River Flood Warning 36, NWS Atlanta, GA

808 
WGUS82 KFFC 050138
FLSFFC

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
838 PM EST Fri Feb 4 2022

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...

  Conasauga River near Eton affecting Whitfield and Murray Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at weather.gov/atlanta.

&&


GAC213-313-051345-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0036.000000T0000Z-220205T1450Z/
/ETNG1.1.ER.220204T2341Z.220205T0100Z.220205T0651Z.NO/
838 PM EST Fri Feb 4 2022

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE TOMORROW MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring.

* WHERE...Conasauga River near Eton.

* WHEN...Until late Saturday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 12 feet, Minor flooding of woodlands, pasture and 
  fields begins along the river, upstream and downstream from the 
  gage on Georgia Highway 286 or Dawnville Road.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:00 PM EST Friday the stage was 12.1 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    late tonight and continue falling to 10.5 feet Saturday
    afternoon.
  - Flood stage is 12 feet.


&&

LAT...LON 3473 8489 3499 8485 3499 8475 3491 8480
      3472 8483


$$

475 
WGUS82 KFFC 050730
FLSFFC

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
230 AM EST Sat Feb 5 2022

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...

  Conasauga River near Eton affecting Whitfield and Murray Counties.

For the Conasauga River Basin...including Eton...Minor flooding is 
forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at weather.gov/atlanta.

&&


GAC213-313-051500-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0036.000000T0000Z-220205T1450Z/
/ETNG1.1.ER.220204T2341Z.220205T0700Z.220205T1138Z.NO/
230 AM EST Sat Feb 5 2022

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE THIS MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring.

* WHERE...Conasauga River near Eton.

* WHEN...Until late this morning.

* IMPACTS...At 12 feet, Minor flooding of woodlands...pasture and 
  fields begins along the river...upstream and downstream from the 
  gage on Georgia Highway 286 or Dawnville Road.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 2:00 AM EST Saturday the stage was 12.4 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 2:00 AM EST Saturday was 12.4 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    this morning and continue falling to 10.6 feet late this
    afternoon.
  - Flood stage is 12 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3473 8489 3499 8485 3499 8475 3491 8480
      3472 8483


$$

593 
WGUS82 KFFC 051058
FLSFFC

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
558 AM EST Sat Feb 5 2022

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Georgia...

  Conasauga River near Eton affecting Whitfield and Murray Counties.

For the Conasauga River Basin...including Eton...Minor flooding is 
forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at weather.gov/atlanta.

&&


GAC213-313-052215-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0036.000000T0000Z-220205T2215Z/
/ETNG1.1.ER.220204T2341Z.220205T1100Z.220205T1615Z.NO/
558 AM EST Sat Feb 5 2022

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Conasauga River near Eton.

* WHEN...Until late this afternoon.

* IMPACTS...At 12 feet, Minor flooding of woodlands...pasture and 
  fields begins along the river...upstream and downstream from the 
  gage on Georgia Highway 286 or Dawnville Road.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 5:00 AM EST Saturday the stage was 12.5 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 5:00 AM EST Saturday was 12.5 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 12.5
    feet this morning. It will then fall below flood stage late
    this morning.
  - Flood stage is 12 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3473 8489 3499 8485 3499 8475 3491 8480
      3472 8483


$$

626 
WGUS82 KFFC 051540
FLSFFC

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1040 AM EST Sat Feb 5 2022

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Georgia...

  Conasauga River near Eton affecting Whitfield and Murray Counties.

For the Conasauga River Basin...including Eton, Crandall, Dalton, 
Keiths Mill near Dalton, Chatsworth, Tilton, Sloan Bridge near 
Dalton...Minor flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at weather.gov/atlanta.

&&


GAC213-313-060100-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0036.000000T0000Z-220206T0051Z/
/ETNG1.1.ER.220204T2341Z.220205T1245Z.220205T1851Z.NO/
1040 AM EST Sat Feb 5 2022

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Conasauga River near Eton.

* WHEN...Until this evening.

