Alert archive / New York / Winter Storm Watches in 2022

Winter Storm Watch 3, NWS Buffalo, NY

January 9, 2022Chautauqua County, New York

NWS Buffalo, NY issued this winter storm watch at Jan 9, 2022, 3:51 AM EST for Chautauqua County, New York. It took effect at Jan 10, 2022, 7:00 AM EST. It was in force for .

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jan 9, 2022, 3:51 AM EST (08:51 UTC)
In effect from
Jan 10, 2022, 7:00 AM EST
Expired
Jan 10, 2022, 3:35 AM EST
In force
Issued by
NWS Buffalo, NY

County Chautauqua County, NY

The radar

The Buffalo radar (KBUF), 90 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 08:52 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Buffalo Intl Airport, NY (KBUF), launched 00:00Z, 8.9 hours before the alert went out and 91 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 00:00Z on 2022-01-09Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 00:00Z on 2022-01-09The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 457 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
2249 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
70 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
457 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
553 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

032 
WWUS41 KBUF 090851
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
351 AM EST Sun Jan 9 2022

NYZ007-091800-
/O.CAN.KBUF.WS.A.0002.220110T0000Z-220111T0600Z/
/O.EXT.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.220109T1100Z-220111T0000Z/
Jefferson-
Including the city of Watertown
351 AM EST Sun Jan 9 2022

...WINTER STORM WATCH IS CONVERTED TO A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY 
WHICH IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST MONDAY...

* WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected today. Heavy lake effect
  snow expected tonight and Monday. Total ice accumulation of less
  than a tenth of an inch today. Total snow accumulations of 6 to
  10 inches. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph.

* WHERE...Jefferson county. Greatest snow accumulations across far
  southern portions of the county.

* WHEN...Until 7 PM EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the morning or evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Periods of snow, sleet or freezing rain will result in slippery
roads and limited visibilities. Slow down and use caution while
driving.

Submit snow and ice reports through our website or social media.

&&

$$

NYZ006-008-091800-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0002.220110T0000Z-220111T0600Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.220109T1100Z-220110T0000Z/
Oswego-Lewis-
Including the cities of Oswego and Lowville
351 AM EST Sun Jan 9 2022

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS
EVENING TO 1 AM EST TUESDAY...

* WHAT...For the Lake Effect Snow Warning, heavy lake effect snow
  expected. Total snow accumulations of around 2 feet in the most
  persistent lake snows. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph. For the
  Winter Weather Advisory, mixed precipitation expected. Total
  snow accumulations of 1 to 3 inches and ice accumulations of
  less than a tenth of an inch.

* WHERE...Oswego and Lewis counties.

* WHEN...For the Lake Effect Snow Warning, from 7 PM this 
  evening to 1 AM EST Tuesday. For the Winter Weather Advisory, 
  until 7 PM EST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. The 
  hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening 
  commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Periods of snow, sleet or freezing rain will result in slippery
roads and limited visibilities. Slow down and use caution while
driving.

Heavy snow will fall in relatively narrow bands. If traveling, be
prepared for rapidly changing road conditions and visibilities.

Submit snow and ice reports through our website or social media.

&&

Experimental content below...do not use operationally
To view the experimental polygons please see:
http://www.weather.gov/buf/lespolygon
COORD...4342 7586 4345 7594 4350 7641 4345 7663 
        4334 7662 4324 7648 4322 7626 4328 7620 4320 7608 
        4316 7588 
TIME Y22M01D10T0200Z-Y22M01D10T1200Z
COORD...4360 7513 4367 7512 4370 7623 4357 7625 
        4354 7645 4345 7659 4345 7615 4341 7583 4348 7581 
        4342 7550 
TIME Y22M01D10T1200Z-Y22M01D11T0000Z
COORD...4346 7588 4354 7644 4349 7656 4330 7659 
        4324 7648 4322 7626 4328 7620 4320 7608 4316 7588 
        4329 7584 
TIME Y22M01D11T0000Z-Y22M01D11T0600Z

$$

NYZ005-091800-
/O.EXT.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-220111T0600Z/
Northern Cayuga-
Including the city of Fair Haven
351 AM EST Sun Jan 9 2022

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected today. Heavy lake effect
  snow expected tonight and Monday. Total ice accumulation a few
  hundredths of an inch today. Total snow accumulations of 6 to 
  10 inches. Winds gusting as high as 40 mph.

* WHERE...Northern Cayuga county.

* WHEN...Until 1 AM EST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the morning or evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Periods of snow, sleet or freezing rain will result in slippery
roads and limited visibilities. Slow down and use caution while
driving.

Submit snow and ice reports through our website or social media.

&&

$$

NYZ019-091800-
/O.NEW.KBUF.WS.A.0003.220110T1200Z-220111T1200Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-220109T1800Z/
Chautauqua-
Including the city of Jamestown
351 AM EST Sun Jan 9 2022

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...
...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH
TUESDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...For the Winter Weather Advisory, freezing rain.
  Additional ice accumulations of a few hundredths of an inch. For
  the Winter Storm Watch, heavy snow possible. Total snow
  accumulations greater than 8 inches are possible. Winds could 
  gust as high as 40 mph.

* WHERE...Chautauqua county.

* WHEN...For the Winter Weather Advisory, until 1 PM EST this 
  afternoon. For the Winter Storm Watch, from Monday morning 
  through Tuesday morning.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. Areas 
  of blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The 
  hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening 
  commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Periods of freezing rain will result in slick roads. Slow down
and use caution while driving.

Heavy snow will fall in relatively narrow bands. If traveling, be
prepared for rapidly changing road conditions and visibilities.

Submit ice reports through our website or social media.

&&

$$

NYZ012-020-021-085-091800-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-220109T1800Z/
Wyoming-Cattaraugus-Allegany-Southern Erie-
Including the cities of Warsaw, Olean, Wellsville, Orchard Park, 
and Springville
351 AM EST Sun Jan 9 2022

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Freezing rain. Additional ice accumulations a tenth of an
  inch or less.

* WHERE...Wyoming, Cattaraugus, Allegany, and Southern Erie
  counties. Greatest ice accumulations across higher terrain.

* WHEN...Until 1 PM EST this afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Difficult travel conditions are possible.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Periods of freezing rain will result in slick roads. Slow down
and use caution while driving.

Submit ice reports through our website or social media.

&&

$$

NYZ004-013-014-091800-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-220109T1800Z/
Wayne-Livingston-Ontario-
Including the cities of Newark, Geneseo, and Canandaigua
351 AM EST Sun Jan 9 2022

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Freezing rain. Additional ice accumulations of a few 
  hundredths of an inch.

* WHERE...Wayne, Livingston, and Ontario counties.

* WHEN...Until 1 PM EST this afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Periods of snow, sleet or freezing rain will result in slippery
roads and limited visibilities. Slow down and use caution while
driving.

Submit snow and ice reports through our website or social media.

&&

$$

Apffel
6 follow-up statements
181 
WWUS41 KBUF 091211
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
711 AM EST Sun Jan 9 2022

NYZ012>014-085-091315-
/O.CAN.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-220109T1800Z/
Wyoming-Livingston-Ontario-Southern Erie-
Including the cities of Warsaw, Geneseo, Canandaigua, 
Orchard Park, and Springville
711 AM EST Sun Jan 9 2022

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

Air temperatures have steadily climbed above freezing and 
therefore freezing rain is no longer a threat. However, any
untreated surfaces could still have an isolated slick spot.


$$

NYZ006-008-092015-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0002.220110T0000Z-220111T0600Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-220110T0000Z/
Oswego-Lewis-
Including the cities of Oswego and Lowville
711 AM EST Sun Jan 9 2022

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS
EVENING TO 1 AM EST TUESDAY...

