Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1157 AM EDT Fri Apr 8 2022

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring.

* WHERE...Oconee River near Oconee.

* WHEN...Until further notice.

* IMPACTS...At 19 feet, Minor flooding continues to expand into the 
  woodlands and wetlands along the river upstream and downstream 
  from a gage located by a dirt boat ramp on the west side of Avant 
  Mine off Adams Road in Washington County. The water level will 
  begin to surround the elevated USGS gage house.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 11:45 AM EDT Friday the stage was 19.7 feet.
  - Forecast...No forecast is available for this location.
  - Flood stage is 18 feet.


&&

LAT...LON 3297 8316 3302 8313 3296 8304 3288 8298
      3284 8303 3292 8311


$$

758 
WGUS82 KFFC 090240
FLSFFC

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1040 PM EDT Fri Apr 8 2022

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...

  Oconee River near Oconee affecting Wilkinson and Washington 
  Counties.

For the Oconee River Basin...including Penfield, Milledgeville, 
Oconee, Oconee, McIntyre, Big Sandy Creek at US 441 near Irwinton, 
Oconee, Dublin, Mount Vernon...Moderate flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

&&


GAC303-319-091445-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0084.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/OCOG1.N.ER.220406T1727Z.220408T0930Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1040 PM EDT Fri Apr 8 2022

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring.

* WHERE...Oconee River near Oconee.

* WHEN...Until further notice.

* IMPACTS...At 19 feet, Minor flooding continues to expand into the 
  woodlands and wetlands along the river upstream and downstream 
  from a gage located by a dirt boat ramp on the west side of Avant 
  Mine off Adams Road in Washington County. The water level will 
  begin to surround the elevated USGS gage house.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 9:45 PM EDT Friday the stage was 19.4 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 9:45 PM EDT Friday was 19.7 feet.
  - Forecast...No forecast is available for this location.
  - Flood stage is 18 feet.


&&

LAT...LON 3297 8316 3302 8313 3296 8304 3288 8298
      3284 8303 3292 8311


$$

632 
WGUS82 KFFC 090847
FLSFFC

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
447 AM EDT Sat Apr 9 2022

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...

  Oconee River near Oconee affecting Wilkinson and Washington 
  Counties.

For the Oconee River Basin...including Penfield, Milledgeville, 
Oconee, Oconee, McIntyre, Big Sandy Creek at US 441 near Irwinton, 
Oconee, Dublin, Mount Vernon...Moderate flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at weather.gov/atlanta.

&&


GAC303-319-092100-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0084.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/OCOG1.N.ER.220406T1727Z.220408T0930Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
447 AM EDT Sat Apr 9 2022

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring. This approaches the flood of 
  record.

* WHERE...Oconee River near Oconee.

* WHEN...Until further notice.

* IMPACTS...At 19 feet, Minor flooding continues to expand into the 
  woodlands and wetlands along the river upstream and downstream 
  from a gage located by a dirt boat ramp on the west side of Avant 
  Mine off Adams Road in Washington County. The water level will 
  begin to surround the elevated USGS gage house.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 3:45 AM EDT Saturday the stage was 19.1 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 3:45 AM EDT Saturday was 19.7 feet.
  - Forecast...No forecast is available for this location.
  - Flood stage is 18 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3297 8316 3302 8313 3296 8304 3288 8298
      3284 8303 3292 8311


$$

705 
WGUS82 KFFC 091526
FLSFFC

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1126 AM EDT Sat Apr 9 2022

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...

  Oconee River near Oconee affecting Wilkinson and Washington 
  Counties.

For the Oconee River Basin...including Penfield, Milledgeville, 
Oconee, Oconee, McIntyre, Big Sandy Creek at US 441 near Irwinton, 
Oconee, Dublin, Mount Vernon...Moderate flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

&&


GAC303-319-100330-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0084.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/OCOG1.N.ER.220406T1727Z.220408T0930Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1126 AM EDT Sat Apr 9 2022

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and will continue.

* WHERE...Oconee River near Oconee.

* WHEN...Until further notice.

* IMPACTS...At 19 feet, minor flooding continues to expand into the 
  woodlands and wetlands along the river upstream and downstream 
  from a gage located by a dirt boat ramp on the west side of Avant 
  Mine off Adams Road in Washington County. The water level will 
  begin to surround the elevated USGS gage house.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 10:45 AM EDT Saturday the stage was 18.7 feet and falling.
  - Forecast...No forecast is available for this location.
  - Flood stage is 18 feet.


&&

LAT...LON 3297 8316 3302 8313 3296 8304 3288 8298
      3284 8303 3292 8311


$$

241 
WGUS82 KFFC 092210
FLSFFC

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
610 PM EDT Sat Apr 9 2022

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Georgia...