* IMPACTS...At 12 feet, Minor flooding of woodlands...pasture and 
  fields begins along the river...upstream and downstream from the 
  gage on Georgia Highway 286 or Dawnville Road.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 10:00 AM EST Saturday the stage was 12.4 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 10:00 AM EST Saturday was 12.5 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    this afternoon and continue falling to 10 feet just after
    midnight tonight.
  - Flood stage is 12 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3473 8489 3499 8485 3499 8475 3491 8480
      3472 8483


$$

326 
WGUS82 KFFC 052333
FLSFFC

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
633 PM EST Sat Feb 5 2022

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Georgia...

  Conasauga River near Eton affecting Whitfield and Murray Counties.

GAC213-313-060045-
/O.CAN.KFFC.FL.W.0036.000000T0000Z-220205T2333Z/
/ETNG1.1.ER.220204T2341Z.220205T1245Z.220205T1856Z.NO/
633 PM EST Sat Feb 5 2022

...FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED...

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Conasauga River near Eton.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 5:00 PM EST Saturday the stage was 11.3 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall to 10 feet just
    after midnight tonight.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3473 8489 3499 8485 3499 8475 3491 8480
      3472 8483


$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
210 PM EST Fri Feb 4 2022

...Afternoon Area Forecast Discussion...

.SHORT TERM /Tonight through Saturday Night/...

Showers continue to linger behind the cold front as it slides off to
the southeast overnight. Precipitation will diminish along a
northwest to southeast axis across the forecast area as the front
progresses. Convective parameters through the day have remained
unimpressive, so thunderstorms are not expected to be much of a
threat. However, locally heavy rainfall may be possible at times.
QPF less 0.25" is possible south of I-85. The general consensus
among HI-RES models is that the precipitation should move out of the
extreme southeastern portion of the forecast area by 10Z Saturday. W
to NW winds from 10-12kts gusting to 20-22kts are possible through
tomorrow morning, but should diminish throughout the day Saturday.
Dry (minimum RH % values in the upper 20s and 30s) and cold air
behind the front filters into northwest Georgia overnight tonight
and advances southeastward Saturday. Temperatures overnight and
tomorrow morning drop into the 20s to upper 30s across much of north
and central Georgia. Breezy conditions coupled with clearing skies
overnight will bring wind chills down into the teens primarily along
and north of I-85 tomorrow morning. High temperatures tomorrow will
range from the 40s to low 50s under mostly clear skies with winds
become easterly by the end of the short term forecast period.

KAL

.LONG TERM /Sunday through Friday/...

As the extended period begins on Sunday morning, much of the
Southeastern CONUS will be underneath nearly zonal flow aloft. While
some weak disturbances will be traversing the upper level flow, a
dry airmass lingering over the region, along with strong surface
high pressure, will serve to inhibit rain chances over the majority
of the area on Sunday. Speaking of the surface high, the center of
the high will be moving eastward towards the mid-Atlantic coast to
start the period, which could serve to develop a weak wedge over
northeast Georgia on Sunday. Moreover, the frontal boundary
currently moving through central Georgia will remain stalled across
near the Florida peninsula. As upper disturbances move over the
stalled front, the development of a surface low pressure system is
possible along the frontal boundary and just east of the Florida
peninsula. The latest GFS/ECMWF solutions are trending towards
better agreement on this low forming near the northeast Florida
coast late Sunday night, then intensifying as it moves along the
Carolina coast on Monday and into the western Atlantic ocean on
Tuesday.

Low temperatures on Sunday morning are expected to start between 3-5
degrees below climatological averages, ranging from the mid 20s in
far north Georgia to the low 30s in east-central Georgia. Highs will
increase into the upper 40s and low 50s across the majority of the
area. As the aforementioned surface low develops, cloud cover is
expected to increase in central and east Georgia during the
afternoon and evening on Sunday. Some scattered precipitation is
then possible on the back side of the low on Sunday night and into
Monday as it moves northeastward. Precipitation chances look to be
highest across the southeastern portion of the forecast area, but
remain limited to low-end chance PoPs, with slight chance PoPs to
the immediate north and west. As precip chances spread northward
early Monday morning, there is an unlikely, but non-zero chance that
it could overlap with near-freezing temperatures in northeast
Georgia. This could lend itself to the possibility of a light
rain/snow mix for a couple of hours early Monday morning. In the off-
chance this occurs, no accumulation of frozen precipitation is
currently expected.