* WHAT...For the Lake Effect Snow Warning, heavy lake effect snow
  expected. Total snow accumulations of around 2 feet in the most
  persistent lake snows. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph. For the
  Winter Weather Advisory, mixed precipitation expected. Total
  snow accumulations of 1 to 3 inches and ice accumulations of
  less than a tenth of an inch.

* WHERE...Oswego and Lewis counties.

* WHEN...For the Lake Effect Snow Warning, from 7 PM this 
  evening to 1 AM EST Tuesday. For the Winter Weather Advisory, 
  until 7 PM EST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. The 
  hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening 
  commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Heavy snow will fall in relatively narrow bands. If traveling, be
prepared for rapidly changing road conditions and visibilities.

Submit snow reports through our website or social media.

Periods of snow, sleet or freezing rain will result in slippery
roads and limited visibilities. Slow down and use caution while
driving.

Submit snow and ice reports through our website or social media.

&&

Experimental content below...do not use operationally
To view the experimental polygons please see:
http://www.weather.gov/buf/lespolygon
COORD...4342 7586 4345 7594 4350 7641 4345 7663 
        4334 7662 4324 7648 4322 7626 4328 7620 4320 7608 
        4316 7588 
TIME Y22M01D10T0200Z-Y22M01D10T1200Z
COORD...4360 7513 4367 7512 4370 7623 4357 7625 
        4354 7645 4345 7659 4345 7615 4341 7583 4348 7581 
        4342 7550 
TIME Y22M01D10T1200Z-Y22M01D11T0000Z
COORD...4346 7588 4354 7644 4349 7656 4330 7659 
        4324 7648 4322 7626 4328 7620 4320 7608 4316 7588 
        4329 7584 
TIME Y22M01D11T0000Z-Y22M01D11T0600Z

$$

NYZ019-092015-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-220109T1800Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.A.0003.220110T1200Z-220111T1200Z/
Chautauqua-
Including the city of Jamestown
711 AM EST Sun Jan 9 2022

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...
...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING
THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...For the Winter Weather Advisory, freezing rain.
  Additional ice accumulations of a few hundredths of an inch. For
  the Winter Storm Watch, heavy snow possible. Total snow
  accumulations greater than 8 inches are possible. Winds could 
  gust as high as 40 mph.

* WHERE...Chautauqua county.

* WHEN...For the Winter Weather Advisory, until 1 PM EST this 
  afternoon. For the Winter Storm Watch, from Monday morning 
  through Tuesday morning.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. Areas 
  of blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The 
  hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening 
  commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Periods of snow, sleet or freezing rain will result in slippery
roads and limited visibilities. Slow down and use caution while
driving.

Submit snow and ice reports through our website or social media.

Begin needed preparations at home or with your vehicle. Travel
may become difficult, so plan accordingly.

&&

$$

NYZ020-021-091800-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-220109T1800Z/
Cattaraugus-Allegany-
Including the cities of Olean and Wellsville
711 AM EST Sun Jan 9 2022

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Freezing rain. Additional ice accumulations a tenth of an
  inch or less.

* WHERE...Cattaraugus and Allegany counties. Greatest ice
  accumulations across the higher terrain.

* WHEN...Until 1 PM EST this afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Periods of snow will result in snow covered roads and limited
visibilities. Slow down and use caution while driving.

Submit snow reports through our website or social media.

&&

$$

NYZ004-091800-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-220109T1800Z/
Wayne-
Including the city of Newark
711 AM EST Sun Jan 9 2022

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Freezing rain. Additional ice accumulations of a few 
  hundredths of an inch.

* WHERE...Wayne county.

* WHEN...Until 1 PM EST this afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Periods of snow, sleet or freezing rain will result in slippery
roads and limited visibilities. Slow down and use caution while
driving.

Submit snow and ice reports through our website or social media.

&&

$$

NYZ007-092015-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-220111T0000Z/
Jefferson-
Including the city of Watertown
711 AM EST Sun Jan 9 2022

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST
MONDAY...

* WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected today. Heavy lake effect
  snow expected tonight and Monday. Total ice accumulation of less
  than a tenth of an inch today. Total snow accumulations of 6 to
  10 inches. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph.

* WHERE...Jefferson county. Greatest snow accumulations across far
  southern portions of the county.

* WHEN...Until 7 PM EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the morning or evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Periods of snow, sleet or freezing rain will result in slippery
roads and limited visibilities. Slow down and use caution while
driving.

Submit snow and ice reports through our website or social media.

&&

$$

NYZ005-092015-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-220111T0600Z/
Northern Cayuga-
Including the city of Fair Haven
711 AM EST Sun Jan 9 2022

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST
TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected today. Heavy lake effect
  snow expected tonight and Monday. Total ice accumulation a few
  hundredths of an inch today. Total snow accumulations of 6 to 
  10 inches. Winds gusting as high as 40 mph.

* WHERE...Northern Cayuga county.

* WHEN...Until 1 AM EST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the morning or evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Periods of snow will result in snow covered roads and limited
visibilities. Slow down and use caution while driving.

Submit snow reports through our website or social media.

&&

$$
397 
WWUS41 KBUF 091444
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
944 AM EST Sun Jan 9 2022

NYZ019-092245-
/O.CAN.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-220109T1800Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.A.0003.220110T1200Z-220111T1200Z/
Chautauqua-
Including the city of Jamestown
944 AM EST Sun Jan 9 2022

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING
THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

* WHAT...Heavy lake effect snow possible. Total snow accumulations
  of greater than 8 inches are possible. Winds could gust as high
  as 35 mph, producing blowing and drifting snow.

* WHERE...Chautauqua county.

* WHEN...From Monday morning through Tuesday morning.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult at times with snow
  covered roads and poor visibility. The hazardous conditions 
  could impact the morning or evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Begin needed preparations at home or with your vehicle. Travel
may become difficult, so plan accordingly.

&&

$$

NYZ020-021-091545-
/O.CAN.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-220109T1800Z/
Cattaraugus-Allegany-
Including the cities of Olean and Wellsville
944 AM EST Sun Jan 9 2022

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

Temperatures have risen above freezing this morning.

$$

NYZ006-008-092245-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0002.220110T0000Z-220111T0600Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-220110T0000Z/
Oswego-Lewis-
Including the cities of Oswego and Lowville
944 AM EST Sun Jan 9 2022

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS
EVENING TO 1 AM EST TUESDAY...

* WHAT...For the Lake Effect Snow Warning, heavy lake effect snow
  expected. Total snow accumulations of around 2 feet in the most
  persistent lake snows. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph will
  produce blowing and drifting snow. For the Winter Weather
  Advisory, mixed precipitation expected. Total snow accumulations
  of 1 to 3 inches and additional ice accumulations of less than 
  a tenth of an inch.

* WHERE...Oswego and Lewis counties. The heaviest lake effect snow
  will focus on Oswego and far southern Lewis counties.

* WHEN...For the Lake Effect Snow Warning, from 7 PM this 
  evening to 1 AM EST Tuesday. For the Winter Weather Advisory, 
  until 7 PM EST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Mixed precipitation will produce very slippery travel
  on untreated roads today. Travel will be very difficult at 
  times with deep snow cover on roads and very poor visibility 
  during the lake effect snow. The hazardous conditions could 
  impact the morning or evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Heavy snow will fall in relatively narrow bands. If traveling, be
prepared for rapidly changing road conditions and visibilities.

Submit snow reports through our website or social media.

Periods of snow, sleet or freezing rain will result in slippery
roads and limited visibilities. Slow down and use caution while
driving.

Submit snow and ice reports through our website or social media.

