Severe Thunderstorm Warning 77, NWS Kansas City, MO

699 
WWUS53 KEAX 080137
SVSEAX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
837 PM CDT Tue Jun 7 2022

MOC005-087-080200-
/O.CON.KEAX.SV.W.0077.000000T0000Z-220608T0200Z/
Atchison MO-Holt MO-
837 PM CDT Tue Jun 7 2022

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CDT
FOR SOUTH CENTRAL ATCHISON AND NORTHWESTERN HOLT COUNTIES...

At 837 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 8 miles east of
Shubert, or 13 miles north of Falls City, moving east at 50 mph.

HAZARD...Golf ball size hail and 60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect hail 
         damage to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles. Expect wind 
         damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Fairfax, Craig, Corning and Indian Cave State Park. 

This includes Interstate 29 between mile markers 94 and 107.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Prepare immediately for large hail and deadly cloud to ground
lightning. Seek shelter inside a well-built structure. Stay away from
windows.

&&

LAT...LON 4018 9538 4021 9548 4024 9547 4026 9555
      4030 9556 4032 9561 4031 9566 4032 9565
      4034 9562 4035 9563 4036 9563 4036 9532
TIME...MOT...LOC 0137Z 283DEG 43KT 4025 9552 

THUNDERSTORM DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE
HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.75 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

CDB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
618 PM CDT Tue Jun 7 2022

.Discussion...
Issued at 316 PM CDT TUE JUN 7 2022

Key Messages:

- Isolated to scattered thunderstorms expected this afternoon
  along a stationary front.

- A cluster of thunderstorms expected by mid-evening into tonight
  over much of the area, with some threat of straight-line winds
  and quarter-size hail in areas of northeast Kansas and northwest
  Missouri.

Today/tonight: Primary focus centers on the next 12 hours of the
forecast. As of early afternoon, surface observations depicted a
frontal boundary oriented NW-SE across the southwestern third of the
CWA, just SW of the KC Metro. Visible satellite imagery showed a
growing cumulus field, with some agitation near/SW of KC. As
inhibition lessens, anticipate widely scattered showers and
thunderstorms to develop this afternoon along/just north of the
frontal boundary where convergence is maximized. While an isolated
storm may become briefly strong, a much larger area of convection is
expected to evolve upstream over Nebraska and Iowa this evening into
tonight. As these thunderstorms cold pools consolidate during the
evening, an outflow-driven cluster will evolve and push into
northwest MO and northeast Kansas 1-2 hours post-sunset. The most
robust activity will have the potential for thunderstorm outflow
winds up to 60 mph and hail to the size of quarters. With time,
waning instability and outflow displacement ahead of the line will
lead to a notable weakening of the complex as it works its way
across the CWA. The progressive nature of the complex should
mitigate any widespread flooding concerns (3-hour flash flood
guidance is in excess of two inches). However, storms this
afternoon/evening tied to the quasi-stationary boundary and storms
that develop ahead of the thunderstorm complex will have the
potential for heavy rainfall and the attendant threat for localized
flash flooding.

Rainfall should end from west to east Wednesday morning, with
surface high pressure building into the region. Dry conditions are
expected for the remainder of Wednesday and much of Thursday, with
temperatures near or slightly below seasonable levels and drier
humidity values.

Bu Thursday night into Friday morning, two focused areas of
thunderstorm activity appear to occur, both generally splitting the
CWA. The first focused area is in a region of strong isentropic
ascent across much of Iowa, with a second area tied to an
approaching wave and potential thunderstorm complex riding along an
instability axis over central Kansas. While scattered activity/light
rain is expected in between these two areas, widespread heavy
rainfall is not anticipated at this time. Tranquil weather returns
for the remainder of Friday into the weekend, with gradually warming
temperatures.

&&

.Aviation...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Wednesday Evening)
Issued at 617 PM CDT TUE JUN 7 2022

Quiet conditions are expected mostly this evening going into the
overnight. Can't rule out some isolated storms developing, but
they should be small and few and far between. The main line of
storms will enter northwest MO/northeast KS around 03Z and move
southeast exiting central MO by 14Z. This line will reach the KC
metro around 06Z. We could see some lower visibility as the line
moves through. The cold front passes through behind the line.
Ceilings in most areas should drop to high-end MVFR behind the
front for a few hours, then clouds will clear out. Northwesterly
winds will become breezy behind the front as well.

&&

.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
MO...NONE.
&&

Discussion...Blair
Aviation...Atkins

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
520 AM CDT Tue Jun 7 2022

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-081030-
Atchison KS-Miami-Linn KS-Doniphan-Leavenworth-Wyandotte-Johnson KS-
Atchison MO-Nodaway-Worth-Gentry-Harrison-Mercer-Putnam-Schuyler-
Holt-Andrew-De Kalb-Daviess-Grundy-Sullivan-Adair-Buchanan-Clinton-
Caldwell-Livingston-Linn MO-Macon-Platte-Clay-Ray-Carroll-Chariton-
Randolph-Jackson-Lafayette-Saline-Howard-Cass-Johnson MO-Pettis-
Cooper-Bates-Henry-
520 AM CDT Tue Jun 7 2022

This hazardous weather outlook is for northwest...north central and
west central Missouri...as well as extreme eastern Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

 Rain showers possible this morning with another round of rain and
storms late tonight. A few strong, isolated storms may be possible
across the area this afternoon, with the main batch of storms
affecting the forecast area between 9 PM and 3 AM late tonight. The
main impacts include damaging winds, large hail, and heavy rainfall
leading to localized flooding concerns.

 More detailed information can be accessed at...
 https://www.weather.gov/eax/hwo

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

 A break in rain and storms are expected Wednesday, with additional
rain possible Thursday.

 More detailed information can be accessed at...
 https://www.weather.gov/eax/hwo

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
431 PM CDT Tue Jun 7 2022

MOZ053-072200-
Bates MO-
431 PM CDT Tue Jun 7 2022

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southeastern Bates
County through 500 PM CDT...

At 431 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Butler, moving southeast at 20 mph.

HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph and half inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Rockville.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3805 9410 3804 9411 3806 9413 3806 9416
      3804 9419 3816 9435 3826 9429 3820 9405
      3803 9406 3804 9407 3803 9409
TIME...MOT...LOC 2131Z 300DEG 16KT 3818 9427

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

CDB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
432 PM CDT TUE JUN 7 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0416 PM     TSTM WND DMG     BUTLER                  38.25N 94.33W
06/07/2022                   BATES              MO   PUBLIC

            DELAYED REPORT - SOME TREE LIMBS DOWN.

&&

SGA