River Flood Warning 33, NWS Atlanta, GA

364 
WGUS82 KFFC 041736
FLSFFC

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1236 PM EST Fri Feb 4 2022

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...

  Suwanee Creek near Suwanee affecting Gwinnett County.

For the Suwanee Creek...including Suwanee...Minor flooding is 
forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at weather.gov/atlanta.

&&


GAC135-050545-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-220205T0723Z/
/SWEG1.1.ER.220204T1657Z.220205T0000Z.220205T0123Z.NO/
1236 PM EST Fri Feb 4 2022

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL JUST AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT...

* WHAT...Minor flooding will continue.

* WHERE...Suwanee Creek near Suwanee.

* WHEN...Until just after midnight tonight.

* IMPACTS...At 8 feet, Flood Stage is reached. Minor flooding begins 
  along the creek upstream and downstream from the gage at U S 
  Highway 23 or Buford Highway. Portions of the Suwanee Creek Park 
  off of Suwanee Creek Trail begin to flood to Martin Farm Road. 
  This will also include areas behind the Suwanee Elementary School 
  and the George Pierce Park.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 12:15 PM EST Friday the stage was 8.1 feet and rising.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 8.3
    feet this evening. It will then fall below flood stage this
    evening.
  - Flood stage is 8 feet.


&&

LAT...LON 3412 8403 3410 8396 3403 8398 3401 8413
      3403 8412 3406 8409


$$

597 
WGUS82 KFFC 050102
FLSFFC

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
802 PM EST Fri Feb 4 2022

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...

  Suwanee Creek near Suwanee affecting Gwinnett County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at weather.gov/atlanta.

&&


GAC135-050730-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-220205T0723Z/
/SWEG1.1.ER.220204T1657Z.220204T2100Z.220205T0600Z.NO/
802 PM EST Fri Feb 4 2022

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL JUST AFTER MIDNIGHT 
TONIGHT...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring.

* WHERE...Suwanee Creek near Suwanee.

* WHEN...Until just after midnight tonight.

* IMPACTS...At 8 feet, Flood Stage is reached. Minor flooding begins 
  along the creek upstream and downstream from the gage at U S 
  Highway 23 or Buford Highway. Portions of the Suwanee Creek Park 
  off of Suwanee Creek Trail begin to flood to Martin Farm Road. 
  This will also include areas behind the Suwanee Elementary School 
  and the George Pierce Park.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 7:15 PM EST Friday the stage was 8.5 feet.
  - Forecast...The creek is expected to fall below flood stage
    just after midnight tonight and continue falling to 1.5 feet
    Wednesday evening.
  - Flood stage is 8 feet.


&&

LAT...LON 3412 8403 3410 8396 3403 8398 3401 8413
      3403 8412 3406 8409


$$

426 
WGUS82 KFFC 050237
FLSFFC

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
937 PM EST Fri Feb 4 2022

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Georgia...

  Suwanee Creek near Suwanee affecting Gwinnett County.

GAC135-050345-
/O.CAN.KFFC.FL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-220205T0237Z/
/SWEG1.1.ER.220204T1657Z.220204T2100Z.220205T0600Z.NO/
937 PM EST Fri Feb 4 2022

...FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED...

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Suwanee Creek near Suwanee.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 7:15 PM EST Friday the stage was 7.9 feet and falling.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 7:15 PM EST Friday was 8.9 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to continue falling to 1.5
    feet Wednesday evening.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3412 8403 3410 8396 3403 8398 3401 8413
      3403 8412 3406 8409


$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1055 AM EST Fri Feb 4 2022

.UPDATE...

No major changes to the short term forecast. Trends are still on
track for the front to continue pushing southeastward today with
showers diminishing from northwest to southeast. Drier conditions
return tomorrow with mostly clear skies and cooler temperatures.
See previous discussion below.

KAL

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 318 AM EST Fri Feb 4 2022/

SHORT TERM /Today through Saturday/...
The long wave trough and surface front will slowly swing through
the forecast area through late this evening. A line of convection
ahead of the system is currently moving through portions of
central and east Georgia with thunderstorms producing locally
heavy rainfall and frequent lightning. The heavy rain and thunder
should diminish across the Atlanta metropolitan area by 4am,
Athens and Columbus between 4-5 am and should move through the
Macon area between 4-7am. HI-RES models continue to show the line
of thunderstorms weakening as it moves south and east across the
area this morning with locally heavy rainfall becoming the main
threat. Models are in good agreement bringing another swath of
rain through the area as the front moves through. Will continue
the Flood Watch for flash flooding through 1 pm this afternoon and
have included areas along and north of a line from Columbus to
Thomaston to Homer. Areas east of the watch area may see
locally heavy rain continue into the afternoon hours with POPs
diminishing this evening through midnight, however this area has
not seen the the amount of rainfall over the past several days and
should see a slower response to the rainfall.

Low clouds will remain across much of north Georgia through early
afternoon with a slow improvement expected behind the front from
northwest to southeast through daybreak tomorrow. Should see drier
conditions by tomorrow with mostly clear skies. Continued to stay
close to guidance temperatures through the period.

Atwell

LONG TERM /Saturday Night through Thursday/...