&&

Experimental content below...do not use operationally
To view the experimental polygons please see:
http://www.weather.gov/buf/lespolygon
COORD...4342 7586 4345 7594 4350 7641 4345 7663 
        4334 7662 4324 7648 4322 7626 4328 7620 4320 7608 
        4316 7588 
TIME Y22M01D10T0200Z-Y22M01D10T1200Z
COORD...4360 7513 4367 7512 4370 7623 4357 7625 
        4354 7645 4345 7659 4345 7615 4341 7583 4348 7581 
        4342 7550 
TIME Y22M01D10T1200Z-Y22M01D11T0000Z
COORD...4346 7588 4354 7644 4349 7656 4330 7659 
        4324 7648 4322 7626 4328 7620 4320 7608 4316 7588 
        4329 7584 
TIME Y22M01D11T0000Z-Y22M01D11T0600Z

$$

NYZ004-091800-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-220109T1800Z/
Wayne-
Including the city of Newark
944 AM EST Sun Jan 9 2022

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Freezing rain. Additional ice accumulations of a few 
  hundredths of an inch.

* WHERE...Wayne county.

* WHEN...Until 1 PM EST this afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Plan on very slippery road conditions on untreated
  surfaces.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Periods of freezing rain will result in slick roads. Slow down
and use caution while driving.

Submit ice reports through our website or social media.

&&

$$

NYZ007-092245-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-220111T0000Z/
Jefferson-
Including the city of Watertown
944 AM EST Sun Jan 9 2022

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST
MONDAY...

* WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected today. Lake effect snow
  expected late tonight and Monday. Total ice accumulation of less
  than a tenth of an inch today. Total snow accumulations of 4 to
  8 inches possible Monday. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph will
  produce blowing and drifting snow on Monday.

* WHERE...Jefferson county. Greatest snow accumulations from lake
  effect snow across far southern portions of the county.

* WHEN...Until 7 PM EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...The mixed precipitation today will produce very
  slippery travel on untreated roads. Travel could be very
  difficult in lake effect snow with snow covered roads and poor
  visibility. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning 
  or evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Periods of snow, sleet or freezing rain will result in slippery
roads and limited visibilities. Slow down and use caution while
driving.

Submit snow and ice reports through our website or social media.

&&

$$

NYZ005-092245-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-220111T0600Z/
Northern Cayuga-
Including the city of Fair Haven
944 AM EST Sun Jan 9 2022

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST
TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected today. Lake effect snow
  expected tonight, and again late Monday and Monday night. Total
  ice accumulation a few hundredths of an inch today. Total snow
  accumulations of 5 to 9 inches in persistent snows. Winds
  gusting as high as 40 mph will produce blowing and drifting 
  snow.

* WHERE...Northern Cayuga county.

* WHEN...Until 1 AM EST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult at times. Mixed
  precipitation today will result in very slippery travel on
  untreated roads. Lake effect snow will produce snow covered
  roads and poor visibility at times tonight through Monday 
  night. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or 
  evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Periods of snow, sleet or freezing rain will result in slippery
roads and limited visibilities. Slow down and use caution while
driving.

Submit snow and ice reports through our website or social media.

&&

$$

Hitchcock
348 
WWUS41 KBUF 091748
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1248 PM EST Sun Jan 9 2022

NYZ004-091900-
/O.CAN.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-220109T1800Z/
Wayne-
Including the city of Newark
1248 PM EST Sun Jan 9 2022

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

Temperatures have warmed above freezing, ending the freezing 
rain.

$$

NYZ006-008-100200-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0002.220110T0000Z-220111T0600Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-220110T0000Z/
Oswego-Lewis-
Including the cities of Oswego and Lowville
1248 PM EST Sun Jan 9 2022

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS
EVENING TO 1 AM EST TUESDAY...

* WHAT...For the Lake Effect Snow Warning, heavy lake effect 
  snow expected. Total snow accumulations of around 2 feet in 
  the most persistent lake snows. Winds gusting as high as 35 
  mph will produce blowing and drifting snow. For the Winter 
  Weather Advisory, mixed precipitation expected. Total snow 
  accumulations of 1 to 3 inches and additional ice 
  accumulations of less than a tenth of an inch.

* WHERE...Oswego and Lewis counties. The heaviest lake effect 
  snow will focus on Oswego and far southern Lewis counties.

* WHEN...For the Lake Effect Snow Warning, from 7 PM this 
  evening to 1 AM EST Tuesday. For the Winter Weather Advisory, 
  until 7 PM EST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Mixed precipitation will produce very slippery 
  travel on untreated roads today. Travel will be very difficult 
  at times with deep snow cover on roads and very poor 
  visibility during the lake effect snow. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the morning or evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Heavy snow will fall in relatively narrow bands. If traveling, be
prepared for rapidly changing road conditions and visibilities.

Submit snow reports through our website or social media.

Periods of snow, sleet or freezing rain will result in slippery
roads and limited visibilities. Slow down and use caution while
driving.

Submit snow and ice reports through our website or social media.

&&

Experimental content below...do not use operationally
To view the experimental polygons please see:
http://www.weather.gov/buf/lespolygon
COORD...4342 7586 4345 7594 4350 7641 4345 7663 
        4334 7662 4324 7648 4322 7626 4328 7620 4320 7608 
        4316 7588 
TIME Y22M01D10T0200Z-Y22M01D10T1200Z
COORD...4360 7513 4367 7512 4370 7623 4357 7625 
        4354 7645 4345 7659 4345 7615 4341 7583 4348 7581 
        4342 7550 
TIME Y22M01D10T1200Z-Y22M01D11T0000Z
COORD...4346 7588 4354 7644 4349 7656 4330 7659 
        4324 7648 4322 7626 4328 7620 4320 7608 4316 7588 
        4329 7584 
TIME Y22M01D11T0000Z-Y22M01D11T0600Z

$$

NYZ007-100200-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-220111T0000Z/
Jefferson-
Including the city of Watertown
1248 PM EST Sun Jan 9 2022

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST
MONDAY...

* WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected today. Lake effect snow 
  expected late tonight and Monday. Total ice accumulation of 
  less than a tenth of an inch today. Total snow accumulations 
  of 4 to 8 inches possible Monday. Winds gusting as high as 35 
  mph will produce blowing and drifting snow on Monday.

* WHERE...Jefferson county. Greatest snow accumulations from 
  lake effect snow across far southern portions of the county.

* WHEN...Until 7 PM EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...The mixed precipitation today will produce very 
  slippery travel on untreated roads. Travel could be very 
  difficult in lake effect snow with snow covered roads and poor 
  visibility. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning 
  or evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Periods of snow, sleet or freezing rain will result in slippery
roads and limited visibilities. Slow down and use caution while
driving.

Submit snow and ice reports through our website or social media.

&&

$$

NYZ005-100200-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-220111T0600Z/
Northern Cayuga-
Including the city of Fair Haven
1248 PM EST Sun Jan 9 2022

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST
TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Lake effect snow expected tonight, and then again late
  Monday and Monday night. Total snow accumulations of 5 to 9 
  inches in persistent snows. Winds gusting as high as 40 mph will
  produce blowing and drifting snow.

* WHERE...Northern Cayuga county.

* WHEN...Until 1 AM EST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult at times. Lake effect 
  snow will produce snow covered roads and poor visibility at 
  times tonight through Monday night. The hazardous conditions 
  could impact the morning or evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Periods of snow will result in snow covered roads and limited
visibilities. Slow down and use caution while driving.

Submit snow reports through our website or social media.

&&

$$

NYZ019-100200-
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.A.0003.220110T1200Z-220111T1200Z/
Chautauqua-
Including the city of Jamestown
1248 PM EST Sun Jan 9 2022

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING
THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Heavy lake effect snow possible. Total snow 
  accumulations of greater than 8 inches are possible. Winds 
  could gust as high as 35 mph, producing blowing and drifting 
  snow.