The axis of another longwave upper level trough will swing through
the area on Tuesday. At this time, cloudy conditions over the
forecast area on Monday will begin to clear out and precipitation
will move away to the east. While it is possible that a couple of
more waves could develop along the lingering front, a a reinforcing
shot of cooler and drier air behind the trough should limit rain
chances once again and confine them to the far southeast corner of
the forecast area. As surface high pressure and an upper level ridge
set up over the region late Tuesday into Wednesday, the stalled
front will retreat further south and east from Georgia, and
temperatures will gradually warm under the influence of these
features.

King

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z Update...
IFR cigs will begin to improve to MVFR across metro
ATL sites and CSG by 21-23Z. AHN and MCN remain under MVFR cigs
with TEMPO -SHRA for AHN from 18-20Z and MCN/CSG from 20-23Z with
IFR cigs possible with showers behind the front pushing southeast.
VFR conditions return by 08-12Z for all sites with AHN VFR
conditions returning earlier by 00-02Z. WNW to NW winds from
10-12kts gusts of 20-22kts. Winds diminish early tomorrow
afternoon.

//ATL Confidence...18Z Update...
MEDIUM confidence on rain chances.
HIGH confidence on all other elements.

KAL

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          30  47  28  49 /  10   0   0   0
Atlanta         28  43  29  49 /   5   0   0   0
Blairsville     22  40  23  46 /   5   0   0   0
Cartersville    26  43  28  50 /   5   0   0   0
Columbus        31  49  31  55 /  10   0   0   0
Gainesville     29  45  28  47 /   5   0   0   0
Macon           33  50  29  55 /  20   0   0   5
Rome            25  44  25  52 /   5   0   0   0
Peachtree City  29  45  28  51 /  10   0   0   0
Vidalia         40  52  35  54 /  60   0   5  20

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...KAL
LONG TERM....King
AVIATION...KAL

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
255 PM EST Fri Feb 4 2022

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-052000-
Baldwin-Banks-Barrow-Bartow-Bibb-Bleckley-Butts-Carroll-Catoosa-
Chattahoochee-Chattooga-Cherokee-Clarke-Clayton-Cobb-Coweta-
Crawford-Crisp-Dade-Dawson-DeKalb-Dodge-Dooly-Douglas-Emanuel-
Fannin-Fayette-Floyd-Forsyth-Gilmer-Glascock-Gordon-Greene-
Gwinnett-Hall-Hancock-Haralson-Harris-Heard-Henry-Houston-Jackson-
Jasper-Jefferson-Johnson-Jones-Lamar-Laurens-Lumpkin-Macon-
Madison-Marion-Meriwether-Monroe-Montgomery-Morgan-Murray-
Muscogee-Newton-North Fulton-Oconee-Oglethorpe-Paulding-Peach-
Pickens-Pike-Polk-Pulaski-Putnam-Rockdale-Schley-South Fulton-
Spalding-Stewart-Sumter-Talbot-Taliaferro-Taylor-Telfair-Toombs-
Towns-Treutlen-Troup-Twiggs-Union-Upson-Walker-Walton-Warren-
Washington-Webster-Wheeler-White-Whitfield-Wilcox-Wilkes-
Wilkinson-
255 PM EST Fri Feb 4 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of North and
Central Georgia.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight...

Several rivers continue to respond to the recent heavy rainfall,
so river flooding remains a concern across portions of north and
central Georgia.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday...

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
1133 AM EST FRI FEB 04 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0600 AM     FLASH FLOOD      4 WSW DURAND            32.90N  84.83W
02/04/2022                   MERIWETHER         GA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            THE BRIDGE ON WALLACE ROAD BETWEEN ROBERT WILLIAMS ROAD
            AND CHIPLEY HIGHWAY WAS FLOODED AND CLOSED.

&&

EVENT NUMBER FFC2200235

RWILLIS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
1137 AM EST FRI FEB 04 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0600 AM     FLASH FLOOD      1 NW HAMILTON           32.77N  84.89W
02/04/2022                   HARRIS             GA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            MOBLEY ROAD WAS WASHED OUT AT LITTLE BRANCH.

&&

EVENT NUMBER FFC2200236

RWILLIS