  Oconee River near Oconee affecting Wilkinson and Washington 
  Counties.

GAC303-319-092315-
/O.CAN.KFFC.FL.W.0084.000000T0000Z-220409T2210Z/
/OCOG1.N.ER.220406T1727Z.220408T0930Z.220409T1857Z.NR/
610 PM EDT Sat Apr 9 2022

...FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED...

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Oconee River near Oconee.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 5:45 PM EDT Saturday the stage was 17.3 feet.
  - Forecast...No forecast is available for this location.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3297 8316 3302 8313 3296 8304 3288 8298
      3284 8303 3292 8311


$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
301 PM EDT Wed Apr 6 2022

...Afternoon Area Forecast Discussion...

.SHORT TERM /Tonight through Thursday Night/...

No major changes to thinking in the short term forecast, so have
included very in-depth previous discussion from Thiem.

Mesoanalysis shows very saturated environment under FEW/SCT cloud
deck, allowing for ample insolation with temps climbing into the
80s, with Tds in the 70s. This sets the stage with SBCAPE values
3000+ j/kg, ample instability for any storms that fire, in tandem
with impressive mid- lvl lapse rates and mid-lvl flow. Current
hazards for central Georgia remain large hail, gusty to damaging
winds from downbursts, tornadoes and bouts of heavy rain.

Stratus and Fog remain resilient over N GA, with metro Atlanta
seeing cloud decks as low as 1000ft, with FG/DZ and lowered
visibilities just now lifting, hindering CAPE development. This
has setup a pseudo-front along the I-20 corridor with large temp
disparity. However, looking to this evening, although CAMS have
been all over the place in spatial coverage and timing of frontal
passage. However, severe weather potential for N GA remains on
track with some form of a QLCS to enter NW GA by 23-02z. As
mentioned, see previous discussion for additional info:

Morgan

Previous Short Term Discussion Below...

One Enhanced Risk Severe Weather Outlook down, one more to go!

Despite a strong quasi-linear convective system sweeping through the
forecast area today, with widespread reports of wind damage and over
a dozen noted tornadic debris signatures, the area remains in a
general warm sector regime with abundant low-level warmth and
moisture. In the mid-layers (500-700 hPA), very dry air was left
behind following the storm system, which is helping to keep
scattered light sprinkles/showers from growing more upscale,
however, by noon broad southwesterly flow will increase moisture in
these levels as well and boosting PWATs from near an inch in this
morning's special 06Z sounding to back over an inch and a half by
the afternoon for Central Georgia, setting the stage for another
potential round of severe weather.

Central Georgia, this afternoon into the early evening...

Abundant moisture return by the afternoon in the low- to mid-levels,
is going to be timed with a northward moving coastal, baroclinic
boundary and a very weak mid-level shortwave trough. This setup will
result in a rather abnormal setup for severe weather for this
region, but one that has worrisome combination of severe parameters:

* A weak shortwave will provide lower-level lift across the region,
  which will act as a trigger mechanism for convective development
  and will cool the mid-levels between 500-700 hPa, creating lapse
  rates near 7 C/km.
* With zonal-flow in place in the mid-levels with the rapid invasion
  of the shortwave later in the afternoon, offsetting effects of
  advection warmer mid-level air won't be as present as they
  otherwise would in a more classic Southeastern SVR setup.
* Cooling in the mid-levels, combined with warm and very moist air
  advecting in off the Gulf will create surface-based CAPE values
  between 2000-3000 J/kg this afternoon.
* In general, wind profiles aloft are rather weak (0-6 km shear
  values are below 30 kts) due to the weak nature of the shortwave
  likely resulting in shorter-lived, popcorn-like cells that
  collapse on themselves after approx an hour with very little wind
  shear between 2-6 km.
* However, in the lowest 2 km, wind shear is decent with quarter-
  circle hodographs providing good streamwise vorticity into
  developing right-moving storms and increasing the potential for
  rotating thunderstorms and spin-up circulations.

The result of all this in an environment in Central Georgia this
afternoon with no strong organizing trigger mechanism typical for a
more organized severe thunderstorm development, although mesoscale
boundaries or bands may change this. However, the parameters are
good for shorter-lived (1-2 hours) storms capable of large hail and
rapidly developing short-lived tornadic circulations. This threat
followed by cooler, drier air in the mid-levels allowing evaporative
cooling which combined with water loading will present
downburst/microburst potential as storm updrafts collapse.
Additionally, with 1-3 inches of rain previously fallen, a flooding
threat will be present anywhere heavier rain persists for prolonged
periods of time.

North Georgia, this evening into the overnight hours...

In north Georgia, a strong cold front from a more organized
synoptic system is expected to surge into for northwest Georgia just
before sunset. This will provide a stout triggering mechanism for
storm development, with stronger winds aloft more supportive of
longer-lived supercell development. The dynamics for north Georgia
during this time is everything that's missing for Central Georgia
during the afternoon. However, despite the better dynamics the
thermodynamics are more lacking.