* WHERE...Chautauqua county.

* WHEN...From Monday morning through Tuesday morning.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult at times with snow 
  covered roads and poor visibility. The hazardous conditions 
  could impact the morning or evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Begin needed preparations at home or with your vehicle. Travel
may become difficult, so plan accordingly.

&&

$$

Hitchcock
779 
WWUS41 KBUF 091952
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
252 PM EST Sun Jan 9 2022

NYZ008-100400-
/O.NEW.KBUF.WC.W.0001.220111T0600Z-220111T1800Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0002.220110T0000Z-220111T0600Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-220110T0000Z/
Lewis-
Including the city of Lowville
252 PM EST Sun Jan 9 2022

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS
EVENING TO 1 AM EST TUESDAY...
...WIND CHILL WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 1 PM EST TUESDAY...

* WHAT...For the Lake Effect Snow Warning, heavy lake effect snow
  expected. Total snow accumulations of around 2 feet in the most
  persistent lake snows over the far southwest corner of the
  county. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph will produce blowing and
  drifting snow. For the Wind Chill Warning, dangerously cold wind
  chills expected. Wind chills as low as 35 below zero. For the
  Winter Weather Advisory, snow. Additional snow accumulations of
  2 to 4 inches across the higher terrain of the Tug Hill through
  early this evening.

* WHERE...Lewis county.

* WHEN...For the Lake Effect Snow Warning, from 7 PM this 
  evening to 1 AM EST Tuesday. For the Wind Chill Warning, from 
  1 AM to 1 PM EST Tuesday. For the Winter Weather Advisory, 
  until 7 PM EST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Travel will be very difficult with deep snow cover on
  roads and very poor visibility. Gusty winds will produce near
  whiteout conditions at times. The dangerously cold wind chills 
  could cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 10 
  minutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Heavy snow will fall in relatively narrow bands. If traveling, be
prepared for rapidly changing road conditions and visibilities.

Submit snow reports through our website or social media.

This is a potentially dangerous situation to be outdoors. If you
must be outside, be sure to cover all exposed skin. Frostbite can
occur in 15 minutes or less with apparent temperatures of
25 below zero or colder.

Periods of snow will result in snow covered roads and limited
visibilities. Slow down and use caution while driving.

Submit snow reports through our website or social media.

&&

Experimental content below...do not use operationally
To view the experimental polygons please see:
http://www.weather.gov/buf/lespolygon
COORD...4360 7513 4367 7512 4370 7623 4357 7625 
        4354 7645 4345 7659 4345 7615 4341 7583 4348 7581 
        4342 7550 
TIME Y22M01D10T1200Z-Y22M01D11T0000Z

$$

NYZ007-100400-
/O.NEW.KBUF.WC.W.0001.220111T0600Z-220111T1800Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-220111T0000Z/
Jefferson-
Including the city of Watertown
252 PM EST Sun Jan 9 2022

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST
MONDAY...
...WIND CHILL WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 1 PM EST TUESDAY...

* WHAT...For the Wind Chill Warning, dangerously cold wind chills
  expected. Wind chills as low as 30 below zero. For the Winter
  Weather Advisory, snow. Additional snow accumulations of 2 to 4
  inches through this evening on the Tug Hill. Lake effect snow
  may produce accumulations of 4-7 inches Monday across extreme
  southern Jefferson County. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph will
  produce blowing and drifting snow.

* WHERE...Jefferson county.

* WHEN...For the Wind Chill Warning, from 1 AM to 1 PM EST 
  Tuesday. For the Winter Weather Advisory, until 7 PM EST 
  Monday.

* IMPACTS...Travel will be difficult at times with snow covered
  roads and reduced visibility. The dangerously cold wind chills 
  could cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 10 
  minutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This is a potentially dangerous situation to be outdoors. If you
must be outside, be sure to cover all exposed skin. Frostbite can
occur in 15 minutes or less with apparent temperatures of
25 below zero or colder.

Periods of snow will result in snow covered roads and limited
visibilities. Slow down and use caution while driving.

Submit snow reports through our website or social media.

&&

$$

NYZ006-100400-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0002.220110T0000Z-220111T0600Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-220110T0000Z/
Oswego-
Including the city of Oswego
252 PM EST Sun Jan 9 2022

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS
EVENING TO 1 AM EST TUESDAY...

* WHAT...For the Lake Effect Snow Warning, heavy lake effect snow
  expected. Total snow accumulations of around 2 feet in the most
  persistent lake snows over northern Oswego County, and 8 to 14
  inches for the rest of the county. Winds gusting as high as 35
  mph will produce blowing and drifting snow. For the Winter
  Weather Advisory, snow. Additional snow accumulations of 2 to 4
  inches across the Tug Hill through early this evening.

* WHERE...Oswego county. 

* WHEN...For the Lake Effect Snow Warning, from 7 PM this 
  evening to 1 AM EST Tuesday. For the Winter Weather Advisory, 
  until 7 PM EST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Travel will be very difficult with deep snow cover on
  roads and very poor visibility. Gusty winds will produce near
  whiteout conditions at times.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Heavy snow will fall in relatively narrow bands. If traveling, be
prepared for rapidly changing road conditions and visibilities.

Submit snow reports through our website or social media.

Periods of snow will result in snow covered roads and limited
visibilities. Slow down and use caution while driving.

Submit snow reports through our website or social media.

&&

Experimental content below...do not use operationally
To view the experimental polygons please see:
http://www.weather.gov/buf/lespolygon
COORD...4342 7586 4345 7594 4350 7641 4345 7663 
        4334 7662 4324 7648 4322 7626 4328 7620 4320 7608 
        4316 7588 
TIME Y22M01D10T0200Z-Y22M01D10T1200Z
COORD...4360 7513 4367 7512 4370 7623 4357 7625 
        4354 7645 4345 7659 4345 7615 4341 7583 4348 7581 
        4342 7550 
TIME Y22M01D10T1200Z-Y22M01D11T0000Z
COORD...4346 7588 4354 7644 4349 7656 4330 7659 
        4324 7648 4322 7626 4328 7620 4320 7608 4316 7588 
        4329 7584 
TIME Y22M01D11T0000Z-Y22M01D11T0600Z

$$

NYZ003-004-100400-
/O.EXB.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.220110T2300Z-220111T1800Z/
Monroe-Wayne-
Including the cities of Rochester and Newark
252 PM EST Sun Jan 9 2022

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM MONDAY TO 1 PM EST
TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Lake effect snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 4
  to 7 inches in the most persistent lake snows. Winds gusting as
  high as 35 mph will produce blowing and drifting snow.

* WHERE...Monroe and Wayne counties.

* WHEN...From 6 PM Monday to 1 PM EST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Travel will be difficult at times with snow covered
  roads and reduced visibility. Areas of blowing snow could
  significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions could
  impact the evening commute on Monday, and the morning commute on
  Tuesday.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Lake effect snow will fall in relatively narrow bands. If
traveling, be prepared for rapidly changing road conditions and
visibilities.

Submit snow reports through our website or social media.

&&

$$

NYZ001-002-100400-
/O.EXB.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.220110T2300Z-220111T0900Z/
Niagara-Orleans-
Including the cities of Niagara Falls and Medina
252 PM EST Sun Jan 9 2022

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM MONDAY TO 4 AM EST
TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Lake effect snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 2
  to 5 inches in the most persistent lake snows. Winds gusting as
  high as 35 mph will produce blowing and drifting snow.

* WHERE...Niagara and Orleans counties.

* WHEN...From 6 PM Monday to 4 AM EST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Travel will be difficult at times with snow covered
  roads and reduced visibility. Areas of blowing snow could
  significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions could
  impact the evening commute on Monday, and the morning commute on
  Tuesday.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Lake effect snow will fall in relatively narrow bands. If
traveling, be prepared for rapidly changing road conditions and
visibilities.