Old cold front will remain stalled across the Florida peninsula
through the middle of next week. Several areas of low pressure are
expected to develop along the old boundary and move out into the
western Atlantic. Run to run consistency with where/when the lows
development hasn't been great. Models are currently progging a low
pressure to develop off the NE Florida coast late Sunday. This system
should move up the coast of the Carolinas and then out into the
Western Atlantic by Tuesday. Some precip on the back side of this
low is possible, especially across SE portions of the CWA. The front
will remain active through early next week, with a couple more waves
developing and then moving out into the Atlantic. At this time, the
potential for any additional rainfall should remain in the far
southeastern portion of the CWA.

By late Wednesday, high pressure will build in from the west and
will push the front further away from the CWA. A cold front may
impact the CWA by late Thursday into Friday, but moisture looks
limited at this time.

NListemaa

&&

AVIATION...
12Z Update...
CIGs will bounce LIFR to MVFR this morning at ATL area TAF sites
mainly prevailing LIFR with a slow improvement to IFR 16-18Z and
low MVFR 21-23Z. The slow improvement will continue through 06Z
with FEW-SCT clouds by 10-12Z Saturday. Rain should taper off by
18-19Z in ATL area and AHN, and 20-22Z in CSG/MCN. West winds will
generally be 10kts with gusts of 20-25.

//ATL Confidence...12Z Update...
Medium to high confidence timing of SHRA, visibility and winds.
Medium confidence CIGs.

Atwell

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          28  49  27  49 /  20   0   0   0
Atlanta         26  46  29  49 /  20   0   0   0
Blairsville     22  43  22  46 /  10   0   0   0
Cartersville    24  44  27  49 /   5   0   0   0
Columbus        31  50  31  55 /  40   0   0   0
Gainesville     27  46  28  47 /  10   0   0   0
Macon           32  52  29  54 /  50   0   0   5
Rome            24  44  25  52 /   5   0   0   0
Peachtree City  28  47  27  52 /  20   0   0   0
Vidalia         41  55  34  52 /  70  10   5  20

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flood Watch until 1 PM EST this afternoon for the following
zones: Banks...Barrow...Bartow...Butts...Carroll...Catoosa...
Chattooga...Cherokee...Clayton...Cobb...Coweta...Dade...Dawson...
DeKalb...Douglas...Fannin...Fayette...Floyd...Forsyth...Gilmer...
Gordon...Gwinnett...Hall...Haralson...Harris...Heard...Henry...
Jackson...Lamar...Lumpkin...Meriwether...Murray...Muscogee...
Newton...North Fulton...Paulding...Pickens...Pike...Polk...
Rockdale...South Fulton...Spalding...Talbot...Towns...Troup...
Union...Upson...Walker...Walton...White...Whitfield.

&&

SHORT TERM...KAL
LONG TERM....NListemaa
AVIATION...Atwell

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
540 AM EST Fri Feb 4 2022

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-051045-
Baldwin-Banks-Barrow-Bartow-Bibb-Bleckley-Butts-Carroll-Catoosa-
Chattahoochee-Chattooga-Cherokee-Clarke-Clayton-Cobb-Coweta-
Crawford-Crisp-Dade-Dawson-DeKalb-Dodge-Dooly-Douglas-Emanuel-
Fannin-Fayette-Floyd-Forsyth-Gilmer-Glascock-Gordon-Greene-
Gwinnett-Hall-Hancock-Haralson-Harris-Heard-Henry-Houston-Jackson-
Jasper-Jefferson-Johnson-Jones-Lamar-Laurens-Lumpkin-Macon-
Madison-Marion-Meriwether-Monroe-Montgomery-Morgan-Murray-
Muscogee-Newton-North Fulton-Oconee-Oglethorpe-Paulding-Peach-
Pickens-Pike-Polk-Pulaski-Putnam-Rockdale-Schley-South Fulton-
Spalding-Stewart-Sumter-Talbot-Taliaferro-Taylor-Telfair-Toombs-
Towns-Treutlen-Troup-Twiggs-Union-Upson-Walker-Walton-Warren-
Washington-Webster-Wheeler-White-Whitfield-Wilcox-Wilkes-
Wilkinson-
540 AM EST Fri Feb 4 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of North and Central Georgia.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight...

A Flood Watch remains in effect for portions of north and west
Georgia, roughly along and north of the I-85 corridor this morning.
Even though some of the heaviest rainfall has pushed south of the
watch, localized flooding or isolated flash flooding could still occur,
especially around creeks, small streams, areas that are
urbanized, low-lying, or have poor drainage.

Isolated thunderstorms will also be possible today. A few storms
could become strong with gusty winds being the primary hazard.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday...

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not requested but spotters are encouraged
to submit reports of severe weather through the web by going to
weather.gov/atlanta.  Please relay any information about observed
severe weather to the NWS while following all local, state, and
CDC guidelines.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
1133 AM EST FRI FEB 04 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0600 AM     FLASH FLOOD      4 WSW DURAND            32.90N  84.83W
02/04/2022                   MERIWETHER         GA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            THE BRIDGE ON WALLACE ROAD BETWEEN ROBERT WILLIAMS ROAD
            AND CHIPLEY HIGHWAY WAS FLOODED AND CLOSED.

&&

EVENT NUMBER FFC2200235

RWILLIS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
1137 AM EST FRI FEB 04 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0600 AM     FLASH FLOOD      1 NW HAMILTON           32.77N  84.89W
02/04/2022                   HARRIS             GA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            MOBLEY ROAD WAS WASHED OUT AT LITTLE BRANCH.

&&

EVENT NUMBER FFC2200236

RWILLIS