* The moisture return for north Georgia will be less abundant
  resulting in PWATs just above an inch for the area, likely
  resulting in convective storms struggling to become more robust.
* Storms in the south earlier in the day may rob some surface-based
  instability in the region. With that said, forecast values of
  surface-based CAPE are still expected to be above 2000 J/kg, but
  begin falling after 6 PM.
* The timing of the cold front may keep storms elevated after 8 PM,
  limiting severe potential.
* With these factors in mind, low-level wind profiles are much more
  favorable to tornadic supercells if they can overcome the drier
  air aloft. Hodographs show sickle-cell structures through 4-6 km,
  with decent, but not perfect, storm-relative streamwise vorticity.
* Dry air in the mid levels, could cause strong evaporative
  cooling fueled downbursts in any robust storms that do form.
  These winds combined with the storm motion could create several
  instances of damaging wind gusts.

All in all, please stay aware of any watches or warnings issued for
your area through the day and into tonight. Please have a plan of
action ready in case it is needed.

Following the cold front tonight, more tranquil weather is in store
with clearing skies, breezy NW winds, and highs generally in the 60s
by Thursday.

Thiem

.LONG TERM /Friday through Wednesday/...

Anomalous temperatures still on track for the weekend. Temps should
begin to slowly moderate towards normal on Sunday. Friday and
Saturday night's lows should be 5 to 15 degrees below normal.
Saturday's highs will range from 15 to 25 degrees below normal for
this time of year.

Frost/Freeze products will likely be needed Friday night and
Saturday night.

Previous Long Term Discussion Below...

The impressive, expansive upper trough that fueled our final round
of active weather continues to dig further down across the
southeast, with a tight pressure gradient on its outer edge (~20-22
mb difference across GA). As such, gusty gradient winds will be
possible through Saturday afternoon when the trough begins to lift
across the mid-Atlantic states. Several shortwave disturbances
rounding the inner edge of the trough will lead to increased cloud
cover and brief bursts of rain across north GA on Friday into
Saturday. A surface high from over the Gulf and stout upper ridging
break the active pattern as they settle in across the southeast on
Sunday to round off the weekend and take us through the beginning of
the work week.

Temperatures will be quite cool for April standards following the
cold frontal passage on Thursday night. Have added the potential for
areas of frost on Sunday morning, when minimum temperatures are
coolest and winds begin to calm. Highs will stall out in the mid-50s
to 60s, 12-15 degrees below average; lows through the weekend will
be in the 30s, about 5-10 degrees below average. As the surface high
begins to drift across the southeast Sunday, winds shift to be
primarily from the southeast, and temperatures recover to seasonable
highs in the 70s-80s and lows in the 40s.

96

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z Update...

Metro TAF sites socked in stubborn LIFR/IFR cigs, expecting
gradual improvement through the afternoon as daytime mixing
occurs. Have SHRA starting at 18z as precip overspreads the area
along a shortwave, with low-end potential of TS, but confidence is
too low at this time to include. TSRA will be possible again tonight
after 00z as a cold front pushes through metro TAF sites. After
frontal passage, winds turn NW by 08z tonight, remaining elevated
between 9-13kts. Should go VFR cigs/vsbys tomorrow between 11-14z
as drier air rushes in.

//ATL Confidence...18Z Update...

Low to medium on all elements

Morgan

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          55  68  43  61 /  70   0   0   5
Atlanta         52  66  43  58 /  90   0   0   5
Blairsville     45  62  36  52 / 100   5   5  40
Cartersville    47  66  41  57 /  90   0   0  10
Columbus        55  69  44  64 /  70   5   0   0
Gainesville     52  65  43  57 /  90   0   0  10
Macon           57  72  43  67 /  70   5   0   0
Rome            49  66  41  57 /  90   0   0  10
Peachtree City  50  67  41  60 /  80   0   0   5
Vidalia         63  72  48  68 /  90  30   5   0

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flood Watch through Thursday morning for the following zones:
Baldwin...Bibb...Bleckley...Chattahoochee...Crawford...Crisp...
Dodge...Dooly...Emanuel...Glascock...Greene...Hancock...Harris...
Houston...Jasper...Jefferson...Johnson...Jones...Lamar...
Laurens...Macon...Marion...Monroe...Montgomery...Morgan...
Muscogee...Oglethorpe...Peach...Pulaski...Putnam...Schley...
Stewart...Sumter...Talbot...Taliaferro...Taylor...Telfair...
Toombs...Treutlen...Twiggs...Upson...Warren...Washington...
Webster...Wheeler...Wilcox...Wilkes...Wilkinson.