Submit snow reports through our website or social media.

&&

$$

NYZ005-100400-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-220111T0600Z/
Northern Cayuga-
Including the city of Fair Haven
252 PM EST Sun Jan 9 2022

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST
TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Lake effect snow tonight, and again Monday night. Snow 
  accumulations of 3 to 5 inches tonight in the most persistent 
  lake snows. Additional accumulation of 3 to 5 inches Monday 
  night. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph will produce blowing and 
  drifting snow.

* WHERE...Northern Cayuga county.

* WHEN...Until 1 AM EST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Travel will be difficult at times with snow covered
  roads and reduced visibility. Areas of blowing snow could
  significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions could
  impact the morning and evening commute on Monday, and the 
  morning commute on Tuesday.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Lake effect snow will fall in relatively narrow bands. If
traveling, be prepared for rapidly changing road conditions and
visibilities.

Submit snow reports through our website or social media.

&&

$$

NYZ019-100400-
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.A.0003.220110T1200Z-220111T1200Z/
Chautauqua-
Including the city of Jamestown
252 PM EST Sun Jan 9 2022

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING
THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Heavy lake effect snow possible. Total snow accumulations
  of 8 inches or more possible. Winds could gust as high as 35 mph
  producing blowing and drifting snow.

* WHERE...Chautauqua county.

* WHEN...From Monday morning through Tuesday morning.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult with snow covered roads
  and poor visibility. Areas of blowing snow could significantly 
  reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions could impact the 
  morning or evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Begin needed preparations at home or with your vehicle. Travel
may become difficult, so plan accordingly.

&&

$$

Hitchcock
150 
WWUS41 KBUF 100238
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
938 PM EST Sun Jan 9 2022

NYZ007-101100-
/O.CON.KBUF.WC.W.0001.220111T0600Z-220111T1800Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-220111T0000Z/
Jefferson-
Including the city of Watertown
938 PM EST Sun Jan 9 2022

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST
MONDAY...
...WIND CHILL WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 1 PM EST
TUESDAY...

* WHAT...For the Wind Chill Warning, dangerously cold wind 
  chills expected. Wind chills as low as 30 below zero. For the 
  Winter Weather Advisory, snow. Additional snow accumulations 
  of 2 to 4 inches through this evening on the Tug Hill. Lake 
  effect snow may produce accumulations of 4-7 inches Monday 
  across extreme southern Jefferson County. Winds gusting as 
  high as 35 mph will produce blowing and drifting snow.

* WHERE...Jefferson county.

* WHEN...For the Wind Chill Warning, from 1 AM to 1 PM EST 
  Tuesday. For the Winter Weather Advisory, until 7 PM EST 
  Monday.

* IMPACTS...Travel will be difficult at times with snow covered 
  roads and reduced visibility. The dangerously cold wind chills 
  could cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 10 
  minutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This is a potentially dangerous situation to be outdoors. If you
must be outside, be sure to cover all exposed skin. Frostbite can
occur in 15 minutes or less with apparent temperatures of
25 below zero or colder.

Periods of snow will result in snow covered roads and limited
visibilities. Slow down and use caution while driving.

Submit snow reports through our website or social media.

&&

$$

NYZ008-101100-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0002.000000T0000Z-220111T0600Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.WC.W.0001.220111T0600Z-220111T1800Z/
Lewis-
Including the city of Lowville
938 PM EST Sun Jan 9 2022

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST
TUESDAY...
...WIND CHILL WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 1 PM EST
TUESDAY...

* WHAT...For the Lake Effect Snow Warning, heavy lake effect 
  snow expected. Total snow accumulations of around 2 feet in 
  the most persistent lake snows over the far southwest corner 
  of the county. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph will produce 
  blowing and drifting snow. For the Wind Chill Warning, 
  dangerously cold wind chills expected. Wind chills as low as 
  35 below zero. For the Winter Weather Advisory, snow. 
  Additional snow accumulations of 2 to 4 inches across the 
  higher terrain of the Tug Hill through early this evening.

* WHERE...Lewis county.

* WHEN...For the Lake Effect Snow Warning, from 7 PM this 
  evening to 1 AM EST Tuesday. For the Wind Chill Warning, from 
  1 AM to 1 PM EST Tuesday. For the Winter Weather Advisory, 
  until 7 PM EST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Travel will be very difficult with deep snow cover 
  on roads and very poor visibility. Gusty winds will produce 
  near whiteout conditions at times. The dangerously cold wind 
  chills could cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 
  10 minutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Heavy snow will fall in relatively narrow bands. If traveling, be
prepared for rapidly changing road conditions and visibilities.

Submit snow reports through our website or social media.

This is a potentially dangerous situation to be outdoors. If you
must be outside, be sure to cover all exposed skin. Frostbite can
occur in 15 minutes or less with apparent temperatures of
25 below zero or colder.

Periods of snow will result in snow covered roads and limited
visibilities. Slow down and use caution while driving.

Submit snow reports through our website or social media.

&&

Experimental content below...do not use operationally
To view the experimental polygons please see:
http://www.weather.gov/buf/lespolygon
COORD...4360 7513 4367 7512 4370 7623 4357 7625 
        4354 7645 4345 7659 4345 7615 4341 7583 4348 7581 
        4342 7550 
TIME Y22M01D10T1200Z-Y22M01D11T0000Z

$$

NYZ006-101100-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0002.000000T0000Z-220111T0600Z/
Oswego-
Including the city of Oswego
938 PM EST Sun Jan 9 2022

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST
TUESDAY...

* WHAT...For the Lake Effect Snow Warning, heavy lake effect 
  snow expected. Total snow accumulations of around 2 feet in 
  the most persistent lake snows over northern Oswego County, 
  and 8 to 14 inches for the rest of the county. Winds gusting 
  as high as 35 mph will produce blowing and drifting snow. For 
  the Winter Weather Advisory, snow. Additional snow 
  accumulations of 2 to 4 inches across the Tug Hill through 
  early this evening.

* WHERE...Oswego county.

* WHEN...For the Lake Effect Snow Warning, from 7 PM this 
  evening to 1 AM EST Tuesday. For the Winter Weather Advisory, 
  until 7 PM EST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Travel will be very difficult with deep snow cover 
  on roads and very poor visibility. Gusty winds will produce 
  near whiteout conditions at times.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Heavy snow will fall in relatively narrow bands. If traveling, be
prepared for rapidly changing road conditions and visibilities.

Submit snow reports through our website or social media.

Periods of snow will result in snow covered roads and limited
visibilities. Slow down and use caution while driving.

Submit snow reports through our website or social media.

&&

Experimental content below...do not use operationally
To view the experimental polygons please see:
http://www.weather.gov/buf/lespolygon
COORD...4342 7586 4345 7594 4350 7641 4345 7663 
        4334 7662 4324 7648 4322 7626 4328 7620 4320 7608 
        4316 7588 
TIME Y22M01D10T0200Z-Y22M01D10T1200Z
COORD...4360 7513 4367 7512 4370 7623 4357 7625 
        4354 7645 4345 7659 4345 7615 4341 7583 4348 7581 
        4342 7550 
TIME Y22M01D10T1200Z-Y22M01D11T0000Z
COORD...4346 7588 4354 7644 4349 7656 4330 7659 
        4324 7648 4322 7626 4328 7620 4320 7608 4316 7588 
        4329 7584 
TIME Y22M01D11T0000Z-Y22M01D11T0600Z

$$

NYZ003-004-101100-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.220110T2300Z-220111T1800Z/
Monroe-Wayne-
Including the cities of Rochester and Newark
938 PM EST Sun Jan 9 2022

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM MONDAY TO
1 PM EST TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Lake effect snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 
  4 to 7 inches in the most persistent lake snows. Winds gusting 
  as high as 35 mph will produce blowing and drifting snow.

* WHERE...Monroe and Wayne counties.

* WHEN...From 6 PM Monday to 1 PM EST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Travel will be difficult at times with snow covered 
  roads and reduced visibility. Areas of blowing snow could 
  significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions 
  could impact the evening commute on Monday, and the morning 
  commute on Tuesday.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Lake effect snow will fall in relatively narrow bands. If
traveling, be prepared for rapidly changing road conditions and
visibilities.

Submit snow reports through our website or social media.

&&

$$

NYZ005-101100-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-220111T0600Z/
Northern Cayuga-
Including the city of Fair Haven
938 PM EST Sun Jan 9 2022

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST
TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Lake effect snow tonight, and again Monday night. Snow 
  accumulations of 3 to 5 inches tonight in the most persistent 
  lake snows. Additional accumulation of 3 to 5 inches Monday 
  night. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph will produce blowing 
  and drifting snow.

* WHERE...Northern Cayuga county.

* WHEN...Until 1 AM EST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Travel will be difficult at times with snow covered 
  roads and reduced visibility. Areas of blowing snow could 
  significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions 
  could impact the morning and evening commute on Monday, and 
  the morning commute on Tuesday.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Lake effect snow will fall in relatively narrow bands. If
traveling, be prepared for rapidly changing road conditions and
visibilities.

Submit snow reports through our website or social media.

&&

$$

NYZ001-002-101100-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.220110T2300Z-220111T0900Z/
Niagara-Orleans-
Including the cities of Niagara Falls and Medina
938 PM EST Sun Jan 9 2022

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM MONDAY TO
4 AM EST TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Lake effect snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 
  2 to 5 inches in the most persistent lake snows. Winds gusting 
  as high as 35 mph will produce blowing and drifting snow.

* WHERE...Niagara and Orleans counties.

* WHEN...From 6 PM Monday to 4 AM EST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Travel will be difficult at times with snow covered 
  roads and reduced visibility. Areas of blowing snow could 
  significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions 
  could impact the evening commute on Monday, and the morning 
  commute on Tuesday.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Lake effect snow will fall in relatively narrow bands. If
traveling, be prepared for rapidly changing road conditions and
visibilities.

Submit snow reports through our website or social media.

&&

$$

NYZ019-101100-
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.A.0003.220110T1200Z-220111T1200Z/
Chautauqua-
Including the city of Jamestown
938 PM EST Sun Jan 9 2022

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM EST MONDAY
THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Heavy lake effect snow possible. Total snow 
  accumulations of 8 inches or more possible. Winds could gust 
  as high as 35 mph producing blowing and drifting snow.

* WHERE...Chautauqua county.

* WHEN...From Monday morning through Tuesday morning.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult with snow covered 
  roads and poor visibility. Areas of blowing snow could 
  significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions 
  could impact the morning or evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Begin needed preparations at home or with your vehicle. Travel
may become difficult, so plan accordingly.

&&

$$
197 
WWUS41 KBUF 100835
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
335 AM EST Mon Jan 10 2022

NYZ007-101645-
/O.CON.KBUF.WC.W.0001.220111T0600Z-220111T1800Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-220111T0000Z/
Jefferson-
Including the city of Watertown
335 AM EST Mon Jan 10 2022

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...WIND CHILL WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 1 PM EST
TUESDAY...

* WHAT...For the Wind Chill Warning, dangerously cold wind chills
  expected. Wind chills as low as 30 below zero. For the Winter
  Weather Advisory, snow. Snow accumulations of 5 to 10 inches 
  across far southern portions of the county with 2 to 4 inches 
  elsewhere. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph.

* WHERE...Jefferson county.

* WHEN...For the Wind Chill Warning, from 1 AM to 1 PM EST 
  Tuesday. For the Winter Weather Advisory, until 7 PM EST this 
  evening.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous
  conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. The cold
  wind chills could cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little
  as 15 minutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This is a potentially dangerous situation to be outdoors. If you
must be outside, be sure to cover all exposed skin. Frostbite can
occur in 15 minutes or less with apparent temperatures of
25 below zero or colder.

Periods of snow will result in snow covered roads and limited
visibilities. Slow down and use caution while driving.

Submit snow reports through our website or social media.

&&

$$

NYZ008-101645-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0002.000000T0000Z-220111T0600Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.WC.W.0001.220111T0600Z-220111T1800Z/
Lewis-
Including the city of Lowville
335 AM EST Mon Jan 10 2022

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST
TUESDAY...
...WIND CHILL WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 1 PM EST
TUESDAY...

* WHAT...For the Lake Effect Snow Warning, heavy lake effect snow.
  Snow accumulations around two feet in the most persistent lake
  snows which will be across the southwest corner of the county. 
  For the Wind Chill Warning, dangerously cold wind chills 
  expected. Wind chills as low as 30 below zero.

* WHERE...Lewis county.

* WHEN...For the Lake Effect Snow Warning, until 1 AM EST 
  Tuesday. For the Wind Chill Warning, from 1 AM to 1 PM EST 
  Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. The
  hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening
  commute. The cold wind chills could cause frostbite on exposed
  skin in as little as 15 minutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Heavy snow will fall in relatively narrow bands. If traveling, be
prepared for rapidly changing road conditions and visibilities.

Submit snow reports through our website or social media.

This is a potentially dangerous situation to be outdoors. If you
must be outside, be sure to cover all exposed skin. Frostbite can
occur in 15 minutes or less with apparent temperatures of
25 below zero or colder.

&&

Experimental content below...do not use operationally
To view the experimental polygons please see:
http://www.weather.gov/buf/lespolygon
COORD...4360 7513 4367 7512 4370 7623 4357 7625 
        4354 7645 4345 7659 4345 7615 4341 7583 4348 7581 
        4342 7550 
TIME Y22M01D10T1200Z-Y22M01D11T0000Z

$$

NYZ006-101645-
/O.NEW.KBUF.WC.Y.0001.220111T0600Z-220111T1800Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0002.000000T0000Z-220111T0600Z/
Oswego-
Including the city of Oswego
335 AM EST Mon Jan 10 2022

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST
TUESDAY...
...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 1 PM EST TUESDAY...

* WHAT...For the Lake Effect Snow Warning, heavy lake effect snow.
  Snow accumulations around two feet in the most persistent lake
  snows. Winds gusting as high as 40 mph. For the Wind Chill
  Advisory, very cold wind chills expected. Wind chills as low as
  20 below zero.

* WHERE...Oswego county.

* WHEN...For the Lake Effect Snow Warning, until 1 AM EST 
  Tuesday. For the Wind Chill Advisory, from 1 AM to 1 PM EST 
  Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. The
  hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening
  commute. The cold wind chills could cause frostbite on exposed
  skin in as little as 30 minutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Heavy snow will fall in relatively narrow bands. If traveling, be
prepared for rapidly changing road conditions and visibilities.

Submit snow reports through our website or social media.

This is a potentially dangerous situation to be outdoors. If you
must be outside, be sure to cover all exposed skin. Frostbite can
occur in 30 minutes or less with apparent temperatures of
15 below zero or colder.