Tornado Watch until 10 PM EDT this evening for the following
zones: Baldwin...Bibb...Bleckley...Butts...Chattahoochee...
Clayton...Coweta...Crawford...Crisp...Dodge...Dooly...Emanuel...
Fayette...Glascock...Greene...Hancock...Harris...Heard...Henry...
Houston...Jasper...Jefferson...Johnson...Jones...Lamar...
Laurens...Macon...Marion...Meriwether...Monroe...Montgomery...
Morgan...Muscogee...Newton...Peach...Pike...Pulaski...Putnam...
Schley...Spalding...Stewart...Sumter...Talbot...Taliaferro...
Taylor...Telfair...Toombs...Treutlen...Troup...Twiggs...Upson...
Warren...Washington...Webster...Wheeler...Wilcox...Wilkes...
Wilkinson.

&&

SHORT TERM...Thiem/Morgan
LONG TERM....96/Listemaa
AVIATION...Morgan

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
501 AM EDT Wed Apr 6 2022

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-070915-
Baldwin-Banks-Barrow-Bartow-Bibb-Bleckley-Butts-Carroll-Catoosa-
Chattahoochee-Chattooga-Cherokee-Clarke-Clayton-Cobb-Coweta-
Crawford-Crisp-Dade-Dawson-DeKalb-Dodge-Dooly-Douglas-Emanuel-
Fannin-Fayette-Floyd-Forsyth-Gilmer-Glascock-Gordon-Greene-
Gwinnett-Hall-Hancock-Haralson-Harris-Heard-Henry-Houston-Jackson-
Jasper-Jefferson-Johnson-Jones-Lamar-Laurens-Lumpkin-Macon-
Madison-Marion-Meriwether-Monroe-Montgomery-Morgan-Murray-
Muscogee-Newton-North Fulton-Oconee-Oglethorpe-Paulding-Peach-
Pickens-Pike-Polk-Pulaski-Putnam-Rockdale-Schley-South Fulton-
Spalding-Stewart-Sumter-Talbot-Taliaferro-Taylor-Telfair-Toombs-
Towns-Treutlen-Troup-Twiggs-Union-Upson-Walker-Walton-Warren-
Washington-Webster-Wheeler-White-Whitfield-Wilcox-Wilkes-
Wilkinson-
501 AM EDT Wed Apr 6 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of North and Central Georgia.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight...

Several rounds of showers and thunderstorms will move across the
area this afternoon and overnight. Some storms may become strong
to severe and capable of producing damaging wind gusts and large
hail. A tornado or two are possible. Localized flooding and flash
flooding is possible, especially in areas that received heavy
rainfall on Tuesday.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday...

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters should be prepared for activation, especially this
afternoon across central Georgia. Please relay any information
about observed severe weather to the NWS while following all
local, state, and CDC guidelines.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
336 PM EDT WED APR 06 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0403 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 SSW MERIWETHER        33.12N  83.34W
04/05/2022                   BALDWIN            GA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            SEVERAL TREES REPORTED DOWN ON AVERY RD NEAR OLD
            MONTICELLO RD.

&&

EVENT NUMBER FFC2200346

KING

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
345 PM EDT WED APR 06 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0401 PM     TSTM WND DMG     4 SSW MERIWETHER        33.11N  83.34W
04/05/2022                   BALDWIN            GA   PUBLIC

            RESIDENT REPORTS APPROXIMATELY 100 TREES DOWN ON
            PROPERTY AT THE 400 BLOCK OF OLD MONTICELLO RD.

&&

EVENT NUMBER FFC2200347

KING

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
347 PM EDT WED APR 06 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0334 PM     HAIL             POWERVILLE              32.60N  83.80W
04/06/2022  E1.00 INCH       PEACH              GA   PUBLIC

            QUARTER SIZED HAIL AT THE PET LODGE IN POWERVILLE.

&&

EVENT NUMBER FFC2200348

NLIST

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
348 PM EDT WED APR 06 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0343 PM     HAIL             BYRON                   32.65N  83.76W
04/06/2022  E1.00 INCH       PEACH              GA   PUBLIC

&&

EVENT NUMBER FFC2200349

NLIST

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
349 PM EDT WED APR 06 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0417 PM     FLASH FLOOD      6 E SCOTTSBORO          33.02N  83.14W
04/05/2022                   BALDWIN            GA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            MINOR FLOODING AT A RESIDENCE ON THE 600 BLOCK OF
            STEMBRIDGE RD.

&&

EVENT NUMBER FFC2200350

KING

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
353 PM EDT WED APR 06 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0346 PM     HAIL             1 SSW ELKO              32.32N  83.71W
04/06/2022  E1.00 INCH       HOUSTON            GA   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

EVENT NUMBER FFC2200351

NLIST