&&

Experimental content below...do not use operationally
To view the experimental polygons please see:
http://www.weather.gov/buf/lespolygon
COORD...4342 7586 4345 7594 4350 7641 4345 7663 
        4334 7662 4324 7648 4322 7626 4328 7620 4320 7608 
        4316 7588 
TIME Y22M01D10T0200Z-Y22M01D10T1200Z
COORD...4360 7513 4367 7512 4370 7623 4357 7625 
        4354 7645 4345 7659 4345 7615 4341 7583 4348 7581 
        4342 7550 
TIME Y22M01D10T1200Z-Y22M01D11T0000Z
COORD...4346 7588 4354 7644 4349 7656 4330 7659 
        4324 7648 4322 7626 4328 7620 4320 7608 4316 7588 
        4329 7584 
TIME Y22M01D11T0000Z-Y22M01D11T0600Z

$$

NYZ019-101645-
/O.UPG.KBUF.WS.A.0003.220110T1200Z-220111T1200Z/
/O.EXB.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.220110T1200Z-220111T1200Z/
Chautauqua-
Including the city of Jamestown
335 AM EST Mon Jan 10 2022

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO
7 AM EST TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Lake effect snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 5
  to 10 inches in the most persistent lake snows. Winds gusting as
  high as 35 mph.

* WHERE...Chautauqua county.

* WHEN...From 7 AM this morning to 7 AM EST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the morning or evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Lake effect snow will fall in relatively narrow bands. If
traveling, be prepared for rapidly changing road conditions and
visibilities.

Submit snow reports through our website or social media.

&&

$$

NYZ020-085-101645-
/O.EXB.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.220110T1200Z-220111T1200Z/
Cattaraugus-Southern Erie-
Including the cities of Olean, Orchard Park, and Springville
335 AM EST Mon Jan 10 2022

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO
7 AM EST TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Lake effect snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 4
  to 8 inches in the most persistent lake snows. Winds gusting as
  high as 35 mph.

* WHERE...Cattaraugus and Southern Erie counties.

* WHEN...From 7 AM this morning to 7 AM EST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the morning or evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Lake effect snow will fall in relatively narrow bands. If
traveling, be prepared for rapidly changing road conditions and
visibilities.

Submit snow reports through our website or social media.

&&

$$

NYZ005-101645-
/O.EXT.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-220111T1800Z/
Northern Cayuga-
Including the city of Fair Haven
335 AM EST Mon Jan 10 2022

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Lake effect snow. Snow accumulations of 6 to 10 inches 
  in the most persistent lake snows. Winds gusting as high as 40 
  mph.

* WHERE...Northern Cayuga county.

* WHEN...Until 1 PM EST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. The 
  hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening 
  commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Lake effect snow will fall in relatively narrow bands. If
traveling, be prepared for rapidly changing road conditions and
visibilities.

Submit snow reports through our website or social media.

&&

$$

NYZ003-004-101645-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.220110T2300Z-220111T1800Z/
Monroe-Wayne-
Including the cities of Rochester and Newark
335 AM EST Mon Jan 10 2022

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS
EVENING TO 1 PM EST TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Lake effect snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 4
  to 7 inches in the most persistent lake snows. Winds gusting as
  high as 35 mph.

* WHERE...Monroe and Wayne counties.

* WHEN...From 6 PM this evening to 1 PM EST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the morning or evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Lake effect snow will fall in relatively narrow bands. If
traveling, be prepared for rapidly changing road conditions and
visibilities.

Submit snow reports through our website or social media.

&&

$$

NYZ001-002-101645-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.220110T2300Z-220111T0900Z/
Niagara-Orleans-
Including the cities of Niagara Falls and Medina
335 AM EST Mon Jan 10 2022

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS
EVENING TO 4 AM EST TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Lake effect snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 3
  to 5 inches in the most persistent lake snows. Winds gusting as
  high as 35 mph.

* WHERE...Niagara and Orleans counties.

* WHEN...From 6 PM this evening to 4 AM EST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Lake effect snow will fall in relatively narrow bands. If
traveling, be prepared for rapidly changing road conditions and
visibilities.

Submit snow reports through our website or social media.

&&

$$

Apffel

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this winter storm watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm watch went out at Jan 9, 1:25 AM EST, 2 hours 26 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 9, 1:25 AM EST, 2 hours 26 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
125 AM EST Sun Jan 9 2022

.SYNOPSIS...
Mix precipitation overnight will change to all rain for most
locations by Sunday morning except east of Lake Ontario. A
strong cold front will cross the region Sunday afternoon with
precipitation changing back to snow by late in the day.
Sunday night, accumulating lake effect snows expected east of
the lakes through Monday night, with the highest impacts
focused primarily downwind of Lake Ontario.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
A mix of -RA and -FZRA across Western NY overnight which changes to
all rain as we head into the early morning hours. There possibly
could still be some isolated pockets of -FZRA across the western S.
Tier before sunrise but that too will change over. Initially a bit
of a different story will unfold further east and northeast (Oswego,
Jefferson, and Lewis county) concerning p-type. BUFKIT sounding
profiles show that a deeper colder air mass will be in place as
precipitation arrives overnight before enough warmer air sneaks in
aloft to chance p-type over. Could see a few inches of snow across
the western Dacks before the mix occurs with some sleet or even a
little --FZRA or plain rain on Sunday. Winter weather Advisories
will continue to remain in effect across the area except for parts
of the Niagara Frontier and Monroe county.

Otherwise, lows will bottom out in the teens east of Lake Ontario
and the 20s elsewhere during the first half of tonight. Temperatures
will then rise to above freezing across the lower terrain for Monroe
County and points west, while temperatures rise into the 20s and low
30s across the interior Southern Tier, Finger Lakes, as well as for
Wayne County and points east.

Strong cold front crosses the region Sunday afternoon, with any mix
or rain changing back over to snow. First across the higher terrain,
then across the lower elevations by late in the day, with some
addtional minor snowfall accums possible across the higher terrain
by late Sunday afternoon. Highs on Sunday will occur by midday with
upper 30s to low 40s south of Lake Ontario, with mid to upper 30s
across the North Country, then falling back through the 30s during
the second half of the day, likely below freezing by sunset across
the higher terrain.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
...HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO...

Our main concern for the short term period swings back to the
potential for heavy lake effect snow, especially east of Lake
Ontario. A deep longwave trough will carve out in eastern North
America Sunday night through Tuesday, with several embedded
shortwaves moving across Ontario and Quebec. A cold front will
depart east of the area Sunday night, allowing the coldest airmass
of the winter season so far to pour into the Great Lakes. The setup
is much more favorable off Lake Ontario, with deeper moisture, more
synoptic scale support, and a better opportunity for upstream lake
connections. Off Lake Erie, lower inversion heights, less synoptic
scale moisture, and less chance of upstream lake connections will
result in a less favorable setup for heavy snow.

Sunday evening there may still be fairly widespread snow showers
across much of the area, supported by DPVA ahead of the approaching
trough, burgeoning lake instability, and boundary layer instability
from cold advection aloft and still mild near surface temperatures
resulting in steep lapse rates. The widespread snow showers will
taper off later Sunday night, giving way to a more pure lake
response.

Off Lake Ontario...

Expect a band of lake effect snow to organize later Sunday evening
on WNW flow across southern Oswego County. This band will intensify
across Oswego County overnight, then move north to the southern Tug
Hill region by early Monday morning. The past few runs of the
Canadian GEM and 3km NAM suggest an intense band will then focus
across northern Oswego and southern Lewis counties for much of the
day Monday. Ideal lake induced instability and favorable cloud
microphysics will support 3"+/hr snowfall rates in the heart of this
band. There may be some thunder/lightning late Sunday night and
Monday as well.

A sharp arctic front will then cross Lake Ontario early Monday
evening, likely capturing the east-west oriented lake effect band
over the lake and pushing it onshore along the entire south shore,
moving south to about the NY Thruway Monday evening before breaking
apart into multiple bands. This will likely produce a quick burst of
heavy snow for areas between the south shore of Lake Ontario and NY
Thruway.

Later Monday night through Tuesday northwest flow will support a
spay of weaker multiple bands south/southeast of Lake Ontario across
much of Western and Central NY. Most of this will be on the light
side, although a Georgian Bay connection may bring enhanced snow to
areas west of Rochester and east of Buffalo for awhile Monday night.
Another more dominant band, supported by modulations in the low
level flow near Irondequoit Bay (convergence driven by concave
shoreline) may support a more concentrated band of snow from the
eastern Rochester suburbs into western Wayne County. Finally,
mesoscale model guidance suggests an enhanced band of convergence
near Mexico Bay in central Oswego County. The multiple bands will
persist through Tuesday morning before slowly diminishing in the
afternoon and evening as high pressure crosses Lake Ontario.

As far as accumulations go, the bullseye of heaviest snow in
northern Oswego County and the southern Tug Hill may see totals of
around 2 feet, with 8-14" common across the rest of Oswego and
southern Lewis counties. This area has been upgraded to a Lake
Effect Snow Warning. Farther north, it will be a close call whether
the band makes it into Jefferson County or not, so left the Watch in
place there given uncertainty. Northeast Wayne and northern Cayuga
counties may see 4-8" total, with most of that falling Sunday night,
and again Monday night in a few different bursts. This area may
eventually need an advisory. Farther west, expect roughly 3-6 inches
from western Wayne county westward across Rochester to
Orleans/Niagara counties, although there may be localized 6+ inch
amounts in areas outlined above that may see enhanced bands. This
area may also need an advisory for Monday night through Tuesday.

Off Lake Erie...

The less favorable synoptic scale support and moisture, shorter
fetch, and less chance for upstream connections will limit the
potential for truly heavy lake effect snow, but amounts will still
add up over several days. Expect a few bands of light to briefly
moderate snow Sunday night through Monday morning with minor
accumulations mainly across the higher terrain of the western
Southern Tier and Boston Hills.

A better window for heavier snow may come late Monday afternoon
through Tuesday morning as flow veers to the northwest. This may
bring a Lake Huron connection more into play and support a period of
heavier snowfall rates. Latest mesoscale model guidance suggests
this Lake Huron band may traverse the western Southern Tier rather
quickly, allowing it to end up in NW PA by early Tuesday morning. If
this band keeps moving, watch/warning criteria snow is less likely
off Lake Erie. Given the uncertainty, for now have totals of 6-10
inches spread out over 2 days for the higher terrain of Chautauqua
and Cattaraugus counties. These amounts over a 2 day timeframe would
fall into advisory range, so will hold off on any headlines for now
given the uncertainty in higher amounts.

Finally, the coldest airmass of the season will support frigid wind
chills Monday night into Tuesday. The coldest air will cross the
North Country with less lake modification, and this area may see
wind chills of colder than -25F at times. Elsewhere, wind chills may
run -10F to -15F.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
A ridge of high pressure along the east coast will provide dry but
very cold weather Tuesday night. Good radiational cooling should
allow temperatures to drop WELL below zero across the Eastern Lake
Ontario region with single digits elsewhere. Wednesday should remain
dry, but a southwest flow will provide warmer weather.

A weak cold front will move through Wednesday night with model
consensus dropping 850mb temperatures down to around -10c. This is
marginally cold enough for a lake response, with the best chance for
any lake effect snow east of Lake Ontario where it will be slightly
cooler aloft. At best this should be a minor lake effect event, with
the weak front and associated surface trough only bringing a small
chance of rain or snow showers to the rest of the area with its
passage Wednesday night and Thursday.

A weak ridge is then forecast to move across the region Thursday
night, with most 00Z model guidance keeping a frontal boundary to
the north. This would maintain dry weather through Friday

&&

.AVIATION /07Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
CIGS lowering into the MVFR range with some freezing rain possible
across the western Southern Tier at KJHW and  the Finger Lakes
region. Terminals further east and northeast there will be a chance
for some snow or sleet overnight. Winds will also increase and
become gusty.

Sunday, much of the area will see CIGS drop to IFR, with some areas
seeing MVFR at times from the Niagara Frontier over to KROC. There
will also be some pockets of freezing rain and also sleet and snow
continuing east of Lake Ontario Sunday morning. Otherwise, it will be
plain rain for all other terminals.

Outlook...

Sunday night through Tuesday...Local IFR within lake effect snow
east of the Lakes, otherwise MVFR-VFR.
Wednesday and Thursday...Mainly VFR with a chance of snow showers.

&&

.MARINE...
Southerly winds will ramp up overnight ahead of a strong cold front,
resulting in higher end Small Craft Advisories for just about all
areas starting by early Sunday morning.

The cold front will then cross the waters Sunday afternoon with
southwesterly winds veering to westerly and increasing further in
the wake of the frontal passage. This will keep Small Craft
headlines in effect through Monday night and Tuesday.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...Winter Weather Advisory from 6 AM this morning to 7 PM EST
     this evening for NYZ006>008.
     Winter Storm Watch from this evening through late Monday night
     for NYZ007.
     Lake Effect Snow Warning from 7 PM this evening to 1 AM EST
     Tuesday for NYZ006-008.
     Winter Weather Advisory until 1 PM EST this afternoon for
     NYZ004-005-013-014.
     Winter Weather Advisory until 1 PM EST this afternoon for
     NYZ012-019>021-085.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM EST Tuesday for LEZ040-041.
         Small Craft Advisory until 10 PM EST Monday for LEZ020.
         Small Craft Advisory until 1 PM EST Tuesday for
         LOZ043-044.
         Small Craft Advisory from 9 AM this morning to 7 AM EST
         Tuesday for LOZ042.
         Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM EST Tuesday for LOZ045.

&&

SYNOPSIS...AR/JM
NEAR TERM...AR/JM
SHORT TERM...Hitchcock
LONG TERM...SW
AVIATION...AR/JM
MARINE...AR/JM
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 8, 3:18 PM EST, 12 hours 33 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
318 PM EST Sat Jan 8 2022

NYZ001>003-010-011-092030-
Niagara-Orleans-Monroe-Northern Erie-Genesee-
318 PM EST Sat Jan 8 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ012-019-020-085-092030-
Wyoming-Chautauqua-Cattaraugus-Southern Erie-
318 PM EST Sat Jan 8 2022

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 1 PM EST SUNDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

 Winter Weather Advisory.

Another round of moderate lake effect snow is possible Monday
through Tuesday morning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ021-092030-
Allegany-
318 PM EST Sat Jan 8 2022

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 1 PM EST SUNDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ004-005-013-014-092030-
Wayne-Northern Cayuga-Livingston-Ontario-
318 PM EST Sat Jan 8 2022

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 1 PM EST SUNDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western and north
central New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ006-008-092030-
Oswego-Lewis-
318 PM EST Sat Jan 8 2022

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 7 PM EST SUNDAY...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM SUNDAY TO 1 AM EST
TUESDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.
   Lake Effect Snow Warning.

Very cold air will then move into the region, with wind chills of
colder than -20F possible Monday night and early Tuesday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ007-092030-
Jefferson-
318 PM EST Sat Jan 8 2022

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 7 PM EST SUNDAY...
...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE
MONDAY NIGHT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.
   Winter Storm Watch.

Very cold air will then move into the region, with wind chills of
colder than -20F possible Monday night and early Tuesday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

LEZ020-040-041-LOZ030-042>045-062>065-092030-
Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
Lower Niagara River-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence
River-
Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach-
Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River-
318 PM EST Sat Jan 8 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Erie and Lake
Ontario.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

SLZ022-024-092030-
Saint Lawrence River from Cape Vincent to Ogdensburg-
Saint Lawrence River from Ogdensburg to Saint Regis-
318 PM EST Sat Jan 8 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the New York waters of the
Saint Lawrence River.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

Hitchcock

The office that day

Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 9, 12:49 PM ESTGale WarningBUF18 hr
Jan 9, 2:52 PM ESTWind Chill WarningBUFJefferson, Lewis46 hr

Nearby

Winter Storm Watches in New York, 2022Every winter storm watch in 2022

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.